Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: Trends
- In its last six games, Jacksonville State has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Five of Jacksonville State’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- Overall, Jacksonville State has a record of 4-1 in its previous five games.
- In its previous seven games played away from home, Jacksonville State has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- In its most recent 17 games versus a team from the Conference USA conference, Jacksonville State has a winning record of 16-1 against the opponent.
- In its previous six games played in November, Jacksonville State has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
- Ten of Jacksonville State’s most recent fifteen games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
- When playing as the favorite, Jacksonville State has a perfect record without a single loss in its last ten games.
- The over/under record for Texas El Paso’s last five games is 1-4.
- In its last six games, Texas El Paso has a winning percentage of 1-5.
- In its last 14 games played at home, Texas El Paso has a winning percentage of 3-11.
- Over the course of its last 14 games versus teams from the Conference USA conference, Texas El Paso has a winning percentage of 4-10.
- The total has been over in five of the last six games that Texas El Paso has played in the month of November.
- Out of the seven games that Texas El Paso has played in week 11, the total has been over in five of those games.
- When playing as the underdog, Texas El Paso has a record of 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games.
- Over the past six Saturday games that Texas El Paso has played at home, the team has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction
Now we have the Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction for both teams.
Jacksonville State and UTEP meet in Week 11 in a matchup that leans heavily toward one program trending upward and another struggling to build consistency. Jacksonville State enters this contest with strong momentum overall, having won four of its last five games and maintaining a perfect record when playing as the favorite over its last ten opportunities. The Gamecocks continue to lean on one of the most dominant rushing attacks in the country, consistently controlling the pace of play and wearing down defenses late in games. However, their ATS record tells a different story, with Jacksonville State covering just once in their last six games and just once in their last seven road matchups. This suggests that while Jacksonville State wins, they don’t always dominate in a way that reflects on the scoreboard. UTEP, meanwhile, has been struggling in nearly every measurable category, with a 1-5 record in its last six games and just three wins in its last fourteen at home. Historically, these trends hold weight in Conference USA play, and Jacksonville State has been nearly unbeatable in that setting, owning a staggering 16-1 record in its last seventeen conference games. The trends are clear: Jacksonville State wins games, and UTEP tries to hang around, often unsuccessfully.
For Jacksonville State, the identity remains rooted in a powerful run game that ranks among the best nationally. The Gamecocks are averaging 259.5 rushing yards per game, good for fifth overall, consistently wearing down opposing fronts with volume and physicality. Their time of possession advantage and ability to run 72 plays per game means that Jacksonville State frequently controls not just the scoreboard but the tempo and rhythm of the matchup. While the passing game remains limited, the Gamecocks rarely ask it to do more than compliment the ground attack. Defensively, Jacksonville State has enough bend-and-don’t-break capability to keep opponents from matching them score-for-score, particularly late in games. They give up some yardage through the air, but they compensate by forcing mistakes and shortening games with extended offensive drives. The biggest question for Jacksonville State is whether they can get margin; the ATS trends would suggest that while they handle business, it doesn’t always look particularly dominant to bettors. But winning, at the end of the day, is something this team excels at — especially within the conference.
UTEP, on the other hand, simply hasn’t found the formula to generate reliable results. The Miners are only averaging around 21 points per game and continue to be inconsistent in both the run game and passing game, struggling to put together long scoring drives or explosive plays. Their defense allows opponents to control the clock, hold field position, and dictate the flow of the game — which is particularly problematic when facing a team like Jacksonville State that excels in possession and physicality. UTEP does occasionally flash competitive stretches, especially at home or in games where they’re sizable underdogs, but these moments tend to fade by the second half. The Miners have also struggled to cover spreads when playing as the underdog, and their home record against the spread continues to be concerning, going just 2–4 ATS in their last six home Saturday games. While Jacksonville State isn’t always a big-margin team, UTEP’s inability to sustain offense or get key stops late makes it difficult to trust the Miners to keep this one within reach for four quarters.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: JACKSONVILLE STATE
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8/26/23
|
@JVS
|
JVS 17-14
|
JVS+1.5
|
U53.5
|
JVS-126
|
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: Jacksonville State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/29/25
|
@MTS
|
W 24-21
|
L-6.5
|
U52.5
|
W-235
|
|
10/15/25
|
DEL
|
W 38-25
|
W+3.5
|
O57.5
|
W+130
|
|
10/09/25
|
|
W 29-27
|
L-8.5
|
O55.5
|
W-360
|
|
9/27/25
|
@USM
|
L 42-25
|
L+2.5
|
O57
|
L+124
|
|
9/20/25
|
MUR
|
W 45-10
|
L-36.5
|
U60.5
|
W-100000
|
|
9/13/25
|
@GSO
|
L 41-34
|
L+6.0
|
O55.5
|
L+146
|
|
9/06/25
|
LIB
|
W 34-24
|
W+7.5
|
O50.5
|
W+176
|
|
8/28/25
|
@UCF
|
L 17-10
|
W+17.5
|
U56.5
|
L+540
|
|
12/20/24
|
OHI
|
L 30-27
|
L+2.5
|
O52
|
L+110
|
|
12/06/24
|
WKY
|
W 52-12
|
W-1.5
|
O58.5
|
W-125
|
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: UTEP Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/28/25
|
@KENN
|
L 33-20
|
W+14.5
|
O48.5
|
L+470
|
|
10/15/25
|
|
W 35-17
|
W+6.5
|
O45.5
|
W+188
|
|
10/08/25
|
LIB
|
L 19-8
|
L+1.5
|
U47.5
|
L+110
|
|
9/27/25
|
LT
|
L 30-11
|
L+4.0
|
U48.5
|
L+140
|
|
9/20/25
|
|
L 31-25
|
L-1.5
|
O47.5
|
L-176
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TEX
|
L 27-10
|
W+39.0
|
U52.5
|
L+8000
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
W 42-17
|
W-4.5
|
O51.5
|
W-182
|
|
8/30/25
|
@UTS
|
L 28-16
|
L+3.5
|
U58.5
|
L+136
|
|
11/30/24
|
@NMS
|
W 42-35
|
W+2.5
|
O51.5
|
W+105
|
|
11/23/24
|
@TEN
|
L 56-0
|
L+40.5
|
O54.5
|
L+2500
|
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: Jacksonville State Offense
Overall
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.88 | 58 | Points Scored | 76 | 25.25 |
| 149.50 | 129 | Passing Yards | 35 | 195.50 |
| 259.50 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 85 | 155.38 |
| 31:30 | 29 | Time on Field | 135 | 34:20 |
| 72.50 | 20 | Number of Plays | 120 | 71.63 |
| 5.64 | 72 | Yards Per Play | 26 | 4.90 |
Scoring
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.88 | 58 | Points Scored | 76 | 25.25 |
| 5.63 | 81 | First Quarter | 121 | 8.25 |
| 8.50 | 72 | Second Quarter | 34 | 5.63 |
| 7.00 | 44 | Third Quarter | 79 | 5.88 |
| 8.75 | 32 | Fourth Quarter | 49 | 5.50 |
Passing
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149.50 | 129 | Passing Yards | 35 | 195.50 |
| 23.50 | 128 | Pass Attempts | 44 | 28.88 |
| 14.38 | 123 | Pass Completions | 33 | 17.00 |
| 1.25 | 25 | Sacks | 31 | 2.50 |
| 8.38 | 104 | Sack Yards | 110 | 18.00 |
| 10.40 | 114 | Yards Per Pass | 81 | 11.50 |
Rushing
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.50 | 5 | Rushing Yards | 85 | 155.38 |
| 49.00 | 4 | Rush Attempts | 135 | 42.75 |
| 5.30 | 19 | Yards Per Rush | 38 | 3.63 |
Turn Overs
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 22 | Interceptions | 122 | 0.38 |
| 1.00 | 53 | Fumbles | 60 | 1.13 |
| 0.50 | 67 | Fumbles Lost | 50 | 0.63 |
| 1.00 | 35 | Total Turnovers | 106 | 1.00 |
| 5.00 | 26 | Penalties | 31 | 7.13 |
| 49.75 | 45 | Penalty Yards | 29 | 63.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| JVST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UTEP Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:30 | 29 | Time on Field | 135 | 34:20 |
| 72.50 | 20 | Number of Plays | 120 | 71.63 |
| 5.64 | 72 | Yards Per Play | 26 | 4.90 |
| 4.50 | 88 | Punts | 16 | 5.50 |
| 40.21 | 119 | Punt Average | 105 | 44.18 |
| 32.63 | 124 | Return Yards | 130 | 92.63 |
Jacksonville State vs UTEP Prediction: UTEP Offense
Overall
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.88 | 82 | Points Scored | 113 | 20.88 |
| 240.75 | 98 | Passing Yards | 86 | 216.38 |
| 138.88 | 55 | Rushing Yards | 122 | 109.00 |
| 28:29 | 30 | Time on Field | 135 | 25:28 |
| 66.63 | 73 | Number of Plays | 90 | 65.13 |
| 5.70 | 83 | Yards Per Play | 115 | 5.00 |
Scoring
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.88 | 82 | Points Scored | 113 | 20.88 |
| 5.88 | 81 | First Quarter | 123 | 3.50 |
| 5.50 | 33 | Second Quarter | 116 | 5.50 |
| 5.63 | 71 | Third Quarter | 107 | 4.25 |
| 8.88 | 122 | Fourth Quarter | 53 | 7.63 |
Passing
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240.75 | 98 | Passing Yards | 86 | 216.38 |
| 31.88 | 90 | Pass Attempts | 32 | 34.88 |
| 19.75 | 83 | Pass Completions | 64 | 19.38 |
| 2.13 | 57 | Sacks | 92 | 2.13 |
| 12.88 | 63 | Sack Yards | 40 | 15.25 |
| 12.19 | 101 | Yards Per Pass | 87 | 11.17 |
Rushing
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138.88 | 55 | Rushing Yards | 122 | 109.00 |
| 34.75 | 67 | Rush Attempts | 123 | 30.25 |
| 4.00 | 60 | Yards Per Rush | 118 | 3.60 |
Turn Overs
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 102 | Interceptions | 135 | 1.63 |
| 1.50 | 20 | Fumbles | 17 | 0.63 |
| 0.88 | 9 | Fumbles Lost | 42 | 0.38 |
| 1.38 | 53 | Total Turnovers | 132 | 2.00 |
| 6.50 | 51 | Penalties | 50 | 5.88 |
| 54.25 | 65 | Penalty Yards | 69 | 55.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| JVST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UTEP Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:29 | 30 | Time on Field | 135 | 25:28 |
| 66.63 | 73 | Number of Plays | 90 | 65.13 |
| 5.70 | 83 | Yards Per Play | 115 | 5.00 |
| 4.75 | 49 | Punts | 129 | 5.63 |
| 41.93 | 46 | Punt Average | 34 | 44.93 |
| 70.38 | 107 | Return Yards | 94 | 46.38 |
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