Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past 20 games, Georgia has a record of 6-14 against the spread.
  • In its last eight games, Georgia has a winning record of 7-1 against the spread.
  • In their last five games versus Mississippi State, Georgia has a perfect state record of 5-0.
  • Georgia has a winning record of 18-2 on the road in its last 20 games.
  • Over the course of its last thirteen games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference, Georgia has a winning record of 11-2.
  • Over the course of its last eight games against opponents from the West Division, Georgia has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • In its last seven games played in November, Georgia has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • 6 of Georgia’s last 8 games that have been played on a Saturday while they were away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • Over the past ten games, Mississippi State has a 9-1 overall record against the spread.
  • Mississippi State has a losing record of 1-4 in its previous five games.
  • Mississippi State has a perfect record against the spread in its previous five games played at home.
  • In its previous 17 games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference, Mississippi State has a record of 1-16 against the Southeastern Conference.
  • In its last ten games versus teams from the East Division, Mississippi State has a losing record of 0-10 in terms of its overall record.
  • After five games played in November, Mississippi State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Eight out of Mississippi State’s eleven most recent games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
  • All eleven of Mississippi State’s most recent thirteen games that have been played on a Saturday at home have resulted in the total going over.

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction

Now we have the Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction for both teams.

The matchup between Georgia and Mississippi State in Week 11 brings together two teams with drastically different profiles and long-term trends, setting the tone for what could be one of those SEC games that turns on discipline, physicality, and in-game adjustments. Georgia enters with a strong recent track record, especially straight up, but their performance against the spread has been streaky, a trend that has frustrated bettors for over a season and a half. However, when it comes to actual winning results, the Bulldogs from Athens have continued to find ways to impose their identity, especially over long possession drives and methodical offensive pacing. Mississippi State, on the other hand, is a team that can play well in situational bursts, particularly at home, where their ATS record has been nearly automatic over their last several appearances. Yet, the issue for Mississippi State has been consistency against SEC opponents, especially those from the East, where they’ve dropped ten straight. Historically, Georgia has controlled this matchup, winning the last five straight and often doing so by simply wearing Mississippi State down over four quarters. Home-field advantage, pace, and turnover margin will all be factors here, but so will the ability to finish drives in key scoring windows, especially the middle quarters where Georgia typically separates.

For Georgia, the key to this game lies in their ability to maintain their slow-burning, clock-controlling style while remaining efficient in the red zone. Georgia ranks among the best in the nation in time of possession, and that’s a direct result of steady run production complemented by rhythm passing and low turnover rates. Their offense doesn’t rely on explosive, high-variance plays; instead, they stretch drives, lean on strong interior line play, and wear down opposing fronts with depth and persistence. Defensively, Georgia remains one of the more reliable units in the SEC in preventing big plays, especially in the run game, where they rank top-15 nationally. The third quarter continues to be a particularly strong frame for them, and if this game stays within a score at halftime, Georgia’s experience in making second-half adjustments should give them the upper hand. The main concern is whether Georgia will cover the number, as their November ATS track record is notoriously poor, but straight up, they are built to control and dictate this matchup.

Mississippi State will look to rely on tempo, passing efficiency, and home-field momentum to keep this game close. Their offense has shown the ability to generate points in bunches, and their quarterback play has been consistently productive in terms of yardage, especially when allowed to push the ball downfield. However, Mississippi State’s biggest challenge will be running the football effectively enough to prevent Georgia’s defense from teeing off on obvious passing downs. Against strong defensive fronts, Mississippi State has often been forced into one-dimensional playcalling, and that’s where drives have stalled or turnovers have surfaced. Defensively, Mississippi State has struggled against balanced offenses, ranking in the lower half nationally in both rushing and passing yards allowed, which is not the profile you want facing a team that grinds the clock and controls possessions. The Bulldogs from Starkville can make this interesting early, and if they can generate a turnover or two, it might tighten up late—but the consistency needed across four quarters favors the visitors.

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Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/12/24
UGA 41-31
UGA-1.0
O55
UGA-115
11/12/22
UGA 45-19
MSST+11.0
O53.5
MSST+600
11/21/20
UGA 31-24
UGA-25.0
O44.5
UGA-3333
9/23/17
UGA 31-3
NL
NL
NL

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Georgia Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 24-20
L-9.5
U51.5
W-315
10/18/25
W 43-35
L-9.5
O53.5
W-315
10/11/25
W 20-10
W-7.5
U50.5
W-250
10/04/25
W 35-14
W-20.5
U50.5
W-2500
9/27/25
L 24-21
L-4.0
U52.5
L-166
9/13/25
W 44-41
L-5.5
O50.5
W-250
9/06/25
W 28-6
L-48.5
U55.5
W-20000
8/30/25
W 45-7
L-38.5
U54.5
W-10000
1/02/25
L 23-10
L-1.0
U44.5
L-118
12/07/24
W 22-19
W+1.5
U49.5
WEVEN

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Mississippi State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 38-35
W+4.5
O64.5
W+155
10/25/25
L 45-38
W+8.5
O46.5
L+230
10/18/25
L 23-21
W+11.5
U51.5
L+320
10/04/25
L 31-9
L+12.0
U56.5
L+450
9/27/25
L 41-34
W+9.5
O61.5
L+255
9/20/25
W 38-10
W-21.5
U49.5
W-2800
9/13/25
W 63-0
W-21.5
O50.5
W-2100
9/06/25
W 24-20
W+10.0
U58.5
W+188
8/30/25
W 34-17
W-15.5
U61.5
W-490
11/29/24
L 26-14
W+18.5
U61.5
L+810

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Georgia Offense

Overall

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
32.50 42 Points Scored 72 24.67
236.00 63 Passing Yards 54 206.11
184.00 42 Rushing Yards 94 162.11
34:33 4 Time on Field 129 33:13
72.50 19 Number of Plays 100 69.00
5.79 61 Yards Per Play 59 5.34

Scoring

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
32.50 42 Points Scored 72 24.67
6.50 64 First Quarter 20 2.89
8.88 65 Second Quarter 64 6.78
9.38 12 Third Quarter 29 3.56
7.00 65 Fourth Quarter 131 9.89

Passing

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
236.00 63 Passing Yards 54 206.11
30.63 68 Pass Attempts 85 31.44
21.25 39 Pass Completions 66 18.89
1.13 21 Sacks 69 2.00
4.00 129 Sack Yards 64 12.89
11.11 88 Yards Per Pass 49 10.91

Rushing

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
184.00 42 Rushing Yards 94 162.11
41.88 17 Rush Attempts 92 37.56
4.39 63 Yards Per Rush 84 4.32

Turn Overs

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
0.50 21 Interceptions 21 1.22
0.88 33 Fumbles 93 0.89
0.50 65 Fumbles Lost 102 0.33
1.00 30 Total Turnovers 37 1.56
4.88 23 Penalties 2 8.78
45.75 32 Penalty Yards 4 74.33

Drives & Special Teams

GA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISST Defense
34:33 4 Time on Field 129 33:13
72.50 19 Number of Plays 100 69.00
5.79 61 Yards Per Play 59 5.34
3.38 41 Punts 30 5.11
46.64 18 Punt Average 32 41.48
24.25 130 Return Yards 38 38.44

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Mississippi State Offense

Overall

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
19.63 26 Points Scored 38 33.22
215.25 65 Passing Yards 47 250.89
94.13 14 Rushing Yards 66 157.33
27:17 14 Time on Field 129 26:46
62.13 24 Number of Plays 28 71.00
4.98 30 Yards Per Play 65 5.75

Scoring

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
19.63 26 Points Scored 38 33.22
6.50 98 First Quarter 10 9.56
5.50 32 Second Quarter 101 6.44
3.88 34 Third Quarter 41 7.33
3.38 10 Fourth Quarter 17 9.89

Passing

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
215.25 65 Passing Yards 47 250.89
31.50 86 Pass Attempts 76 29.89
19.25 77 Pass Completions 76 19.22
0.88 133 Sacks 125 3.11
5.38 6 Sack Yards 6 24.33
11.18 65 Yards Per Pass 23 13.05

Rushing

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
94.13 14 Rushing Yards 66 157.33
30.63 10 Rush Attempts 22 41.11
3.07 16 Yards Per Rush 103 3.83

Turn Overs

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
0.50 101 Interceptions 58 0.67
0.75 112 Fumbles 57 1.00
0.25 110 Fumbles Lost 53 0.44
0.75 123 Total Turnovers 50 1.11
6.13 66 Penalties 124 7.67
48.00 95 Penalty Yards 118 66.00

Drives & Special Teams

GA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISST Offense
27:17 14 Time on Field 129 26:46
62.13 24 Number of Plays 28 71.00
4.98 30 Yards Per Play 65 5.75
4.88 42 Punts 87 4.44
43.13 89 Punt Average 32 45.05
32.13 20 Return Yards 115 35.56

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: GEORGIA

 

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Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.

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