Florida vs Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Trends
- Over the past seven games, Florida has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
 - Ten of Florida’s most recent twelve games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
 - Over the past seven games, Florida has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
 - The over/under record for Florida’s last eight games versus Kentucky is 1-6-1.
 - The last twenty games that Florida has played versus Kentucky have resulted in a 16-4 record for the home team.
 - Over the course of its previous six games played away from home, Florida has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
 - In the last 15 games that Florida has played against Kentucky on the road, the team has a head-to-head record of 13-2.
 - During the last seven games that Florida has played against teams from the Southeastern Conference, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
 - Versus the spread, Florida has a perfect record of 5-0 in its last five games versus teams that are in the East Division.
 - After six games played in November, Florida has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
 - Over the past nine games, Kentucky has a record of 3-6 against the spread.
 - Five of Kentucky’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
 - In its last five games, Kentucky has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
 - In its last 16 games played at home, Kentucky has a winning percentage of 5-11.
 - Over the course of its previous 15 home games versus Florida, Kentucky has a record of 2-13 against the spread.
 - During the last six games that Kentucky has played against teams from the Southeastern conference, the total has been over in four of those games.
 - Five of Kentucky’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
 - After six games played in November, Kentucky has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
 - In its last six games played in week 11, Kentucky has a head-to-head record of 0-6.
 
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction
Now we have the Florida vs Kentucky Prediction for both teams.
The Florida Gators and Kentucky Wildcats meet in Week 11 for what has become one of the SEC East’s most underrated rivalries. Florida enters this matchup looking to steady the ship after a rocky stretch marked by inconsistency on both sides of the ball. The Gators have been solid defensively, holding opponents to just over 20 points per game, but their offense has struggled to find rhythm, averaging only 22.1 points and ranking near the bottom nationally in several offensive metrics. Trends also tell an interesting story: Florida has gone just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games and has seen the UNDER hit in 10 of their last 12 contests. Historically, the Gators have dominated Kentucky, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings in Lexington, but recent seasons have seen the gap narrow considerably. Still, Florida’s tendency to play low-scoring games and control time of possession could be a major factor in this year’s matchup. With both teams fighting for bowl positioning and SEC pride, expect a physical, grind-it-out contest that hinges on turnovers and red zone execution.
For Florida, the key lies in unlocking more consistency from an offense that has struggled to move the ball effectively against quality defenses. The Gators’ attack ranks just 108th in scoring and 105th in rushing yards, a surprising dip for a program that has long prided itself on athleticism in the backfield. Quarterback play has been serviceable but far from explosive, as Florida averages just 226 passing yards per game and a pedestrian 5.47 yards per play. The defense, however, has kept them competitive, particularly against the run where they’re allowing just 120 yards per game — good for 35th nationally. That unit will be counted on heavily to contain a Kentucky offense that prefers to establish tempo and control possession. Florida’s record against SEC East opponents (5-0 ATS in their last five) suggests that they rise to the occasion in divisional matchups, and their strong track record in November games (5-1 ATS) adds another layer of confidence. If they can avoid turnovers — which have been a recurring issue — and sustain drives behind their improving time-of-possession numbers, the Gators have a real chance to leave Lexington with a much-needed victory.
Kentucky, meanwhile, has hit a midseason skid after a promising start, and their numbers paint a picture of a team struggling to find balance. The Wildcats have lost four of their last five and are just 3-6 against the spread in their last nine. Defensively, Kentucky has regressed from its usual standard, allowing nearly 27 points per game and ranking outside the top 80 in total defense. The offense hasn’t done much to help, sitting 103rd in scoring and averaging only 5.06 yards per play. However, the Wildcats remain dangerous at home, where they can feed off the energy of the crowd and have been known to pull off upsets against ranked opponents. They’ll look to lean on their run game, which averages nearly 145 yards per contest, to take some pressure off their passing attack. The problem is that Florida’s defensive front is disciplined and could limit those lanes early. Kentucky’s recent struggles in Week 11 games (0-6 in their last six) and poor historical performance against Florida at home (2-13 ATS in the last 15) suggest an uphill battle. Unless Kentucky finds a spark offensively and limits Florida’s early momentum, this could be another frustrating night for the Wildcats in Lexington.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: FLORIDA
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/19/24 
 | 
 @FLA 
 | 
 FLA 48-20 
 | 
 FLA+1.5 
 | 
 O44.5 
 | 
 FLA+104 
 | 
| 
 9/30/23 
 | 
 @KEN 
 | 
 KEN 33-14 
 | 
 KEN-3.5 
 | 
 U47.5 
 | 
 KEN-125 
 | 
| 
 9/10/22 
 | 
 @FLA 
 | 
 KEN 26-16 
 | 
 FLA-4.0 
 | 
 U51.5 
 | 
 FLA-240 
 | 
| 
 10/02/21 
 | 
 @KEN 
 | 
 KEN 20-13 
 | 
 KEN+8.5 
 | 
 U55 
 | 
 KEN+260 
 | 
| 
 11/28/20 
 | 
 @FLA 
 | 
 FLA 34-10 
 | 
 FLA-23.5 
 | 
 U61 
 | 
 FLA-2400 
 | 
| 
 9/14/19 
 | 
 @KEN 
 | 
 FLA 29-21 
 | 
 KEN+9.5 
 | 
 O46 
 | 
 KEN+275 
 | 
| 
 9/08/18 
 | 
 @FLA 
 | 
 KEN 27-16 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 9/23/17 
 | 
 @KEN 
 | 
 FLA 28-27 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 9/10/16 
 | 
 @FLA 
 | 
 FLA 45-7 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 9/19/15 
 | 
 @KEN 
 | 
 FLA 14-9 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Florida Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 UGA 
 | 
 L 24-20 
 | 
 W+9.5 
 | 
 U51.5 
 | 
 L+250 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 MSST 
 | 
 W 23-21 
 | 
 L-11.5 
 | 
 U51.5 
 | 
 W-420 
 | 
| 
 10/11/25 
 | 
 @TXAM 
 | 
 L 34-17 
 | 
 L+9.5 
 | 
 O44.5 
 | 
 L+255 
 | 
| 
 10/04/25 
 | 
 TEX 
 | 
 W 29-21 
 | 
 W+7.5 
 | 
 U53.5 
 | 
 W+184 
 | 
| 
 9/20/25 
 | 
 @MFL 
 | 
 L 26-7 
 | 
 L+5.5 
 | 
 U55.5 
 | 
 L+132 
 | 
| 
 9/13/25 
 | 
 @LSU 
 | 
 L 20-10 
 | 
 L+7.5 
 | 
 U54.5 
 | 
 L+190 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 USF 
 | 
 L 18-16 
 | 
 L-18.5 
 | 
 U52.5 
 | 
 L-1050 
 | 
| 
 8/30/25 
 | 
 | 
 W 55-0 
 | 
 W-44.5 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 W-20000 
 | 
| 
 12/20/24 
 | 
 TUL 
 | 
 W 33-8 
 | 
 W-11.5 
 | 
 U50.5 
 | 
 W-455 
 | 
| 
 11/30/24 
 | 
 @FSU 
 | 
 W 31-11 
 | 
 W+12.5 
 | 
 U49.5 
 | 
 W+340 
 | 
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Kentucky Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 @AUB 
 | 
 W 10-3 
 | 
 W+10.5 
 | 
 U46.5 
 | 
 W+280 
 | 
| 
 10/25/25 
 | 
 TEN 
 | 
 L 56-34 
 | 
 L+9.5 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 L+260 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 TEX 
 | 
 L 16-13 
 | 
 W+13.5 
 | 
 U44.5 
 | 
 L+385 
 | 
| 
 10/04/25 
 | 
 @UGA 
 | 
 L 35-14 
 | 
 L+20.5 
 | 
 U50.5 
 | 
 L+1060 
 | 
| 
 9/27/25 
 | 
 @SC 
 | 
 L 35-13 
 | 
 L+6.5 
 | 
 O45.5 
 | 
 L+126 
 | 
| 
 9/13/25 
 | 
 EMC 
 | 
 W 48-23 
 | 
 W-24.5 
 | 
 O45.5 
 | 
 W-4500 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 MIS 
 | 
 L 30-23 
 | 
 W+9.5 
 | 
 U54.5 
 | 
 L+330 
 | 
| 
 8/30/25 
 | 
 TOL 
 | 
 W 24-16 
 | 
 L-11.5 
 | 
 U48.5 
 | 
 W-410 
 | 
| 
 11/30/24 
 | 
 LOU 
 | 
 L 41-14 
 | 
 L+1.0 
 | 
 O48.5 
 | 
 L-110 
 | 
| 
 11/23/24 
 | 
 @TEX 
 | 
 L 31-14 
 | 
 W+21.0 
 | 
 U46.5 
 | 
 L+1000 
 | 
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Florida Offense
Overall
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.13 | 108 | Points Scored | 86 | 26.75 | 
| 226.25 | 74 | Passing Yards | 94 | 236.75 | 
| 126.50 | 105 | Rushing Yards | 44 | 130.13 | 
| 30:58 | 41 | Time on Field | 24 | 27:57 | 
| 64.50 | 97 | Number of Plays | 74 | 66.63 | 
| 5.47 | 88 | Yards Per Play | 76 | 5.51 | 
Scoring
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.13 | 108 | Points Scored | 86 | 26.75 | 
| 7.13 | 48 | First Quarter | 79 | 5.63 | 
| 7.00 | 94 | Second Quarter | 120 | 10.50 | 
| 4.63 | 99 | Third Quarter | 60 | 5.13 | 
| 3.38 | 128 | Fourth Quarter | 44 | 5.13 | 
Passing
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226.25 | 74 | Passing Yards | 94 | 236.75 | 
| 33.00 | 43 | Pass Attempts | 45 | 29.13 | 
| 21.50 | 38 | Pass Completions | 38 | 17.25 | 
| 1.75 | 65 | Sacks | 46 | 2.25 | 
| 9.38 | 98 | Sack Yards | 109 | 18.00 | 
| 10.52 | 110 | Yards Per Pass | 130 | 13.72 | 
Rushing
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.50 | 105 | Rushing Yards | 44 | 130.13 | 
| 31.50 | 115 | Rush Attempts | 91 | 37.50 | 
| 4.02 | 87 | Yards Per Rush | 31 | 3.47 | 
Turn Overs
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 125 | Interceptions | 51 | 0.88 | 
| 1.25 | 93 | Fumbles | 130 | 0.50 | 
| 0.38 | 37 | Fumbles Lost | 132 | 0.13 | 
| 1.50 | 98 | Total Turnovers | 101 | 1.00 | 
| 5.75 | 46 | Penalties | 45 | 6.75 | 
| 49.25 | 42 | Penalty Yards | 39 | 59.88 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| FLA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UK Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:58 | 41 | Time on Field | 24 | 27:57 | 
| 64.50 | 97 | Number of Plays | 74 | 66.63 | 
| 5.47 | 88 | Yards Per Play | 76 | 5.51 | 
| 4.63 | 93 | Punts | 78 | 4.25 | 
| 44.58 | 41 | Punt Average | 54 | 42.15 | 
| 45.88 | 97 | Return Yards | 70 | 48.00 | 
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction: Kentucky Offense
Overall
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.50 | 32 | Points Scored | 103 | 22.38 | 
| 220.25 | 70 | Passing Yards | 95 | 201.25 | 
| 120.25 | 35 | Rushing Yards | 81 | 144.88 | 
| 29:01 | 43 | Time on Field | 23 | 32:02 | 
| 63.75 | 36 | Number of Plays | 47 | 68.38 | 
| 5.34 | 60 | Yards Per Play | 111 | 5.06 | 
Scoring
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.50 | 32 | Points Scored | 103 | 22.38 | 
| 4.38 | 45 | First Quarter | 82 | 5.63 | 
| 5.25 | 29 | Second Quarter | 110 | 5.88 | 
| 4.13 | 43 | Third Quarter | 104 | 4.50 | 
| 6.75 | 76 | Fourth Quarter | 76 | 6.38 | 
Passing
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.25 | 70 | Passing Yards | 95 | 201.25 | 
| 28.38 | 35 | Pass Attempts | 71 | 30.38 | 
| 17.00 | 32 | Pass Completions | 85 | 18.50 | 
| 1.75 | 90 | Sacks | 108 | 2.38 | 
| 10.25 | 30 | Sack Yards | 49 | 13.75 | 
| 12.96 | 118 | Yards Per Pass | 96 | 10.88 | 
Rushing
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120.25 | 35 | Rushing Yards | 81 | 144.88 | 
| 35.38 | 71 | Rush Attempts | 43 | 38.00 | 
| 3.40 | 27 | Yards Per Rush | 105 | 3.81 | 
Turn Overs
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 49 | Interceptions | 109 | 1.00 | 
| 0.63 | 122 | Fumbles | 126 | 1.63 | 
| 0.38 | 87 | Fumbles Lost | 92 | 0.63 | 
| 1.25 | 66 | Total Turnovers | 112 | 1.63 | 
| 7.63 | 16 | Penalties | 35 | 5.25 | 
| 62.25 | 31 | Penalty Yards | 23 | 42.88 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| FLA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UK Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:01 | 43 | Time on Field | 23 | 32:02 | 
| 63.75 | 36 | Number of Plays | 47 | 68.38 | 
| 5.34 | 60 | Yards Per Play | 111 | 5.06 | 
| 5.75 | 11 | Punts | 89 | 4.50 | 
| 44.94 | 121 | Punt Average | 42 | 44.53 | 
| 37.63 | 34 | Return Yards | 106 | 41.00 | 
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
UTSA vs South Florida Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Houston vs UCF Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Northwestern vs USC Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Colorado vs West Virginia Prediction and Pick, Week 11
James Madison vs Marshall Prediction and Pick, Week 11
SMU vs Boston College Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Temple vs Army Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction and Pick, Week 11
UAB vs Rice Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Maryland vs Rutgers Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Louisiana Tech vs Delaware Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Syracuse vs Miami Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Kansas vs Arizona Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Duke vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Iowa State vs TCU Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Auburn vs Vanderbilt Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Florida State vs Clemson Prediction and Pick, Week 11
California vs Louisville Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Wake Forest vs Virginia Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
LSU vs Alabama Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction and Pick, Week 11
UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Sam Houston vs Oregon State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Washington vs Wisconsin Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Oregon vs Iowa Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Nebraska vs UCLA Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Visit the Betting School and learn how to wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below:

						