Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past five games, Florida International has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Overall, Florida International has a record of 1-4 in its previous five games.
  • In its last six games against Middle Tennessee, Florida International has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • The last six games that Florida International has played against Middle Tennessee have resulted in a 1-5 SU record for the team.
  • In its previous 12 games played away from home, Florida International has a record of 1-11 against the spread.
  • The last six games that Florida International has played on the road versus Middle Tennessee have resulted in a losing record of 0-6 for the team.
  • Over the course of its previous six games against opponents from the Conference USA conference, Florida International has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • When Florida International has played an opponent from the East Division, the total has been over in 12 of the last 17 games that they have played against that opponent.
  • During the month of November, the total has been above in five of Florida International’s most recent five games played.
  • The over/under record for Middle Tennessee’s previous six games is 4-2.
  • There have been four of Middle Tennessee’s last six games in which the total has been UNDER.
  • Middle Tennessee has a losing record of 0-5 in its previous five games.
  • Middle Tennessee’s last six games versus Florida International have all resulted in the total going over in five of those contests.
  • Middle Tennessee has a home unbeaten record of 0-6 in its last six games.
  • The last six games that Middle Tennessee has played at home against Florida International have resulted in a perfect 6-0 record for the team.
  • Within the past ten games that Middle Tennessee has played against an opponent from the Conference USA conference, the total has been UNDER in seven of those games.
  • Over the course of its previous five games against opponents from the East Division, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • After six games played in November, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • Ten out of Middle Tennessee’s last fifteen games played in week 11 have resulted in the total being determined to be UNDER.

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction

Now we have the Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for both teams.

The matchup between Florida International and Middle Tennessee in Week 11 brings together two teams that have struggled to find consistency this season, and both are looking for a much-needed spark as the year winds down. Historically, this has been a matchup that leans heavily in favor of Middle Tennessee, especially at home, where the Blue Raiders have dominated, going a perfect 6-0 in their last six home meetings with FIU. Trends also point toward high-scoring matchups when these two square off, as five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. However, both teams enter this contest with significant recent challenges. Florida International has gone just 1-4 in its last five games against the spread and has been particularly poor on the road, posting a brutal 1-11 ATS mark in its last 12 away from home. Middle Tennessee hasn’t been much better overall, losing five straight and going winless in their last six home games. With both teams struggling to stay competitive and maintain offensive consistency, this matchup may come down to which side can avoid costly turnovers and sustain drives. Given their head-to-head history and home-field familiarity, the edge appears to favor Middle Tennessee—but neither team has shown enough to be comfortable backing them confidently, which adds an intriguing layer to this matchup.

For Florida International, consistency continues to be the glaring issue. While there have been flashes of offensive efficiency, particularly on the ground where they rank inside the top 50 nationally in rushing yards per game, the Panthers have struggled to translate yardage into sustained scoring. Their offense averages 22.25 points per game, which places them near the bottom nationally, and turnovers have been a recurring issue, especially with ball security in the backfield. FIU’s passing attack has been limited and inefficient, struggling to generate explosive plays while often finding themselves behind the chains. On the defensive side, FIU has struggled to handle balance from opposing offenses, particularly against the pass, where they rank 117th nationally. They are allowing nearly 30 points per game and have been worn down late in contests, which is reflected in their poor second-half scoring defense. Additionally, their historical struggles playing on the road—particularly in this matchup—cannot be overlooked. The Panthers have not only lost six straight road games to Middle Tennessee outright, but they have also failed to cover in all six of those contests. To win this game, FIU needs to capitalize on time of possession, limit turnovers, and find stability early. However, based on recent performance trends, that’s easier said than done.

Middle Tennessee, meanwhile, enters this matchup searching for answers on offense as they average just 18.88 points per game, placing them among the least productive scoring teams in college football. Their passing attack has shown some potential, sitting near the top 60 nationally, but inefficiency and lack of explosive plays have hindered progress. The ground game has been an even greater issue, with the team ranking 132nd in rushing yards per game and struggling to create movement in the trenches. Defensively, Middle Tennessee has not been much better, surrendering nearly 30 points per contest, though they have been more consistent in certain quarters. The Blue Raiders’ biggest advantage here is familiarity and historical dominance in this matchup. They have handled FIU consistently both home and away, and FIU has struggled to score when facing them on the road. Additionally, the trends in this matchup strongly point to another game that could push toward the over, given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities. If Middle Tennessee can establish rhythm offensively and get the crowd behind them early, the Blue Raiders should have the upper hand, especially considering FIU’s track record away from home.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: MIDDLE TENNESSEE

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Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/30/24
FIU 35-24
FIU-7.0
O52.5
FIU-310
11/11/23
MTS 40-6
MTS-11.5
U52.5
MTS-500
11/26/22
MTS 33-28
FIU+19.0
O55.5
FIU+740
11/13/21
MTS 50-10
MTS-9.5
O55
MTS-380
10/10/20
MTS 31-28
FIU-6.5
O57.5
FIU-250
10/26/19
MTS 50-17
MTS+1.5
O57
MTS+105
10/13/18
FIU 24-21
NL
NL
NL
10/07/17
MTS 37-17
NL
NL
NL
10/29/16
MTS 42-35
NL
NL
NL
10/17/15
MTS 42-34
NL
NL
NL

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Florida International Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/29/25
L 28-21
L+6.5
U54.5
L+198
10/21/25
L 45-26
L-1.5
O49.5
L-113
10/14/25
W 25-6
W+7.5
U55.5
W+240
10/04/25
L 51-10
L+10.5
O55.5
L+260
9/20/25
L 38-16
L-3.0
U54.5
L-178
9/13/25
W 38-28
W-2.5
O57.5
W-154
9/06/25
L 34-0
W+42.5
U56.5
L+3000
8/29/25
W 42-9
W-30.5
U54.5
W-8000
11/30/24
W 35-24
W-7.0
O52.5
W-310
11/23/24
L 27-26
L-9.0
O44
L-340

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Middle Tennessee Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/29/25
L 24-21
W+6.5
U52.5
L+190
10/22/25
L 31-28
W+10.5
O53.5
L+280
10/08/25
L 22-20
W+2.5
U52.5
L+116
9/27/25
L 24-16
L+7.0
U53.5
L+188
9/20/25
L 42-28
L+4.5
O47.5
L+128
9/13/25
W 14-13
W+7.0
U49.5
W+230
9/06/25
L 42-10
L+27.5
O46.5
L+2500
8/30/25
L 34-14
L-10.5
U53.5
L-365
11/30/24
L 35-24
L+7.0
O52.5
L+245
11/23/24
L 36-21
L-3.5
O50.5
L-170

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Florida International Offense

Overall

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
22.25 106 Points Scored 97 29.00
209.25 91 Passing Yards 88 231.75
181.13 45 Rushing Yards 62 142.88
32:38 13 Time on Field 114 31:38
70.63 29 Number of Plays 67 66.25
5.53 83 Yards Per Play 82 5.65

Scoring

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
22.25 106 Points Scored 97 29.00
5.13 88 First Quarter 116 7.88
7.63 83 Second Quarter 107 9.25
5.00 93 Third Quarter 27 3.38
4.50 118 Fourth Quarter 117 8.50

Passing

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
209.25 91 Passing Yards 88 231.75
33.38 41 Pass Attempts 23 27.13
20.75 47 Pass Completions 43 17.63
1.88 77 Sacks 82 1.88
12.25 61 Sack Yards 61 12.75
10.08 122 Yards Per Pass 121 13.15

Rushing

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
181.13 45 Rushing Yards 62 142.88
37.25 54 Rush Attempts 113 39.13
4.86 35 Yards Per Rush 41 3.65

Turn Overs

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
0.75 69 Interceptions 105 0.50
1.50 119 Fumbles 16 1.63
0.88 126 Fumbles Lost 68 0.50
1.63 111 Total Turnovers 102 1.00
6.88 93 Penalties 129 4.38
58.13 86 Penalty Yards 113 42.00

Drives & Special Teams

FIU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MTSU Defense
32:38 13 Time on Field 114 31:38
70.63 29 Number of Plays 67 66.25
5.53 83 Yards Per Play 82 5.65
4.75 96 Punts 56 4.63
39.40 126 Punt Average 61 42.30
67.38 37 Return Yards 55 42.25

Florida International vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Middle Tennessee Offense

Overall

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
29.88 105 Points Scored 123 18.88
256.38 117 Passing Yards 58 241.38
159.38 89 Rushing Yards 132 85.50
27:21 15 Time on Field 111 28:25
66.75 76 Number of Plays 80 66.00
6.23 121 Yards Per Play 116 4.95

Scoring

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
29.88 105 Points Scored 123 18.88
7.25 104 First Quarter 85 5.38
9.25 106 Second Quarter 125 4.63
6.00 81 Third Quarter 122 3.75
7.38 95 Fourth Quarter 103 5.13

Passing

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
256.38 117 Passing Yards 58 241.38
34.63 118 Pass Attempts 6 40.88
22.13 121 Pass Completions 14 24.38
1.75 91 Sacks 119 2.75
12.88 62 Sack Yards 17 18.63
11.59 83 Yards Per Pass 128 9.90

Rushing

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
159.38 89 Rushing Yards 132 85.50
32.13 25 Rush Attempts 136 25.13
4.96 122 Yards Per Rush 123 3.40

Turn Overs

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
0.88 50 Interceptions 75 0.75
1.00 75 Fumbles 56 1.00
0.38 89 Fumbles Lost 39 0.38
1.25 67 Total Turnovers 56 1.13
5.38 98 Penalties 78 6.50
48.38 93 Penalty Yards 93 58.75

Drives & Special Teams

FIU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MTSU Offense
27:21 15 Time on Field 111 28:25
66.75 76 Number of Plays 80 66.00
6.23 121 Yards Per Play 116 4.95
3.88 99 Punts 133 5.88
42.24 58 Punt Average 50 44.06
84.13 124 Return Yards 123 33.00

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