UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11

UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11

UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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UMass vs Akron Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past eight games, Massachusetts has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • Nine of the previous twelve games that Massachusetts has played have had the total go over.
  • Massachusetts has a losing record of 0-10 in its last ten games.
  • In its previous 11 games played away from home, Massachusetts has a record of 0-11 against the spread.
  • With a total of 17 games played against opponents from the Mid-American conference, Massachusetts has a losing record of 0-17 on the road.
  • Four out of the last six games that Massachusetts has played against an opponent from the East Division division have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In five of the last six games that Massachusetts has played in the month of November, the total has been above.
  • After five games played in week 11, Massachusetts has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • In its last 18 games, Akron has a record of 6-12 against the spread.
  • There have been four of Akron’s last five games against Massachusetts in which the total has been UNDER.
  • Over the course of its last 20 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Akron has a winning percentage of 6-14.
  • After six games played in November, Akron has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
  • During the eleventh week of the season, Akron had a record of 0-7 on the road.
  • In its last six games played on Tuesdays, Akron has a perfect 6-0 overall record.
  • When Akron has been the favorite in their most recent five games, the total has gone over in five of those games.

UMass vs Akron Prediction

Now we have the UMass vs Akron Prediction for both teams.

This Week 11 matchup between UMass and Akron features two programs that have struggled to find consistency, but the trends and recent performance metrics point to a fairly clear difference in how each team enters this contest. UMass has been mired in one of the longest active losing stretches in FBS football, entering this game with a 0-10 record over its last ten and winless in its last 17 road games against MAC opponents. Their offense has been unable to sustain drives, ranked bottom five nationally in scoring (11.5 points per game) and averaging fewer than 4 yards per play, which puts enormous pressure on a defense that allows nearly 36 points per game. The total has gone over in nine of UMass’ last twelve overall, but that often reflects their defensive shortcomings rather than offensive improvement. Meanwhile, Akron has also had its struggles, particularly against the spread over longer stretches, but the Zips have been more competitive recently and have covered in five of their last six games played in November. Akron has also performed notably better in weekday MACtion environments, with a perfect 6-0 record in their last six Tuesday games. Even in what appears to be a low-tier matchup on paper, trends, matchup dynamics, and on-field performance point to one side holding a clearer path to control the game.

For UMass, the challenge remains the ability to generate consistent offense and avoid falling behind early. The Minutemen rank near the bottom nationally in passing and rushing production, with just 11.5 points per game and only 81.6 rushing yards on average. Their passing game attempts a decent volume, but yards per attempt and efficiency are lacking, as UMass averages just 3.95 yards per play. The offensive line has struggled to protect the quarterback and open running lanes, leading to predictable play-calling and long third-down situations. Defensively, UMass gives up 35.9 points per game and struggles to get off the field, allowing opponents to control possession and tempo. Their rush defense has been a major vulnerability, and while Akron isn’t known for explosive offense, any team with the ability to grind out drives can find opportunities against this unit. Special teams have been one of the few bright spots, particularly in the punting game, but that’s rarely enough to compensate for multi-possession deficits. The biggest issue for UMass remains compounding mistakes—turnovers, quick three-and-outs, and penalties that stall the rare promising drive. Unless they find a way to generate early scoring and force Akron into mistakes, UMass will likely be climbing uphill for the majority of this contest.

Akron’s offense hasn’t been without its flaws, averaging just under 19 points per game, but the Zips have shown more functional balance than UMass and have put together competitive outings against MAC opponents. Akron’s run game averages 126.5 yards per contest, which matches up favorably against a UMass defense allowing 182.5 on the ground. While Akron’s passing attack isn’t explosive, the efficiency advantage and reduced turnover rate give them a stability edge. Akron’s defense allows 29 points per game—still high—but significantly better than UMass, and the Zips have been much stronger situationally, particularly in the fourth quarter where UMass essentially disappears offensively. The Zips also have favorable historical and situational trends: 5-1 ATS in November games, undefeated on Tuesdays recently, and more success overall in MAC play. If Akron can control field position and avoid letting UMass hang around with quick scoring, the matchup leans toward the Zips maintaining steady control. This is not a game likely to feature explosive plays or major swings, but Akron’s consistency in key areas gives them a clearer route to victory.

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UMass vs Akron Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/28/19
UMASS 37-29
UMASS+9.0
O60
UMASS+255
11/07/15
AKR 17-13
NL
NL
NL

UMass vs Akron Prediction: UMass Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
L 38-13
L+16.5
O47.5
L+640
10/18/25
L 28-21
W+17.0
O45.5
L+750
10/11/25
L 42-6
L+3.0
O45.5
L-102
10/04/25
L 21-3
L+10.5
U47.5
L+250
9/27/25
L 42-6
W+42.5
U54.5
L+12000
9/13/25
L 47-7
L+34.5
O44.5
L+7000
9/06/25
L 27-26
L-14.5
O52.5
L-580
8/30/25
L 42-10
L-0.5
U52.5
L-104
11/30/24
L 47-42
W+10.5
O52.5
L+260
11/23/24
L 59-21
W+42.5
O56
L+4000

UMass vs Akron Prediction: Akron Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/25/25
W 24-16
W+10.0
U47.5
W+270
10/18/25
L 42-28
L+1.5
O43.5
L-102
10/11/25
L 20-7
L+9.5
U45.5
L+320
10/04/25
W 28-22
W+6.5
O45.5
W+180
9/27/25
L 45-3
L+21.0
U48.5
L+980
9/20/25
W 51-7
W-7.5
O50.5
W-260
9/13/25
L 31-28
W+9.0
O52
L+280
9/06/25
L 68-0
L+35.5
O47.5
L+8000
8/28/25
L 10-0
L+9.5
U46.5
L+260
11/26/24
W 21-14
W+10.5
U48.5
W+310

UMass vs Akron Prediction: UMass Offense

Overall

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
11.50 136 Points Scored 96 29.00
172.38 118 Passing Yards 104 244.78
81.63 133 Rushing Yards 112 178.11
27:06 126 Time on Field 101 31:04
64.25 102 Number of Plays 96 68.56
3.95 136 Yards Per Play 117 6.17

Scoring

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
11.50 136 Points Scored 96 29.00
4.00 114 First Quarter 87 6.22
5.50 115 Second Quarter 105 9.22
1.63 135 Third Quarter 108 7.22
0.38 136 Fourth Quarter 66 6.33

Passing

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
172.38 118 Passing Yards 104 244.78
35.25 29 Pass Attempts 75 30.78
18.13 89 Pass Completions 72 19.11
3.13 126 Sacks 48 2.22
26.00 4 Sack Yards 86 15.11
9.51 133 Yards Per Pass 116 12.81

Rushing

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
81.63 133 Rushing Yards 112 178.11
29.00 129 Rush Attempts 95 37.78
2.81 132 Yards Per Rush 108 4.71

Turn Overs

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
0.88 92 Interceptions 30 1.11
0.38 3 Fumbles 87 0.89
0.13 11 Fumbles Lost 76 0.44
1.00 40 Total Turnovers 36 1.56
6.25 68 Penalties 82 5.67
46.88 36 Penalty Yards 84 49.67

Drives & Special Teams

UMASS Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank AKRON Defense
27:06 126 Time on Field 101 31:04
64.25 102 Number of Plays 96 68.56
3.95 136 Yards Per Play 117 6.17
6.63 136 Punts 82 4.22
46.76 16 Punt Average 13 40.02
28.13 129 Return Yards 119 81.56

UMass vs Akron Prediction: Akron Offense

Overall

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
35.88 129 Points Scored 124 18.78
256.13 116 Passing Yards 97 199.78
182.50 115 Rushing Yards 104 126.56
32:49 126 Time on Field 98 28:55
71.38 118 Number of Plays 52 67.78
6.15 113 Yards Per Play 123 4.81

Scoring

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
35.88 129 Points Scored 124 18.78
9.88 130 First Quarter 109 4.22
9.00 99 Second Quarter 106 6.11
11.25 136 Third Quarter 91 5.00
5.75 52 Fourth Quarter 126 3.44

Passing

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
256.13 116 Passing Yards 97 199.78
31.25 83 Pass Attempts 46 32.78
21.25 110 Pass Completions 101 17.11
1.38 120 Sacks 114 2.67
6.75 14 Sack Yards 22 18.00
12.05 96 Yards Per Pass 72 11.68

Rushing

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
182.50 115 Rushing Yards 104 126.56
40.13 119 Rush Attempts 71 35.00
4.55 98 Yards Per Rush 117 3.62

Turn Overs

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
0.50 104 Interceptions 82 0.78
1.13 57 Fumbles 18 0.67
0.38 91 Fumbles Lost 44 0.44
0.88 114 Total Turnovers 61 1.22
4.88 116 Penalties 53 6.00
40.88 114 Penalty Yards 28 45.00

Drives & Special Teams

UMASS Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank AKRON Offense
32:49 126 Time on Field 98 28:55
71.38 118 Number of Plays 52 67.78
6.15 113 Yards Per Play 123 4.81
4.00 94 Punts 127 5.56
40.27 14 Punt Average 93 41.95
103.13 135 Return Yards 45 66.11

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: AKRON

 

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UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.

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