Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Trends

  • In six of Nevada’s most recent seven games, the total has registered a UNDER.
  • In its last six games, Nevada has a record of 0-6 against the spread.
  • In its last 12 meetings versus Utah State, Nevada has a head-to-head record of 8-4.
  • Nevada has a losing record of 0-9 on the road in its last nine games.
  • When playing Utah State on the road, Nevada has a record of 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games (ATS).
  • Out of Nevada’s last ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, the team has a losing record of 0-10 on the road.
  • Four of Nevada’s most recent five games against opponents from the Mountain Division division have resulted in the total betting total going UNDER.
  • The over/under record for Nevada’s previous five games played in November is 1-4.
  • Over the past eight games, Utah State has a record of 6-2 against the spread.
  • In 13 of Utah State’s last 18 games, the total has been higher than the point spread.
  • In its previous six games played at home, Utah State has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.
  • When playing at home versus Nevada, Utah State has a record of 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games.
  • Nine out of Utah State’s previous twelve games against opponents from the Mountain West conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
  • Five of Utah State’s previous six games against opponents from the West Division division have resulted in the total going above the predetermined amount.
  • At the end of the month of November, Utah State has a record of 12-5 on the road.
  • It is the eleventh week of the season, and Utah State has a record of 10-4 on the road.

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction

Now we have the Nevada vs Utah State Prediction for both teams.

Nevada and Utah State clash in Week 11 of the college football season in a matchup that heavily favors the Aggies, at least on paper. Historically, Nevada has struggled on the road, particularly against Mountain West opponents, with a 0-10 record in their last ten away games within the conference. Even when facing Utah State specifically, Nevada has covered the spread just once in their last seven road meetings, and the Wolf Pack have been unable to maintain consistency, losing six straight against the spread overall. Offensive production has been a glaring issue for Nevada, ranking near the bottom nationally in points scored, passing yards, and yards per play. Turnovers continue to haunt them, with the team ranking 136th in total turnovers per game. Meanwhile, Utah State has been strong against the spread this season, especially at home, going 6-0 in their last six home games against all opponents. Their offense, balanced and efficient, ranks among the top 50 nationally in points scored and over 250 passing yards per game, showing they can exploit Nevada’s vulnerable defense. With Utah State’s historical dominance over Nevada in recent matchups, and the Wolf Pack’s continued struggles away from home, the trends are heavily stacked in the Aggies’ favor heading into this one.

Nevada’s offense has been a major liability, putting immense pressure on the Wolf Pack to stay competitive in games. Averaging just 14 points per game, Nevada ranks near the bottom in scoring nationally, and the numbers don’t get much better when digging deeper. Passing has been inefficient, with the team averaging only 155 yards through the air per game, while their rushing attack has failed to consistently sustain drives, averaging 139 yards per game. Time of possession has also been an issue, with Nevada often struggling to stay on the field long enough to give their defense a rest. Their turnover woes—ranking 136th in total turnovers—have only amplified their difficulties, frequently giving opponents short fields and momentum. Against a disciplined Utah State defense, ranked 31st in points allowed, Nevada’s limited scoring ability will likely be stifled further. Special teams play has been inconsistent, and penalties have not helped matters. While Nevada has had some historical success against Utah State, including eight wins in their last twelve meetings, the Wolf Pack’s recent struggles, particularly on the road, suggest that they’ll have a difficult time keeping this game close.

Utah State enters this matchup as a well-rounded and confident team, particularly when playing at home. The Aggies have been dominant against the spread, winning six straight home games and holding a near-perfect record against Nevada when hosting. Offensively, Utah State ranks in the top 50 nationally in points scored and has been productive both through the air and on the ground, averaging over 250 passing yards and 160 rushing yards per game. Their scoring balance allows them to control the pace of the game and exploit Nevada’s weaknesses, particularly in the passing game, where the Wolf Pack rank near the bottom defensively. Utah State’s defense complements their offense well, ranking among the top in the Mountain West in key metrics, and they have historically dominated Nevada in head-to-head matchups. Turnovers have also been a strength, as the Aggies commit very few and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Given Nevada’s offensive struggles and Utah State’s home dominance, this game is expected to favor the Aggies from start to finish. They should control the tempo, protect the ball, and cover the spread comfortably, continuing their strong Mountain West performance.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: UTAH STATE

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Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/11/23
UTS 41-24
UTS-15.5
O55.5
UTS-780
11/05/20
NEV 34-9
NEV-17.0
U56
NEV-909
10/19/19
UTS 36-10
UTS-21.0
U58.5
UTS-1450
11/19/16
NEV 38-37
NL
NL
NL
11/21/15
UTS 31-27
NL
NL
NL

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Nevada Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/24/25
L 24-3
W+21.5
U54.5
L+1060
10/18/25
L 24-22
W+10.5
U49.5
L+290
10/11/25
L 44-10
L+5.5
O42.5
L+176
10/04/25
L 20-17
W+15.5
U47.5
L+500
9/20/25
L 31-16
L+12.5
U54.5
L+290
9/13/25
L 14-13
L-7.0
U49.5
L-285
9/06/25
W 20-17
L-6.5
U54.5
W-230
8/30/25
L 46-11
W+43.5
U59.5
L+8000
11/30/24
L 38-14
L+16.5
U56.5
L+540
11/23/24
L 22-19
L-3.5
U45.5
L-156

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Utah State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
L 33-14
L+1.5
U62.5
L+108
10/17/25
W 30-25
W-3.5
U63.5
W-170
10/11/25
L 44-26
L+2.5
O60.5
LEVEN
9/27/25
L 55-35
W+21.5
O59.5
L+980
9/20/25
W 48-7
W-26.5
U61.5
W-4000
9/13/25
W 49-30
W+3.5
O51.5
W+155
9/06/25
L 44-22
W+30.5
O55.5
L+2500
8/30/25
W 28-16
W-3.5
U58.5
W-162
11/29/24
L 42-37
L+3.5
O60.5
L+132
11/23/24
W 41-20
W-4.0
U62
W-192

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Nevada Offense

Overall

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
14.00 133 Points Scored 118 31.75
155.38 125 Passing Yards 119 258.25
139.75 88 Rushing Yards 119 185.75
27:13 125 Time on Field 131 33:17
60.13 131 Number of Plays 132 74.00
4.91 122 Yards Per Play 107 6.00

Scoring

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
14.00 133 Points Scored 118 31.75
3.13 126 First Quarter 77 5.50
4.00 129 Second Quarter 136 12.88
2.13 134 Third Quarter 67 5.38
4.75 114 Fourth Quarter 109 8.00

Passing

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
155.38 125 Passing Yards 119 258.25
26.63 110 Pass Attempts 126 35.38
15.25 118 Pass Completions 114 21.38
1.38 34 Sacks 71 2.00
8.38 105 Sack Yards 83 14.25
10.19 121 Yards Per Pass 98 12.08

Rushing

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
139.75 88 Rushing Yards 119 185.75
33.50 96 Rush Attempts 107 38.63
4.17 81 Yards Per Rush 112 4.81

Turn Overs

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
1.88 136 Interceptions 69 0.75
1.25 95 Fumbles 134 0.38
0.75 116 Fumbles Lost 123 0.25
2.63 136 Total Turnovers 108 1.00
5.00 28 Penalties 87 5.63
43.00 24 Penalty Yards 73 51.63

Drives & Special Teams

NEV Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UTST Defense
27:13 125 Time on Field 131 33:17
60.13 131 Number of Plays 132 74.00
4.91 122 Yards Per Play 107 6.00
4.13 71 Punts 81 4.25
44.13 48 Punt Average 133 46.20
43.75 102 Return Yards 85 53.50

Nevada vs Utah State Prediction: Utah State Offense

Overall

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
27.50 90 Points Scored 50 31.50
212.25 62 Passing Yards 44 252.88
154.13 82 Rushing Yards 63 160.25
30:33 80 Time on Field 131 26:42
66.50 71 Number of Plays 115 63.13
5.51 77 Yards Per Play 25 6.54

Scoring

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
27.50 90 Points Scored 50 31.50
6.38 94 First Quarter 60 6.63
9.38 108 Second Quarter 44 9.88
5.63 73 Third Quarter 19 8.88
6.13 64 Fourth Quarter 82 6.13

Passing

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
212.25 62 Passing Yards 44 252.88
28.38 36 Pass Attempts 77 29.88
19.13 74 Pass Completions 73 19.25
2.25 47 Sacks 132 3.50
14.75 85 Sack Yards 13 19.13
11.10 60 Yards Per Pass 21 13.14

Rushing

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
154.13 82 Rushing Yards 63 160.25
38.13 99 Rush Attempts 98 33.25
4.04 63 Yards Per Rush 40 4.82

Turn Overs

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
0.63 84 Interceptions 14 0.38
0.88 100 Fumbles 40 0.88
0.38 92 Fumbles Lost 76 0.50
1.00 103 Total Turnovers 22 0.88
6.13 67 Penalties 118 7.50
52.88 68 Penalty Yards 70 55.25

Drives & Special Teams

NEV Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UTST Offense
30:33 80 Time on Field 131 26:42
66.50 71 Number of Plays 115 63.13
5.51 77 Yards Per Play 25 6.54
3.63 108 Punts 121 5.38
44.30 112 Punt Average 61 43.47
50.00 76 Return Yards 116 35.38

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