UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11
UMass vs Akron Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
UMass vs Akron Prediction: Trends
- Over the past eight games, Massachusetts has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- Nine of the previous twelve games that Massachusetts has played have had the total go over.
- Massachusetts has a losing record of 0-10 in its last ten games.
- In its previous 11 games played away from home, Massachusetts has a record of 0-11 against the spread.
- With a total of 17 games played against opponents from the Mid-American conference, Massachusetts has a losing record of 0-17 on the road.
- Four out of the last six games that Massachusetts has played against an opponent from the East Division division have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In five of the last six games that Massachusetts has played in the month of November, the total has been above.
- After five games played in week 11, Massachusetts has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In its last 18 games, Akron has a record of 6-12 against the spread.
- There have been four of Akron’s last five games against Massachusetts in which the total has been UNDER.
- Over the course of its last 20 games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Akron has a winning percentage of 6-14.
- After six games played in November, Akron has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- During the eleventh week of the season, Akron had a record of 0-7 on the road.
- In its last six games played on Tuesdays, Akron has a perfect 6-0 overall record.
- When Akron has been the favorite in their most recent five games, the total has gone over in five of those games.
UMass vs Akron Prediction
Now we have the UMass vs Akron Prediction for both teams.
This Week 11 matchup between UMass and Akron features two programs that have struggled to find consistency, but the trends and recent performance metrics point to a fairly clear difference in how each team enters this contest. UMass has been mired in one of the longest active losing stretches in FBS football, entering this game with a 0-10 record over its last ten and winless in its last 17 road games against MAC opponents. Their offense has been unable to sustain drives, ranked bottom five nationally in scoring (11.5 points per game) and averaging fewer than 4 yards per play, which puts enormous pressure on a defense that allows nearly 36 points per game. The total has gone over in nine of UMass’ last twelve overall, but that often reflects their defensive shortcomings rather than offensive improvement. Meanwhile, Akron has also had its struggles, particularly against the spread over longer stretches, but the Zips have been more competitive recently and have covered in five of their last six games played in November. Akron has also performed notably better in weekday MACtion environments, with a perfect 6-0 record in their last six Tuesday games. Even in what appears to be a low-tier matchup on paper, trends, matchup dynamics, and on-field performance point to one side holding a clearer path to control the game.
For UMass, the challenge remains the ability to generate consistent offense and avoid falling behind early. The Minutemen rank near the bottom nationally in passing and rushing production, with just 11.5 points per game and only 81.6 rushing yards on average. Their passing game attempts a decent volume, but yards per attempt and efficiency are lacking, as UMass averages just 3.95 yards per play. The offensive line has struggled to protect the quarterback and open running lanes, leading to predictable play-calling and long third-down situations. Defensively, UMass gives up 35.9 points per game and struggles to get off the field, allowing opponents to control possession and tempo. Their rush defense has been a major vulnerability, and while Akron isn’t known for explosive offense, any team with the ability to grind out drives can find opportunities against this unit. Special teams have been one of the few bright spots, particularly in the punting game, but that’s rarely enough to compensate for multi-possession deficits. The biggest issue for UMass remains compounding mistakes—turnovers, quick three-and-outs, and penalties that stall the rare promising drive. Unless they find a way to generate early scoring and force Akron into mistakes, UMass will likely be climbing uphill for the majority of this contest.
Akron’s offense hasn’t been without its flaws, averaging just under 19 points per game, but the Zips have shown more functional balance than UMass and have put together competitive outings against MAC opponents. Akron’s run game averages 126.5 yards per contest, which matches up favorably against a UMass defense allowing 182.5 on the ground. While Akron’s passing attack isn’t explosive, the efficiency advantage and reduced turnover rate give them a stability edge. Akron’s defense allows 29 points per game—still high—but significantly better than UMass, and the Zips have been much stronger situationally, particularly in the fourth quarter where UMass essentially disappears offensively. The Zips also have favorable historical and situational trends: 5-1 ATS in November games, undefeated on Tuesdays recently, and more success overall in MAC play. If Akron can control field position and avoid letting UMass hang around with quick scoring, the matchup leans toward the Zips maintaining steady control. This is not a game likely to feature explosive plays or major swings, but Akron’s consistency in key areas gives them a clearer route to victory.
UMass vs Akron Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/28/19
|
@UMASS
|
UMASS 37-29
|
UMASS+9.0
|
O60
|
UMASS+255
|
|
11/07/15
|
@UMASS
|
AKR 17-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
UMass vs Akron Prediction: UMass Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@CMC
|
L 38-13
|
L+16.5
|
O47.5
|
L+640
|
|
10/18/25
|
BUF
|
L 28-21
|
W+17.0
|
O45.5
|
L+750
|
|
10/11/25
|
@KNT
|
L 42-6
|
L+3.0
|
O45.5
|
L-102
|
|
10/04/25
|
WMC
|
L 21-3
|
L+10.5
|
U47.5
|
L+250
|
|
9/27/25
|
@MIZ
|
L 42-6
|
W+42.5
|
U54.5
|
L+12000
|
|
9/13/25
|
@IOW
|
L 47-7
|
L+34.5
|
O44.5
|
L+7000
|
|
9/06/25
|
BRY
|
L 27-26
|
L-14.5
|
O52.5
|
L-580
|
|
8/30/25
|
TEM
|
L 42-10
|
L-0.5
|
U52.5
|
L-104
|
|
11/30/24
|
UCONN
|
L 47-42
|
W+10.5
|
O52.5
|
L+260
|
|
11/23/24
|
@UGA
|
L 59-21
|
W+42.5
|
O56
|
L+4000
|
UMass vs Akron Prediction: Akron Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@BUF
|
W 24-16
|
W+10.0
|
U47.5
|
W+270
|
|
10/18/25
|
@BALL
|
L 42-28
|
L+1.5
|
O43.5
|
L-102
|
|
10/11/25
|
MOH
|
L 20-7
|
L+9.5
|
U45.5
|
L+320
|
|
10/04/25
|
CMC
|
W 28-22
|
W+6.5
|
O45.5
|
W+180
|
|
9/27/25
|
@TOL
|
L 45-3
|
L+21.0
|
U48.5
|
L+980
|
|
9/20/25
|
DUQ
|
W 51-7
|
W-7.5
|
O50.5
|
W-260
|
|
9/13/25
|
@UAB
|
L 31-28
|
W+9.0
|
O52
|
L+280
|
|
9/06/25
|
@NEB
|
L 68-0
|
L+35.5
|
O47.5
|
L+8000
|
|
8/28/25
|
WYO
|
L 10-0
|
L+9.5
|
U46.5
|
L+260
|
|
11/26/24
|
TOL
|
W 21-14
|
W+10.5
|
U48.5
|
W+310
|
UMass vs Akron Prediction: UMass Offense
Overall
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.50 | 136 | Points Scored | 96 | 29.00 |
| 172.38 | 118 | Passing Yards | 104 | 244.78 |
| 81.63 | 133 | Rushing Yards | 112 | 178.11 |
| 27:06 | 126 | Time on Field | 101 | 31:04 |
| 64.25 | 102 | Number of Plays | 96 | 68.56 |
| 3.95 | 136 | Yards Per Play | 117 | 6.17 |
Scoring
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.50 | 136 | Points Scored | 96 | 29.00 |
| 4.00 | 114 | First Quarter | 87 | 6.22 |
| 5.50 | 115 | Second Quarter | 105 | 9.22 |
| 1.63 | 135 | Third Quarter | 108 | 7.22 |
| 0.38 | 136 | Fourth Quarter | 66 | 6.33 |
Passing
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172.38 | 118 | Passing Yards | 104 | 244.78 |
| 35.25 | 29 | Pass Attempts | 75 | 30.78 |
| 18.13 | 89 | Pass Completions | 72 | 19.11 |
| 3.13 | 126 | Sacks | 48 | 2.22 |
| 26.00 | 4 | Sack Yards | 86 | 15.11 |
| 9.51 | 133 | Yards Per Pass | 116 | 12.81 |
Rushing
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.63 | 133 | Rushing Yards | 112 | 178.11 |
| 29.00 | 129 | Rush Attempts | 95 | 37.78 |
| 2.81 | 132 | Yards Per Rush | 108 | 4.71 |
Turn Overs
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 92 | Interceptions | 30 | 1.11 |
| 0.38 | 3 | Fumbles | 87 | 0.89 |
| 0.13 | 11 | Fumbles Lost | 76 | 0.44 |
| 1.00 | 40 | Total Turnovers | 36 | 1.56 |
| 6.25 | 68 | Penalties | 82 | 5.67 |
| 46.88 | 36 | Penalty Yards | 84 | 49.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UMASS Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | AKRON Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:06 | 126 | Time on Field | 101 | 31:04 |
| 64.25 | 102 | Number of Plays | 96 | 68.56 |
| 3.95 | 136 | Yards Per Play | 117 | 6.17 |
| 6.63 | 136 | Punts | 82 | 4.22 |
| 46.76 | 16 | Punt Average | 13 | 40.02 |
| 28.13 | 129 | Return Yards | 119 | 81.56 |
UMass vs Akron Prediction: Akron Offense
Overall
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.88 | 129 | Points Scored | 124 | 18.78 |
| 256.13 | 116 | Passing Yards | 97 | 199.78 |
| 182.50 | 115 | Rushing Yards | 104 | 126.56 |
| 32:49 | 126 | Time on Field | 98 | 28:55 |
| 71.38 | 118 | Number of Plays | 52 | 67.78 |
| 6.15 | 113 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 4.81 |
Scoring
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.88 | 129 | Points Scored | 124 | 18.78 |
| 9.88 | 130 | First Quarter | 109 | 4.22 |
| 9.00 | 99 | Second Quarter | 106 | 6.11 |
| 11.25 | 136 | Third Quarter | 91 | 5.00 |
| 5.75 | 52 | Fourth Quarter | 126 | 3.44 |
Passing
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.13 | 116 | Passing Yards | 97 | 199.78 |
| 31.25 | 83 | Pass Attempts | 46 | 32.78 |
| 21.25 | 110 | Pass Completions | 101 | 17.11 |
| 1.38 | 120 | Sacks | 114 | 2.67 |
| 6.75 | 14 | Sack Yards | 22 | 18.00 |
| 12.05 | 96 | Yards Per Pass | 72 | 11.68 |
Rushing
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182.50 | 115 | Rushing Yards | 104 | 126.56 |
| 40.13 | 119 | Rush Attempts | 71 | 35.00 |
| 4.55 | 98 | Yards Per Rush | 117 | 3.62 |
Turn Overs
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 104 | Interceptions | 82 | 0.78 |
| 1.13 | 57 | Fumbles | 18 | 0.67 |
| 0.38 | 91 | Fumbles Lost | 44 | 0.44 |
| 0.88 | 114 | Total Turnovers | 61 | 1.22 |
| 4.88 | 116 | Penalties | 53 | 6.00 |
| 40.88 | 114 | Penalty Yards | 28 | 45.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UMASS Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | AKRON Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:49 | 126 | Time on Field | 98 | 28:55 |
| 71.38 | 118 | Number of Plays | 52 | 67.78 |
| 6.15 | 113 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 4.81 |
| 4.00 | 94 | Punts | 127 | 5.56 |
| 40.27 | 14 | Punt Average | 93 | 41.95 |
| 103.13 | 135 | Return Yards | 45 | 66.11 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: AKRON
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
Visit the Betting School and learn how to wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below:

