Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Trends

  • Five of Charlotte’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last five games, Charlotte has a losing record of 0-5 on the road.
  • Four out of Charlotte’s previous five games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
  • In the last six games that Charlotte has played against an opponent in the American Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 1-5.
  • Five of Charlotte’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • After playing 13 games in November, Charlotte has a record of 4-9 against the spread.
  • After six games played on Saturdays, Charlotte has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
  • On average, East Carolina has a record of 10-4-1 in its previous 15 games.
  • Eight of East Carolina’s previous eleven games have resulted with the total going UNDER.
  • In its last 14 games, East Carolina has a spotless record of 10-4.
  • In its previous eight games played at home, East Carolina has a winning record of 6-2 against the spread.
  • In the last nine games that East Carolina has played against a team from the American Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 7-2.
  • Five of East Carolina’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • The total has been over in four of the last six games that East Carolina has played in the month of November.
  • On the road, East Carolina has a record of 6-1 in its past seven games played in week 11.
  • East Carolina has a 7-1 overall record in its previous 8 games that have been played on a Saturday.

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction

Now we have the Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction for both teams.

This matchup between Charlotte and East Carolina comes at a point in the season where both programs are trying to establish consistency, but the trends and recent performances point these teams in very different directions. Charlotte has struggled significantly in conference play and especially on the road, where they’ve dropped five straight while consistently allowing games to go over the total. Their offense has been inconsistent and often inefficient, posting just 17.5 points per game on average and ranking near the bottom of the nation in yards per play. Meanwhile, East Carolina has shown a much stronger foundation both statistically and situationally, with a 10-4 record over their last 14 games and a strong trend of covering at home. ECU has leaned on a relatively balanced offense and a defense that holds firm in big moments, particularly against the run. Even though both teams have been involved in games trending toward the over recently, the styles here create a push-and-pull dynamic: Charlotte fails to sustain drives, while ECU methodically controls pace and field position. Ultimately, the context of conference momentum, home-field advantage, and the matchup in the trenches all lean toward East Carolina having the clearer, more reliable path to success in this game.

For Charlotte, the offensive side of the ball continues to be a challenge. They average only 17.5 points per game and struggle to maintain drives consistently, reflected in their low yards-per-play output and bottom-tier rushing production. Charlotte is only putting up around 106 rushing yards per contest and averaging just 3.19 yards per carry, which makes them one-dimensional far too often. That puts pressure on the passing game, where they rank middle of the pack nationally but still lack the explosive efficiency needed to threaten a defense like East Carolina’s. Turnovers also remain a real issue, as Charlotte averages two turnovers per game, often losing momentum just as they appear to settle into rhythm. Their defense doesn’t give them much margin for error either, allowing over 37 points per game and over 6.5 yards per play—numbers that make it difficult to stay competitive if the offense can’t match pace. The road environment only amplifies those weaknesses, as shown by their 0-5 recent road record. While Charlotte has shown occasional flashes, particularly in late-game scoring spurts, they simply have not shown sustained execution in either phase long enough to trust them in this matchup.

East Carolina, on the other hand, enters this matchup with more balance and consistency, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. ECU is allowing just 16.8 points per game, showing strong ability to pressure opposing offenses into mistakes and disrupt drives. While their offense is not overpowering, it is structured and efficient, averaging just over 32 points per game and nearly 290 passing yards. Their ability to stretch the field vertically complements their run game, which is averaging just under 190 yards per contest. This dual-threat approach should prove particularly effective against a Charlotte defense that ranks near the bottom nationally in both passing and rushing yards allowed. ECU also holds strong situational advantages: they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games and 7-2 in their last nine conference matchups. The Pirates also play disciplined football, controlling tempo and winning the small battles over the course of four quarters. Given Charlotte’s struggles with turnovers, defensive breakdowns, and road environments, ECU has the decisive advantage across multiple fronts in this matchup.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: EAST CAROLINA

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Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/05/24
CHA 55-24
CHA+8.5
O46
CHA+235
10/21/23
CHA 10-7
ECU-7.5
U41.5
ECU-365

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Charlotte Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/24/25
L 54-20
L+27.5
O56.5
L+1280
10/18/25
L 49-14
L+12.5
O47.5
L+350
10/11/25
L 24-7
L+14.5
U46.5
L+450
10/03/25
L 54-26
L+26.5
O53.5
L+1600
9/18/25
L 28-17
L+4.5
U45.5
L+136
9/13/25
W 42-35
W-4.5
O68.5
W-184
9/06/25
L 20-3
W+21.5
U46.5
L+580
8/29/25
L 34-11
L+8.5
U53.5
L+245
11/30/24
W 29-27
L-4.5
U57.5
W-154
11/23/24
W 39-27
W-2.5
O48.5
W-142

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 45-14
W-4.5
O58.5
W-182
10/16/25
W 41-27
L-17.0
O53.5
W-950
10/09/25
L 26-19
P+7.0
U53.5
L+250
9/25/25
W 28-6
W-3.5
U53.5
W-160
9/20/25
L 34-13
L+9.5
U49.5
L+230
9/13/25
W 38-0
W-5.5
U55.5
W-260
9/06/25
W 56-3
W-29.5
O52.5
W-10000
8/28/25
L 24-17
W+14.0
U57.5
L+320
12/28/24
W 26-21
W+5.0
U59.5
W+170
11/29/24
L 34-20
L-2.5
U56.5
L-142

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Charlotte Offense

Overall

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
17.50 128 Points Scored 13 16.75
218.13 83 Passing Yards 58 212.00
106.75 123 Rushing Yards 29 114.25
29:13 86 Time on Field 83 30:37
66.13 75 Number of Plays 52 65.38
4.91 120 Yards Per Play 31 4.99

Scoring

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
17.50 128 Points Scored 13 16.75
2.88 129 First Quarter 17 2.88
3.75 130 Second Quarter 47 6.25
3.38 123 Third Quarter 19 2.88
7.50 55 Fourth Quarter 30 4.75

Passing

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
218.13 83 Passing Yards 58 212.00
32.63 48 Pass Attempts 82 31.25
19.25 71 Pass Completions 76 19.25
1.88 73 Sacks 65 2.00
11.75 71 Sack Yards 70 13.25
11.33 79 Yards Per Pass 54 11.01

Rushing

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
106.75 123 Rushing Yards 29 114.25
33.50 95 Rush Attempts 56 34.13
3.19 129 Yards Per Rush 24 3.35

Turn Overs

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
0.88 90 Interceptions 100 0.50
1.88 131 Fumbles 13 1.63
1.13 135 Fumbles Lost 8 0.88
2.00 131 Total Turnovers 49 1.38
6.25 67 Penalties 81 5.75
53.00 55 Penalty Yards 80 50.50

Drives & Special Teams

CHAR Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ECAR Defense
29:13 86 Time on Field 83 30:37
66.13 75 Number of Plays 52 65.38
4.91 120 Yards Per Play 31 4.99
5.50 124 Punts 40 4.88
41.54 103 Punt Average 110 44.24
65.75 47 Return Yards 105 67.88

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Offense

Overall

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
37.25 132 Points Scored 45 32.13
270.13 128 Passing Yards 17 288.88
207.75 132 Rushing Yards 35 186.38
30:43 88 Time on Field 80 29:22
71.75 122 Number of Plays 2 78.63
6.66 132 Yards Per Play 49 6.04

Scoring

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
37.25 132 Points Scored 45 32.13
8.50 123 First Quarter 16 9.00
11.13 128 Second Quarter 93 7.00
7.75 117 Third Quarter 35 7.63
9.88 130 Fourth Quarter 36 8.50

Passing

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
270.13 128 Passing Yards 17 288.88
31.13 80 Pass Attempts 28 35.25
21.25 109 Pass Completions 21 23.63
1.13 123 Sacks 16 1.00
9.50 26 Sack Yards 113 7.13
12.71 115 Yards Per Pass 51 12.23

Rushing

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
207.75 132 Rushing Yards 35 186.38
40.63 121 Rush Attempts 14 43.38
5.11 127 Yards Per Rush 72 4.30

Turn Overs

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
0.38 120 Interceptions 43 0.63
0.88 96 Fumbles 22 0.75
0.63 45 Fumbles Lost 18 0.25
1.00 95 Total Turnovers 18 0.88
5.50 92 Penalties 104 7.13
58.13 48 Penalty Yards 85 58.13

Drives & Special Teams

CHAR Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ECAR Offense
30:43 88 Time on Field 80 29:22
71.75 122 Number of Plays 2 78.63
6.66 132 Yards Per Play 49 6.04
3.63 107 Punts 36 3.25
42.65 72 Punt Average 127 39.33
44.50 62 Return Yards 110 38.88

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Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.

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