Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Trends
- In four of Tulane’s most recent five games, the total has been played UNDER.
- The SU record for Tulane in its last 18 games is 14-4.
- The over/under record for Tulane’s previous five games versus Memphis is 4-1.
- Overall, Tulane has a record of 4-14 against Memphis in its last 18 games.
- Tulane has a winning record of 17-3 on the road in its previous 20 games.
- As a result of facing Memphis away from home, Tulane has a record of 1-8 in its previous nine games versus Memphis.
- Over the course of the last sixteen games that Tulane has played against opponents from the American Conference, the total has been UNDER in eleven of those games.
- Over the course of its previous 15 games versus opponents from the West Division, Tulane has a record of 10-5 against the spread.
- The over/under record for Tulane’s previous five games played in November is 4-1.
- Over the past nine games, Memphis has a record of 8-1 against the spread.
- Four of Memphis’ most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last 13 games, Memphis has a winning record of 12-1 against the spread.
- In each of Memphis’ last six games versus Tulane, the total has been over in four of those contests.
- Memphis has a perfect record against the spread in its last five games played at home.
- Memphis has a head-to-head record of 8-1 against Tulane in its last nine games while playing at home.
- In the last eight games that Memphis has played against an opponent from the American Conference, Memphis has a winning record of 7-1.
- Versus the spread, Memphis has a record of 4-1 in its previous five games versus teams that are in the West Division division.
- Seven of Memphis’ most recent eight games played in November have resulted in the total going over.
- Memphis has been the favorite in five of their previous seven games, and the total has gone UNDER in all of those games.
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction
Now we have the Tulane vs Memphis Prediction for both teams.
This Week 11 matchup between Tulane and Memphis brings together two programs with contrasting recent identities but plenty on the line as the conference picture tightens. Tulane enters this game with a clear trend toward lower-scoring battles, with four of their last five contests finishing under the total. Their style this season has leaned on efficiency, ball control, and situational defense, rather than the explosive scoring they displayed in previous campaigns. Yet historically, this matchup tends to produce points, as four of the last five head-to-head meetings have hit the over. Meanwhile, Memphis comes in on an ATS heater, having covered the spread in eight of their last nine games, and they’ve been even stronger at home, going a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five at the Liberty Bowl. The Tigers not only hold long-term head-to-head success against Tulane (8-1 in their last nine home meetings), but they also have momentum at the right time of year, with seven of their last eight November games going over as their offense typically peaks late in the season. This game shapes up as a clash of Tulane’s defensive-minded approach against a Memphis team trending toward high-scoring rhythm and confidence.
Tulane’s offense has been steady but not overwhelming, averaging 25.8 points per game while balancing a respectable 233 passing yards and 175 rushing yards per contest. They’re efficient when they establish rhythm on the ground, averaging nearly 5.0 yards per rush, but their scoring output tends to taper off late in games, particularly in the third quarter where they rank outside the top 100 nationally. Defensively, Tulane is competitive but has shown vulnerability, allowing opponents over 157 rushing yards per game—an issue that becomes glaring when facing rush-first or balanced power offenses like Memphis. Tulane’s strength remains field position control, time of possession, and forcing opponents into long, methodical drives. However, penalties and turnover timing have hurt them in key moments, and their track record in Memphis is difficult to ignore: Tulane has lost eight of their last nine road matchups to the Tigers. While the Green Wave have been excellent on the road overall (17-3 in their last 20), their specific struggles in Memphis raise real concerns about whether their controlled style will hold up against a fast-starting, physical offense.
Memphis has been one of the most reliable ATS teams in the country over the last year, covering 12 of their last 13 games overall and thriving in high-leverage environments, especially at home. Offensively, they are explosive and balanced, averaging 37.6 points per game with over 200 rushing yards and nearly 230 passing yards per contest. Their ability to attack both phases keeps defenses guessing, and with Tulane allowing nearly 4.1 yards per rush and giving up chunk pass play efficiency, Memphis is positioned to dictate tempo early. The Tigers also finish games extremely well, averaging nearly 10 points in the fourth quarter—one of the best late-game scoring outputs in the conference. Even though Memphis has had some totals go under recently when favored, history says this matchup tends to open up, and Memphis has shown repeatedly they can score on Tulane’s defensive structure. At home, with confidence and momentum, Memphis has the clearer path to control the game script, especially if they win the line-of-scrimmage battle as expected.
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/28/24
|
@TUL
|
MEM 34-24
|
TUL-14.5
|
O54.5
|
TUL-630
|
|
10/13/23
|
@MEM
|
TUL 31-21
|
MEM+3.0
|
U60.5
|
MEM+114
|
|
10/22/22
|
@TUL
|
TUL 38-28
|
TUL-6.0
|
O56
|
TUL-225
|
|
11/27/21
|
@MEM
|
MEM 33-28
|
MEM-6.5
|
O57.5
|
MEM-250
|
|
12/05/20
|
@TUL
|
TUL 35-21
|
TUL-3.0
|
U63.5
|
TUL-154
|
|
10/19/19
|
@MEM
|
MEM 47-17
|
MEM-3.5
|
O59
|
MEM-165
|
|
9/28/18
|
@TUL
|
TUL 40-24
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/27/17
|
@MEM
|
MEM 56-26
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/14/16
|
@TUL
|
MEM 24-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/31/15
|
@MEM
|
MEM 41-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Tulane Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/30/25
|
@UTSA
|
L 48-26
|
L-5.5
|
O52.5
|
L-200
|
|
10/18/25
|
ARM
|
W 24-17
|
L-12.5
|
U48.5
|
W-430
|
|
10/09/25
|
ECU
|
W 26-19
|
P-7.0
|
U53.5
|
W-315
|
|
9/27/25
|
@TSA
|
W 31-14
|
W-15.5
|
U55
|
W-450
|
|
9/20/25
|
@MIS
|
L 45-10
|
L+14.5
|
O54.5
|
L+440
|
|
9/13/25
|
DUK
|
W 34-27
|
W-1.5
|
O52.5
|
W-178
|
|
9/06/25
|
@SAB
|
W 33-31
|
L-7.5
|
O50.5
|
W-375
|
|
8/30/25
|
NW
|
W 23-3
|
W-6.5
|
U46.5
|
W-210
|
|
12/20/24
|
@FLA
|
L 33-8
|
L+11.5
|
U50.5
|
L+350
|
|
12/06/24
|
@ARM
|
L 35-14
|
L-3.5
|
O48.5
|
L-170
|
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Memphis Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/31/25
|
@RICE
|
W 38-14
|
W-17.5
|
U56.5
|
W-465
|
|
10/25/25
|
USF
|
W 34-31
|
L-3.5
|
U69.5
|
W-152
|
|
10/18/25
|
@UAB
|
L 31-24
|
L-21.5
|
U64.5
|
L-1700
|
|
10/04/25
|
TSA
|
W 45-7
|
W+14.0
|
U61.5
|
W-1400
|
|
9/27/25
|
@FAU
|
W 55-26
|
W-15.5
|
O61.5
|
W-690
|
|
9/20/25
|
ARK
|
W 32-31
|
W+6.5
|
O57.5
|
W+180
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TRY
|
W 28-7
|
W-6.5
|
U51.5
|
W-245
|
|
9/06/25
|
@GST
|
W 38-16
|
W-13.5
|
O53.5
|
W-610
|
|
8/30/25
|
CHT
|
W 45-10
|
W-23.5
|
U55.5
|
W-2300
|
|
12/17/24
|
@WVU
|
W 42-37
|
W+4.5
|
O58.5
|
W+146
|
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Tulane Offense
Overall
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.88 | 82 | Points Scored | 24 | 19.22 |
| 233.13 | 67 | Passing Yards | 68 | 218.67 |
| 175.13 | 50 | Rushing Yards | 42 | 128.22 |
| 30:15 | 63 | Time on Field | 29 | 28:26 |
| 66.63 | 63 | Number of Plays | 65 | 66.22 |
| 6.13 | 40 | Yards Per Play | 49 | 5.24 |
Scoring
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.88 | 82 | Points Scored | 24 | 19.22 |
| 6.38 | 68 | First Quarter | 59 | 4.89 |
| 8.88 | 66 | Second Quarter | 100 | 9.00 |
| 4.25 | 108 | Third Quarter | 10 | 2.22 |
| 6.38 | 77 | Fourth Quarter | 8 | 3.11 |
Passing
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233.13 | 67 | Passing Yards | 68 | 218.67 |
| 30.88 | 66 | Pass Attempts | 107 | 33.22 |
| 18.63 | 81 | Pass Completions | 93 | 20.00 |
| 0.88 | 13 | Sacks | 109 | 1.56 |
| 5.88 | 123 | Sack Yards | 56 | 12.33 |
| 12.52 | 41 | Yards Per Pass | 50 | 10.93 |
Rushing
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175.13 | 50 | Rushing Yards | 42 | 128.22 |
| 35.75 | 65 | Rush Attempts | 33 | 33.00 |
| 4.90 | 31 | Yards Per Rush | 53 | 3.89 |
Turn Overs
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 53 | Interceptions | 12 | 1.33 |
| 1.00 | 61 | Fumbles | 25 | 1.44 |
| 0.63 | 97 | Fumbles Lost | 60 | 0.56 |
| 1.25 | 77 | Total Turnovers | 16 | 1.89 |
| 7.63 | 123 | Penalties | 74 | 5.89 |
| 67.88 | 123 | Penalty Yards | 100 | 46.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TUL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MEM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:15 | 63 | Time on Field | 29 | 28:26 |
| 66.63 | 63 | Number of Plays | 65 | 66.22 |
| 6.13 | 40 | Yards Per Play | 49 | 5.24 |
| 3.50 | 48 | Punts | 45 | 4.78 |
| 47.08 | 13 | Punt Average | 122 | 44.98 |
| 57.88 | 68 | Return Yards | 51 | 41.67 |
Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Memphis Offense
Overall
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.50 | 79 | Points Scored | 12 | 37.67 |
| 244.13 | 102 | Passing Yards | 71 | 228.67 |
| 157.88 | 88 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 200.56 |
| 29:44 | 65 | Time on Field | 27 | 31:33 |
| 70.13 | 110 | Number of Plays | 61 | 67.00 |
| 5.73 | 87 | Yards Per Play | 30 | 6.41 |
Scoring
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.50 | 79 | Points Scored | 12 | 37.67 |
| 5.50 | 75 | First Quarter | 13 | 9.22 |
| 6.63 | 58 | Second Quarter | 23 | 11.56 |
| 4.63 | 48 | Third Quarter | 45 | 7.00 |
| 8.75 | 120 | Fourth Quarter | 16 | 9.89 |
Passing
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244.13 | 102 | Passing Yards | 71 | 228.67 |
| 31.00 | 77 | Pass Attempts | 90 | 28.67 |
| 19.88 | 90 | Pass Completions | 75 | 19.22 |
| 1.88 | 84 | Sacks | 85 | 2.00 |
| 12.00 | 53 | Sack Yards | 41 | 15.11 |
| 12.28 | 104 | Yards Per Pass | 64 | 11.90 |
Rushing
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157.88 | 88 | Rushing Yards | 22 | 200.56 |
| 39.13 | 114 | Rush Attempts | 40 | 38.33 |
| 4.04 | 62 | Yards Per Rush | 21 | 5.23 |
Turn Overs
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 68 | Interceptions | 56 | 0.67 |
| 1.50 | 22 | Fumbles | 54 | 1.00 |
| 0.63 | 51 | Fumbles Lost | 16 | 0.22 |
| 1.38 | 60 | Total Turnovers | 25 | 0.89 |
| 5.50 | 96 | Penalties | 37 | 5.33 |
| 51.13 | 76 | Penalty Yards | 29 | 45.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TUL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MEM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:44 | 65 | Time on Field | 27 | 31:33 |
| 70.13 | 110 | Number of Plays | 61 | 67.00 |
| 5.73 | 87 | Yards Per Play | 30 | 6.41 |
| 3.38 | 122 | Punts | 34 | 3.22 |
| 41.52 | 33 | Punt Average | 73 | 42.99 |
| 23.75 | 5 | Return Yards | 107 | 40.22 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: MEMPHIS
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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