Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past five games, Miami-Ohio has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
  • Out of Miami-Ohio’s last seven games, the total has been over in five of them.
  • In its last five games, Miami-Ohio has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
  • Overall, Miami-Ohio has a record of 5-14 against Ohio in its last 19 games.
  • In its previous five games played away from home, Miami-Ohio has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Over the course of its previous eight games against Ohio, Miami-Ohio has a record of 1-7 on the road versus Ohio.
  • Over the course of its previous twelve games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 11-1.
  • Over the past ten games, Miami-Ohio has a record of 8-2 against the spread when playing against teams from the East Division.
  • Out of the eight games that Miami-Ohio has played in November, the total has been UNDER in six of those contests.
  • Over the past 15 games, Ohio has a record of 10-4-1 against the spread.
  • In its last 15 games, Ohio has a winning record of 12-3 against the spread.
  • Out of Ohio’s last five games versus Miami-Ohio, the total has been over in four of those games.
  • At home, Ohio has a perfect record of 11-0 in its last 11 games.
  • When playing at home versus Miami-Ohio, Ohio has a 7-1 home-field advantage in its last eight games.
  • In Ohio’s last ten games against teams from the Mid-American conference, the Buckeyes have a record of 8-2 against the spread.
  • Over the course of its last six games versus opponents from the East Division, Ohio has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • Out of the five games that Ohio has played in November, the total has been under in four of those games.
  • Twelve of Ohio’s most recent twelve games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going UNDER.

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction

Now we have the Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction for both teams.

This matchup between Miami Ohio and Ohio is one of the most consistently compelling rivalries in the Mid-American Conference, and once again, it comes with high stakes. Both teams enter this game with strong ATS trends and momentum within the conference, but they approach the contest with very different play styles, statistical profiles, and situational strengths. Miami Ohio has been one of the most reliable teams for bettors over the past few weeks, going a perfect 5-0 against the spread in its last five outings and 11-1 in its last 12 MAC matchups. However, history in this rivalry leans heavily toward Ohio, especially when the game is played in Athens, where Ohio has won seven of the last eight meetings at home and currently boasts an 11-game home winning streak overall. The total trends are also particularly interesting, with Miami Ohio tending to hit the UNDER in November, while recent head-to-head matchups between these teams have leaned toward the OVER. Given the defensive consistency Miami Ohio has shown and the explosive scoring potential Ohio has exhibited at home, this matchup becomes a fascinating clash of rhythm, tempo, and situational strengths where both sides will be looking to dictate control early.

For Miami Ohio, the key to competing in this game will be leaning on a balanced offensive approach and staying disciplined in time-of-possession management. The RedHawks have shown strong efficiency with nearly 167 rushing yards per game and a top-55 rushing offense that puts them in position to control the clock and keep Ohio’s playmakers off the field. Even though the passing totals don’t jump off the page, Miami Ohio averages nearly 14.5 yards per pass attempt, which signals a high-efficiency vertical approach—when they pass, they pass with intent. Defensively, Miami Ohio has been strong in limiting yardage and third-quarter production, ranking top-40 in scoring defense while keeping opponents under 125 rushing yards per game. The RedHawks have also traveled well, going 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. That said, the glaring concern is their history in Athens and recent head-to-head outcomes. Miami Ohio has struggled to flip momentum in this stadium, often falling behind early. If they cannot control early field position and win the turnover battle, they run the risk of letting Ohio set the tempo, which is exactly what has burned them in past road meetings.

Ohio enters this game with perhaps the strongest situational advantages of any MAC team in Week 11. The Bobcats have been dominant at home, owning an 11-game home winning streak and a 7-1 advantage against Miami Ohio in their last eight meetings in Athens. Offensively, Ohio brings a balanced attack fueled by a top-20 rushing output at over 200 yards per game, paired with efficient downfield passing. Their yards-per-play metrics are significantly stronger than Miami Ohio’s, and they are excellent at wearing defenses down through sustained drives—averaging over 32 minutes of possession time per game. Ohio has also proven to be a strong late-game closer, especially at home where their crowd environment helps sustain momentum. The defense does give up some chunk plays, but their ability to generate sacks and force mistakes at key moments has consistently swung second-half situations in their favor. Looking at the full picture—home dominance, stronger recent head-to-head performances, and more explosive offensive upside—Ohio enters this matchup with the clearer path to controlling tempo and game flow.

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Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
12/07/24
OHI 38-3
MOH-1.5
U45.5
MOH-125
10/19/24
MOH 30-20
MOH-4.0
O43
MOH-184
10/28/23
MOH 30-16
OHI-4.5
O40
OHI-225
11/08/22
OHI 37-21
MOH+1.0
O50.5
MOHEVEN
11/02/21
OHI 35-33
OHI+7.0
O52.5
OHI+220
11/06/19
MOH 24-21
OHI-7.0
U56.5
OHI-360
11/07/18
MOH 30-28
NL
NL
NL
10/31/17
OHI 45-28
NL
NL
NL
10/01/16
OHI 17-7
NL
NL
NL
10/10/15
OHI 34-3
NL
NL
NL

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
W 26-17
W-3.5
U43.5
W-162
10/18/25
W 44-30
W-11.5
O47.5
W-525
10/11/25
W 20-7
W-9.5
U45.5
W-420
10/04/25
W 25-14
W-1.5
U39.5
W-156
9/27/25
W 38-0
W-20.5
U49.5
W-1400
9/20/25
L 41-38
W+4.5
O51.5
L+152
9/06/25
L 45-17
L+15.5
O48.5
L+400
8/28/25
L 17-0
L+16.5
U41.5
L+680
12/28/24
W 43-17
W-3.5
O42.5
W-166
12/07/24
L 38-3
L-1.5
U45.5
L-125

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Ohio Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
W 28-21
L-10.0
U57.5
W-360
10/18/25
W 48-21
W-12.5
O43.5
W-625
10/04/25
L 20-14
L-13.5
U54.5
L-950
9/27/25
W 35-20
W-12.5
O52.5
W-465
9/20/25
W 52-35
L-22.5
O51.5
W-2100
9/13/25
L 37-9
W+32.0
U54.5
L+5500
9/06/25
W 17-10
W+3.0
U58.5
W+122
8/28/25
L 34-31
W+10.5
O48.5
L+315
12/20/24
W 30-27
W-2.5
O52
W-130
12/07/24
W 38-3
W+1.5
U45.5
W+104

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Offense

Overall

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
26.00 81 Points Scored 73 24.75
199.88 96 Passing Yards 85 230.13
166.63 55 Rushing Yards 80 153.88
30:52 45 Time on Field 17 27:38
61.38 127 Number of Plays 19 61.25
5.97 53 Yards Per Play 123 6.27

Scoring

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
26.00 81 Points Scored 73 24.75
4.75 102 First Quarter 103 6.88
7.00 95 Second Quarter 55 6.50
6.75 58 Third Quarter 30 3.63
7.50 57 Fourth Quarter 106 7.75

Passing

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
199.88 96 Passing Yards 85 230.13
24.75 124 Pass Attempts 49 29.38
13.75 125 Pass Completions 79 19.38
1.00 17 Sacks 106 1.63
6.00 121 Sack Yards 36 10.63
14.54 9 Yards Per Pass 94 11.88

Rushing

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
166.63 55 Rushing Yards 80 153.88
36.63 56 Rush Attempts 18 31.88
4.55 52 Yards Per Rush 115 4.83

Turn Overs

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
0.75 74 Interceptions 55 0.88
0.50 5 Fumbles 126 0.63
0.25 20 Fumbles Lost 93 0.38
1.00 41 Total Turnovers 69 1.25
6.13 64 Penalties 117 4.88
56.63 77 Penalty Yards 111 42.50

Drives & Special Teams

M-OH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank OHIO Defense
30:52 45 Time on Field 17 27:38
61.38 127 Number of Plays 19 61.25
5.97 53 Yards Per Play 123 6.27
4.25 77 Punts 64 4.50
41.89 95 Punt Average 45 41.93
62.75 57 Return Yards 118 79.25

Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Ohio Offense

Overall

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
21.38 38 Points Scored 65 29.25
203.13 45 Passing Yards 76 225.63
123.25 37 Rushing Yards 17 209.13
27:11 13 Time on Field 16 32:21
66.75 77 Number of Plays 38 68.75
4.89 25 Yards Per Play 32 6.32

Scoring

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
21.38 38 Points Scored 65 29.25
3.00 22 First Quarter 56 6.88
6.88 65 Second Quarter 54 9.50
2.13 9 Third Quarter 59 6.75
9.38 127 Fourth Quarter 81 6.13

Passing

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
203.13 45 Passing Yards 76 225.63
33.63 109 Pass Attempts 107 27.00
19.00 70 Pass Completions 94 18.00
3.13 9 Sacks 99 2.25
19.75 120 Sack Yards 73 11.75
10.69 33 Yards Per Pass 40 12.53

Rushing

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
123.25 37 Rushing Yards 17 209.13
33.13 37 Rush Attempts 18 41.75
3.72 44 Yards Per Rush 27 5.01

Turn Overs

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
1.13 26 Interceptions 94 0.88
0.75 115 Fumbles 78 1.13
0.25 117 Fumbles Lost 22 0.25
1.38 55 Total Turnovers 60 1.13
4.63 122 Penalties 106 7.13
30.63 132 Penalty Yards 54 52.13

Drives & Special Teams

M-OH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank OHIO Offense
27:11 13 Time on Field 16 32:21
66.75 77 Number of Plays 38 68.75
4.89 25 Yards Per Play 32 6.32
4.75 50 Punts 46 3.50
39.86 12 Punt Average 96 41.83
76.38 113 Return Yards 63 59.63

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: OHIO

 

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