Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Trends
- Seven of Georgia Southern’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its most recent nine games, Georgia Southern has a winning percentage of 3-6.
- In its previous seven games versus Appalachian State, Georgia Southern has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- In its previous five games played away from home, Georgia Southern has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- When Georgia Southern has played an opponent from the Sun Belt conference, the total has been under in five of the last seven games that they have played.
- Out of the eight games that Georgia Southern has played against teams from the East Division, the Bulldogs have a winning record of 6-2.
- As of the last 18 games played in November, Georgia Southern has a winning percentage of 5-13.
- After eight games played in week 11, Georgia Southern has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
- Eight of Appalachian State’s most recent twelve games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Overall, Appalachian State has a record of 2-4 in its previous six games.
- Appalachian State’s last seven games versus Georgia Southern have all resulted in the total going over in five of those contests.
- In its last 18 games played at home, Appalachian State has a winning record of 15-3.
- In its last five games versus a team from the Sun Belt conference, Appalachian State has a record of 1-4 in terms of its overall record.
- Appalachian State’s last seven games against opponents from the East Division division have all resulted in the total going UNDER in five of those situations.
- Seven of the eight games that Appalachian State has played in the month of November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its previous five games played on Thursdays, Appalachian State has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction
Now we have the Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction for both teams.
The matchup between Georgia Southern and Appalachian State in Week 11 brings together two programs that know each other incredibly well, with a heated history and multiple recent games that have swung back and forth in dramatic fashion. This is one of the most storied rivalries in the Sun Belt, and it tends to bring out the best — or sometimes the strangest — in both teams. Trends suggest that this matchup has consistently produced offense. Five of the last seven meetings between these two have gone over the total, even with both teams fluctuating in identity from year to year. Georgia Southern has historically handled App State well against the spread in recent matchups, going 6-1 ATS in the last seven. Meanwhile, Appalachian State has been a force at home, winning 15 of its previous 18 games at Kidd Brewer Stadium, which remains one of the toughest Group of Five venues to play in, especially in November. Momentum, confidence, and execution all matter here — but so does the element of rivalry familiarity. Both teams know how to scheme against the other, and both have shown similar inconsistencies this season. It feels like another game that could be close into the fourth quarter, especially given how both defenses have struggled to get off the field at times and how explosive these offenses can be when they find rhythm.
For Georgia Southern, the key to success is often tied to how efficiently the offense executes early. Their statistical profile shows a team that can start fast in the first quarter, averaging 7.63 points early, yet has struggled to sustain that momentum through the middle portions of games. This is an offense that leans on balance — enough commitment to the run to keep defenses honest, but still leaning toward chunk plays through the air when all is clicking. The challenge is consistency. On the road, the Eagles have had real issues covering spreads, going just 1-4 ATS in their last five away from home. Additionally, turnovers can swing their outcomes dramatically. While they generally keep interception numbers reasonable, fumbles have been a concern during longer drives. The defense, though, is the biggest question mark here — particularly in stopping the run. Giving up over 240 rushing yards per game and nearly six yards per carry places enormous pressure on the offense to score frequently just to stay competitive. In matchups against efficient rushing teams, they often get worn down late in games, which sometimes leads to collapses. To win here, Georgia Southern must get out early and force Appalachian State into a more pass-heavy game script, something that reduces App State’s balance and increases the chance of mistakes or stalled drives.
Appalachian State comes into this matchup knowing that their own inconsistencies have cost them opportunities throughout the season. They are just 1-4 in their last five Sun Belt games and have had difficulty generating sustained offensive rhythm against quality defenses. But this is a team that performs differently in Boone — the elevation, crowd intensity, and environment all tend to tilt momentum their way, which explains that 15-3 home stretch. Offensively, the Mountaineers have shown strong passing production, ranking among the better passing attacks nationally in yards per game, but their rushing attack has struggled to find efficiency. This could actually work in their favor here, given that Georgia Southern’s defense has been vulnerable to both explosive passing plays and sustained rushing drives. The biggest factor will be whether Appalachian State can control time of possession and keep their own defense off the field. Defensively, App State has been inconsistent, particularly against the pass, but they do a good job limiting rushing explosiveness, which could force Georgia Southern into longer third downs. With rivalry emotional intensity and home-field advantage, Appalachian State has the tools to pull this out, but it likely won’t be easy or low scoring.
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/30/24
|
@GSO
|
GSO 29-20
|
GSO-3.0
|
U62.5
|
GSO-130
|
|
11/25/23
|
@APP
|
APP 55-27
|
APP-7.5
|
O63
|
APP-330
|
|
11/26/22
|
@GSO
|
GSO 51-48
|
GSO+3.5
|
O59.5
|
GSO+158
|
|
11/27/21
|
@APP
|
APP 27-3
|
APP-24.5
|
U55
|
APP-2500
|
|
12/12/20
|
@GSO
|
APP 34-26
|
GSO+8.5
|
O45
|
GSO+260
|
|
10/31/19
|
@APP
|
GSO 24-21
|
APP-14.5
|
O43.5
|
APP-690
|
|
10/25/18
|
@GSO
|
GSO 34-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/09/17
|
@APP
|
APP 27-6
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/27/16
|
@GSO
|
APP 34-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/22/15
|
@APP
|
APP 31-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Georgia Southern Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
|
L 34-24
|
L+2.5
|
U60.5
|
L+110
|
|
10/18/25
|
GST
|
W 41-24
|
W-6.0
|
O58.5
|
W-225
|
|
10/09/25
|
USM
|
L 38-35
|
L-2.5
|
O59.5
|
L-142
|
|
9/27/25
|
@JM
|
L 35-10
|
L+12.5
|
U52.5
|
L+450
|
|
9/20/25
|
UMAINE
|
W 45-17
|
W-26.5
|
O55.5
|
W-4000
|
|
9/13/25
|
JVS
|
W 41-34
|
W-6.0
|
O55.5
|
W-176
|
|
9/06/25
|
@USC
|
L 59-20
|
L+24.5
|
O63.5
|
L+1600
|
|
8/30/25
|
@FRE
|
L 42-14
|
L+2.5
|
O54.5
|
L+105
|
|
12/19/24
|
|
L 31-26
|
L-1.5
|
O47.5
|
L-125
|
|
11/30/24
|
APP
|
W 29-20
|
W-3.0
|
U62.5
|
W-130
|
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Appalachian State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@ODU
|
L 24-21
|
W+13.5
|
U58.5
|
L+360
|
|
10/18/25
|
CC
|
L 45-37
|
L-8.5
|
O48.5
|
L-440
|
|
10/11/25
|
@GST
|
W 41-20
|
W-4.5
|
O54.5
|
W-134
|
|
10/04/25
|
ORS
|
W 27-23
|
W-1.5
|
U55.5
|
W-114
|
|
9/27/25
|
@BOISE
|
L 47-14
|
L+17.5
|
O59.5
|
L+550
|
|
9/13/25
|
@USM
|
L 38-22
|
L-5.5
|
O50.5
|
L-118
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
W 20-13
|
L-30.5
|
U52.5
|
W-10000
|
|
8/29/25
|
@CHA
|
W 34-11
|
W-8.5
|
U53.5
|
W-310
|
|
11/30/24
|
@GSO
|
L 29-20
|
L+3.0
|
U62.5
|
L+108
|
|
11/23/24
|
JM
|
W 34-20
|
W+7.0
|
U60.5
|
W+210
|
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Georgia Southern Offense
Overall
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.75 | 68 | Points Scored | 91 | 27.63 |
| 224.00 | 77 | Passing Yards | 123 | 261.13 |
| 137.00 | 91 | Rushing Yards | 28 | 114.13 |
| 27:47 | 121 | Time on Field | 90 | 30:46 |
| 66.50 | 69 | Number of Plays | 106 | 69.50 |
| 5.43 | 90 | Yards Per Play | 66 | 5.40 |
Scoring
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.75 | 68 | Points Scored | 91 | 27.63 |
| 7.63 | 37 | First Quarter | 64 | 5.13 |
| 7.25 | 86 | Second Quarter | 46 | 6.25 |
| 6.13 | 67 | Third Quarter | 123 | 8.13 |
| 7.75 | 48 | Fourth Quarter | 112 | 8.13 |
Passing
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224.00 | 77 | Passing Yards | 123 | 261.13 |
| 31.63 | 58 | Pass Attempts | 129 | 36.38 |
| 19.13 | 77 | Pass Completions | 123 | 22.25 |
| 2.50 | 111 | Sacks | 42 | 2.25 |
| 13.50 | 54 | Sack Yards | 100 | 16.63 |
| 11.71 | 70 | Yards Per Pass | 91 | 11.74 |
Rushing
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.00 | 91 | Rushing Yards | 28 | 114.13 |
| 34.88 | 78 | Rush Attempts | 36 | 33.13 |
| 3.93 | 95 | Yards Per Rush | 30 | 3.45 |
Turn Overs
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 70 | Interceptions | 23 | 1.13 |
| 0.88 | 34 | Fumbles | 18 | 1.50 |
| 0.25 | 19 | Fumbles Lost | 108 | 0.25 |
| 1.00 | 31 | Total Turnovers | 47 | 1.38 |
| 5.75 | 47 | Penalties | 106 | 5.00 |
| 57.50 | 81 | Penalty Yards | 90 | 48.88 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GASO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | APP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:47 | 121 | Time on Field | 90 | 30:46 |
| 66.50 | 69 | Number of Plays | 106 | 69.50 |
| 5.43 | 90 | Yards Per Play | 66 | 5.40 |
| 4.75 | 97 | Punts | 76 | 4.25 |
| 42.23 | 87 | Punt Average | 127 | 45.28 |
| 68.50 | 35 | Return Yards | 82 | 52.00 |
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction: Appalachian State Offense
Overall
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.38 | 128 | Points Scored | 75 | 27.00 |
| 227.75 | 81 | Passing Yards | 22 | 280.75 |
| 241.00 | 135 | Rushing Yards | 97 | 133.75 |
| 32:12 | 122 | Time on Field | 85 | 29:13 |
| 71.75 | 123 | Number of Plays | 12 | 73.50 |
| 6.53 | 129 | Yards Per Play | 73 | 5.64 |
Scoring
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.38 | 128 | Points Scored | 75 | 27.00 |
| 10.00 | 131 | First Quarter | 40 | 7.38 |
| 10.63 | 122 | Second Quarter | 103 | 6.38 |
| 9.63 | 129 | Third Quarter | 25 | 8.50 |
| 5.13 | 43 | Fourth Quarter | 112 | 4.75 |
Passing
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227.75 | 81 | Passing Yards | 22 | 280.75 |
| 30.13 | 63 | Pass Attempts | 7 | 40.63 |
| 19.88 | 89 | Pass Completions | 17 | 23.75 |
| 0.88 | 134 | Sacks | 110 | 2.50 |
| 5.25 | 5 | Sack Yards | 45 | 14.38 |
| 11.46 | 78 | Yards Per Pass | 67 | 11.82 |
Rushing
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241.00 | 135 | Rushing Yards | 97 | 133.75 |
| 41.63 | 129 | Rush Attempts | 102 | 32.88 |
| 5.79 | 134 | Yards Per Rush | 85 | 4.07 |
Turn Overs
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 82 | Interceptions | 123 | 1.13 |
| 1.63 | 14 | Fumbles | 72 | 1.13 |
| 0.75 | 23 | Fumbles Lost | 109 | 0.75 |
| 1.38 | 51 | Total Turnovers | 125 | 1.88 |
| 6.88 | 41 | Penalties | 111 | 7.38 |
| 59.38 | 43 | Penalty Yards | 129 | 70.75 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GASO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | APP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:12 | 122 | Time on Field | 85 | 29:13 |
| 71.75 | 123 | Number of Plays | 12 | 73.50 |
| 6.53 | 129 | Yards Per Play | 73 | 5.64 |
| 3.13 | 125 | Punts | 56 | 3.75 |
| 35.45 | 1 | Punt Average | 84 | 42.38 |
| 78.50 | 116 | Return Yards | 26 | 72.25 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: APPALACHIAN STATE
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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