UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Trends
- Four out of Nevada-Las Vegas’ most recent five games have resulted in the total going over.
 - In its last 13 games, Nevada-Las Vegas has a Super Bowl record of 11-2.
 - With Colorado State, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 0-5 against the spread in its last five games.
 - In its last 20 games against Colorado State, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 4-16 against the spread.
 - On the road, Nevada-Las Vegas has a single-score record of 11-1 in its last 12 games.
 - When Nevada-Las Vegas has played Colorado State away from home, the team has a record of 0-6 against the spread in their last six games.
 - Over the course of its most recent eight games versus teams from the Mountain West conference, Nevada-Las Vegas has a winning record of 6-2.
 - Over the course of its previous seven games against teams from the Mountain Division, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
 - Five out of Nevada-Las Vegas’ seven most recent games played in November have resulted in the total going over.
 - Over the past five games, Colorado State has a record of 1-4 (+1).
 - Five of Colorado State’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
 - In its last six games, Colorado State has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
 - Nine out of Colorado State’s previous eleven games played at home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
 - When playing at home versus Nevada-Las Vegas, Colorado State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread in its last six games.
 - During its most recent six games versus teams from the Mountain West conference, Colorado State has a record of 1-4-1 against the spread.
 - Four of Colorado State’s most recent five games against opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
 - In its previous seven games played in November, Colorado State has a conference record of 5-2.
 - In its last seven games played in week 11, Colorado State has a record of 1-6 on the road.
 
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction
Now we have the UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Colorado State Rams brings two Mountain West programs heading in opposite directions. UNLV enters this game with one of the more explosive offenses in the conference, averaging nearly 37 points per game and ranking inside the top 20 nationally in both scoring and yards per play. The Rebels have also shown resilience on the road, boasting an 11-1 record in one-score games away from home, an impressive mark that speaks to their poise in tight contests. However, there are red flags when it comes to their history against Colorado State — they’ve failed to cover the spread in their last six meetings in Fort Collins and are just 4-16 ATS in the last 20 head-to-head matchups. Meanwhile, the totals tell an interesting story: four of UNLV’s last five games have gone over, a trend that could continue given their offensive pace and defensive inconsistency. For bettors, this clash presents an intriguing mix of a high-powered offense versus a struggling yet historically dominant home team against the spread.
For UNLV, the key remains its balanced attack and ability to finish drives. The Rebels rank 16th in the nation in scoring offense, producing nearly 37 points per game while averaging a strong 6.8 yards per play. Quarterback play has been steady, with the offense ranking 37th in passing yards and 27th in rushing yards, giving them flexibility in how they attack defenses. Their efficiency in the fourth quarter—scoring an average of 12.75 points, second-best nationally—makes them a dangerous team to face late in games. The downside, however, is a defense that’s been gashed for over 470 yards per game and ranks near the bottom nationally in both passing and rushing defense. The Rebels give up 6.98 yards per play (133rd nationally), which could keep weaker offenses like Colorado State’s in the game. Still, if UNLV avoids turnovers and limits penalties (which have hurt them all season), their offensive firepower could be too much for the Rams to handle.
Colorado State, on the other hand, has been in a free fall offensively. The Rams are averaging just 19 points per game, ranking 122nd in the country, and have scored a total of 19 points in their last two games combined. Their quarterback play has been inconsistent, with the offense ranked 105th in passing and 84th in rushing—numbers that make sustaining drives difficult. While their defense has held opponents under the total in five of their last seven games, it’s also been unable to contain explosive plays, giving up over 27 points per contest. Colorado State’s one glimmer of hope comes from their recent dominance against UNLV in Fort Collins, where they’ve gone 6-0 ATS in their last six home meetings. If the Rams can force a few turnovers and lean on their defense to slow UNLV’s tempo, they might hang around. But with such a stagnant offense and a defense facing a top-20 scoring team, that will be easier said than done.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: UNLV
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/21/23 
 | 
 @UNLV 
 | 
 UNLV 25-23 
 | 
 UNLV-7.5 
 | 
 U61.5 
 | 
 UNLV-350 
 | 
| 
 11/02/19 
 | 
 @CSU 
 | 
 CSU 37-17 
 | 
 CSU-7.0 
 | 
 U65.5 
 | 
 CSU-300 
 | 
| 
 10/22/16 
 | 
 @UNLV 
 | 
 CSU 42-23 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 11/14/15 
 | 
 @CSU 
 | 
 CSU 49-35 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: UNLV Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 NM 
 | 
 L 40-35 
 | 
 L-5.5 
 | 
 O64.5 
 | 
 L-200 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 @BOISE 
 | 
 L 56-31 
 | 
 L+8.5 
 | 
 O68.5 
 | 
 L+385 
 | 
| 
 10/11/25 
 | 
 | 
 W 51-48 
 | 
 L-5.5 
 | 
 O61.5 
 | 
 W-205 
 | 
| 
 10/04/25 
 | 
 @WYO 
 | 
 W 31-17 
 | 
 W-5.5 
 | 
 U52.5 
 | 
 W-210 
 | 
| 
 9/20/25 
 | 
 @MOH 
 | 
 W 41-38 
 | 
 L-4.5 
 | 
 O51.5 
 | 
 W-184 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 UCLA 
 | 
 W 30-23 
 | 
 W+1.5 
 | 
 U55.5 
 | 
 W+105 
 | 
| 
 8/29/25 
 | 
 | 
 W 38-21 
 | 
 W-12.5 
 | 
 O57.5 
 | 
 W-450 
 | 
| 
 8/23/25 
 | 
 IDS 
 | 
 W 38-31 
 | 
 L-29.5 
 | 
 O67.5 
 | 
 W-3195 
 | 
| 
 12/18/24 
 | 
 CAL 
 | 
 W 24-13 
 | 
 W+1.5 
 | 
 U51.5 
 | 
 WEVEN 
 | 
| 
 12/06/24 
 | 
 @BOISE 
 | 
 L 21-7 
 | 
 L+4.0 
 | 
 U59.5 
 | 
 L+165 
 | 
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Colorado State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/25/25 
 | 
 @WYO 
 | 
 L 28-0 
 | 
 L+3.5 
 | 
 U45.5 
 | 
 L+158 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 HAW 
 | 
 L 31-19 
 | 
 L+1.5 
 | 
 U54.5 
 | 
 L-110 
 | 
| 
 10/10/25 
 | 
 FRE 
 | 
 W 49-21 
 | 
 W+6.5 
 | 
 O51.5 
 | 
 W+164 
 | 
| 
 10/03/25 
 | 
 @SDSU 
 | 
 L 45-24 
 | 
 L+5.5 
 | 
 O41.5 
 | 
 L+188 
 | 
| 
 9/27/25 
 | 
 WST 
 | 
 L 20-3 
 | 
 L-4.0 
 | 
 U50.5 
 | 
 L-192 
 | 
| 
 9/20/25 
 | 
 UTSA 
 | 
 L 17-16 
 | 
 W+4.5 
 | 
 U59.5 
 | 
 L+146 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 NOCO 
 | 
 W 21-17 
 | 
 L-33.5 
 | 
 U52.5 
 | 
 W-20000 
 | 
| 
 8/30/25 
 | 
 @WAS 
 | 
 L 38-21 
 | 
 W+18.5 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 L+720 
 | 
| 
 12/28/24 
 | 
 MOH 
 | 
 L 43-17 
 | 
 L+3.5 
 | 
 O42.5 
 | 
 L+138 
 | 
| 
 11/29/24 
 | 
 UTS 
 | 
 W 42-37 
 | 
 W-3.5 
 | 
 O60.5 
 | 
 W-160 
 | 
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: UNLV Offense
Overall
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.88 | 16 | Points Scored | 89 | 27.13 | 
| 256.63 | 37 | Passing Yards | 80 | 227.25 | 
| 193.00 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 111 | 177.75 | 
| 28:43 | 103 | Time on Field | 124 | 32:26 | 
| 66.13 | 77 | Number of Plays | 63 | 66.13 | 
| 6.80 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 111 | 6.12 | 
Scoring
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.88 | 16 | Points Scored | 89 | 27.13 | 
| 6.38 | 67 | First Quarter | 78 | 5.63 | 
| 12.75 | 8 | Second Quarter | 124 | 10.75 | 
| 5.00 | 94 | Third Quarter | 104 | 6.88 | 
| 12.75 | 2 | Fourth Quarter | 14 | 3.88 | 
Passing
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.63 | 37 | Passing Yards | 80 | 227.25 | 
| 30.25 | 72 | Pass Attempts | 53 | 29.63 | 
| 20.88 | 42 | Pass Completions | 62 | 18.75 | 
| 2.13 | 91 | Sacks | 124 | 1.13 | 
| 16.38 | 31 | Sack Yards | 12 | 6.38 | 
| 12.29 | 49 | Yards Per Pass | 100 | 12.12 | 
Rushing
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193.00 | 27 | Rushing Yards | 111 | 177.75 | 
| 35.88 | 63 | Rush Attempts | 80 | 36.50 | 
| 5.38 | 14 | Yards Per Rush | 119 | 4.87 | 
Turn Overs
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 25 | Interceptions | 48 | 0.88 | 
| 1.50 | 120 | Fumbles | 121 | 0.63 | 
| 0.63 | 94 | Fumbles Lost | 86 | 0.38 | 
| 1.13 | 59 | Total Turnovers | 65 | 1.25 | 
| 7.50 | 116 | Penalties | 34 | 7.00 | 
| 69.13 | 124 | Penalty Yards | 41 | 59.63 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| UNLV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | COLST Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:43 | 103 | Time on Field | 124 | 32:26 | 
| 66.13 | 77 | Number of Plays | 63 | 66.13 | 
| 6.80 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 111 | 6.12 | 
| 3.50 | 45 | Punts | 83 | 4.13 | 
| 42.76 | 74 | Punt Average | 107 | 44.18 | 
| 74.75 | 22 | Return Yards | 43 | 40.00 | 
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Colorado State Offense
Overall
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.25 | 126 | Points Scored | 122 | 19.13 | 
| 274.50 | 131 | Passing Yards | 105 | 187.50 | 
| 195.50 | 127 | Rushing Yards | 84 | 141.50 | 
| 29:20 | 53 | Time on Field | 123 | 27:33 | 
| 67.38 | 85 | Number of Plays | 101 | 64.25 | 
| 6.98 | 133 | Yards Per Play | 105 | 5.12 | 
Scoring
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.25 | 126 | Points Scored | 122 | 19.13 | 
| 7.75 | 115 | First Quarter | 117 | 3.88 | 
| 9.00 | 101 | Second Quarter | 118 | 5.13 | 
| 6.88 | 105 | Third Quarter | 132 | 2.63 | 
| 10.63 | 132 | Fourth Quarter | 56 | 7.50 | 
Passing
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274.50 | 131 | Passing Yards | 105 | 187.50 | 
| 34.13 | 113 | Pass Attempts | 81 | 29.50 | 
| 20.50 | 104 | Pass Completions | 98 | 17.25 | 
| 1.50 | 112 | Sacks | 118 | 2.75 | 
| 9.38 | 25 | Sack Yards | 15 | 19.00 | 
| 13.39 | 125 | Yards Per Pass | 97 | 10.87 | 
Rushing
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.50 | 127 | Rushing Yards | 84 | 141.50 | 
| 33.25 | 41 | Rush Attempts | 80 | 34.75 | 
| 5.88 | 135 | Yards Per Rush | 84 | 4.07 | 
Turn Overs
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 10 | Interceptions | 41 | 0.63 | 
| 1.13 | 58 | Fumbles | 116 | 1.50 | 
| 0.75 | 28 | Fumbles Lost | 111 | 0.75 | 
| 2.13 | 8 | Total Turnovers | 85 | 1.38 | 
| 8.00 | 9 | Penalties | 85 | 6.63 | 
| 70.75 | 6 | Penalty Yards | 108 | 63.63 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| UNLV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | COLST Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:20 | 53 | Time on Field | 123 | 27:33 | 
| 67.38 | 85 | Number of Plays | 101 | 64.25 | 
| 6.98 | 133 | Yards Per Play | 105 | 5.12 | 
| 3.00 | 129 | Punts | 100 | 4.88 | 
| 38.17 | 5 | Punt Average | 9 | 47.33 | 
| 87.13 | 126 | Return Yards | 59 | 61.75 | 
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