Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: Trends
- In its last six games, Stanford has a 1-5-0 ATS record.
- Five of Stanford’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- In the last 18 games, Stanford has an SEC record of 4-14.
- In its last six games played away from home, Stanford has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
- In its last five games against opposition from the Atlantic Coast conference, Stanford has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In its last 17 games played in November, Stanford has a record of 2-15 for the season.
- Stanford has a losing record of 0-5 in its last five games played in week 11.
- During the last six games that Stanford has played as the underdog, the total has gone over in four of those contests.
- Over the past seven games, North Carolina has a record of 5-2 against the spread.
- There have been six of North Carolina’s last seven games in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its last five games, North Carolina has a record of 1-4.
- In its previous 12 games played at home, North Carolina has a record of 2-10 against the spread.
- Over the course of its last six games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, North Carolina has a winning percentage of 1-5.
- After seven games played in November, North Carolina has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- The total has been above in seven of the ten games that North Carolina has played in the eleventh week of the season.
- There have been five of North Carolina’s last six games played on a Saturday that have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- When playing at home on a Saturday, North Carolina has a record of 2-6 in terms of the point spread in its last eight games.
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction
Now we have the Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction for both teams.
Stanford heads into this Week 11 matchup against North Carolina with a season full of struggles, particularly when it comes to consistency and covering the spread. Their recent trends paint a difficult picture: they are 1-5 ATS over the last six games and have lost every away game against the spread in their last six attempts. November has historically been a challenging month for the Cardinal, who are 2-15 in November matchups over the past seasons. Offensively, Stanford has struggled mightily, ranking near the bottom nationally in points scored (127th) and rushing yards (134th), though their passing game is slightly better at 75th overall. Against North Carolina’s defense, which allows 22 points per game and ranks 55th against the pass, Stanford may find some opportunities through the air, but their offensive line struggles and turnover tendencies could hamper any rhythm. Historically, Stanford has not fared well against ACC opponents, holding a 1-4 record ATS in their last five games against such teams. With both teams showing tendencies for totals hitting the over in recent games, bettors should anticipate a somewhat volatile contest, but Stanford’s overall inefficiency makes them a risky pick for covering the spread.
Stanford’s offense has been plagued by inefficiency, particularly in the ground game where they average just 81 yards rushing per contest. Their passing game is serviceable, but inconsistency and protection issues—evidenced by being sacked 3.22 times per game—limit big-play potential. The Cardinal’s scoring output is uneven, with first and third quarters ranking near the bottom nationally, indicating difficulties in starting fast and finishing strong. Turnovers have also been an issue, with over 1.5 giveaways per game, giving opponents additional scoring opportunities. Against North Carolina’s defense, Stanford may be able to exploit some space in the passing game, but the Tar Heels rank 23rd in yards per play allowed, suggesting that Stanford will face resistance both on the ground and through the air. While their special teams and time of possession metrics are middling, the Cardinal will need to win the turnover battle and limit mistakes to stay competitive in this matchup.
North Carolina, despite a mixed record, shows some promise, especially at controlling totals, with six of their last seven games going under. Offensively, they rank 121st in points scored per game, but they are not without strengths: their rushing attack averages over 123 yards per game and they have shown flashes of dominance against weaker competition. However, UNC struggles against conference foes, going 1-5 in their last six ACC matchups, and their ATS record in November is a disappointing 1-6. Defensively, the Tar Heels allow just 19 points per game and have managed to keep opponents’ rushing efficiency in check, which could stifle Stanford’s already weak ground game. At home, they have had trouble covering the spread on Saturdays, going 2-6 in their last eight such contests, indicating that while they may control certain aspects of the game, betting value may be limited. If North Carolina can maintain a strong defensive presence and minimize mistakes, they should be able to secure the win, even if the total points scored remains relatively low.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: NORTH CAROLINA
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12/30/16
|
@NC
|
STAN 25-23
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: Stanford Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
PIT
|
L 35-20
|
L+13.5
|
O53.5
|
L+385
|
|
10/25/25
|
@MFL
|
L 42-7
|
L+30.5
|
O48.5
|
L+2400
|
|
10/18/25
|
FSU
|
W 20-13
|
W+15.5
|
U58.5
|
W+430
|
|
10/11/25
|
@SMU
|
L 34-10
|
L+20.5
|
U55.5
|
L+860
|
|
9/27/25
|
|
W 30-29
|
L-1.5
|
O49.5
|
W-122
|
|
9/20/25
|
@UVA
|
L 48-20
|
L+14.5
|
O48.5
|
L+530
|
|
9/13/25
|
BC
|
W 30-20
|
W+10.5
|
O44.5
|
W+315
|
|
9/06/25
|
@BYU
|
L 27-3
|
L+18.0
|
U49.5
|
L+660
|
|
8/23/25
|
@HAW
|
L 23-20
|
L-2.5
|
U54.5
|
L-128
|
|
11/29/24
|
|
L 34-31
|
L+1.5
|
O54.5
|
L+102
|
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: North Carolina Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/31/25
|
@SYR
|
W 27-10
|
WEVEN
|
U48.5
|
W-118
|
|
10/25/25
|
UVA
|
L 17-16
|
W+10.0
|
U51.5
|
L+340
|
|
10/17/25
|
@CAL
|
L 21-18
|
W+10.5
|
U48.5
|
L+330
|
|
10/04/25
|
CLE
|
L 38-10
|
L+12.5
|
U48.5
|
L+400
|
|
9/20/25
|
@UCF
|
L 34-9
|
L+2.5
|
U52.5
|
L+118
|
|
9/13/25
|
RCH
|
W 41-6
|
W-22.0
|
O46.5
|
W-2500
|
|
9/06/25
|
@CHA
|
W 20-3
|
L-21.5
|
U46.5
|
W-1205
|
|
9/01/25
|
TCU
|
L 48-14
|
L+3.5
|
O57.5
|
L+105
|
|
12/28/24
|
UCONN
|
L 27-14
|
L-4.5
|
U55.5
|
L-192
|
|
11/30/24
|
NCST
|
L 35-30
|
L+4.0
|
O55.5
|
L+125
|
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: Stanford Offense
Overall
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.78 | 127 | Points Scored | 50 | 22.13 |
| 225.67 | 75 | Passing Yards | 55 | 210.50 |
| 81.44 | 134 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 110.25 |
| 29:56 | 70 | Time on Field | 81 | 30:33 |
| 64.67 | 95 | Number of Plays | 72 | 66.50 |
| 4.75 | 125 | Yards Per Play | 23 | 4.82 |
Scoring
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.78 | 127 | Points Scored | 50 | 22.13 |
| 5.56 | 84 | First Quarter | 126 | 8.63 |
| 5.67 | 114 | Second Quarter | 37 | 5.75 |
| 2.56 | 133 | Third Quarter | 47 | 4.38 |
| 4.00 | 124 | Fourth Quarter | 4 | 2.50 |
Passing
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225.67 | 75 | Passing Yards | 55 | 210.50 |
| 32.44 | 52 | Pass Attempts | 96 | 32.25 |
| 18.56 | 83 | Pass Completions | 98 | 20.25 |
| 3.22 | 128 | Sacks | 60 | 2.13 |
| 28.56 | 2 | Sack Yards | 87 | 15.25 |
| 12.16 | 56 | Yards Per Pass | 20 | 10.40 |
Rushing
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.44 | 134 | Rushing Yards | 23 | 110.25 |
| 32.22 | 107 | Rush Attempts | 58 | 34.25 |
| 2.53 | 135 | Yards Per Rush | 19 | 3.22 |
Turn Overs
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 119 | Interceptions | 85 | 0.63 |
| 0.78 | 28 | Fumbles | 10 | 1.88 |
| 0.44 | 56 | Fumbles Lost | 69 | 0.50 |
| 1.56 | 108 | Total Turnovers | 81 | 1.13 |
| 6.11 | 60 | Penalties | 99 | 5.38 |
| 57.33 | 79 | Penalty Yards | 81 | 50.38 |
Drives & Special Teams
| STAN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNC Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:56 | 70 | Time on Field | 81 | 30:33 |
| 64.67 | 95 | Number of Plays | 72 | 66.50 |
| 4.75 | 125 | Yards Per Play | 23 | 4.82 |
| 5.00 | 108 | Punts | 43 | 4.88 |
| 43.63 | 56 | Punt Average | 27 | 41.29 |
| 42.22 | 104 | Return Yards | 48 | 41.25 |
Stanford vs North Carolina Prediction: North Carolina Offense
Overall
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.11 | 108 | Points Scored | 121 | 19.38 |
| 293.56 | 134 | Passing Yards | 116 | 175.50 |
| 131.33 | 46 | Rushing Yards | 110 | 123.13 |
| 30:03 | 70 | Time on Field | 94 | 29:03 |
| 69.33 | 104 | Number of Plays | 133 | 59.50 |
| 6.13 | 112 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 5.02 |
Scoring
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.11 | 108 | Points Scored | 121 | 19.38 |
| 6.44 | 95 | First Quarter | 92 | 5.00 |
| 10.33 | 117 | Second Quarter | 126 | 4.50 |
| 7.22 | 110 | Third Quarter | 106 | 4.25 |
| 6.11 | 61 | Fourth Quarter | 110 | 4.88 |
Passing
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293.56 | 134 | Passing Yards | 116 | 175.50 |
| 37.11 | 132 | Pass Attempts | 88 | 28.75 |
| 24.33 | 135 | Pass Completions | 90 | 18.13 |
| 1.78 | 88 | Sacks | 35 | 1.38 |
| 12.67 | 60 | Sack Yards | 114 | 7.13 |
| 12.06 | 97 | Yards Per Pass | 130 | 9.68 |
Rushing
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131.33 | 46 | Rushing Yards | 110 | 123.13 |
| 32.22 | 27 | Rush Attempts | 122 | 30.75 |
| 4.08 | 66 | Yards Per Rush | 88 | 4.00 |
Turn Overs
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 129 | Interceptions | 76 | 0.75 |
| 0.78 | 106 | Fumbles | 111 | 1.38 |
| 0.67 | 37 | Fumbles Lost | 128 | 0.88 |
| 1.00 | 105 | Total Turnovers | 114 | 1.63 |
| 7.44 | 21 | Penalties | 31 | 5.13 |
| 55.44 | 61 | Penalty Yards | 49 | 50.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| STAN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNC Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:03 | 70 | Time on Field | 94 | 29:03 |
| 69.33 | 104 | Number of Plays | 133 | 59.50 |
| 6.13 | 112 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 5.02 |
| 3.44 | 120 | Punts | 107 | 5.00 |
| 44.89 | 119 | Punt Average | 97 | 41.82 |
| 82.11 | 120 | Return Yards | 58 | 62.50 |
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