California vs Louisville Prediction and Pick, Week 11

California vs Louisville Prediction and Pick, Week 11

California vs Louisville Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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California vs Louisville Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past six games, California has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • In nine out of California’s last twelve games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
  • In its last six games, California has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • Eight of California’s last eleven games played away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • During its last eight games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, California has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
  • After five games played in November, California has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Four out of the five games that California has played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
  • When playing as the underdog, California has a record of 4-16 and a losing record in its last 20 games.
  • In its last 11 games, Louisville has a winning record of 10-1 against the spread.
  • In its last five games played at home, Louisville has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
  • In its last six games against teams from the Atlantic Coast conference, Louisville has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • After five games played in November, Louisville has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • In their last six games played in week 11, Louisville has a winning percentage of 2-4.
  • Five of Louisville’s last seven games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
  • During the last twenty games that Louisville has played as the favorite, the total has gone over in thirteen of those contests.

California vs Louisville Prediction

Now we have the California vs Louisville Prediction for both teams.

Week 11 of the college football season brings an intriguing matchup as California travels to face Louisville in what could be a pivotal game for both programs. California has struggled recently against the spread, posting a 1-5 mark over its last six games, and their track record as an underdog has been particularly poor, going 4-16 in such situations. Their offense, while capable in the passing game, ranks near the bottom nationally in rushing at just 79.4 yards per game. Defensively, California has shown some resilience against the pass but has been more vulnerable to teams that can run efficiently. Louisville, on the other hand, has been strong against the spread lately, holding a 10-1 record over its last ten contests. However, their recent home performance is concerning, as they’ve gone 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games. With both teams showing inconsistent trends—California struggling to cover and Louisville excelling mostly on the road—the matchup offers a compelling betting storyline, especially considering the historical difficulties California has faced against Atlantic Coast Conference opponents.

California’s offensive outlook is a mixed bag. Their passing game has been solid, ranking 42nd nationally with 253 yards per game, but their rushing attack is one of the least effective in the country. Quarterback play has been productive at times, yet their inability to consistently establish the run makes them somewhat one-dimensional. Their scoring output, averaging 24.6 points per game, is middling and suggests that against a disciplined Louisville defense, California could struggle to convert drives into touchdowns. Ball security is also a concern, as they rank poorly in turnovers, and the offense has shown tendencies to stall in the second and third quarters. On special teams, California has been average, with punt returns and coverage that could swing momentum but are unlikely to dictate the game. Ultimately, for California to have a shot, they will need their passing game to carry the load while limiting mistakes, but given Louisville’s defensive stats—particularly their ability to slow down both the run and pass—they face a tough uphill battle.

Louisville enters this matchup with a more balanced offensive attack and the ability to generate points in multiple ways. They average 33.8 points per game, fueled by a passing attack that moves the ball efficiently and a run game that can exploit weaker fronts. Their offense has shown consistency in November, going 4-1 against the spread after five games, and they have been capable of producing big plays on both the ground and through the air. While their recent home struggles against the spread are notable, this appears more an anomaly than a reflection of true ability. Defensively, Louisville ranks solidly against the pass and has shown the ability to contain rushing attacks, meaning California’s limited ground game could be neutralized. Special teams and turnover margins favor Louisville as well, and if they can control time of possession and limit mistakes, they should be able to handle California’s sporadic offensive bursts. Overall, Louisville’s balance, recent success against the spread, and defensive strengths make them the favorite in this contest.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: LOUISVILLE

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California vs Louisville Prediction: Head to Head

N/A

California vs Louisville Prediction: California Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
L 31-21
L+8.5
U53.5
L+250
10/24/25
L 42-34
L+2.5
O48.5
L+128
10/17/25
W 21-18
L-10.5
U48.5
W-430
10/04/25
L 45-21
L+1.5
O51.5
L-110
9/27/25
W 28-24
W+4.5
O50.5
W+138
9/20/25
L 34-0
L-11.5
U49.5
L-530
9/13/25
W 27-14
W+4.5
U50.5
W+150
9/06/25
W 35-3
L-45.5
U52.5
W-20000
8/30/25
W 34-15
W+2.5
U52.5
W+112
12/18/24
L 24-13
L-1.5
U51.5
L-120

California vs Louisville Prediction: Louisville Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 28-16
L-15.5
U52.5
W-710
10/25/25
W 38-24
L-22.5
O53.5
W-3000
10/17/25
W 24-21
W+7.5
U51.5
W+500
10/04/25
L 30-27
L-7.5
U59.5
L-220
9/27/25
W 34-27
W-6.5
O53.5
W-245
9/20/25
W 40-17
L-25.5
O51.5
W-4500
9/05/25
W 28-14
L-14.5
U54.5
W-750
8/30/25
W 51-17
L-40.5
O56.5
W-12405
12/31/24
W 35-34
L-5.0
O50.5
W-192
11/30/24
W 41-14
W+1.0
O48.5
W-110

California vs Louisville Prediction: California Offense

Overall

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
24.56 89 Points Scored 34 20.75
253.00 42 Passing Yards 17 167.88
79.44 135 Rushing Yards 26 112.63
29:12 87 Time on Field 54 29:24
66.33 73 Number of Plays 27 63.00
5.01 113 Yards Per Play 11 4.45

Scoring

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
24.56 89 Points Scored 34 20.75
6.89 54 First Quarter 100 6.63
5.78 112 Second Quarter 27 5.13
4.67 98 Third Quarter 26 3.38
6.44 74 Fourth Quarter 37 4.88

Passing

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
253.00 42 Passing Yards 17 167.88
36.33 18 Pass Attempts 46 29.25
22.00 33 Pass Completions 18 16.13
2.44 109 Sacks 68 2.00
19.33 12 Sack Yards 55 12.25
11.50 76 Yards Per Pass 22 10.41

Rushing

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
79.44 135 Rushing Yards 26 112.63
30.00 126 Rush Attempts 44 33.75
2.65 133 Yards Per Rush 22 3.34

Turn Overs

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
1.11 115 Interceptions 8 1.50
1.33 101 Fumbles 99 0.88
0.22 14 Fumbles Lost 67 0.50
1.33 79 Total Turnovers 14 2.00
7.22 108 Penalties 27 7.25
55.56 72 Penalty Yards 58 56.00

Drives & Special Teams

CAL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank LOUIS Defense
29:12 87 Time on Field 54 29:24
66.33 73 Number of Plays 27 63.00
5.01 113 Yards Per Play 11 4.45
5.00 103 Punts 12 5.75
42.58 79 Punt Average 91 43.24
66.56 41 Return Yards 101 65.25

California vs Louisville Prediction: Louisville Offense

Overall

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
25.11 74 Points Scored 37 33.75
199.11 39 Passing Yards 46 252.00
156.22 86 Rushing Yards 68 155.75
30:47 91 Time on Field 52 30:35
64.89 45 Number of Plays 70 66.38
5.48 72 Yards Per Play 37 6.14

Scoring

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
25.11 74 Points Scored 37 33.75
5.33 69 First Quarter 28 7.88
6.67 60 Second Quarter 47 9.75
4.89 54 Third Quarter 62 6.38
6.56 71 Fourth Quarter 22 9.38

Passing

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
199.11 39 Passing Yards 46 252.00
30.67 70 Pass Attempts 24 35.63
19.00 69 Pass Completions 24 23.25
1.67 97 Sacks 84 2.00
11.33 43 Sack Yards 34 15.88
10.48 26 Yards Per Pass 101 10.84

Rushing

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
156.22 86 Rushing Yards 68 155.75
34.22 57 Rush Attempts 121 30.75
4.56 100 Yards Per Rush 25 5.07

Turn Overs

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
0.67 72 Interceptions 91 0.88
0.89 90 Fumbles 76 1.13
0.56 55 Fumbles Lost 115 0.75
1.22 75 Total Turnovers 113 1.63
7.67 14 Penalties 94 6.88
65.78 18 Penalty Yards 115 65.38

Drives & Special Teams

CAL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank LOUIS Offense
30:47 91 Time on Field 52 30:35
64.89 45 Number of Plays 70 66.38
5.48 72 Yards Per Play 37 6.14
5.33 19 Punts 84 4.38
40.43 18 Punt Average 136 35.54
95.44 133 Return Yards 5 91.00

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