Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Trends
- In six of Nevada’s most recent seven games, the total has registered a UNDER.
- In its last six games, Nevada has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
- In its last 12 meetings versus Utah State, Nevada has a head-to-head record of 8-4.
- Nevada has a losing record of 0-9 on the road in its last nine games.
- When playing Utah State on the road, Nevada has a record of 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games (ATS).
- Out of Nevada’s last ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, the team has a losing record of 0-10 on the road.
- Four of Nevada’s most recent five games against opponents from the Mountain Division division have resulted in the total betting total going UNDER.
- The over/under record for Nevada’s previous five games played in November is 1-4.
- Over the past eight games, Utah State has a record of 6-2 against the spread.
- In 13 of Utah State’s last 18 games, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- In its previous six games played at home, Utah State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.
- When playing at home versus Nevada, Utah State has a record of 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games.
- Nine out of Utah State’s previous twelve games against opponents from the Mountain West conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- Five of Utah State’s previous six games against opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going above the predetermined amount.
- At the end of the month of November, Utah State has a record of 12-5 on the road.
- It is the eleventh week of the season, and Utah State has a record of 10-4 on the road.
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction
Now we have the Nevada vs Utah State Prediction for both teams.
Nevada and Utah State clash in Week 11 of the college football season in a matchup that heavily favors the Aggies, at least on paper. Historically, Nevada has struggled on the road, particularly against Mountain West opponents, with a 0-10 record in their last ten away games within the conference. Even when facing Utah State specifically, Nevada has covered the spread just once in their last seven road meetings, and the Wolf Pack have been unable to maintain consistency, losing six straight against the spread overall. Offensive production has been a glaring issue for Nevada, ranking near the bottom nationally in points scored, passing yards, and yards per play. Turnovers continue to haunt them, with the team ranking 136th in total turnovers per game. Meanwhile, Utah State has been strong against the spread this season, especially at home, going 6-0 in their last six home games against all opponents. Their offense, balanced and efficient, ranks among the top 50 nationally in points scored and over 250 passing yards per game, showing they can exploit Nevada’s vulnerable defense. With Utah State’s historical dominance over Nevada in recent matchups, and the Wolf Pack’s continued struggles away from home, the trends are heavily stacked in the Aggies’ favor heading into this one.
Nevada’s offense has been a major liability, putting immense pressure on the Wolf Pack to stay competitive in games. Averaging just 14 points per game, Nevada ranks near the bottom in scoring nationally, and the numbers don’t get much better when digging deeper. Passing has been inefficient, with the team averaging only 155 yards through the air per game, while their rushing attack has failed to consistently sustain drives, averaging 139 yards per game. Time of possession has also been an issue, with Nevada often struggling to stay on the field long enough to give their defense a rest. Their turnover woes—ranking 136th in total turnovers—have only amplified their difficulties, frequently giving opponents short fields and momentum. Against a disciplined Utah State defense, ranked 31st in points allowed, Nevada’s limited scoring ability will likely be stifled further. Special teams play has been inconsistent, and penalties have not helped matters. While Nevada has had some historical success against Utah State, including eight wins in their last twelve meetings, the Wolf Pack’s recent struggles, particularly on the road, suggest that they’ll have a difficult time keeping this game close.
Utah State enters this matchup as a well-rounded and confident team, particularly when playing at home. The Aggies have been dominant against the spread, winning six straight home games and holding a near-perfect record against Nevada when hosting. Offensively, Utah State ranks in the top 50 nationally in points scored and has been productive both through the air and on the ground, averaging over 250 passing yards and 160 rushing yards per game. Their scoring balance allows them to control the pace of the game and exploit Nevada’s weaknesses, particularly in the passing game, where the Wolf Pack rank near the bottom defensively. Utah State’s defense complements their offense well, ranking among the top in the Mountain West in key metrics, and they have historically dominated Nevada in head-to-head matchups. Turnovers have also been a strength, as the Aggies commit very few and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Given Nevada’s offensive struggles and Utah State’s home dominance, this game is expected to favor the Aggies from start to finish. They should control the tempo, protect the ball, and cover the spread comfortably, continuing their strong Mountain West performance.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: UTAH STATE
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/11/23
|
@UTS
|
UTS 41-24
|
UTS-15.5
|
O55.5
|
UTS-780
|
|
11/05/20
|
@NEV
|
NEV 34-9
|
NEV-17.0
|
U56
|
NEV-909
|
|
10/19/19
|
@UTS
|
UTS 36-10
|
UTS-21.0
|
U58.5
|
UTS-1450
|
|
11/19/16
|
@NEV
|
NEV 38-37
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/21/15
|
@UTS
|
UTS 31-27
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Nevada Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/24/25
|
BOISE
|
L 24-3
|
W+21.5
|
U54.5
|
L+1060
|
|
10/18/25
|
@NM
|
L 24-22
|
W+10.5
|
U49.5
|
L+290
|
|
10/11/25
|
SDSU
|
L 44-10
|
L+5.5
|
O42.5
|
L+176
|
|
10/04/25
|
@FRE
|
L 20-17
|
W+15.5
|
U47.5
|
L+500
|
|
9/20/25
|
@WKY
|
L 31-16
|
L+12.5
|
U54.5
|
L+290
|
|
9/13/25
|
MTS
|
L 14-13
|
L-7.0
|
U49.5
|
L-285
|
|
9/06/25
|
CSUS
|
W 20-17
|
L-6.5
|
U54.5
|
W-230
|
|
8/30/25
|
@PSU
|
L 46-11
|
W+43.5
|
U59.5
|
L+8000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@UNLV
|
L 38-14
|
L+16.5
|
U56.5
|
L+540
|
|
11/23/24
|
|
L 22-19
|
L-3.5
|
U45.5
|
L-156
|
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Utah State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@NM
|
L 33-14
|
L+1.5
|
U62.5
|
L+108
|
|
10/17/25
|
|
W 30-25
|
W-3.5
|
U63.5
|
W-170
|
|
10/11/25
|
@HAW
|
L 44-26
|
L+2.5
|
O60.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/27/25
|
@VAN
|
L 55-35
|
W+21.5
|
O59.5
|
L+980
|
|
9/20/25
|
|
W 48-7
|
W-26.5
|
U61.5
|
W-4000
|
|
9/13/25
|
|
W 49-30
|
W+3.5
|
O51.5
|
W+155
|
|
9/06/25
|
@TXAM
|
L 44-22
|
W+30.5
|
O55.5
|
L+2500
|
|
8/30/25
|
TEP
|
W 28-16
|
W-3.5
|
U58.5
|
W-162
|
|
11/29/24
|
@CSU
|
L 42-37
|
L+3.5
|
O60.5
|
L+132
|
|
11/23/24
|
SDSU
|
W 41-20
|
W-4.0
|
U62
|
W-192
|
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Nevada Offense
Overall
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.00 | 133 | Points Scored | 118 | 31.75 |
| 155.38 | 125 | Passing Yards | 119 | 258.25 |
| 139.75 | 88 | Rushing Yards | 119 | 185.75 |
| 27:13 | 125 | Time on Field | 131 | 33:17 |
| 60.13 | 131 | Number of Plays | 132 | 74.00 |
| 4.91 | 122 | Yards Per Play | 107 | 6.00 |
Scoring
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.00 | 133 | Points Scored | 118 | 31.75 |
| 3.13 | 126 | First Quarter | 77 | 5.50 |
| 4.00 | 129 | Second Quarter | 136 | 12.88 |
| 2.13 | 134 | Third Quarter | 67 | 5.38 |
| 4.75 | 114 | Fourth Quarter | 109 | 8.00 |
Passing
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155.38 | 125 | Passing Yards | 119 | 258.25 |
| 26.63 | 110 | Pass Attempts | 126 | 35.38 |
| 15.25 | 118 | Pass Completions | 114 | 21.38 |
| 1.38 | 34 | Sacks | 71 | 2.00 |
| 8.38 | 105 | Sack Yards | 83 | 14.25 |
| 10.19 | 121 | Yards Per Pass | 98 | 12.08 |
Rushing
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139.75 | 88 | Rushing Yards | 119 | 185.75 |
| 33.50 | 96 | Rush Attempts | 107 | 38.63 |
| 4.17 | 81 | Yards Per Rush | 112 | 4.81 |
Turn Overs
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 136 | Interceptions | 69 | 0.75 |
| 1.25 | 95 | Fumbles | 134 | 0.38 |
| 0.75 | 116 | Fumbles Lost | 123 | 0.25 |
| 2.63 | 136 | Total Turnovers | 108 | 1.00 |
| 5.00 | 28 | Penalties | 87 | 5.63 |
| 43.00 | 24 | Penalty Yards | 73 | 51.63 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NEV Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:13 | 125 | Time on Field | 131 | 33:17 |
| 60.13 | 131 | Number of Plays | 132 | 74.00 |
| 4.91 | 122 | Yards Per Play | 107 | 6.00 |
| 4.13 | 71 | Punts | 81 | 4.25 |
| 44.13 | 48 | Punt Average | 133 | 46.20 |
| 43.75 | 102 | Return Yards | 85 | 53.50 |
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Utah State Offense
Overall
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.50 | 90 | Points Scored | 50 | 31.50 |
| 212.25 | 62 | Passing Yards | 44 | 252.88 |
| 154.13 | 82 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 160.25 |
| 30:33 | 80 | Time on Field | 131 | 26:42 |
| 66.50 | 71 | Number of Plays | 115 | 63.13 |
| 5.51 | 77 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 6.54 |
Scoring
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.50 | 90 | Points Scored | 50 | 31.50 |
| 6.38 | 94 | First Quarter | 60 | 6.63 |
| 9.38 | 108 | Second Quarter | 44 | 9.88 |
| 5.63 | 73 | Third Quarter | 19 | 8.88 |
| 6.13 | 64 | Fourth Quarter | 82 | 6.13 |
Passing
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212.25 | 62 | Passing Yards | 44 | 252.88 |
| 28.38 | 36 | Pass Attempts | 77 | 29.88 |
| 19.13 | 74 | Pass Completions | 73 | 19.25 |
| 2.25 | 47 | Sacks | 132 | 3.50 |
| 14.75 | 85 | Sack Yards | 13 | 19.13 |
| 11.10 | 60 | Yards Per Pass | 21 | 13.14 |
Rushing
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154.13 | 82 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 160.25 |
| 38.13 | 99 | Rush Attempts | 98 | 33.25 |
| 4.04 | 63 | Yards Per Rush | 40 | 4.82 |
Turn Overs
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 84 | Interceptions | 14 | 0.38 |
| 0.88 | 100 | Fumbles | 40 | 0.88 |
| 0.38 | 92 | Fumbles Lost | 76 | 0.50 |
| 1.00 | 103 | Total Turnovers | 22 | 0.88 |
| 6.13 | 67 | Penalties | 118 | 7.50 |
| 52.88 | 68 | Penalty Yards | 70 | 55.25 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NEV Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:33 | 80 | Time on Field | 131 | 26:42 |
| 66.50 | 71 | Number of Plays | 115 | 63.13 |
| 5.51 | 77 | Yards Per Play | 25 | 6.54 |
| 3.63 | 108 | Punts | 121 | 5.38 |
| 44.30 | 112 | Punt Average | 61 | 43.47 |
| 50.00 | 76 | Return Yards | 116 | 35.38 |
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