Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Trends
- Over the past seven games, Air Force has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- Seven of Air Force’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last seven games, Air Force has a record of 1-6 in terms of single-game wins.
- After five games versus San Jose State, Air Force has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Air Force has a winning record of 4-2 in its previous six games versus San Jose State.
- In its previous six games played away from home, Air Force has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- In their last five games against teams from the Mountain West conference, Air Force has a combined record of 1-4 against the spread.
- When Air Force has played an opponent from the West Division division, the total has gone over in four of the last five games that they have played.
- Air Force has a winning record of 4-1 in its past five games played in the month of November.
- Four out of the five games that Air Force has played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
- Five of San Jose State’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- Overall, San Jose State has a record of 4-8 in their previous 12 games.
- Four of San Jose State’s most recent five games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
- In their previous ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, San Jose State has a win-loss record of 2-8 against the spread.
- As a result of playing against teams from the Mountain Division, San Jose State has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
- In its most recent nine games played in the month of November, San Jose State has a winning record of 7-2.
- There have been 12 of San Jose State’s previous 14 games played in week 11 that have resulted in the total going over.
- In the last six games that San Jose State has played on a Saturday, the team has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction
Now we have the Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction for both teams.
Week 11 in college football brings an intriguing Mountain West matchup as the Air Force Falcons travel to face the San Jose State Spartans. Both teams have shown streaky tendencies this season, making this game an interesting one for bettors and fans alike. Air Force comes in with a reputation for dominating on the ground, ranking second nationally in rushing yards with an impressive 270 yards per game, and they’ve consistently found success against San Jose State in recent head-to-head matchups, winning four of their last six encounters. However, their performance against the spread has been inconsistent; Air Force is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, though they have been much stronger away from home, going 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Trends suggest that totals have been hitting over frequently, with seven of Air Force’s last nine games surpassing the total and four of their five Week 11 games going over. With both teams prone to high-scoring affairs and having recent tendencies to push totals higher, fans can anticipate an entertaining contest that could be decided by a few key plays in the trenches and on special teams.
Air Force’s offense relies heavily on its ground game, and the Falcons will look to control the clock and dictate the pace against a San Jose State defense that has struggled to contain rushing attacks. Quarterback play has been efficient enough to complement their run-heavy approach, but the focus remains on pounding the football with the nation’s second-ranked rushing attack. Despite ranking 35th in points per game, Air Force has been particularly lethal in the fourth quarter, averaging 13.25 points, which could be crucial in a tight matchup. Their offensive line has provided solid protection, allowing just 1.38 turnovers per game while generating 4.25 penalties, keeping drives alive. Time of possession has also been a key factor; the Falcons lead with over 33 minutes on the field per game, which wears down defenses and sets up big rushing gains late in games. Against San Jose State, Air Force will likely try to exploit a Spartans’ run defense that allows 179 yards per game, using multiple rushing backs to maintain pressure and control, while looking to capitalize on short bursts of passing to keep the defense honest.
San Jose State enters this matchup with its own strengths, particularly in the passing game, ranking first in passing yards per game at 332.88, but they have struggled to generate balance with a middling rushing attack that ranks 112th nationally. The Spartans have seen much of their success in November, posting a 7-2 record in this month over the last nine seasons, signaling a team that often hits stride late. They’ve also consistently participated in high-scoring games, with 12 of their last 14 Week 11 contests going over the total. San Jose State’s offense operates at a rapid pace, with 69 plays per game and averaging 6.56 yards per play, giving them the potential to score quickly, but they’ll face the challenge of breaking down an Air Force defense that ranks 8th nationally in time of possession and is built to slow games down. If the Spartans can protect the football—currently averaging 1.5 turnovers per game—they could stretch the field vertically and challenge the Falcons’ defensive secondary. Ultimately, this matchup pits Air Force’s disciplined, clock-controlling offense against San Jose State’s high-flying passing attack, and it may come down to which team imposes its style more effectively.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: AIR FORCE
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/07/24
|
|
SJS 17-7
|
AF-4.0
|
U46.5
|
AF-215
|
|
9/22/23
|
|
AF 45-20
|
SJS+2.0
|
O46.5
|
SJS+160
|
|
10/24/20
|
|
SJS 17-6
|
SJS+7.5
|
U62.5
|
SJS+205
|
|
9/27/19
|
|
AF 41-24
|
AF-19.5
|
O57.5
|
AF-1430
|
|
11/19/16
|
|
AF 41-38
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/12/15
|
|
AF 37-16
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Air Force Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
ARM
|
L 20-17
|
L+1.5
|
U49.5
|
L+122
|
|
10/18/25
|
WYO
|
W 24-21
|
L-5.5
|
U57.5
|
W-194
|
|
10/11/25
|
@UNLV
|
L 51-48
|
W+5.5
|
O61.5
|
L+168
|
|
10/04/25
|
@NAV
|
L 34-31
|
W+11.5
|
O57.5
|
L+320
|
|
9/27/25
|
HAW
|
L 44-35
|
L-5.5
|
O53.5
|
L-200
|
|
9/20/25
|
BOISE
|
L 49-37
|
L+7.5
|
O51.5
|
L+240
|
|
9/13/25
|
@UTS
|
L 49-30
|
L-3.5
|
O51.5
|
L-188
|
|
8/30/25
|
BUC
|
W 49-13
|
W-30.5
|
O54.5
|
W-7000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@SDSU
|
W 31-20
|
W-2.5
|
O43.5
|
W-140
|
|
11/23/24
|
@NEV
|
W 22-19
|
W+3.5
|
U45.5
|
W+130
|
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
HAW
|
W 45-38
|
W-2.5
|
O54.5
|
W-132
|
|
10/17/25
|
@UTS
|
L 30-25
|
L+3.5
|
U63.5
|
L+142
|
|
10/11/25
|
@WYO
|
L 35-28
|
L+1.5
|
O51.5
|
L-110
|
|
10/03/25
|
NM
|
W 35-28
|
W-3.5
|
O55.5
|
W-138
|
|
9/27/25
|
@STA
|
L 30-29
|
W+1.5
|
O49.5
|
L+102
|
|
9/20/25
|
IDA
|
W 31-28
|
L-14.5
|
O50.5
|
W-315
|
|
9/06/25
|
@TEX
|
L 38-7
|
W+37.5
|
U51.5
|
L+2615
|
|
8/29/25
|
CMC
|
L 16-14
|
L-11.5
|
U51.5
|
L-430
|
|
12/24/24
|
USF
|
L 41-39
|
L-2.5
|
O62.5
|
L-134
|
|
11/29/24
|
STA
|
W 34-31
|
W-1.5
|
O54.5
|
W-122
|
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Air Force Offense
Overall
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.88 | 35 | Points Scored | 110 | 30.38 |
| 185.00 | 109 | Passing Yards | 136 | 311.00 |
| 270.00 | 2 | Rushing Yards | 38 | 123.75 |
| 33:08 | 8 | Time on Field | 93 | 30:50 |
| 68.25 | 49 | Number of Plays | 95 | 68.38 |
| 6.67 | 23 | Yards Per Play | 126 | 6.36 |
Scoring
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.88 | 35 | Points Scored | 110 | 30.38 |
| 6.00 | 72 | First Quarter | 110 | 7.38 |
| 6.38 | 102 | Second Quarter | 88 | 8.13 |
| 8.25 | 26 | Third Quarter | 74 | 5.63 |
| 13.25 | 1 | Fourth Quarter | 124 | 9.25 |
Passing
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.00 | 109 | Passing Yards | 136 | 311.00 |
| 16.00 | 134 | Pass Attempts | 123 | 35.00 |
| 9.75 | 134 | Pass Completions | 126 | 22.75 |
| 1.38 | 31 | Sacks | 70 | 2.00 |
| 8.00 | 107 | Sack Yards | 29 | 10.13 |
| 18.97 | 1 | Yards Per Pass | 129 | 13.67 |
Rushing
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270.00 | 2 | Rushing Yards | 38 | 123.75 |
| 52.25 | 2 | Rush Attempts | 42 | 33.38 |
| 5.17 | 22 | Yards Per Rush | 43 | 3.71 |
Turn Overs
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 65 | Interceptions | 67 | 0.75 |
| 0.88 | 31 | Fumbles | 83 | 1.00 |
| 0.50 | 59 | Fumbles Lost | 48 | 0.63 |
| 1.25 | 66 | Total Turnovers | 58 | 1.38 |
| 4.25 | 11 | Penalties | 4 | 8.50 |
| 38.00 | 14 | Penalty Yards | 10 | 69.88 |
Drives & Special Teams
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | SJST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33:08 | 8 | Time on Field | 93 | 30:50 |
| 68.25 | 49 | Number of Plays | 95 | 68.38 |
| 6.67 | 23 | Yards Per Play | 126 | 6.36 |
| 1.88 | 3 | Punts | 88 | 4.13 |
| 47.21 | 11 | Punt Average | 101 | 43.89 |
| 16.38 | 136 | Return Yards | 99 | 64.38 |
Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State Offense
Overall
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.13 | 127 | Points Scored | 77 | 26.75 |
| 281.50 | 132 | Passing Yards | 1 | 332.88 |
| 179.00 | 113 | Rushing Yards | 112 | 121.38 |
| 26:51 | 8 | Time on Field | 89 | 29:09 |
| 61.13 | 17 | Number of Plays | 36 | 69.25 |
| 7.53 | 135 | Yards Per Play | 24 | 6.56 |
Scoring
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.13 | 127 | Points Scored | 77 | 26.75 |
| 7.38 | 107 | First Quarter | 89 | 5.13 |
| 5.88 | 38 | Second Quarter | 14 | 12.00 |
| 9.38 | 128 | Third Quarter | 76 | 5.63 |
| 12.50 | 135 | Fourth Quarter | 123 | 4.00 |
Passing
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281.50 | 132 | Passing Yards | 1 | 332.88 |
| 27.25 | 26 | Pass Attempts | 3 | 42.88 |
| 19.13 | 73 | Pass Completions | 9 | 24.75 |
| 1.25 | 121 | Sacks | 6 | 0.63 |
| 6.38 | 11 | Sack Yards | 118 | 6.25 |
| 14.72 | 134 | Yards Per Pass | 16 | 13.45 |
Rushing
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179.00 | 113 | Rushing Yards | 112 | 121.38 |
| 33.88 | 48 | Rush Attempts | 135 | 26.38 |
| 5.28 | 131 | Yards Per Rush | 49 | 4.60 |
Turn Overs
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 98 | Interceptions | 28 | 0.50 |
| 0.50 | 129 | Fumbles | 112 | 1.38 |
| 0.25 | 106 | Fumbles Lost | 133 | 1.00 |
| 0.75 | 122 | Total Turnovers | 101 | 1.50 |
| 6.25 | 60 | Penalties | 73 | 6.38 |
| 49.38 | 86 | Penalty Yards | 65 | 54.25 |
Drives & Special Teams
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | SJST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26:51 | 8 | Time on Field | 89 | 29:09 |
| 61.13 | 17 | Number of Plays | 36 | 69.25 |
| 7.53 | 135 | Yards Per Play | 24 | 6.56 |
| 2.75 | 130 | Punts | 47 | 3.50 |
| 42.27 | 59 | Punt Average | 12 | 47.17 |
| 43.88 | 61 | Return Yards | 77 | 54.38 |
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