Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Trends
- Over the past 13 games, Texas A&M has a record of 4-9 against the spread.
- Seven of Texas A&M’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
- The Texas A&M Aggies have won all eight of their most recent games by a score of 8-0.
- 9 of Texas A&M’s most recent 9 games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
- Texas A&M has a perfect record of five wins and zero losses in its last five games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference.
- During the last five games that Texas A&M has played against teams that are in the East Division, the total has gone over in four of those games.
- After six games played in November, Texas A&M has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
- In its final ten games played in week 11, Texas A&M had a winning percentage of 7-3.
- The over/under record for Missouri’s previous 13 games is 9-3-1.
- Four of Missouri’s most recent five games have resulted with the total going UNDER.
- The win-loss record for Missouri’s previous 11 games is 9-2.
- In each of Missouri’s last six games versus Texas A&M, the total has been over in four of those contests.
- In its last sixteen games played at home, Missouri has a winning record of 15-1 against the spread.
- During the last six games that Missouri has played against teams from the Southeastern conference, the total has been UNDER in four of those games.
- Five of Missouri’s last six games against opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going UNDER their expectations.
- In its last five games played in November, Missouri has a head-to-head record of 5-0.
- In their last 17 games played in week 11, Missouri has a winning percentage of 15-2.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction
Now we have the Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction for both teams.
This Week 11 matchup between Texas A&M and Missouri brings together two teams that have both shown strong growth but in different stylistic ways, leading to a game that could turn into either a physical defensive grind or an explosive, back-and-forth scoring affair depending on who dictates tempo. The trends tell a very interesting story: Texas A&M games have been flying over the total recently, with seven of their last nine hitting the over, and a remarkable run of overs in road and SEC East matchups. Meanwhile, Missouri has been strong against the spread at home, going 15-1 ATS in their last 16 home contests, demonstrating their ability to consistently outperform expectations in Columbia. Adding to that, Missouri has been nearly unbeatable in Week 11 historically, posting a 15-2 record over their last 17 Week 11 games, suggesting this is usually when they play some of their best football. Historically, when these two programs meet, the total tends to lean over, especially in recent contests. The question becomes which identity controls the pace: Texas A&M’s balanced, explosive offense that can stretch the field and grind clock, or Missouri’s methodical and efficient offensive structure paired with a disciplined defense that forces opponents out of rhythm.
For Texas A&M, the story is all about offensive versatility and how well they are able to create both vertical passing opportunities and consistent rushing production. The Aggies are averaging 37.75 points per game, ranking 11th nationally in scoring, and they do it in a balanced manner with over 259 passing yards and 200 rushing yards per game. Their yards per play metric of 6.69 reflects real efficiency, not empty volume. The offense sustains drives with a strong time-of-possession advantage and their red-zone consistency has been a key difference-maker. However, the biggest matchup concern comes from Missouri’s defense, which is elite at limiting the pass, allowing just 155.38 passing yards per game, ranking seventh nationally. If Texas A&M is forced to rely more heavily on the ground game, their ability to maintain chunk yardage rushing — over 5.0 yards per carry — will be critical. The Aggies’ issue has not been production but covering spreads, going 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games, including 0-6 ATS in their last six November contests. So while they can win, bettors have been burned before when backing them as favorites or in tightly-lined games. The upside is clear, but whether they execute consistently is the deciding question.
Missouri enters this game in their familiar home role: steady, confident, and well-prepared. Their offense averages 35.38 points per game and does so through a high-tempo approach, running over 77 plays per contest — a top-five mark nationally in pace. Their run game has been the backbone of their success, putting up 235 rushing yards per game, ranking 10th overall, meaning they can control both tempo and possession when needed. The Tigers’ defense complements that style well, allowing just 16.75 points per game and ranking inside the top 15 in multiple major categories. Missouri thrives in structured situations — they win the field position battle, they avoid turnovers, and they rarely beat themselves with penalties. This is also a team that historically hits another level in November, going 5-0 straight up in their last five November games and 9-2 in their last 11 overall. Their home-field against the spread record of 15-1 in their last 16 home games is one of the most dominant trends of any team in college football right now. When Missouri plays at home, they play cleaner, sharper, and more efficient football — and that disciplined style may be exactly what is needed to slow down the rhythm of Texas A&M’s offense.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: MISSOURI
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/05/24
|
@TXAM
|
TXAM 41-10
|
TXAM-4.0
|
O47.5
|
TXAM-118
|
|
10/16/21
|
@MIZ
|
TXAM 35-14
|
MIZ+8.5
|
U60.5
|
MIZ+250
|
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Texas A&M Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@LSU
|
W 49-25
|
W+4.5
|
O52.5
|
W+158
|
|
10/18/25
|
@ARK
|
W 45-42
|
L-7.5
|
O58.5
|
W-275
|
|
10/11/25
|
FLA
|
W 34-17
|
W-9.5
|
O44.5
|
W-320
|
|
10/04/25
|
MSST
|
W 31-9
|
W-12.0
|
U56.5
|
W-630
|
|
9/27/25
|
AUB
|
W 16-10
|
L-7.5
|
U52.5
|
W-250
|
|
9/13/25
|
@ND
|
W 41-40
|
W+7.0
|
O49.5
|
W+195
|
|
9/06/25
|
UTS
|
W 44-22
|
L-30.5
|
O55.5
|
W-10000
|
|
8/30/25
|
UTSA
|
W 42-24
|
L-20.5
|
O57.5
|
W-1600
|
|
12/27/24
|
@USC
|
L 35-31
|
L+3.5
|
O50.5
|
L-165
|
|
11/30/24
|
TEX
|
L 17-7
|
L+5.5
|
U54.5
|
L+160
|
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Missouri Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@VAN
|
L 17-10
|
L+1.5
|
U50.5
|
L+118
|
|
10/18/25
|
@AUB
|
W 23-17
|
W+1.5
|
U44.5
|
W-104
|
|
10/11/25
|
BAMA
|
L 27-24
|
W+6.5
|
U55.5
|
L+188
|
|
9/27/25
|
UMASS
|
W 42-6
|
L-42.5
|
U54.5
|
WNL
|
|
9/20/25
|
SC
|
W 29-20
|
W-3.5
|
O48.5
|
W-162
|
|
9/13/25
|
ULL
|
W 52-10
|
W-23.5
|
O48.5
|
W-4000
|
|
9/06/25
|
KAN
|
W 42-31
|
W-6.5
|
O51.5
|
W-255
|
|
8/28/25
|
UCA
|
W 61-6
|
W-36.5
|
O51.5
|
W-12405
|
|
12/30/24
|
IOW
|
W 27-24
|
W-2.5
|
O43.5
|
W-125
|
|
11/30/24
|
ARK
|
W 28-21
|
W-3.0
|
U54.5
|
W-172
|
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Texas A&M Offense
Overall
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.75 | 11 | Points Scored | 14 | 16.75 |
| 259.13 | 34 | Passing Yards | 7 | 155.38 |
| 200.13 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 86.88 |
| 32:11 | 20 | Time on Field | 4 | 25:15 |
| 68.63 | 41 | Number of Plays | 2 | 55.38 |
| 6.69 | 21 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.37 |
Scoring
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.75 | 11 | Points Scored | 14 | 16.75 |
| 8.25 | 23 | First Quarter | 66 | 5.13 |
| 11.13 | 28 | Second Quarter | 14 | 4.63 |
| 9.00 | 18 | Third Quarter | 23 | 3.25 |
| 9.38 | 23 | Fourth Quarter | 13 | 3.75 |
Passing
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.13 | 34 | Passing Yards | 7 | 155.38 |
| 28.88 | 85 | Pass Attempts | 17 | 26.75 |
| 17.63 | 95 | Pass Completions | 6 | 14.50 |
| 0.88 | 12 | Sacks | 12 | 3.00 |
| 7.00 | 115 | Sack Yards | 128 | 22.38 |
| 14.70 | 8 | Yards Per Pass | 35 | 10.72 |
Rushing
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200.13 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 11 | 86.88 |
| 39.75 | 29 | Rush Attempts | 2 | 28.63 |
| 5.03 | 26 | Yards Per Rush | 14 | 3.03 |
Turn Overs
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 95 | Interceptions | 83 | 0.63 |
| 0.50 | 8 | Fumbles | 124 | 0.63 |
| 0.00 | 2 | Fumbles Lost | 118 | 0.25 |
| 0.88 | 20 | Total Turnovers | 115 | 0.88 |
| 7.88 | 128 | Penalties | 76 | 5.88 |
| 67.13 | 122 | Penalty Yards | 101 | 45.38 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TEXAM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MIZZU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:11 | 20 | Time on Field | 4 | 25:15 |
| 68.63 | 41 | Number of Plays | 2 | 55.38 |
| 6.69 | 21 | Yards Per Play | 9 | 4.37 |
| 3.88 | 65 | Punts | 8 | 6.00 |
| 42.59 | 78 | Punt Average | 94 | 43.58 |
| 87.88 | 9 | Return Yards | 108 | 70.50 |
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction: Missouri Offense
Overall
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.63 | 60 | Points Scored | 26 | 35.38 |
| 203.00 | 44 | Passing Yards | 60 | 237.88 |
| 118.50 | 33 | Rushing Yards | 10 | 235.50 |
| 27:48 | 20 | Time on Field | 5 | 34:29 |
| 63.00 | 28 | Number of Plays | 3 | 77.25 |
| 5.10 | 39 | Yards Per Play | 39 | 6.13 |
Scoring
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.63 | 60 | Points Scored | 26 | 35.38 |
| 6.25 | 89 | First Quarter | 59 | 6.63 |
| 6.00 | 43 | Second Quarter | 30 | 11.00 |
| 4.00 | 41 | Third Quarter | 52 | 6.88 |
| 7.38 | 97 | Fourth Quarter | 9 | 10.13 |
Passing
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.00 | 44 | Passing Yards | 60 | 237.88 |
| 32.38 | 99 | Pass Attempts | 53 | 32.25 |
| 19.50 | 80 | Pass Completions | 32 | 22.25 |
| 4.00 | 1 | Sacks | 98 | 2.25 |
| 31.00 | 136 | Sack Yards | 68 | 11.88 |
| 10.41 | 21 | Yards Per Pass | 104 | 10.69 |
Rushing
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118.50 | 33 | Rushing Yards | 10 | 235.50 |
| 30.63 | 11 | Rush Attempts | 11 | 45.00 |
| 3.87 | 52 | Yards Per Rush | 20 | 5.23 |
Turn Overs
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 131 | Interceptions | 93 | 0.88 |
| 1.38 | 33 | Fumbles | 109 | 1.38 |
| 0.50 | 74 | Fumbles Lost | 21 | 0.25 |
| 0.75 | 126 | Total Turnovers | 57 | 1.13 |
| 6.50 | 52 | Penalties | 27 | 5.00 |
| 49.13 | 89 | Penalty Yards | 53 | 52.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TEXAM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MIZZU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:48 | 20 | Time on Field | 5 | 34:29 |
| 63.00 | 28 | Number of Plays | 3 | 77.25 |
| 5.10 | 39 | Yards Per Play | 39 | 6.13 |
| 6.38 | 6 | Punts | 29 | 3.00 |
| 45.43 | 129 | Punt Average | 54 | 43.66 |
| 54.38 | 87 | Return Yards | 84 | 51.63 |
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