Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Trends
- Over the past five games, Bowling Green has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In its last six games, Bowling Green has a state record of 1-5.
- With Eastern Michigan, Bowling Green has a record of 8-4 in its previous 12 games versus the Spartans.
- Bowling Green has a losing record of 1-4 on the road in its previous five games.
- Over the course of its previous six games against teams from the Mid-American conference, Bowling Green has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- In the last six games that Bowling Green has played against opponents from the West Division, the team has a winning record of 5-1.
- Bowling Green’s last six games played in November have all resulted in the total going UNDER in five of those games.
- After seven games played in week 11, Bowling Green has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- Over the past seven games, Eastern Michigan has a record of 5-2 against the spread.
- Overall, Eastern Michigan has a record of 2-12 in its previous 14 games.
- Nine out of Eastern Michigan’s last thirteen games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
- Over the course of its last ten games against teams from the Mid-American conference, Eastern Michigan has a record of 1-9 against the spread.
- In its last seven games against teams from the East Division, Eastern Michigan has a record of 0-7 in terms of head-to-head competition.
- After seven games played in November, Eastern Michigan has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- Five out of Eastern Michigan’s seven most recent games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
- In the last 18 games in which it has been the favorite, Eastern Michigan has a record of 6-12 against the spread.
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction
Now we have the Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction for both teams.
Bowling Green and Eastern Michigan are set to square off in what could be a fascinating Week 11 matchup in the Mid-American Conference, despite both teams struggling to find consistent form this season. Bowling Green enters the contest with a 1-4 record against the spread over its last five games, and an overall record of 2-5 after seven games played in Week 11. The Falcons have historically fared well against the Spartans, holding an 8-4 record in their previous 12 meetings, which gives them a psychological edge heading into this game. However, Bowling Green has struggled on the road recently, posting a 1-4 record in its last five away games, and they have had difficulty covering the spread against West Division opponents despite a strong 5-1 record. Offensively, Bowling Green has been anemic, scoring just 18.22 points per game (126th nationally) and averaging under 160 passing yards per game, while Eastern Michigan’s defense ranks in the top 60 for passing yards allowed. Time of possession also leans against Bowling Green, as they rank 30th in the country for time on the field but face a defense that keeps plays moving efficiently. These trends suggest that while Bowling Green may have historical confidence against the Spartans, the combination of offensive struggles and road woes could make this a challenging outing.
Bowling Green’s offense has shown flashes, particularly in their rushing game, but overall consistency has been elusive. The Falcons average 147 rushing yards per game, which is solid for a mid-tier MAC team, but they rank 136th in defending against the run, signaling potential struggles if Eastern Michigan can get pressure upfront. Passing has been a major issue, with just 157.78 yards per game, a rank of 123rd nationally, and a poor yards-per-pass average of 10.22. Turnovers have also been problematic; they average 1.22 turnovers per game, which Eastern Michigan could exploit. Despite these issues, Bowling Green does have some advantages in certain areas, such as fourth-quarter scoring where they average nearly seven points, ranking 69th nationally, and in special teams where their return yardage ranks 19th. Their offensive line must hold up, especially against a Spartans defense that can generate key stops late in the game. Bowling Green’s ability to establish a balanced attack with both the run and short passing plays will be critical, as they need to control the clock and limit mistakes to keep the game competitive, particularly in the high-stakes environment of a MAC East clash.
Eastern Michigan comes in with a slightly better ATS record recently, going 5-2 in their last seven games, but the Spartans have struggled against East Division opponents, going 0-7 in head-to-head matchups. Their overall offense ranks 95th nationally in points scored at 24.11 per game, and their passing game is moderately effective with 227.89 yards per game. However, Eastern Michigan has difficulty sustaining drives, with an average time of possession of just 27:03, slightly less than Bowling Green, which could make it hard for them to control the pace. The Spartans’ defense is susceptible to the run, giving up 243.56 rushing yards per game, which presents an opportunity for Bowling Green to exploit. Turnovers are also a concern; Eastern Michigan has a low rate of giveaways, but mistakes in key moments could swing this game. Historically, Eastern Michigan has had some success against Bowling Green, particularly in close contests, but their inconsistency and recent struggles against the spread make this a tricky game to call. Expect a low-scoring, hard-fought battle where execution and discipline will likely determine the winner.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: BOWLING GREEN
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/23/21
|
@BGN
|
EMC 55-24
|
BGN+3.0
|
O49.5
|
BGN+114
|
|
11/21/17
|
@EMC
|
EMC 34-31
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/01/16
|
@BGN
|
EMC 28-25
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Bowling Green Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
BUF
|
L 28-3
|
L-1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-106
|
|
10/25/25
|
@KNT
|
L 24-21
|
L-10.0
|
U49.5
|
L-315
|
|
10/18/25
|
CMC
|
L 27-6
|
L-5.5
|
U43.5
|
L-250
|
|
10/11/25
|
TOL
|
W 28-23
|
W+7.0
|
O49.5
|
W+270
|
|
9/27/25
|
@OHI
|
L 35-20
|
L+12.5
|
O52.5
|
L+350
|
|
9/20/25
|
@LOU
|
L 40-17
|
W+25.5
|
O51.5
|
L+1600
|
|
9/13/25
|
LIB
|
W 23-13
|
W+5.5
|
U51.5
|
W+160
|
|
9/06/25
|
@CIN
|
L 34-20
|
W+17.5
|
O50.5
|
L+760
|
|
8/28/25
|
LAF
|
W 26-7
|
W-16.5
|
U52.5
|
W-720
|
|
12/26/24
|
|
L 38-31
|
L-11.5
|
O46.5
|
L-480
|
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Eastern Michigan Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
OHI
|
L 28-21
|
W+10.0
|
U57.5
|
L+280
|
|
10/18/25
|
@MOH
|
L 44-30
|
L+11.5
|
O47.5
|
L+340
|
|
10/11/25
|
NIL
|
W 16-10
|
W-1.5
|
U49.5
|
W-110
|
|
10/04/25
|
@BUF
|
L 31-30
|
W+10.0
|
O48.5
|
L+260
|
|
9/27/25
|
@CMC
|
L 24-13
|
L+4.5
|
U55.5
|
L+132
|
|
9/20/25
|
ULL
|
W 34-31
|
W+6.5
|
O51.5
|
W+106
|
|
9/13/25
|
@KEN
|
L 48-23
|
L+24.5
|
O45.5
|
L+1600
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
L 28-23
|
L-21.5
|
U54.5
|
L-1800
|
|
8/30/25
|
@TXST
|
L 52-27
|
L+14.5
|
O57.5
|
L+390
|
|
11/30/24
|
@WMC
|
L 26-18
|
L+6.5
|
U56.5
|
L+168
|
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Bowling Green Offense
Overall
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.22 | 126 | Points Scored | 121 | 32.89 |
| 157.78 | 123 | Passing Yards | 60 | 212.11 |
| 147.00 | 79 | Rushing Yards | 136 | 243.56 |
| 31:23 | 30 | Time on Field | 125 | 32:47 |
| 64.44 | 98 | Number of Plays | 105 | 69.44 |
| 4.73 | 129 | Yards Per Play | 131 | 6.56 |
Scoring
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.22 | 126 | Points Scored | 121 | 32.89 |
| 3.67 | 120 | First Quarter | 124 | 8.56 |
| 4.44 | 127 | Second Quarter | 83 | 8.00 |
| 3.33 | 126 | Third Quarter | 98 | 6.56 |
| 6.78 | 69 | Fourth Quarter | 123 | 9.00 |
Passing
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157.78 | 123 | Passing Yards | 60 | 212.11 |
| 26.11 | 116 | Pass Attempts | 21 | 26.89 |
| 15.44 | 117 | Pass Completions | 22 | 16.33 |
| 2.67 | 115 | Sacks | 136 | 0.67 |
| 18.00 | 24 | Sack Yards | 2 | 4.22 |
| 10.22 | 118 | Yards Per Pass | 119 | 12.99 |
Rushing
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.00 | 79 | Rushing Yards | 136 | 243.56 |
| 38.33 | 39 | Rush Attempts | 133 | 42.56 |
| 3.83 | 102 | Yards Per Rush | 133 | 5.72 |
Turn Overs
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 106 | Interceptions | 93 | 0.56 |
| 0.78 | 25 | Fumbles | 128 | 0.56 |
| 0.22 | 13 | Fumbles Lost | 127 | 0.22 |
| 1.22 | 62 | Total Turnovers | 116 | 0.78 |
| 6.89 | 96 | Penalties | 73 | 5.89 |
| 58.22 | 88 | Penalty Yards | 78 | 50.89 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BOWL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | EMU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:23 | 30 | Time on Field | 125 | 32:47 |
| 64.44 | 98 | Number of Plays | 105 | 69.44 |
| 4.73 | 129 | Yards Per Play | 131 | 6.56 |
| 5.22 | 115 | Punts | 117 | 3.44 |
| 40.57 | 112 | Punt Average | 135 | 47.33 |
| 75.00 | 19 | Return Yards | 92 | 58.89 |
Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan Prediction: Eastern Michigan Offense
Overall
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.67 | 80 | Points Scored | 95 | 24.11 |
| 201.22 | 41 | Passing Yards | 72 | 227.89 |
| 144.00 | 64 | Rushing Yards | 89 | 138.89 |
| 28:19 | 28 | Time on Field | 128 | 27:03 |
| 58.44 | 8 | Number of Plays | 91 | 65.11 |
| 5.91 | 97 | Yards Per Play | 74 | 5.63 |
Scoring
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.67 | 80 | Points Scored | 95 | 24.11 |
| 5.44 | 71 | First Quarter | 99 | 4.78 |
| 8.44 | 90 | Second Quarter | 74 | 8.33 |
| 7.89 | 122 | Third Quarter | 136 | 1.56 |
| 3.89 | 18 | Fourth Quarter | 28 | 8.78 |
Passing
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201.22 | 41 | Passing Yards | 72 | 227.89 |
| 24.11 | 1 | Pass Attempts | 47 | 32.67 |
| 15.00 | 8 | Pass Completions | 51 | 20.33 |
| 1.67 | 96 | Sacks | 20 | 1.11 |
| 10.44 | 32 | Sack Yards | 109 | 7.78 |
| 13.41 | 126 | Yards Per Pass | 82 | 11.21 |
Rushing
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144.00 | 64 | Rushing Yards | 89 | 138.89 |
| 34.33 | 60 | Rush Attempts | 106 | 32.44 |
| 4.19 | 79 | Yards Per Rush | 73 | 4.28 |
Turn Overs
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 92 | Interceptions | 55 | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | 37 | Fumbles | 19 | 0.67 |
| 0.78 | 14 | Fumbles Lost | 5 | 0.11 |
| 1.33 | 61 | Total Turnovers | 15 | 0.78 |
| 6.44 | 54 | Penalties | 41 | 5.67 |
| 54.78 | 62 | Penalty Yards | 40 | 48.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| BOWL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | EMU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:19 | 28 | Time on Field | 128 | 27:03 |
| 58.44 | 8 | Number of Plays | 91 | 65.11 |
| 5.91 | 97 | Yards Per Play | 74 | 5.63 |
| 4.67 | 52 | Punts | 90 | 4.56 |
| 42.42 | 64 | Punt Average | 15 | 46.82 |
| 77.44 | 115 | Return Yards | 71 | 57.33 |
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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