Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Trends

  • In its last six games, Texas State has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
  • Nine out of Texas State’s previous thirteen games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In their previous six games, Texas State has a record of 1-5.
  • In its last 12 games against Louisiana-Lafayette, Texas State has a record of 1-11 against the spread.
  • In its last ten games against Louisiana-Lafayette, Texas State has a losing record of 0-10 on the road.
  • In its previous 20 games played away from home, Texas State has a record of 6-14 against the spread.
  • As a result of playing Louisiana-Lafayette away from home, Texas State has a record of 0-5 against the spread in its last five games.
  • Seven out of Texas State’s previous eight games against opponents from the Sun Belt conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • Texas State’s most recent five games against opponents from the West Division division have all resulted in the total going over in four of those games.
  • After five games played in November, Texas State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Five of Louisiana-Lafayette’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Louisiana-Lafayette has a winning percentage of 3-8 in its last 11 games.
  • Six out of the nine games that Louisiana-Lafayette has played versus Texas State have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • There have been four of Louisiana-Lafayette’s most recent five home games in which the total has been UNDER.
  • When playing at home versus Texas State, Louisiana-Lafayette has a perfect record against the spread in its last five games.
  • In the last 15 games that Louisiana-Lafayette has played against a team from the Sun Belt conference, the school has a winning record of 10-5.
  • Four out of the previous five games that Louisiana-Lafayette has played against an opponent from the West Division division have resulted in the total going over.
  • After seven games played in November, Louisiana-Lafayette has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • Louisiana-Lafayette has a head-to-head record of 6-1 in its past seven games played in week 11.

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction

Now we have the Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction for both teams.

This Week 11 matchup in the Sun Belt pits Texas State against Louisiana-Lafayette in what promises to be a clash of contrasting trends and styles. Texas State enters this contest struggling to find consistency, with a 1-5 record in their last six games and an 0-6 mark against the spread over that same span. Their offense, while capable of producing points—averaging over 34 points per game—has been inconsistent, especially on the road where they’ve struggled historically against Louisiana-Lafayette, going 0-10 in their last ten away games against the Ragin’ Cajuns. Conversely, Louisiana-Lafayette has shown flashes of dominance at home and against Sun Belt opponents, boasting a 10-5 record in its last 15 conference matchups. When these teams meet, the totals often go under, with six of nine previous encounters staying below the point spread. However, Texas State’s recent offensive output, combined with Louisiana-Lafayette’s propensity for high-scoring affairs in early November, suggests we could see a competitive game that tests both teams’ abilities to control tempo and execute in crucial situations.

Texas State’s offense has been powered by a strong rushing attack, averaging over 217 yards on the ground per game and ranking 14th nationally in that category. Their passing game is less dominant, with 253 passing yards per game, but they have shown the ability to stretch defenses vertically, averaging 13.5 yards per pass. The Bobcats are capable of quick strikes, but they’ve been hampered by turnovers and a struggling offensive line, ranking near the bottom in sacks allowed per game. Despite these challenges, Texas State thrives in high-tempo situations, frequently putting games over the total, especially in Sun Belt contests. Their recent matchups reflect a team that can put points on the board quickly, but their defense will need to step up against Louisiana-Lafayette’s balanced attack. For bettors, Texas State’s ability to cover spreads late in November could play a role, but the challenge of facing a Ragin’ Cajuns team with a perfect recent record against the spread at home looms large.

Louisiana-Lafayette, meanwhile, boasts an offense that can be efficient both on the ground and through the air. They average 24 points per game and excel in ball control, with a rushing game that ranks 37th nationally. Their defense has been opportunistic, particularly at home, and they have a perfect 5-0 record against the spread in recent home matchups versus Texas State. Turnovers have been low, and penalties have been manageable, allowing them to dictate the pace of the game. Despite some struggles in November, the Ragin’ Cajuns have been able to maintain discipline and capitalize on the Bobcats’ mistakes in past head-to-head contests. Historically, Louisiana-Lafayette has dominated week 11 matchups, holding a 6-1 record in games played during this week over recent seasons, giving them a psychological edge. The key will be whether Texas State can maintain its offensive rhythm and limit mistakes, or if Louisiana-Lafayette will leverage home-field advantage to control the clock and emerge with a decisive victory.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

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Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/29/24
ULL 23-17
TXST-4.0
U62.5
TXST-164
10/07/23
ULL 34-30
ULL-1.0
U66.5
ULL-107
11/26/22
ULL 41-13
TXST+4.5
O45.5
TXST+190
10/30/21
ULL 45-0
ULL-19.5
U56
ULL-1300
10/31/20
ULL 44-34
TXST+16.5
O55.5
TXST+490
11/02/19
ULL 31-3
ULL-23.0
U55.5
ULL-2500
10/06/18
ULL 42-27
NL
NL
NL
10/12/17
ULL 24-7
NL
NL
NL
10/22/16
ULL 27-3
NL
NL
NL
10/10/15
ULL 49-27
NL
NL
NL

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Texas State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/28/25
L 52-20
L+7.0
O60.5
L+255
10/18/25
L 40-37
L-5.5
O64.5
L-164
10/11/25
L 48-41
L-10.0
O53.5
L-400
10/04/25
L 31-30
L-8.5
U64.5
L-385
9/20/25
W 35-3
W-27.5
U54.5
W-4500
9/13/25
L 34-15
L+13.5
U57.5
L+385
9/06/25
W 43-36
W+5.5
O65.5
W+152
8/30/25
W 52-27
W-14.5
O57.5
W-580
1/03/25
W 30-28
L-7.5
U67.5
W-325
11/29/24
W 45-38
W+1.0
O62.5
W-110

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 31-22
W+6.5
U53.5
W+205
10/25/25
L 35-23
L+8.5
O50.5
L+255
10/18/25
L 22-10
L+3.0
U54.5
L+142
10/11/25
L 24-14
W+17.5
U48.5
L+640
9/27/25
W 54-51
L-3.5
O46.5
W-134
9/20/25
L 34-31
L-6.5
O51.5
L-128
9/13/25
L 52-10
L+23.5
O48.5
L+1400
9/06/25
W 34-10
W-21.5
U51.5
W-1800
8/30/25
L 14-12
L-14.5
U52.5
L-550
12/28/24
L 34-3
L+9.5
U60.5
L+280

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Texas State Offense

Overall

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
34.13 33 Points Scored 100 29.33
253.75 40 Passing Yards 40 201.00
217.13 14 Rushing Yards 125 195.33
29:05 92 Time on Field 121 32:12
73.00 15 Number of Plays 103 69.33
6.45 29 Yards Per Play 85 5.72

Scoring

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
34.13 33 Points Scored 100 29.33
8.50 22 First Quarter 43 4.22
10.50 36 Second Quarter 132 11.89
5.50 82 Third Quarter 89 6.11
8.38 39 Fourth Quarter 56 6.00

Passing

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
253.75 40 Passing Yards 40 201.00
28.38 95 Pass Attempts 14 26.67
18.75 80 Pass Completions 50 18.11
2.13 93 Sacks 116 1.44
13.75 50 Sack Yards 31 10.33
13.53 15 Yards Per Pass 61 11.10

Rushing

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
217.13 14 Rushing Yards 125 195.33
44.63 12 Rush Attempts 134 42.67
4.87 34 Yards Per Rush 101 4.58

Turn Overs

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
0.63 52 Interceptions 60 0.78
1.25 99 Fumbles 64 1.11
0.75 118 Fumbles Lost 59 0.56
1.38 90 Total Turnovers 63 1.33
6.50 80 Penalties 35 7.00
53.50 62 Penalty Yards 7 70.67

Drives & Special Teams

TXST Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank ULL Defense
29:05 92 Time on Field 121 32:12
73.00 15 Number of Plays 103 69.33
6.45 29 Yards Per Play 85 5.72
3.25 39 Punts 112 3.56
39.54 124 Punt Average 21 41.01
66.63 40 Return Yards 122 82.56

Texas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette Offense

Overall

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
33.88 125 Points Scored 90 24.33
244.88 105 Passing Yards 124 155.44
173.25 103 Rushing Yards 37 185.33
30:54 95 Time on Field 110 28:34
69.75 107 Number of Plays 120 62.56
5.99 104 Yards Per Play 89 5.45

Scoring

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
33.88 125 Points Scored 90 24.33
5.50 74 First Quarter 93 4.89
9.75 112 Second Quarter 55 9.44
7.75 118 Third Quarter 129 3.22
8.38 115 Fourth Quarter 98 5.33

Passing

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
244.88 105 Passing Yards 124 155.44
31.50 87 Pass Attempts 123 24.78
21.00 107 Pass Completions 129 12.78
2.38 37 Sacks 78 1.89
15.63 93 Sack Yards 86 10.44
11.66 89 Yards Per Pass 55 12.17

Rushing

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
173.25 103 Rushing Yards 37 185.33
38.25 103 Rush Attempts 47 37.78
4.53 97 Yards Per Rush 30 4.91

Turn Overs

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
0.38 123 Interceptions 130 1.22
0.38 133 Fumbles 20 0.67
0.00 135 Fumbles Lost 15 0.22
0.38 136 Total Turnovers 93 1.44
5.50 95 Penalties 55 6.00
48.63 92 Penalty Yards 41 48.22

Drives & Special Teams

TXST Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank ULL Offense
30:54 95 Time on Field 110 28:34
69.75 107 Number of Plays 120 62.56
5.99 104 Yards Per Play 89 5.45
3.88 101 Punts 74 4.22
44.55 115 Punt Average 68 43.16
35.00 22 Return Yards 87 50.11

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