Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Trends

• Over the past seven games, Southern Miss has a record of 5-1-1 against the spread.
• Five of Southern Miss’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
• In its last seven games, Southern Miss has a winning record of 6-1 against the spread.
• After six games versus Arkansas State, Southern Miss has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
• The Southern Miss Rebels have a record of 4-2 against Arkansas State in their previous six games.
• The Southern Miss Rebels have a record of 3-12 on the road in their previous 15 games.
• During the last five games that Southern Miss has played against teams from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been over in four of those games.
• In its last eight games versus teams from the West Division, Southern Miss has a record of 2-6 in terms of its overall record.
• After six games played in November, Southern Miss has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
• After seven games played in week 11, Southern Miss has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
• Over the past five games, Arkansas State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
• Seven of Arkansas State’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
• In its previous five games, Arkansas State has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
  In its previous six games played at home, Arkansas State has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
• During the last five games that Arkansas State has played against an opponent from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
• Five of Arkansas State’s most recent five games versus opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going UNDER rather than over.
• After nine games played in November, Arkansas State has a record of 6-3 against the spread.
• After playing in week 11, Arkansas State has a winning record of 9-3 in its previous 12 games.
• Over the course of its previous 12 games played on Saturdays at home, Arkansas State has a winning record of 10-2 on the road.

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction

Now we have the Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction for both teams.

Southern Miss and Arkansas State meet in a compelling Week 11 Sun Belt clash that could have major implications for the postseason. Looking at trends, Southern Miss has been a strong performer against the spread recently, going 5-1-1 in its last seven games and 6-1 in the same span overall. The Rebels have also been involved in high-scoring affairs, with five of their last seven contests going over the total. However, when it comes to head-to-head matchups against Arkansas State, Southern Miss has struggled against the spread, posting a 1-5 mark in six games, though they do hold a 4-2 overall record versus the Red Wolves. Their road performance is a concern, with a 3-12 record in their last 15 away games, and historically, their November spreads have been poor at 1-5. Offensive stats show a balanced approach with 246 passing yards per game and 151.5 rushing yards, but efficiency remains an issue, with a middling 5.8 yards per play and a slow pace of nearly 28 minutes per drive. On the flip side, Southern Miss’s defense is prone to allowing yards in chunks, which could make for a high-scoring, back-and-forth affair against an opportunistic Arkansas State offense.

Southern Miss’s recent form suggests a team capable of explosive performances, particularly through the air. Their passing game ranks 54th nationally, and quarterback play has been efficient enough to create big plays when needed, averaging over 12 yards per completion. The Rebels also protect the football well, ranking 19th in total turnovers, which could be key against an Arkansas State team that thrives on forcing mistakes. Scoring distribution across quarters is fairly balanced, although the second quarter appears to be the most productive segment, averaging 9.38 points. Running the football has been less effective, averaging just under four yards per carry, which means they rely heavily on their passing game in critical situations. Penalties have been a minor issue, with nearly seven penalties per game, but their impact has been mitigated by an otherwise productive offense. On special teams, Southern Miss has excelled in returns, ranking 16th in the country, giving them potential for explosive field position. Despite struggles on the road and historically poor matchups against Arkansas State in spread terms, Southern Miss has the tools to compete and could exploit weaknesses in Arkansas State’s defense, particularly in passing situations.

Arkansas State enters this matchup with solid defensive trends and a strong home advantage, going 5-1 against the spread in its last six games at home and covering in four of the past five outings overall. Unlike Southern Miss, the Red Wolves’ games have consistently gone under, with seven of their last seven contests ending below the total. Offensively, Arkansas State ranks 98th in scoring at 23.56 points per game, with a modest ground game averaging just 132.5 yards per contest and a passing attack that completes nearly 25 passes per game. Their efficiency numbers, particularly yards per play at 5.09, suggest a conservative offensive approach. Defensively, they are sound against the pass and are effective at keeping drives short, limiting explosive plays, and controlling the tempo. Arkansas State’s home-field dominance combined with a disciplined, turnover-focused defense has allowed them to cover consistently, making them a tough opponent for a Rebels team that likes to push the pace. Expect a slow, methodical game where the Red Wolves limit Southern Miss’s big-play potential and force them into mistakes in critical situations.

✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: ARKANSAS STATE

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Head to Head

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Southern Miss Last 10 Games

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Arkansas State Last 10 Games

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Southern Miss Offense

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction: Arkansas State Offense

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Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.