Duke vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Trends

• Over the past five games, Duke has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
• 7 out of the previous 9 games that Duke has played have had the total go over.
• In its last five games, Duke has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
• In its previous six games played away from home, Duke has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
• The Duke Blue Devils have a winning record of 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus teams from the Independents (FBS) conference.
• The over/under record for Duke’s previous six games played in November is 5-1.
• In seven of Duke’s last ten games played in week 11, the total has been under the prevailing line.
• In the last ten games that have been played on a Saturday, Duke has a winning record of 7-3.
• Five of Connecticut’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
• In its last six games, Connecticut has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
• At home, Connecticut has a perfect record of 6-0 in its last six games.
• Over the course of its last 18 games versus opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, Connecticut has a winning percentage of 3-15.
• After seven games played in November, Connecticut has a record of 5-1-1 against the spread.
• Six of Connecticut’s last eight games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
• Eight of Connecticut’s last twelve games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
• In the last five games that Connecticut has played on a Saturday at home, the team has a record of 4-1 against the spread.

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction

Now we have the Duke vs Connecticut Prediction for both teams.

The matchup between Duke and Connecticut in Week 11 offers an intriguing contrast in styles and recent momentum, with both teams entering this contest showing strong trends against the spread and consistent scoring output. Duke comes into this game having covered in four of its last five, as well as performing especially well on the road with a 5-1 ATS mark in its last six away games. They’ve also been hitting overs frequently in November, with five of their last six in the month going over, signaling that their offense tends to open up late in the season. On the other side, Connecticut has been one of the more surprising ATS performers of late, covering in five of their last six games and riding an impressive 6-0 run against the spread at home. The Huskies have also shown a strong trend toward high-scoring outcomes, with five of their last seven going over the total. However, UConn’s historical struggles against ACC opponents remain a concern, holding just a 3-15 record in their last 18 matchups versus ACC schools. This is a game where both offenses can move the ball, but what separates the two may be Duke’s more balanced attack and ability to create big passing plays downfield.

For Duke, the identity of this team starts with its passing game, which ranks inside the Top 5 nationally in passing production. The Blue Devils average 324 yards per game through the air and do so efficiently, with yards per attempt numbers that consistently challenge opposing secondaries. Even though the run game sits in the bottom half nationally in terms of production, Duke offsets that by stretching the field, dictating pace, and forcing defenses to play honest coverage. Duke has been particularly strong in second and fourth quarters, where offensive adjustments and late-game execution have been major strengths. Turnovers have also been an advantage, with Duke ranking in the upper tier nationally in avoiding interceptions, a critical factor when playing on the road. Defensively, Duke has had issues giving up big plays, particularly through the air, but they have been opportunistic when needed and are coming in with positive momentum in late-game defensive stands. The key to their success in this matchup is controlling time of possession enough to prevent Connecticut from dictating pace and preventing the Huskies from leaning into their run game to keep the Blue Devils’ offense off the field.

Connecticut, meanwhile, has developed a far more balanced and explosive offensive identity than their national perception suggests. The Huskies are averaging nearly 37 points per game and have one of the more underrated passing offenses in the country, sitting just outside the Top 10 with nearly 300 passing yards per contest. They complement this air attack with a run game that averages over 150 yards per outing, enough to keep defenses honest and open space vertically. Their recent surge ATS at home is not a fluke—UConn plays with a noticeable comfort level in their home environment, particularly on Saturdays, where they’ve gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five in that exact setup. However, the concern remains on the defensive side, where they allow chunk yardage both through the air and on the ground. Their pass defense in particular has shown vulnerabilities that Duke’s high-powered offense is well-positioned to exploit. If UConn can control tempo and win third downs, they make this game competitive. But if Duke opens up passing lanes early, the Huskies will be forced into a shootout that favors the Blue Devils’ offensive ceiling.

✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: DUKE

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Head to Head

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Duke Last 10 Games

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Connecticut Last 10 Games

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Duke Offense

Duke vs Connecticut Prediction: Connecticut Offense

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Duke vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.