SMU vs Boston College Prediction and Pick, Week 11

SMU vs Boston College Prediction and Pick, Week 11

SMU vs Boston College Prediction and Pick, Week 11

SMU vs Boston College Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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SMU vs Boston College Prediction: Trends

  • Last 11 games, Southern Methodist has a record of 3-8 against the spread.
  • There have been six of Southern Methodist’s last seven games in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In the last five games, Southern Methodist has a state record of 4-1.
  • Over the course of Southern Methodist’s last six away games, the total has been under in five of those games.
  • In its last 14 games versus teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, Southern Methodist has a record of 12-2 in terms of its overall record.
  • Over the course of its most recent five games versus teams from the Atlantic Division, Southern Methodist has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Since the beginning of November, Southern Methodist has won all ten of their games by a score of 10-0.
  • Seven of the ten games that Southern Methodist has played in week 11 have resulted in the “over” total being reached.
  • Over the past seven games, Boston College has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
  • In 11 of the last 16 games that Boston College has played, the total has been taken over.
  • Over the course of its last eight games, Boston College has a record of 0-8 against the spread.
  • In its previous five games played at home, Boston College has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • In their last five games against teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, Boston College has a losing record of 0-5 against the spread.
  • Over the course of the last five games played in November, Boston College has a perfect 5-0 ATS record.
  • Out of the six games that Boston College has played in week 11, the total has been over in five of those games.

SMU vs Boston College Prediction

Now we have the SMU vs Boston College Prediction for both teams.

This Week 11 matchup between SMU and Boston College has intrigue written all over it, offering college football fans a clash of contrasting styles and records. SMU has been a mixed bag this season, posting strong wins in some outings but struggling to cover the spread, going just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. They have a tendency for low-scoring affairs at times, with six of their last seven games staying under the total, particularly on the road, yet they’ve also had convincing victories by double digits, showing they can put points on the board when the game opens up. Against ACC opponents, SMU has shined overall, boasting a 12-2 record, but recent matchups versus the Atlantic Division haven’t gone as smoothly, going 1-4 against the spread. Interestingly, since the start of November, they’ve won all ten games by a score of 10-0, indicating a defense-first approach that could slow Boston College’s rhythm. Historical head-to-head matchups add flavor to this game, as SMU took a 38-28 victory last season in a high-scoring affair, hinting that when these teams meet, points can come fast if SMU’s offense clicks.

For SMU, the offensive stats show a team capable of balance but leaning more heavily on the pass. Ranked 24th in passing yards per game with 277 yards, the Mustangs have leaned on a consistent aerial attack, completing over 23 passes per game while averaging 11.8 yards per attempt. Their rushing attack, however, ranks low at 119th nationally, averaging just 111 yards per game, which makes them somewhat one-dimensional and vulnerable if Boston College’s defense can slow down the pass. SMU’s turnover issues have also been a concern, ranking 107th in total turnovers, which could be costly against a team that forces mistakes efficiently. On defense, they have had trouble stopping the run, allowing over 102 rushing yards per game, but their secondary has been relatively stingy, limiting opposing passing yards to 300 per game, ranking 135th in completion efficiency. Time of possession has been another struggle for SMU, with the offense on the field for just over 26 minutes per game, giving opponents opportunities to control the tempo. When this offense clicks, though, particularly through the air, SMU can put up points quickly and change the momentum in a hurry.

Boston College, on the other hand, has struggled mightily this season, both against the spread and on the scoreboard. They have gone 0-8 ATS in their last eight games and are 1-4 in recent home contests, showing a team that has yet to find consistency. Offensively, BC has ranked 85th in total offense, with a decent passing game (268.89 yards per game) but a ground game that struggles to gain traction, averaging just 92 rushing yards per contest. The Eagles’ efficiency is hampered by poor execution and turnovers, with 127th-ranked total turnovers allowed, creating a challenge in sustaining drives against a disciplined SMU defense. Their defense has shown moments of resilience, but they have been vulnerable to quick-strike passing attacks, which is exactly what SMU brings to the table. Boston College has gone over in five of their last six Week 11 games, suggesting that scoring could be plentiful despite their struggles. If BC hopes to stay competitive, they’ll need to find a way to protect the ball, win the time-of-possession battle, and get production from the run game—tasks easier said than done against a team that thrives on forcing turnovers and keeping the game tight.

✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: SMU

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SMU vs Boston College Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/16/24
SMU 38-28
SMU-16.5
O52.5
SMU-850
12/28/23
BC 23-14
BC+9.5
U50.5
BC+255

SMU vs Boston College Prediction: SMU Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 26-20
W+2.5
U51.5
W+360
10/25/25
L 13-12
L-6.5
U54.5
L-235
10/18/25
W 35-24
W+11.5
O55.5
W+290
10/11/25
W 34-10
W-20.5
U55.5
W-1600
10/04/25
W 31-18
L-13.5
U57.5
W-520
9/20/25
L 35-24
L+4.0
U62.5
L+138
9/13/25
W 28-10
L-29.5
U62
W-4000
9/06/25
L 48-45
L-6.5
O60.5
L-230
8/30/25
W 42-13
L-46.5
U60.5
W-20000
12/21/24
L 38-10
L+8.0
U52.5
L+240

SMU vs Boston College Prediction: Boston College Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
L 25-10
W+29.5
U57.5
L+2400
10/25/25
L 38-24
W+22.5
O53.5
L+1200
10/18/25
L 38-23
L-2.5
O56.5
L-134
10/11/25
L 41-10
L+14.5
U53.5
L+400
10/04/25
L 48-7
L+3.5
O53.5
L+126
9/27/25
L 28-24
L-4.5
O50.5
L-166
9/13/25
L 30-20
L-10.5
O44.5
L-410
9/06/25
L 42-40
W+3.5
O48.5
L+122
8/30/25
W 66-10
W-37.5
O53.5
W-15
12/28/24
L 20-15
L+3.5
U45.5
L+136

SMU vs Boston College Prediction: SMU Offense

Overall

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
30.78 54 Points Scored 124 33.33
277.00 24 Passing Yards 111 253.33
111.00 119 Rushing Yards 95 162.56
26:17 133 Time on Field 85 30:39
65.56 87 Number of Plays 64 66.22
5.92 55 Yards Per Play 124 6.28

Scoring

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
30.78 54 Points Scored 124 33.33
4.89 95 First Quarter 90 6.33
10.56 35 Second Quarter 135 12.11
5.67 73 Third Quarter 93 6.44
8.22 42 Fourth Quarter 79 6.78

Passing

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
277.00 24 Passing Yards 111 253.33
35.44 27 Pass Attempts 92 31.89
23.44 22 Pass Completions 105 20.56
1.67 63 Sacks 115 1.44
16.33 32 Sack Yards 23 9.11
11.82 68 Yards Per Pass 105 12.32

Rushing

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
111.00 119 Rushing Yards 95 162.56
30.11 125 Rush Attempts 59 34.33
3.69 110 Yards Per Rush 109 4.73

Turn Overs

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
0.89 102 Interceptions 91 0.56
0.89 45 Fumbles 72 1.00
0.67 105 Fumbles Lost 54 0.56
1.56 107 Total Turnovers 85 1.11
6.22 65 Penalties 71 6.00
61.89 101 Penalty Yards 71 51.67

Drives & Special Teams

SMU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BC Defense
26:17 133 Time on Field 85 30:39
65.56 87 Number of Plays 64 66.22
5.92 55 Yards Per Play 124 6.28
4.56 91 Punts 97 3.89
42.31 86 Punt Average 65 42.43
66.56 42 Return Yards 73 48.89

SMU vs Boston College Prediction: Boston College Offense

Overall

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
21.22 37 Points Scored 85 24.89
300.22 135 Passing Yards 29 268.89
102.56 18 Rushing Yards 130 92.11
33:40 132 Time on Field 82 29:20
76.44 136 Number of Plays 35 69.44
5.27 51 Yards Per Play 102 5.20

Scoring

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
21.22 37 Points Scored 85 24.89
3.00 24 First Quarter 106 4.44
6.44 53 Second Quarter 51 9.56
3.33 24 Third Quarter 111 4.11
7.33 94 Fourth Quarter 97 5.33

Passing

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
300.22 135 Passing Yards 29 268.89
41.56 135 Pass Attempts 11 38.11
24.00 134 Pass Completions 15 23.78
2.78 17 Sacks 122 2.89
19.44 118 Sack Yards 23 18.00
12.51 111 Yards Per Pass 80 11.31

Rushing

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
102.56 18 Rushing Yards 130 92.11
34.89 69 Rush Attempts 117 31.33
2.94 13 Yards Per Rush 130 2.94

Turn Overs

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
1.56 5 Interceptions 114 1.11
2.00 6 Fumbles 41 0.89
0.89 7 Fumbles Lost 121 0.78
2.44 1 Total Turnovers 127 1.89
7.67 15 Penalties 81 6.56
65.78 19 Penalty Yards 71 55.56

Drives & Special Teams

SMU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BC Offense
33:40 132 Time on Field 82 29:20
76.44 136 Number of Plays 35 69.44
5.27 51 Yards Per Play 102 5.20
5.00 35 Punts 85 4.44
42.92 84 Punt Average 113 40.54
69.22 106 Return Yards 64 59.33

 

All NFL Week 11 Predictions

 

 

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