New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction

Now we have the New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction for both teams.

In this matchup, the Broncos’ home-field edge, offensive firepower, and defensive discipline should be too much for New Mexico to handle over four quarters. The Lobos may keep things interesting early with their ability to strike through the air and control time of possession, but Boise State’s superior depth and versatility should take over as the game progresses. Historically, this series has leaned heavily toward the Broncos, with the total trending under in nearly every matchup — largely due to Boise’s defensive dominance at home. Expect a steady, controlled performance from Boise State, with a late surge putting the game out of reach.

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: New Mexico

The New Mexico Lobos enter this Week 7 matchup looking to pull off what would be one of the biggest upsets in the Mountain West this season. While New Mexico’s overall record has shown some inconsistency, their offense has demonstrated flashes of promise and balance. Averaging 30 points per game, the Lobos have quietly developed into a well-rounded team capable of competing when their passing game clicks. Quarterback play has been relatively efficient, ranking 63rd nationally in passing yards per game, with the offense also showing the ability to sustain drives — maintaining over 31 minutes of possession per contest. However, turnovers have been a major issue, as the Lobos rank near the bottom nationally in giveaways. Defensively, New Mexico’s unit has been hit-or-miss, showing toughness at times but struggling against more explosive passing attacks. They’ve also found it hard to contain Boise State historically, having gone winless in their last several meetings with the Broncos, and 0-7 in their last seven road matchups in Boise.

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: New Mexico Trends

  • Out of New Mexico’s last 18 games, the total has been over in thirteen of those games.
  • After five games versus Boise State, New Mexico has a record of 0-4-1 against Boise State.
  • In its last seven games versus Boise State, New Mexico has a record of 0-7 on the road.
  • In its previous 20 games played away from home, New Mexico has a record of 6-14 against the spread.
  • When New Mexico has been facing Boise State away from home, the total has been UNDER in seven of the last seven games that they have played.
  • In its last five games against opponent teams from the Mountain West conference, New Mexico has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Over the course of its last 14 games versus teams from the Mountain Division, New Mexico has a record of 2-12 in terms of conference wins.
  • In seven of New Mexico’s most recent eight games played in the month of October, the total has been over.

New Mexico Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/03/25
L 35-28
L+3.5
O55.5
L+115
9/27/25
W 38-20
W-10.0
O55
W-500
9/12/25
W 35-10
W+14.5
U55.5
W+430
9/06/25
W 32-22
L-13.5
U63.5
W-550
8/30/25
L 34-17
W+34.5
U51.5
L+2500
11/30/24
L 38-30
L-3.5
O60.5
L-146
11/16/24
W 38-35
W+10.5
O72.5
W+330
11/08/24
W 21-16
W+3.5
U66.5
W+136
11/02/24
L 49-45
L-7.0
O60
L-210
10/26/24
L 17-6
L+7.0
U65.5
L+172

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: New Mexico Offense

Overall

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
30.00 62 Points Scored 79 25.40
242.40 63 Passing Yards 39 186.20
154.40 71 Rushing Yards 102 164.20
31:33 39 Time on Field 20 27:31
67.20 56 Number of Plays 28 61.40
5.90 60 Yards Per Play 89 5.71

Scoring

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
30.00 62 Points Scored 79 25.40
4.20 108 First Quarter 24 2.60
9.60 58 Second Quarter 87 7.80
4.00 109 Third Quarter 115 7.60
12.20 6 Fourth Quarter 89 7.40

Passing

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
242.40 63 Passing Yards 39 186.20
31.40 61 Pass Attempts 25 26.60
21.80 45 Pass Completions 17 15.20
1.80 74 Sacks 49 2.20
12.40 57 Sack Yards 48 12.00
11.12 91 Yards Per Pass 100 12.25

Rushing

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
154.40 71 Rushing Yards 102 164.20
35.80 68 Rush Attempts 69 34.80
4.31 75 Yards Per Rush 108 4.72

Turn Overs

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
1.20 123 Interceptions 33 1.00
1.20 94 Fumbles 46 1.20
1.00 132 Fumbles Lost 68 0.40
2.20 130 Total Turnovers 45 1.40
4.20 15 Penalties 13 8.00
30.00 8 Penalty Yards 18 69.20

Drives & Special Teams

NMEX Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BOISE Defense
31:33 39 Time on Field 20 27:31
67.20 56 Number of Plays 28 61.40
5.90 60 Yards Per Play 89 5.71
2.60 28 Punts 53 4.80
46.78 15 Punt Average 89 43.35
46.60 92 Return Yards 17 26.20

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New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: Boise State

On the other side, Boise State remains one of the most dominant home teams in college football, and this game should be another opportunity for the Broncos to flex their Mountain West muscle. The Broncos come into this game at 4-1 against the spread in their last five, and an astounding 13-0 straight up in their last 13 home games — a testament to both their home-field advantage and consistent execution. Boise’s offense has been explosive, averaging over 32 points per game and ranking among the top 30 nationally in total yardage. Their balance on offense is striking: 282 passing yards and nearly 200 rushing yards per game, which creates matchup nightmares for defenses that can’t focus on just one aspect. Boise State’s defense, meanwhile, has been serviceable if not elite — giving up just 25.4 points per game and showing improvement in defending the pass. This unit thrives on efficiency and complementary football, which often gives their offense great field position to work with.

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: Boise State Trends

  • Over the past five games, Boise State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Boise State has a winning record of 13-3 in its last 16 games.
  • There have been five of Boise State’s last six games against New Mexico in which the total has been UNDER.
  • At home, Boise State has a perfect record of 13-0 in its last 13 games.
  • Every single one of Boise State’s last seven games that they have played at home against New Mexico has resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In their last ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, Boise State has completed each of those games with a perfect score.
  • Over the course of its previous seven games versus teams from the Mountain Division, Boise State has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • In four of Boise State’s most recent five games played in the month of October, the total has appeared UNDER.
  • After nine games played on Saturdays, Boise State has a record of 6-2-1 against the spread.

Boise State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/04/25
L 28-7
L+16.5
U53.5
L+530
9/27/25
W 47-14
W-17.5
O59.5
W-820
9/20/25
W 49-37
W-7.5
O51.5
W-300
9/05/25
W 51-14
W-27.5
O54.5
W-3500
8/28/25
L 34-7
L+1.5
U63.5
L-350
12/31/24
L 31-14
L+10.0
U59.5
L+300
12/06/24
W 21-7
W-4.0
U59.5
W-195
11/29/24
W 34-18
L-18.5
U55.5
W-1200
11/23/24
W 17-13
L-21.5
U54.5
W-1800
11/16/24
W 42-21
W-13.5
O59.5
W-550

New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Betting Prediction: Boise State Offense

Overall

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
24.20 74 Points Scored 52 32.20
271.20 127 Passing Yards 27 282.20
119.80 47 Rushing Yards 34 196.80
28:26 38 Time on Field 21 32:28
64.60 57 Number of Plays 16 73.00
6.05 109 Yards Per Play 29 6.56

Scoring

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
24.20 74 Points Scored 52 32.20
5.60 87 First Quarter 9 11.00
10.20 117 Second Quarter 99 6.80
5.20 80 Third Quarter 67 6.00
3.20 21 Fourth Quarter 46 8.40

Passing

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
271.20 127 Passing Yards 27 282.20
34.40 115 Pass Attempts 27 35.80
23.60 128 Pass Completions 48 21.40
2.20 55 Sacks 42 1.40
13.40 64 Sack Yards 56 12.40
11.49 84 Yards Per Pass 23 13.19

Rushing

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
119.80 47 Rushing Yards 34 196.80
30.20 21 Rush Attempts 50 37.20
3.97 69 Yards Per Rush 26 5.29

Turn Overs

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
0.60 93 Interceptions 101 1.00
1.20 52 Fumbles 133 2.00
0.20 116 Fumbles Lost 81 0.60
0.80 110 Total Turnovers 103 1.60
9.40 2 Penalties 132 8.80
91.40 1 Penalty Yards 131 77.20

Drives & Special Teams

NMEX Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BOISE Offense
28:26 38 Time on Field 21 32:28
64.60 57 Number of Plays 16 73.00
6.05 109 Yards Per Play 29 6.56
4.00 91 Punts 43 3.20
42.14 54 Punt Average 44 44.84
36.80 45 Return Yards 91 46.80

 

Our CFB Week 7 Pick: Boise State Broncos

 

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