Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past seven games, Air Force has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
  • Seven of Air Force’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last seven games, Air Force has a record of 1-6 in terms of single-game wins.
  • After five games versus San Jose State, Air Force has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • Air Force has a winning record of 4-2 in its previous six games versus San Jose State.
  • In its previous six games played away from home, Air Force has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • In their last five games against teams from the Mountain West conference, Air Force has a combined record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • When Air Force has played an opponent from the West Division division, the total has gone over in four of the last five games that they have played.
  • Air Force has a winning record of 4-1 in its past five games played in the month of November.
  • Four out of the five games that Air Force has played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
  • Five of San Jose State’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Overall, San Jose State has a record of 4-8 in their previous 12 games.
  • Four of San Jose State’s most recent five games played at home have resulted in the total going over.
  • In their previous ten games against teams from the Mountain West conference, San Jose State has a win-loss record of 2-8 against the spread.
  • As a result of playing against teams from the Mountain Division, San Jose State has a record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
  • In its most recent nine games played in the month of November, San Jose State has a winning record of 7-2.
  • There have been 12 of San Jose State’s previous 14 games played in week 11 that have resulted in the total going over.
  • In the last six games that San Jose State has played on a Saturday, the team has a record of 2-4 against the spread.

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction

Now we have the Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction for both teams.

Week 11 in college football brings an intriguing Mountain West matchup as the Air Force Falcons travel to face the San Jose State Spartans. Both teams have shown streaky tendencies this season, making this game an interesting one for bettors and fans alike. Air Force comes in with a reputation for dominating on the ground, ranking second nationally in rushing yards with an impressive 270 yards per game, and they’ve consistently found success against San Jose State in recent head-to-head matchups, winning four of their last six encounters. However, their performance against the spread has been inconsistent; Air Force is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, though they have been much stronger away from home, going 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Trends suggest that totals have been hitting over frequently, with seven of Air Force’s last nine games surpassing the total and four of their five Week 11 games going over. With both teams prone to high-scoring affairs and having recent tendencies to push totals higher, fans can anticipate an entertaining contest that could be decided by a few key plays in the trenches and on special teams.

Air Force’s offense relies heavily on its ground game, and the Falcons will look to control the clock and dictate the pace against a San Jose State defense that has struggled to contain rushing attacks. Quarterback play has been efficient enough to complement their run-heavy approach, but the focus remains on pounding the football with the nation’s second-ranked rushing attack. Despite ranking 35th in points per game, Air Force has been particularly lethal in the fourth quarter, averaging 13.25 points, which could be crucial in a tight matchup. Their offensive line has provided solid protection, allowing just 1.38 turnovers per game while generating 4.25 penalties, keeping drives alive. Time of possession has also been a key factor; the Falcons lead with over 33 minutes on the field per game, which wears down defenses and sets up big rushing gains late in games. Against San Jose State, Air Force will likely try to exploit a Spartans’ run defense that allows 179 yards per game, using multiple rushing backs to maintain pressure and control, while looking to capitalize on short bursts of passing to keep the defense honest.

San Jose State enters this matchup with its own strengths, particularly in the passing game, ranking first in passing yards per game at 332.88, but they have struggled to generate balance with a middling rushing attack that ranks 112th nationally. The Spartans have seen much of their success in November, posting a 7-2 record in this month over the last nine seasons, signaling a team that often hits stride late. They’ve also consistently participated in high-scoring games, with 12 of their last 14 Week 11 contests going over the total. San Jose State’s offense operates at a rapid pace, with 69 plays per game and averaging 6.56 yards per play, giving them the potential to score quickly, but they’ll face the challenge of breaking down an Air Force defense that ranks 8th nationally in time of possession and is built to slow games down. If the Spartans can protect the football—currently averaging 1.5 turnovers per game—they could stretch the field vertically and challenge the Falcons’ defensive secondary. Ultimately, this matchup pits Air Force’s disciplined, clock-controlling offense against San Jose State’s high-flying passing attack, and it may come down to which team imposes its style more effectively.

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: AIR FORCE

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Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/07/24
SJS 17-7
AF-4.0
U46.5
AF-215
9/22/23
AF 45-20
SJS+2.0
O46.5
SJS+160
10/24/20
SJS 17-6
SJS+7.5
U62.5
SJS+205
9/27/19
AF 41-24
AF-19.5
O57.5
AF-1430
11/19/16
AF 41-38
NL
NL
NL
9/12/15
AF 37-16
NL
NL
NL

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Air Force Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
L 20-17
L+1.5
U49.5
L+122
10/18/25
W 24-21
L-5.5
U57.5
W-194
10/11/25
L 51-48
W+5.5
O61.5
L+168
10/04/25
L 34-31
W+11.5
O57.5
L+320
9/27/25
L 44-35
L-5.5
O53.5
L-200
9/20/25
L 49-37
L+7.5
O51.5
L+240
9/13/25
L 49-30
L-3.5
O51.5
L-188
8/30/25
W 49-13
W-30.5
O54.5
W-7000
11/30/24
W 31-20
W-2.5
O43.5
W-140
11/23/24
W 22-19
W+3.5
U45.5
W+130

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 45-38
W-2.5
O54.5
W-132
10/17/25
L 30-25
L+3.5
U63.5
L+142
10/11/25
L 35-28
L+1.5
O51.5
L-110
10/03/25
W 35-28
W-3.5
O55.5
W-138
9/27/25
L 30-29
W+1.5
O49.5
L+102
9/20/25
W 31-28
L-14.5
O50.5
W-315
9/06/25
L 38-7
W+37.5
U51.5
L+2615
8/29/25
L 16-14
L-11.5
U51.5
L-430
12/24/24
L 41-39
L-2.5
O62.5
L-134
11/29/24
W 34-31
W-1.5
O54.5
W-122

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Air Force Offense

Overall

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
33.88 35 Points Scored 110 30.38
185.00 109 Passing Yards 136 311.00
270.00 2 Rushing Yards 38 123.75
33:08 8 Time on Field 93 30:50
68.25 49 Number of Plays 95 68.38
6.67 23 Yards Per Play 126 6.36

Scoring

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
33.88 35 Points Scored 110 30.38
6.00 72 First Quarter 110 7.38
6.38 102 Second Quarter 88 8.13
8.25 26 Third Quarter 74 5.63
13.25 1 Fourth Quarter 124 9.25

Passing

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
185.00 109 Passing Yards 136 311.00
16.00 134 Pass Attempts 123 35.00
9.75 134 Pass Completions 126 22.75
1.38 31 Sacks 70 2.00
8.00 107 Sack Yards 29 10.13
18.97 1 Yards Per Pass 129 13.67

Rushing

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
270.00 2 Rushing Yards 38 123.75
52.25 2 Rush Attempts 42 33.38
5.17 22 Yards Per Rush 43 3.71

Turn Overs

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
0.75 65 Interceptions 67 0.75
0.88 31 Fumbles 83 1.00
0.50 59 Fumbles Lost 48 0.63
1.25 66 Total Turnovers 58 1.38
4.25 11 Penalties 4 8.50
38.00 14 Penalty Yards 10 69.88

Drives & Special Teams

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SJST Defense
33:08 8 Time on Field 93 30:50
68.25 49 Number of Plays 95 68.38
6.67 23 Yards Per Play 126 6.36
1.88 3 Punts 88 4.13
47.21 11 Punt Average 101 43.89
16.38 136 Return Yards 99 64.38

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: San Jose State Offense

Overall

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
35.13 127 Points Scored 77 26.75
281.50 132 Passing Yards 1 332.88
179.00 113 Rushing Yards 112 121.38
26:51 8 Time on Field 89 29:09
61.13 17 Number of Plays 36 69.25
7.53 135 Yards Per Play 24 6.56

Scoring

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
35.13 127 Points Scored 77 26.75
7.38 107 First Quarter 89 5.13
5.88 38 Second Quarter 14 12.00
9.38 128 Third Quarter 76 5.63
12.50 135 Fourth Quarter 123 4.00

Passing

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
281.50 132 Passing Yards 1 332.88
27.25 26 Pass Attempts 3 42.88
19.13 73 Pass Completions 9 24.75
1.25 121 Sacks 6 0.63
6.38 11 Sack Yards 118 6.25
14.72 134 Yards Per Pass 16 13.45

Rushing

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
179.00 113 Rushing Yards 112 121.38
33.88 48 Rush Attempts 135 26.38
5.28 131 Yards Per Rush 49 4.60

Turn Overs

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
0.50 98 Interceptions 28 0.50
0.50 129 Fumbles 112 1.38
0.25 106 Fumbles Lost 133 1.00
0.75 122 Total Turnovers 101 1.50
6.25 60 Penalties 73 6.38
49.38 86 Penalty Yards 65 54.25

Drives & Special Teams

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SJST Offense
26:51 8 Time on Field 89 29:09
61.13 17 Number of Plays 36 69.25
7.53 135 Yards Per Play 24 6.56
2.75 130 Punts 47 3.50
42.27 59 Punt Average 12 47.17
43.88 61 Return Yards 77 54.38

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