Tulsa vs FAU Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: Trends

  • In its last seven games, Tulsa has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • In its previous eight games played away from home, Tulsa has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
  • The last nine games that Tulsa has played against an opponent in the American Conference conference have resulted in a losing record of 0-9 for the team.
  • Five of Tulsa’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • In each of Tulsa’s most recent five games played in the month of November, the total has been over.
  • In its previous five games played in week 11, Tulsa has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Eleven out of Florida Atlantic’s last fifteen games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Overall, Florida Atlantic has a record of 4-11 in its previous 15 games.
  • Six of Florida Atlantic’s most recent six games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
  • In the last 15 games that Florida Atlantic has played against an opponent from the American Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 3-12.
  • There have been six out of the seven games that Florida Atlantic has played against opponents from the West Division division in which the total has gone over.
  • In its last 11 games played in November, Florida Atlantic has a winning percentage of 1-10.

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction

Now we have the Tulsa vs FAU Prediction for both teams.

This Week 11 matchup between Tulsa and Florida Atlantic is an interesting one when you start to examine the team trends, recent performance, and statistical breakdowns. On the surface, both teams have had their fair share of struggles, but the betting patterns and matchup data tell a clearer story of how these teams tend to perform depending on the setting and opponent. Tulsa has been in a tough spot for a while now, especially when it comes to performing away from home and against AAC competition. The Golden Hurricane are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games and an even worse 1-7 ATS in their last eight road contests. Historically, when Tulsa faces AAC teams, the wheels tend to come off—going 0-9 in the last nine such matchups. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic’s trends lean heavily toward high-scoring games, particularly at home and against West Division opponents. FAU has seen the total go over in six straight home games, and eleven of their last fifteen overall have gone over as well. Yet even with those scoring bursts, the Owls have struggled in the month of November, where they are just 1-10 over their last 11 games during this late-season stretch. The matchup presents contrasting weaknesses and strengths, with Tulsa struggling to stop the run and FAU leaning more pass-heavy, making this a stylistic chess match rather than a brute-force battle.

Looking at Tulsa more closely, the Golden Hurricane offense has been challenged all season when it comes to sustaining drives and maximizing possessions. They average just 22 points per game, ranking 111th nationally, and while they do get volume in terms of plays run (top 10 in the country), those plays haven’t turned into efficient production. The offense averages just 5.11 yards per play, and their rushing attack—while utilized often—is barely cracking four yards per carry. The passing game hasn’t necessarily been explosive either, posting just over 10 yards per completion. Perhaps more concerning is Tulsa’s inability to hold onto momentum in the second half, ranking near the bottom of the country in third-quarter scoring. Turnovers have also been an issue, as Tulsa sits in the bottom quarter of FBS in total turnovers per game. Defensively, they are giving up just under 30 points per game and are particularly vulnerable against the run, allowing over 190 rushing yards per game and nearly five yards per carry. While their passing defense numbers look slightly more respectable, it’s largely due to opponents not needing to pass as frequently once they are already leading. Tulsa simply has not matched up well against AAC competition, and the trends show it—it becomes difficult to trust them on the road here, especially considering how frequently games involving Tulsa trend toward the over.

Florida Atlantic, on the other hand, enters this matchup with one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the country, averaging over 325 passing yards per game. They lead the nation in plays run per game, which means tempo will be on their side. The Owls score over 30 points per contest, so even when drives stall or mistakes happen, they’re still putting enough pressure on opposing defenses to wear them down by the second half. However, their rushing attack has been almost nonexistent at just over 100 yards per game, which can make them one-dimensional at times. Defensively, FAU has struggled significantly, giving up over 36 points per game and nearly 205 rushing yards per outing. They allow opponents to average nearly 6 yards per play, meaning long drives can form quickly against them. But at home, their offense tends to open up more, and the total has gone over in six straight FAU home games. And when FAU faces teams from the AAC West Division, the over hits almost every time as well. The matchup ultimately comes down to whether Tulsa can exploit FAU’s run defense consistently enough to keep pace. Based on recent play and scoring trends, it appears unlikely.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: FAU

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Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/30/24
FAU 63-16
TSA+1.5
O56.5
TSA-108
10/07/23
FAU 20-17
FAU-3.0
U54
FAU-155
9/05/15
TSA 47-44
NL
NL
NL

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: Tulsa Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
L 38-37
W+6.0
O53.5
L+195
10/16/25
L 41-27
W+17.0
O53.5
L+610
10/04/25
L 45-7
L-14.0
U61.5
L+800
9/27/25
L 31-14
L+15.5
U55
L+340
9/19/25
W 19-12
W+14.0
U55.5
W+440
9/13/25
L 42-23
L+14.5
O53.5
L+390
9/06/25
L 21-14
L-1.5
U53.5
L-137
8/30/25
W 35-7
W-4.5
U63.5
W-178
11/30/24
L 63-16
L+1.5
O56.5
L-108
11/23/24
L 63-30
L+16.5
O60
L+550

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: FAU Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
L 42-32
W+14.5
O62.5
L+430
10/18/25
L 48-13
L+20.5
U70.5
L+920
10/11/25
W 53-33
W-4.5
O69.5
W-200
10/04/25
W 27-21
W+5.5
U52.5
W+146
9/27/25
L 55-26
L+15.5
O61.5
L+480
9/13/25
L 38-28
L+2.5
O57.5
L+128
9/06/25
W 56-14
W-20.5
O45.5
W-1700
8/30/25
L 39-7
L+16.5
U57.5
L+550
11/30/24
W 63-16
W-1.5
O56.5
W-111
11/23/24
L 39-27
L+2.5
O48.5
L+120

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: Tulsa Offense

Overall

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
22.00 111 Points Scored 130 36.25
230.00 69 Passing Yards 51 205.25
150.63 76 Rushing Yards 129 204.13
28:18 115 Time on Field 113 31:37
74.50 6 Number of Plays 97 68.75
5.11 107 Yards Per Play 102 5.95

Scoring

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
22.00 111 Points Scored 130 36.25
6.00 76 First Quarter 97 6.50
5.88 111 Second Quarter 111 9.75
3.88 119 Third Quarter 127 9.25
5.50 95 Fourth Quarter 133 10.75

Passing

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
230.00 69 Passing Yards 51 205.25
36.00 22 Pass Attempts 29 27.63
21.63 36 Pass Completions 48 17.88
2.00 87 Sacks 103 1.63
14.63 43 Sack Yards 97 16.13
10.64 106 Yards Per Pass 80 11.48

Rushing

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
150.63 76 Rushing Yards 129 204.13
38.50 37 Rush Attempts 126 41.13
3.91 98 Yards Per Rush 124 4.96

Turn Overs

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
0.88 97 Interceptions 136 0.00
1.88 132 Fumbles 55 1.13
0.63 98 Fumbles Lost 88 0.38
1.50 102 Total Turnovers 134 0.38
5.00 29 Penalties 24 7.25
37.63 13 Penalty Yards 25 64.25

Drives & Special Teams

TULSA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FAU Defense
28:18 115 Time on Field 113 31:37
74.50 6 Number of Plays 97 68.75
5.11 107 Yards Per Play 102 5.95
5.00 109 Punts 71 4.38
43.48 60 Punt Average 77 42.72
58.63 67 Return Yards 71 48.38

Tulsa vs FAU Prediction: FAU Offense

Overall

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
29.63 101 Points Scored 55 30.25
223.63 73 Passing Yards 3 325.88
191.88 121 Rushing Yards 126 102.75
31:41 116 Time on Field 112 28:22
73.88 131 Number of Plays 1 79.25
5.62 81 Yards Per Play 91 5.41

Scoring

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
29.63 101 Points Scored 55 30.25
5.50 76 First Quarter 5 11.38
9.13 104 Second Quarter 78 7.88
7.38 115 Third Quarter 116 4.00
6.75 78 Fourth Quarter 64 7.00

Passing

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
223.63 73 Passing Yards 3 325.88
31.38 84 Pass Attempts 1 48.25
19.75 85 Pass Completions 1 31.13
2.13 61 Sacks 66 1.75
13.63 76 Sack Yards 63 12.13
11.32 70 Yards Per Pass 113 10.47

Rushing

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
191.88 121 Rushing Yards 126 102.75
42.50 132 Rush Attempts 120 31.00
4.51 96 Yards Per Rush 126 3.31

Turn Overs

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
0.63 89 Interceptions 134 1.63
1.38 35 Fumbles 118 1.50
0.38 94 Fumbles Lost 64 0.50
1.00 107 Total Turnovers 134 2.13
5.88 78 Penalties 105 7.13
55.63 60 Penalty Yards 96 60.38

Drives & Special Teams

TULSA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FAU Offense
31:41 116 Time on Field 112 28:22
73.88 131 Number of Plays 1 79.25
5.62 81 Yards Per Play 91 5.41
4.63 58 Punts 12 2.50
42.65 73 Punt Average 24 45.96
42.38 56 Return Yards 3 101.63

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