Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Trends
- Five of Charlotte’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
 - In its last five games, Charlotte has a losing record of 0-5 on the road.
 - Four out of Charlotte’s previous five games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
 - In the last six games that Charlotte has played against an opponent in the American Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 1-5.
 - Five of Charlotte’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
 - After playing 13 games in November, Charlotte has a record of 4-9 against the spread.
 - After six games played on Saturdays, Charlotte has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
 - On average, East Carolina has a record of 10-4-1 in its previous 15 games.
 - Eight of East Carolina’s previous eleven games have resulted with the total going UNDER.
 - In its last 14 games, East Carolina has a spotless record of 10-4.
 - In its previous eight games played at home, East Carolina has a winning record of 6-2 against the spread.
 - In the last nine games that East Carolina has played against a team from the American Conference, the team has a winning percentage of 7-2.
 - Five of East Carolina’s most recent five games against opponents from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
 - The total has been over in four of the last six games that East Carolina has played in the month of November.
 - On the road, East Carolina has a record of 6-1 in its past seven games played in week 11.
 - East Carolina has a 7-1 overall record in its previous 8 games that have been played on a Saturday.
 
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction
Now we have the Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction for both teams.
This matchup between Charlotte and East Carolina comes at a point in the season where both programs are trying to establish consistency, but the trends and recent performances point these teams in very different directions. Charlotte has struggled significantly in conference play and especially on the road, where they’ve dropped five straight while consistently allowing games to go over the total. Their offense has been inconsistent and often inefficient, posting just 17.5 points per game on average and ranking near the bottom of the nation in yards per play. Meanwhile, East Carolina has shown a much stronger foundation both statistically and situationally, with a 10-4 record over their last 14 games and a strong trend of covering at home. ECU has leaned on a relatively balanced offense and a defense that holds firm in big moments, particularly against the run. Even though both teams have been involved in games trending toward the over recently, the styles here create a push-and-pull dynamic: Charlotte fails to sustain drives, while ECU methodically controls pace and field position. Ultimately, the context of conference momentum, home-field advantage, and the matchup in the trenches all lean toward East Carolina having the clearer, more reliable path to success in this game.
For Charlotte, the offensive side of the ball continues to be a challenge. They average only 17.5 points per game and struggle to maintain drives consistently, reflected in their low yards-per-play output and bottom-tier rushing production. Charlotte is only putting up around 106 rushing yards per contest and averaging just 3.19 yards per carry, which makes them one-dimensional far too often. That puts pressure on the passing game, where they rank middle of the pack nationally but still lack the explosive efficiency needed to threaten a defense like East Carolina’s. Turnovers also remain a real issue, as Charlotte averages two turnovers per game, often losing momentum just as they appear to settle into rhythm. Their defense doesn’t give them much margin for error either, allowing over 37 points per game and over 6.5 yards per play—numbers that make it difficult to stay competitive if the offense can’t match pace. The road environment only amplifies those weaknesses, as shown by their 0-5 recent road record. While Charlotte has shown occasional flashes, particularly in late-game scoring spurts, they simply have not shown sustained execution in either phase long enough to trust them in this matchup.
East Carolina, on the other hand, enters this matchup with more balance and consistency, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. ECU is allowing just 16.8 points per game, showing strong ability to pressure opposing offenses into mistakes and disrupt drives. While their offense is not overpowering, it is structured and efficient, averaging just over 32 points per game and nearly 290 passing yards. Their ability to stretch the field vertically complements their run game, which is averaging just under 190 yards per contest. This dual-threat approach should prove particularly effective against a Charlotte defense that ranks near the bottom nationally in both passing and rushing yards allowed. ECU also holds strong situational advantages: they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games and 7-2 in their last nine conference matchups. The Pirates also play disciplined football, controlling tempo and winning the small battles over the course of four quarters. Given Charlotte’s struggles with turnovers, defensive breakdowns, and road environments, ECU has the decisive advantage across multiple fronts in this matchup.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: EAST CAROLINA
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/05/24 
 | 
 @CHA 
 | 
 CHA 55-24 
 | 
 CHA+8.5 
 | 
 O46 
 | 
 CHA+235 
 | 
| 
 10/21/23 
 | 
 @ECU 
 | 
 CHA 10-7 
 | 
 ECU-7.5 
 | 
 U41.5 
 | 
 ECU-365 
 | 
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Charlotte Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 10/24/25 
 | 
 NTX 
 | 
 L 54-20 
 | 
 L+27.5 
 | 
 O56.5 
 | 
 L+1280 
 | 
| 
 10/18/25 
 | 
 TEM 
 | 
 L 49-14 
 | 
 L+12.5 
 | 
 O47.5 
 | 
 L+350 
 | 
| 
 10/11/25 
 | 
 @ARM 
 | 
 L 24-7 
 | 
 L+14.5 
 | 
 U46.5 
 | 
 L+450 
 | 
| 
 10/03/25 
 | 
 @USF 
 | 
 L 54-26 
 | 
 L+26.5 
 | 
 O53.5 
 | 
 L+1600 
 | 
| 
 9/18/25 
 | 
 RICE 
 | 
 L 28-17 
 | 
 L+4.5 
 | 
 U45.5 
 | 
 L+136 
 | 
| 
 9/13/25 
 | 
 MNM 
 | 
 W 42-35 
 | 
 W-4.5 
 | 
 O68.5 
 | 
 W-184 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 NC 
 | 
 L 20-3 
 | 
 W+21.5 
 | 
 U46.5 
 | 
 L+580 
 | 
| 
 8/29/25 
 | 
 APP 
 | 
 L 34-11 
 | 
 L+8.5 
 | 
 U53.5 
 | 
 L+245 
 | 
| 
 11/30/24 
 | 
 UAB 
 | 
 W 29-27 
 | 
 L-4.5 
 | 
 U57.5 
 | 
 W-154 
 | 
| 
 11/23/24 
 | 
 @FAU 
 | 
 W 39-27 
 | 
 W-2.5 
 | 
 O48.5 
 | 
 W-142 
 | 
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
 11/01/25 
 | 
 @TEM 
 | 
 W 45-14 
 | 
 W-4.5 
 | 
 O58.5 
 | 
 W-182 
 | 
| 
 10/16/25 
 | 
 TSA 
 | 
 W 41-27 
 | 
 L-17.0 
 | 
 O53.5 
 | 
 W-950 
 | 
| 
 10/09/25 
 | 
 @TUL 
 | 
 L 26-19 
 | 
 P+7.0 
 | 
 U53.5 
 | 
 L+250 
 | 
| 
 9/25/25 
 | 
 ARM 
 | 
 W 28-6 
 | 
 W-3.5 
 | 
 U53.5 
 | 
 W-160 
 | 
| 
 9/20/25 
 | 
 BYU 
 | 
 L 34-13 
 | 
 L+9.5 
 | 
 U49.5 
 | 
 L+230 
 | 
| 
 9/13/25 
 | 
 @CC 
 | 
 W 38-0 
 | 
 W-5.5 
 | 
 U55.5 
 | 
 W-260 
 | 
| 
 9/06/25 
 | 
 CAM 
 | 
 W 56-3 
 | 
 W-29.5 
 | 
 O52.5 
 | 
 W-10000 
 | 
| 
 8/28/25 
 | 
 @NCST 
 | 
 L 24-17 
 | 
 W+14.0 
 | 
 U57.5 
 | 
 L+320 
 | 
| 
 12/28/24 
 | 
 @NCST 
 | 
 W 26-21 
 | 
 W+5.0 
 | 
 U59.5 
 | 
 W+170 
 | 
| 
 11/29/24 
 | 
 NAV 
 | 
 L 34-20 
 | 
 L-2.5 
 | 
 U56.5 
 | 
 L-142 
 | 
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: Charlotte Offense
Overall
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.50 | 128 | Points Scored | 13 | 16.75 | 
| 218.13 | 83 | Passing Yards | 58 | 212.00 | 
| 106.75 | 123 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 114.25 | 
| 29:13 | 86 | Time on Field | 83 | 30:37 | 
| 66.13 | 75 | Number of Plays | 52 | 65.38 | 
| 4.91 | 120 | Yards Per Play | 31 | 4.99 | 
Scoring
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.50 | 128 | Points Scored | 13 | 16.75 | 
| 2.88 | 129 | First Quarter | 17 | 2.88 | 
| 3.75 | 130 | Second Quarter | 47 | 6.25 | 
| 3.38 | 123 | Third Quarter | 19 | 2.88 | 
| 7.50 | 55 | Fourth Quarter | 30 | 4.75 | 
Passing
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.13 | 83 | Passing Yards | 58 | 212.00 | 
| 32.63 | 48 | Pass Attempts | 82 | 31.25 | 
| 19.25 | 71 | Pass Completions | 76 | 19.25 | 
| 1.88 | 73 | Sacks | 65 | 2.00 | 
| 11.75 | 71 | Sack Yards | 70 | 13.25 | 
| 11.33 | 79 | Yards Per Pass | 54 | 11.01 | 
Rushing
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106.75 | 123 | Rushing Yards | 29 | 114.25 | 
| 33.50 | 95 | Rush Attempts | 56 | 34.13 | 
| 3.19 | 129 | Yards Per Rush | 24 | 3.35 | 
Turn Overs
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 90 | Interceptions | 100 | 0.50 | 
| 1.88 | 131 | Fumbles | 13 | 1.63 | 
| 1.13 | 135 | Fumbles Lost | 8 | 0.88 | 
| 2.00 | 131 | Total Turnovers | 49 | 1.38 | 
| 6.25 | 67 | Penalties | 81 | 5.75 | 
| 53.00 | 55 | Penalty Yards | 80 | 50.50 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| CHAR Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:13 | 86 | Time on Field | 83 | 30:37 | 
| 66.13 | 75 | Number of Plays | 52 | 65.38 | 
| 4.91 | 120 | Yards Per Play | 31 | 4.99 | 
| 5.50 | 124 | Punts | 40 | 4.88 | 
| 41.54 | 103 | Punt Average | 110 | 44.24 | 
| 65.75 | 47 | Return Yards | 105 | 67.88 | 
Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Offense
Overall
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.25 | 132 | Points Scored | 45 | 32.13 | 
| 270.13 | 128 | Passing Yards | 17 | 288.88 | 
| 207.75 | 132 | Rushing Yards | 35 | 186.38 | 
| 30:43 | 88 | Time on Field | 80 | 29:22 | 
| 71.75 | 122 | Number of Plays | 2 | 78.63 | 
| 6.66 | 132 | Yards Per Play | 49 | 6.04 | 
Scoring
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.25 | 132 | Points Scored | 45 | 32.13 | 
| 8.50 | 123 | First Quarter | 16 | 9.00 | 
| 11.13 | 128 | Second Quarter | 93 | 7.00 | 
| 7.75 | 117 | Third Quarter | 35 | 7.63 | 
| 9.88 | 130 | Fourth Quarter | 36 | 8.50 | 
Passing
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270.13 | 128 | Passing Yards | 17 | 288.88 | 
| 31.13 | 80 | Pass Attempts | 28 | 35.25 | 
| 21.25 | 109 | Pass Completions | 21 | 23.63 | 
| 1.13 | 123 | Sacks | 16 | 1.00 | 
| 9.50 | 26 | Sack Yards | 113 | 7.13 | 
| 12.71 | 115 | Yards Per Pass | 51 | 12.23 | 
Rushing
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207.75 | 132 | Rushing Yards | 35 | 186.38 | 
| 40.63 | 121 | Rush Attempts | 14 | 43.38 | 
| 5.11 | 127 | Yards Per Rush | 72 | 4.30 | 
Turn Overs
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 120 | Interceptions | 43 | 0.63 | 
| 0.88 | 96 | Fumbles | 22 | 0.75 | 
| 0.63 | 45 | Fumbles Lost | 18 | 0.25 | 
| 1.00 | 95 | Total Turnovers | 18 | 0.88 | 
| 5.50 | 92 | Penalties | 104 | 7.13 | 
| 58.13 | 48 | Penalty Yards | 85 | 58.13 | 
Drives & Special Teams
| CHAR Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense | 
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:43 | 88 | Time on Field | 80 | 29:22 | 
| 71.75 | 122 | Number of Plays | 2 | 78.63 | 
| 6.66 | 132 | Yards Per Play | 49 | 6.04 | 
| 3.63 | 107 | Punts | 36 | 3.25 | 
| 42.65 | 72 | Punt Average | 127 | 39.33 | 
| 44.50 | 62 | Return Yards | 110 | 38.88 | 
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