Indiana vs Penn State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Trends
- Over the past eight games, Indiana has a record of 6-2 against the spread.
 - It has been six out of Indiana’s last eight games that the total has gone over.
 - Indiana has a perfect record SU in its previous nine games.
 - After six games against Penn State, Indiana has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
 - In its last ten games versus Penn State, Indiana has a record of 1-9 all-time.
 - In twelve of Indiana’s most recent fifteen games played away from home, the total has been above.
 - When playing Penn State away from home, Indiana has a losing record of 0-10 by the single-score in its last ten games.
 - Indiana’s last seven games against opponents from the Big Ten conference have resulted in a perfect seven-game winning streak for the Hoosiers.
 - Nine out of Indiana’s last eleven games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
 - After nine games played in November, Indiana has a record of 6-3 against the spread.
 - Over the past nine games, Penn State has a record of 1-8 against the spread.
 - Five of Penn State’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
 - In its last five games, Penn State has a losing record of 0-5 against the spread.
 - During Penn State’s most recent six meetings versus Indiana, the total has been above in five of those games.
 - In its last five games played at home, Penn State has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
 - As a result of playing at home versus Indiana, Penn State has a perfect record of 10-0 in its previous ten games.
 - In their last six games against opposing teams from the Big Ten conference, Penn State has a losing record of 0-6 on the road.
 - When Penn State has played an opponent from the East Division, the total has been UNDER in four of the last six games that Penn State has performed against.
 - Four out of the five games that Penn State has played in November have resulted in the total going over.
 - After six games played in week 11, Penn State has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
 
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction
Now we have the Indiana vs Penn State Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between Indiana and Penn State offers a fascinating clash between a surging Hoosiers squad and a Penn State team trying to salvage pride amid a rough stretch. Indiana enters this contest as one of the hottest teams in the Big Ten, having won nine straight games and covering the spread in six of their last eight. The Hoosiers have also seen the total go over in six of those contests, largely thanks to their explosive offense that ranks among the best in college football. On the other hand, Penn State’s recent form has been a stark contrast. The Nittany Lions are just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games and have failed to cover in five straight at home. Despite owning a perfect 10-0 record at home against Indiana in their last ten meetings, this Penn State team appears vulnerable on both sides of the ball, struggling to maintain consistency against Big Ten opponents. This matchup will test whether Indiana’s balanced attack and dominant defensive front can finally overcome Penn State’s historical edge in Beaver Stadium.
Indiana’s success this season has been nothing short of remarkable. The Hoosiers rank first in the nation in points scored at 46.4 per game and are top-10 in both rushing yards and yards per play. Quarterback play has been efficient, with the offense averaging over 259 passing yards per game while maintaining excellent balance on the ground, rushing for nearly 246 yards per contest. That kind of dual-threat capability has made Indiana difficult to contain, and their offensive line has been particularly impressive—allowing less than one sack per game on average. What makes Indiana even more dangerous is their ability to dominate time of possession, holding the ball for over 34 minutes per game while wearing down defenses. On the defensive side, the Hoosiers are just as dominant, ranking third nationally in points allowed (10.8) and top five in rushing defense, giving up only 80 yards per game. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks and force quick decisions could spell trouble for a Penn State offense that’s struggled to find rhythm. Indiana’s discipline, balance, and consistency on both sides of the ball make them one of the most complete teams in the country heading into Week 11.
Penn State, meanwhile, is in freefall after a promising start to the season. The Nittany Lions have dropped several close games, losing five straight against the spread and three of their last four outright. Their offense has been inconsistent, ranking just 69th in rushing and 114th in passing—a troubling sign for a team once known for explosive playmaking. Despite scoring 31.5 points per game, Penn State has struggled to move the ball efficiently, averaging just 5.3 yards per play. Defensively, the Nittany Lions have been solid in spots but have shown cracks against high-powered offenses, particularly against the run, where they rank 90th in the nation. Home-field advantage hasn’t meant much lately either, with Penn State failing to cover in its last five at Beaver Stadium. The pressure will be on their defense to slow down an Indiana attack that can score in bunches. Unless Penn State can force turnovers and control tempo early, this game could get out of hand quickly.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: INDIANA
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/28/23 
 | 
 @PSU 
 | 
 PSU 33-24 
 | 
 PSU-27.5 
 | 
 O47.5 
 | 
 PSU-4000 
 | 
| 
 11/05/22 
 | 
 @IU 
 | 
 PSU 45-14 
 | 
 IU+13.0 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 IU+400 
 | 
| 
 10/02/21 
 | 
 @PSU 
 | 
 PSU 24-0 
 | 
 PSU-12.5 
 | 
 U53.5 
 | 
 PSU-500 
 | 
| 
 10/24/20 
 | 
 @IU 
 | 
 IU 36-35 
 | 
 IU+6.5 
 | 
 O61.5 
 | 
 IU+180 
 | 
| 
 11/16/19 
 | 
 @PSU 
 | 
 PSU 34-27 
 | 
 PSU-14.5 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 PSU-630 
 | 
| 
 10/20/18 
 | 
 @IU 
 | 
 PSU 33-28 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 9/30/17 
 | 
 @PSU 
 | 
 PSU 45-14 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 11/12/16 
 | 
 @IU 
 | 
 PSU 45-31 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
| 
 10/10/15 
 | 
 @PSU 
 | 
 PSU 29-7 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
 NL 
 | 
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Indiana Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 @MAR 
 | 
 W 55-10 
 | 
 W-16.5 
 | 
 O51.5 
 | 
 W-2800 
 | 
| 
 10/25/25 
 | 
 UCLA 
 | 
 W 56-6 
 | 
 W-21.5 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 W-2300 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 MSU 
 | 
 W 38-13 
 | 
 W-24.5 
 | 
 O50.5 
 | 
 W-4000 
 | 
| 
 10/11/25 
 | 
 @ORE 
 | 
 W 30-20 
 | 
 W+14.0 
 | 
 U55.5 
 | 
 W+480 
 | 
| 
 9/27/25 
 | 
 @IOW 
 | 
 W 20-15 
 | 
 W-2.5 
 | 
 U48.5 
 | 
 W-125 
 | 
| 
 9/20/25 
 | 
 ILL 
 | 
 W 63-10 
 | 
 W-3.0 
 | 
 O54.5 
 | 
 W-192 
 | 
| 
 9/12/25 
 | 
 INDS 
 | 
 W 73-0 
 | 
 W-41.5 
 | 
 O57.5 
 | 
 W-3500 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 KENN 
 | 
 W 56-9 
 | 
 W-33.5 
 | 
 O50.5 
 | 
 W-20000 
 | 
| 
 8/30/25 
 | 
 ODU 
 | 
 W 27-14 
 | 
 L-23.5 
 | 
 U53 
 | 
 W-2500 
 | 
| 
 12/20/24 
 | 
 @ND 
 | 
 L 27-17 
 | 
 L+8.5 
 | 
 U51.5 
 | 
 L+245 
 | 
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Penn State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 @OSU 
 | 
 L 38-14 
 | 
 L+4.5 
 | 
 O50.5 
 | 
 L+132 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 @IOW 
 | 
 L 25-24 
 | 
 L-10.5 
 | 
 O46.5 
 | 
 L-410 
 | 
| 
 10/11/25 
 | 
 NW 
 | 
 L 22-21 
 | 
 L-20.5 
 | 
 U48.5 
 | 
 L-1700 
 | 
| 
 10/04/25 
 | 
 @UCLA 
 | 
 L 42-37 
 | 
 L-27.5 
 | 
 O50.5 
 | 
 L-4500 
 | 
| 
 9/27/25 
 | 
 ORE 
 | 
 L 30-24 
 | 
 L-3.5 
 | 
 O52.5 
 | 
 L-154 
 | 
| 
 9/13/25 
 | 
 VIL 
 | 
 W 52-6 
 | 
 L-48.5 
 | 
 O55.5 
 | 
 WNL 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 FIU 
 | 
 W 34-0 
 | 
 L-42.5 
 | 
 U56.5 
 | 
 W-20000 
 | 
| 
 8/30/25 
 | 
 NEV 
 | 
 W 46-11 
 | 
 L-43.5 
 | 
 U59.5 
 | 
 W-10000 
 | 
| 
 1/09/25 
 | 
 ND 
 | 
 L 27-24 
 | 
 L+1.5 
 | 
 O47 
 | 
 LEVEN 
 | 
| 
 12/31/24 
 | 
 @BOISE 
 | 
 W 31-14 
 | 
 W-10.0 
 | 
 U59.5 
 | 
 W-400 
 | 
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Indiana Offense
Overall
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.44 | 1 | Points Scored | 41 | 21.75 | 
| 259.22 | 33 | Passing Yards | 14 | 166.38 | 
| 245.67 | 6 | Rushing Yards | 90 | 159.38 | 
| 34:43 | 3 | Time on Field | 117 | 31:46 | 
| 70.22 | 31 | Number of Plays | 37 | 64.25 | 
| 7.19 | 7 | Yards Per Play | 34 | 5.07 | 
Scoring
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.44 | 1 | Points Scored | 41 | 21.75 | 
| 11.22 | 7 | First Quarter | 18 | 2.88 | 
| 12.89 | 6 | Second Quarter | 48 | 6.25 | 
| 13.56 | 1 | Third Quarter | 45 | 4.25 | 
| 8.78 | 29 | Fourth Quarter | 77 | 6.75 | 
Passing
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.22 | 33 | Passing Yards | 14 | 166.38 | 
| 27.44 | 104 | Pass Attempts | 8 | 26.13 | 
| 19.78 | 58 | Pass Completions | 29 | 16.88 | 
| 0.78 | 9 | Sacks | 107 | 1.63 | 
| 5.22 | 125 | Sack Yards | 34 | 10.50 | 
| 13.11 | 22 | Yards Per Pass | 8 | 9.86 | 
Rushing
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245.67 | 6 | Rushing Yards | 90 | 159.38 | 
| 42.78 | 16 | Rush Attempts | 100 | 38.13 | 
| 5.74 | 10 | Yards Per Rush | 78 | 4.18 | 
Turn Overs
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 34 | Interceptions | 88 | 0.63 | 
| 0.56 | 10 | Fumbles | 81 | 1.00 | 
| 0.11 | 6 | Fumbles Lost | 47 | 0.63 | 
| 0.67 | 6 | Total Turnovers | 70 | 1.25 | 
| 4.00 | 8 | Penalties | 135 | 3.38 | 
| 30.56 | 5 | Penalty Yards | 135 | 26.50 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| INDY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | PSU Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34:43 | 3 | Time on Field | 117 | 31:46 | 
| 70.22 | 31 | Number of Plays | 37 | 64.25 | 
| 7.19 | 7 | Yards Per Play | 34 | 5.07 | 
| 2.00 | 4 | Punts | 115 | 3.50 | 
| 42.68 | 77 | Punt Average | 3 | 37.43 | 
| 64.22 | 55 | Return Yards | 47 | 40.50 | 
Indiana vs Penn State Prediction: Penn State Offense
Overall
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.78 | 3 | Points Scored | 49 | 31.50 | 
| 168.33 | 18 | Passing Yards | 114 | 180.38 | 
| 80.00 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 69 | 155.25 | 
| 25:15 | 3 | Time on Field | 116 | 28:13 | 
| 54.67 | 1 | Number of Plays | 113 | 63.25 | 
| 4.54 | 14 | Yards Per Play | 98 | 5.31 | 
Scoring
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.78 | 3 | Points Scored | 49 | 31.50 | 
| 3.33 | 30 | First Quarter | 103 | 4.75 | 
| 3.22 | 6 | Second Quarter | 63 | 9.00 | 
| 1.78 | 7 | Third Quarter | 60 | 6.63 | 
| 2.44 | 3 | Fourth Quarter | 8 | 10.25 | 
Passing
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168.33 | 18 | Passing Yards | 114 | 180.38 | 
| 28.78 | 41 | Pass Attempts | 94 | 28.38 | 
| 17.44 | 39 | Pass Completions | 91 | 18.13 | 
| 3.22 | 7 | Sacks | 37 | 1.38 | 
| 20.67 | 123 | Sack Yards | 95 | 9.50 | 
| 9.65 | 4 | Yards Per Pass | 126 | 9.95 | 
Rushing
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.00 | 4 | Rushing Yards | 69 | 155.25 | 
| 25.89 | 1 | Rush Attempts | 79 | 34.88 | 
| 3.09 | 18 | Yards Per Rush | 57 | 4.45 | 
Turn Overs
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 9 | Interceptions | 78 | 0.75 | 
| 0.78 | 104 | Fumbles | 59 | 1.00 | 
| 0.56 | 56 | Fumbles Lost | 25 | 0.25 | 
| 2.00 | 13 | Total Turnovers | 46 | 1.00 | 
| 4.56 | 125 | Penalties | 5 | 3.63 | 
| 39.33 | 117 | Penalty Yards | 6 | 31.13 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| INDY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | PSU Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25:15 | 3 | Time on Field | 116 | 28:13 | 
| 54.67 | 1 | Number of Plays | 113 | 63.25 | 
| 4.54 | 14 | Yards Per Play | 98 | 5.31 | 
| 5.56 | 14 | Punts | 27 | 2.88 | 
| 44.28 | 111 | Punt Average | 20 | 46.38 | 
| 51.78 | 81 | Return Yards | 60 | 60.88 | 
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