Kent State vs Ball State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Trends
- Over the past six games, Kent State has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
- Overall, Kent State has a record of 3-17 in its last 20 games.
- In its last six games versus Ball State, Kent State has a record of 1-5 on the road.
- Kent State has a losing record of 0-18 on the road in its last 18 games.
- In its last five meetings versus Ball State, Kent State has a losing record of 0-5 in terms of the single-score format.
- Five of Kent State’s most recent five games against opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- After seven games played in November, Kent State has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- All seven of Kent State’s most recent nine games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
- Over the past seven games, Ball State has a record of 5-2 against the spread.
- Over the course of its last 12 games, Ball State has a winning percentage of 3-9.
- Six out of the nine games that Ball State has played versus Kent State have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous 12 games played at home, Ball State has a record of 11-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home versus Kent State, Ball State has a perfect undefeated record in its last five games.
- The previous eight games that Ball State has played against a team from the Mid-American conference have resulted in a record of 2-6 for the Bulldogs.
- Over the course of its previous 11 games versus opponents from the East Division, Ball State has a record of 8-3 against the spread.
- There have been 14 of Ball State’s previous 18 games played in November that have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- During the last ten games that Ball State has played on Wednesdays, the total has been UNDER in seven of those games.
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction
Now we have the Kent State vs Ball State Prediction for both teams.
Kent State and Ball State meet in a matchup that might not draw national attention, but it’s one that carries weight for bettors and followers of the MAC standings. Both teams have had their fair share of struggles this season, and when you look at the trends, it becomes clear that this is less about explosive offense and more about which team can avoid mistakes and control the tempo. Kent State has seen a bit of life against the spread lately, going 4-2 in its last six, but the long-term picture paints a different story, especially on the road. The Golden Flashes haven’t secured a single road win in their last 18 tries, which is a streak that impacts confidence, momentum, and preparation. Meanwhile, Ball State has been significantly stronger at home when it comes to covering spreads, going 11-1 against the number in its last 12 home games. When these teams meet, the over has historically been a factor, but Ball State’s recent home games and Wednesday night trends point more toward lower scoring. This game shapes up to be one where field position, turnovers, and red-zone execution could dictate the final score more than big-play ability.
For Kent State, the offensive issues have been clear all season. They rank toward the bottom nationally in points scored, yards per play, and rushing production, averaging just 87.75 yards on the ground per game. Their passing offense, while showing occasional flashes with strong yards-per-attempt efficiency, simply doesn’t produce enough consistent completions or sustained drives to keep their defense rested. That becomes a major factor because Kent State’s defense has been overexposed repeatedly, allowing more than 36 points per game and ranking near the bottom of the country in both rushing and passing yards allowed. The Golden Flashes have been stuck in negative game scripts early, where opponents jump out to first-quarter leads, and Kent State has struggled to recover due to limited offensive rhythm. Their turnover rate isn’t the problem—it’s the lack of first downs, play volume, and ball control that forces their defense to stay on the field 31+ minutes per game. And with a road record that continues to weigh on them mentally, it’s difficult to forecast a scenario where Kent State suddenly flips a long-standing trend in a conference matchup like this.
Ball State, on the other hand, is not without its offensive challenges, but the Cardinals at least have areas that translate better in this matchup. Their rushing attack is more reliable at 143 yards per game, and while the passing offense has been limited, Kent State’s defense is one of the most vulnerable they will face all season. Ball State doesn’t need to be explosive — they need to be efficient. Short field opportunities, keeping mistakes minimal, and forcing Kent State into third-and-long situations could be enough to create separation. Defensively, Ball State is giving up close to 30 points per game, but they match up well against Kent State’s struggling ground game, and their home-field performance history is a major advantage. The trends point heavily in Ball State’s favor in this spot: undefeated at home versus Kent State in their last five meetings, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, and strong ATS performance against MAC East opponents. This is the kind of matchup where Ball State controls the pace, leans on field position and clock management, and forces Kent State to play from behind, which is something the Golden Flashes simply haven’t handled well.
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/12/24
|
@KNT
|
BALL 37-35
|
KNT+7.0
|
O59.5
|
KNT+168
|
|
11/18/23
|
@BALL
|
BALL 34-3
|
BALL-10.5
|
U42
|
BALL-535
|
|
11/01/22
|
@KNT
|
BALL 27-20
|
KNT-5.5
|
U61.5
|
KNT-200
|
|
11/23/19
|
@KNT
|
KNT 41-38
|
KNT+3.5
|
O68
|
KNT+135
|
|
9/29/18
|
@BALL
|
BALL 52-24
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Kent State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
BGN
|
W 24-21
|
W+10.0
|
U49.5
|
W+250
|
|
10/18/25
|
@TOL
|
L 45-10
|
L+23.5
|
O51.5
|
L+1280
|
|
10/11/25
|
UMASS
|
W 42-6
|
W-3.0
|
O45.5
|
W-118
|
|
10/04/25
|
@OKL
|
L 44-0
|
W+44.5
|
U51.5
|
NL
|
|
9/20/25
|
@FSU
|
L 66-10
|
L+44.5
|
O58.5
|
L+10000
|
|
9/13/25
|
BUF
|
L 31-28
|
W+20.5
|
O48.5
|
L+1160
|
|
9/06/25
|
@TT
|
L 62-14
|
L+45.5
|
O60.5
|
L+8000
|
|
8/30/25
|
MC
|
W 21-17
|
L-8.5
|
U50.5
|
W-285
|
|
11/26/24
|
@BUF
|
L 43-7
|
L+19.5
|
U50.5
|
L+810
|
|
11/19/24
|
AKR
|
L 38-17
|
L+10.5
|
O48.5
|
L+315
|
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Ball State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@NIL
|
L 21-7
|
L+6.0
|
U41.5
|
L+158
|
|
10/18/25
|
AKR
|
W 42-28
|
W-1.5
|
O43.5
|
W-118
|
|
10/11/25
|
@WMC
|
L 42-0
|
L+10.0
|
U43.5
|
L+280
|
|
10/04/25
|
OHI
|
W 20-14
|
W+13.5
|
U54.5
|
W+610
|
|
9/20/25
|
@UCONN
|
L 31-25
|
W+18.5
|
O52.5
|
L+800
|
|
9/13/25
|
NH
|
W 34-29
|
W+4.5
|
O47.5
|
W+150
|
|
9/06/25
|
@AUB
|
L 42-3
|
W+42.5
|
U54.5
|
L+3000
|
|
8/30/25
|
@PUR
|
L 31-0
|
L+16.5
|
U50.5
|
L+520
|
|
11/29/24
|
@OHI
|
L 42-21
|
L+11.5
|
O51.5
|
L+340
|
|
11/23/24
|
BGN
|
L 38-13
|
L+10.5
|
U59.5
|
L+290
|
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Kent State Offense
Overall
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.63 | 125 | Points Scored | 104 | 29.75 |
| 180.50 | 113 | Passing Yards | 83 | 229.63 |
| 87.75 | 131 | Rushing Yards | 118 | 185.75 |
| 28:38 | 106 | Time on Field | 105 | 31:18 |
| 57.75 | 136 | Number of Plays | 102 | 69.25 |
| 4.65 | 131 | Yards Per Play | 106 | 6.00 |
Scoring
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.63 | 125 | Points Scored | 104 | 29.75 |
| 4.75 | 101 | First Quarter | 133 | 10.13 |
| 3.00 | 134 | Second Quarter | 44 | 6.13 |
| 6.13 | 68 | Third Quarter | 80 | 6.00 |
| 4.75 | 113 | Fourth Quarter | 101 | 7.50 |
Passing
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180.50 | 113 | Passing Yards | 83 | 229.63 |
| 23.75 | 126 | Pass Attempts | 74 | 30.75 |
| 13.25 | 128 | Pass Completions | 88 | 19.88 |
| 2.50 | 112 | Sacks | 33 | 2.38 |
| 14.50 | 44 | Sack Yards | 84 | 14.50 |
| 13.62 | 14 | Yards Per Pass | 82 | 11.55 |
Rushing
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.75 | 131 | Rushing Yards | 118 | 185.75 |
| 34.00 | 91 | Rush Attempts | 105 | 38.50 |
| 2.58 | 134 | Yards Per Rush | 114 | 4.82 |
Turn Overs
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 23 | Interceptions | 99 | 0.50 |
| 1.13 | 74 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.38 |
| 0.50 | 68 | Fumbles Lost | 64 | 0.50 |
| 1.00 | 38 | Total Turnovers | 92 | 1.00 |
| 6.13 | 62 | Penalties | 91 | 5.50 |
| 47.00 | 37 | Penalty Yards | 83 | 50.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| KENT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BALL Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:38 | 106 | Time on Field | 105 | 31:18 |
| 57.75 | 136 | Number of Plays | 102 | 69.25 |
| 4.65 | 131 | Yards Per Play | 106 | 6.00 |
| 6.63 | 135 | Punts | 103 | 3.75 |
| 37.80 | 134 | Punt Average | 103 | 44.02 |
| 68.63 | 33 | Return Yards | 83 | 52.50 |
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction: Ball State Offense
Overall
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.50 | 131 | Points Scored | 130 | 16.38 |
| 260.63 | 122 | Passing Yards | 133 | 129.75 |
| 206.88 | 131 | Rushing Yards | 82 | 143.00 |
| 31:22 | 108 | Time on Field | 104 | 28:41 |
| 74.13 | 133 | Number of Plays | 135 | 58.75 |
| 6.31 | 125 | Yards Per Play | 132 | 4.64 |
Scoring
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.50 | 131 | Points Scored | 130 | 16.38 |
| 10.00 | 132 | First Quarter | 122 | 3.50 |
| 10.75 | 125 | Second Quarter | 133 | 3.50 |
| 10.88 | 134 | Third Quarter | 102 | 4.50 |
| 4.88 | 36 | Fourth Quarter | 108 | 4.88 |
Passing
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260.63 | 122 | Passing Yards | 133 | 129.75 |
| 33.63 | 108 | Pass Attempts | 131 | 21.38 |
| 20.75 | 106 | Pass Completions | 131 | 12.25 |
| 1.75 | 92 | Sacks | 131 | 3.50 |
| 14.25 | 82 | Sack Yards | 11 | 19.75 |
| 12.56 | 113 | Yards Per Pass | 107 | 10.59 |
Rushing
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206.88 | 131 | Rushing Yards | 82 | 143.00 |
| 40.50 | 120 | Rush Attempts | 53 | 37.38 |
| 5.11 | 126 | Yards Per Rush | 104 | 3.83 |
Turn Overs
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 103 | Interceptions | 40 | 0.63 |
| 1.00 | 76 | Fumbles | 73 | 1.13 |
| 0.25 | 113 | Fumbles Lost | 110 | 0.75 |
| 0.75 | 125 | Total Turnovers | 84 | 1.38 |
| 6.63 | 47 | Penalties | 14 | 4.50 |
| 64.00 | 26 | Penalty Yards | 12 | 37.38 |
Drives & Special Teams
| KENT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BALL Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:22 | 108 | Time on Field | 104 | 28:41 |
| 74.13 | 133 | Number of Plays | 135 | 58.75 |
| 6.31 | 125 | Yards Per Play | 132 | 4.64 |
| 3.88 | 100 | Punts | 134 | 6.13 |
| 44.18 | 106 | Punt Average | 110 | 40.80 |
| 47.50 | 68 | Return Yards | 75 | 55.50 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: BALL STATE
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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