Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Trends
- The Ohio State Buckeyes have a perfect record against the spread in their last five games.
- Out of Ohio State’s last six games, the total has been under in four of those games.
- Ohio State has a perfect record of 10-0 in its previous ten games.
- Last five games against Purdue, Ohio State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Ohio State has a winning record of 5-1 against Purdue in its last six games.
- In five of Ohio State’s most recent five games played away from home, the total has been played UNDER.
- Over the course of the last eight games that Ohio State has played on the road against Purdue, the total has been UNDER in six of those games.
- Versus the spread, Ohio State has a perfect record of 6-0 in its last six games versus opponents from the Big Ten league.
- Since the beginning of the season, Ohio State has won all 18 of its games against teams who are a part of the West Division.
- The Ohio State Buckeyes have a winning record of 5-1 against the spread in their previous six games played in the month of November.
- The over/under record for Purdue’s previous 20 games is 6-14.
- In four of Purdue’s most recent five games, the total has been under the pound.
- In its last seven games, Purdue has a record of 0-7 on the road.
- There have been ten of Purdue’s last fourteen games against Ohio State in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its previous ten games played at home, Purdue has a record of 2-8 against the spread.
- While Purdue has been playing at home against Ohio State, the total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight games that Purdue has played.
- In their last 15 games against opponents from the Big Ten league, Purdue has a record of 0-15 in terms of points scored.
- In its last six games versus teams from the East Division, Purdue has a record of 0-6 in terms of its overall record.
- In its previous eight games played in November, Purdue has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- Four of the last six games that Purdue has played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction
Now we have the Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between Ohio State and Purdue presents a clear clash of extremes in the Big Ten, with the Buckeyes entering as overwhelming favorites based on both recent trends and statistical dominance. Ohio State comes into this game undefeated, 10-0 overall, and with a perfect record against the spread in their last five outings. The Buckeyes have consistently crushed opponents from the West Division, and their performance on the road has been particularly impressive, going under the total in five straight away games. Historically, Ohio State has dominated Purdue, winning five of their last six meetings and covering the spread in four of the last five. With a high-powered offense averaging 36.6 points per game and a defense that ranks first in the nation in points allowed, Ohio State’s balance between scoring and preventing points makes them exceptionally difficult to challenge. For bettors, these trends make Ohio State a compelling choice not just to win, but to continue their streak of covering against Big Ten foes, while the under is likely given the history of low-scoring contests when these two meet.
Ohio State’s offensive firepower is both balanced and efficient, combining a strong passing attack with a capable rushing game. The Buckeyes rank 19th in passing yards per game and 72nd in rushing, but what stands out is their scoring efficiency, averaging over 36 points per contest. Quarterback play has been consistent, with the team completing 22.88 passes per game while surrendering almost no turnovers. On the ground, Ohio State averages 4.64 yards per rush, enough to keep defenses honest and open up passing lanes. Beyond yardage, Ohio State controls the clock effectively, ranking 21st in time of possession, and keeps their penalty counts in check, allowing them to sustain drives without costly mistakes. Defensively, the Buckeyes are a nightmare matchup for any team, giving up just 6.88 points per game and ranking among the nation’s best in both passing and rushing defense. Purdue’s struggling offense will have an uphill battle trying to generate any rhythm, as Ohio State limits explosive plays and forces opponents into mistakes. Simply put, Ohio State’s comprehensive dominance across all phases sets them up to not only win but likely do so in convincing fashion.
On the other side, Purdue comes into this game with major challenges on both sides of the ball. The Boilermakers are winless on the road this season at 0-7 and have been largely ineffective against Big Ten East opponents, with a 0-6 record in those matchups. Their scoring struggles are stark, averaging just 22.1 points per game against Ohio State’s suffocating defense, and they rank near the bottom nationally in nearly every key offensive metric, including yards per play and turnovers. Purdue has shown flashes at home, but historically against Ohio State, even at Ross-Ade Stadium, the total has gone under in six of the last eight contests. Defensively, the Boilermakers will struggle to contain Ohio State’s multi-dimensional attack, giving up 36.6 points per game while surrendering explosive plays both through the air and on the ground. Turnovers have also been a consistent issue, and special teams have not provided a reliable edge, meaning Purdue will need a near-perfect performance to keep this contest competitive. Against a team like Ohio State, that is simply not sustainable.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: OHIO STATE
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/09/24
|
@OSU
|
OSU 45-0
|
OSU-34.5
|
U52.5
|
OSU-100000
|
|
10/14/23
|
@PUR
|
OSU 41-7
|
PUR+20.5
|
U51.5
|
PUR+1100
|
|
11/13/21
|
@OSU
|
OSU 59-31
|
OSU-19.0
|
O63.5
|
OSU-1250
|
|
10/20/18
|
@PUR
|
PUR 49-20
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Ohio State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
PSU
|
W 38-14
|
W-4.5
|
O50.5
|
W-160
|
|
10/18/25
|
@WIS
|
W 34-0
|
W-26.5
|
U41.5
|
W-10000
|
|
10/11/25
|
@ILL
|
W 34-16
|
W-13.5
|
U50.5
|
W-580
|
|
10/04/25
|
MIN
|
W 42-3
|
W-21.0
|
U46.5
|
W-3000
|
|
9/27/25
|
@WAS
|
W 24-6
|
W-14.0
|
U48.5
|
W-580
|
|
9/13/25
|
OHI
|
W 37-9
|
L-32.0
|
U54.5
|
W-10000
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
W 70-0
|
W-55.5
|
O62.5
|
W-20000
|
|
8/30/25
|
TEX
|
W 14-7
|
W-3.5
|
U51.5
|
W-137
|
|
1/20/25
|
@ND
|
W 34-23
|
W-9.5
|
O46.5
|
W-410
|
|
1/10/25
|
@TEX
|
W 28-14
|
W-6.5
|
U54
|
W-245
|
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Purdue Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@MICH
|
L 21-16
|
W+21.0
|
U49.5
|
L+720
|
|
10/25/25
|
RUT
|
L 27-24
|
L-1.5
|
U57.5
|
L-114
|
|
10/18/25
|
@NW
|
L 19-0
|
L+5.5
|
U48.5
|
L+168
|
|
10/11/25
|
@MIN
|
L 27-20
|
W+9.5
|
U53.5
|
L+270
|
|
10/04/25
|
ILL
|
L 43-27
|
L+10.0
|
O54.5
|
L+280
|
|
9/20/25
|
@ND
|
L 56-30
|
L+25.5
|
O48.5
|
L+1600
|
|
9/13/25
|
USC
|
L 33-17
|
W+20.5
|
U56.5
|
L+860
|
|
9/06/25
|
SIL
|
W 34-17
|
L-19.5
|
U51.5
|
W-1250
|
|
8/30/25
|
BALL
|
W 31-0
|
W-16.5
|
U50.5
|
W-750
|
|
11/30/24
|
@IU
|
L 66-0
|
L+25.5
|
O56.5
|
L+1400
|
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Ohio State Offense
Overall
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.63 | 17 | Points Scored | 88 | 27.00 |
| 284.25 | 19 | Passing Yards | 91 | 234.44 |
| 153.25 | 72 | Rushing Yards | 92 | 160.56 |
| 32:05 | 21 | Time on Field | 115 | 31:38 |
| 61.50 | 125 | Number of Plays | 42 | 64.56 |
| 7.11 | 11 | Yards Per Play | 110 | 6.12 |
Scoring
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.63 | 17 | Points Scored | 88 | 27.00 |
| 8.13 | 25 | First Quarter | 50 | 4.56 |
| 9.00 | 62 | Second Quarter | 126 | 11.00 |
| 9.50 | 9 | Third Quarter | 101 | 6.67 |
| 10.00 | 10 | Fourth Quarter | 34 | 4.78 |
Passing
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 284.25 | 19 | Passing Yards | 91 | 234.44 |
| 28.50 | 93 | Pass Attempts | 15 | 26.67 |
| 22.88 | 28 | Pass Completions | 23 | 16.33 |
| 0.38 | 4 | Sacks | 52 | 2.22 |
| 2.00 | 135 | Sack Yards | 69 | 13.11 |
| 12.43 | 45 | Yards Per Pass | 133 | 14.35 |
Rushing
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153.25 | 72 | Rushing Yards | 92 | 160.56 |
| 33.00 | 100 | Rush Attempts | 98 | 37.89 |
| 4.64 | 47 | Yards Per Rush | 81 | 4.24 |
Turn Overs
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 13 | Interceptions | 127 | 0.33 |
| 0.50 | 6 | Fumbles | 119 | 0.67 |
| 0.25 | 23 | Fumbles Lost | 82 | 0.44 |
| 0.63 | 4 | Total Turnovers | 121 | 0.78 |
| 4.13 | 9 | Penalties | 132 | 4.22 |
| 36.13 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 115 | 40.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
| OSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PUR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:05 | 21 | Time on Field | 115 | 31:38 |
| 61.50 | 125 | Number of Plays | 42 | 64.56 |
| 7.11 | 11 | Yards Per Play | 110 | 6.12 |
| 2.00 | 6 | Punts | 127 | 3.11 |
| 41.38 | 105 | Punt Average | 37 | 41.64 |
| 29.13 | 128 | Return Yards | 80 | 51.67 |
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction: Purdue Offense
Overall
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.88 | 1 | Points Scored | 109 | 22.11 |
| 133.00 | 3 | Passing Yards | 66 | 234.11 |
| 81.75 | 7 | Rushing Yards | 83 | 142.44 |
| 27:54 | 23 | Time on Field | 114 | 28:21 |
| 57.25 | 5 | Number of Plays | 64 | 66.56 |
| 3.75 | 1 | Yards Per Play | 71 | 5.66 |
Scoring
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.88 | 1 | Points Scored | 109 | 22.11 |
| 0.38 | 1 | First Quarter | 61 | 6.56 |
| 2.88 | 5 | Second Quarter | 99 | 6.67 |
| 2.00 | 8 | Third Quarter | 113 | 4.11 |
| 1.63 | 1 | Fourth Quarter | 111 | 4.78 |
Passing
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133.00 | 3 | Passing Yards | 66 | 234.11 |
| 26.25 | 11 | Pass Attempts | 39 | 33.56 |
| 15.88 | 16 | Pass Completions | 52 | 20.33 |
| 3.13 | 10 | Sacks | 62 | 1.67 |
| 21.88 | 126 | Sack Yards | 76 | 11.22 |
| 8.38 | 1 | Yards Per Pass | 75 | 11.51 |
Rushing
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.75 | 7 | Rushing Yards | 83 | 142.44 |
| 31.00 | 13 | Rush Attempts | 101 | 33.00 |
| 2.64 | 7 | Yards Per Rush | 71 | 4.32 |
Turn Overs
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 87 | Interceptions | 118 | 1.11 |
| 0.75 | 117 | Fumbles | 87 | 1.22 |
| 0.50 | 71 | Fumbles Lost | 122 | 0.78 |
| 1.13 | 84 | Total Turnovers | 129 | 1.89 |
| 3.88 | 133 | Penalties | 30 | 5.11 |
| 29.38 | 134 | Penalty Yards | 48 | 50.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| OSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PUR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:54 | 23 | Time on Field | 114 | 28:21 |
| 57.25 | 5 | Number of Plays | 64 | 66.56 |
| 3.75 | 1 | Yards Per Play | 71 | 5.66 |
| 5.38 | 18 | Punts | 62 | 3.78 |
| 46.94 | 134 | Punt Average | 38 | 44.80 |
| 25.50 | 8 | Return Yards | 103 | 42.44 |
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.