Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Trends

  • In four of Tulane’s most recent five games, the total has been played UNDER.
  • The SU record for Tulane in its last 18 games is 14-4.
  • The over/under record for Tulane’s previous five games versus Memphis is 4-1.
  • Overall, Tulane has a record of 4-14 against Memphis in its last 18 games.
  • Tulane has a winning record of 17-3 on the road in its previous 20 games.
  • As a result of facing Memphis away from home, Tulane has a record of 1-8 in its previous nine games versus Memphis.
  • Over the course of the last sixteen games that Tulane has played against opponents from the American Conference, the total has been UNDER in eleven of those games.
  • Over the course of its previous 15 games versus opponents from the West Division, Tulane has a record of 10-5 against the spread.
  • The over/under record for Tulane’s previous five games played in November is 4-1.
  • Over the past nine games, Memphis has a record of 8-1 against the spread.
  • Four of Memphis’ most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last 13 games, Memphis has a winning record of 12-1 against the spread.
  • In each of Memphis’ last six games versus Tulane, the total has been over in four of those contests.
  • Memphis has a perfect record against the spread in its last five games played at home.
  • Memphis has a head-to-head record of 8-1 against Tulane in its last nine games while playing at home.
  • In the last eight games that Memphis has played against an opponent from the American Conference, Memphis has a winning record of 7-1.
  • Versus the spread, Memphis has a record of 4-1 in its previous five games versus teams that are in the West Division division.
  • Seven of Memphis’ most recent eight games played in November have resulted in the total going over.
  • Memphis has been the favorite in five of their previous seven games, and the total has gone UNDER in all of those games.

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction

Now we have the Tulane vs Memphis Prediction for both teams.

This Week 11 matchup between Tulane and Memphis brings together two programs with contrasting recent identities but plenty on the line as the conference picture tightens. Tulane enters this game with a clear trend toward lower-scoring battles, with four of their last five contests finishing under the total. Their style this season has leaned on efficiency, ball control, and situational defense, rather than the explosive scoring they displayed in previous campaigns. Yet historically, this matchup tends to produce points, as four of the last five head-to-head meetings have hit the over. Meanwhile, Memphis comes in on an ATS heater, having covered the spread in eight of their last nine games, and they’ve been even stronger at home, going a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five at the Liberty Bowl. The Tigers not only hold long-term head-to-head success against Tulane (8-1 in their last nine home meetings), but they also have momentum at the right time of year, with seven of their last eight November games going over as their offense typically peaks late in the season. This game shapes up as a clash of Tulane’s defensive-minded approach against a Memphis team trending toward high-scoring rhythm and confidence.

Tulane’s offense has been steady but not overwhelming, averaging 25.8 points per game while balancing a respectable 233 passing yards and 175 rushing yards per contest. They’re efficient when they establish rhythm on the ground, averaging nearly 5.0 yards per rush, but their scoring output tends to taper off late in games, particularly in the third quarter where they rank outside the top 100 nationally. Defensively, Tulane is competitive but has shown vulnerability, allowing opponents over 157 rushing yards per game—an issue that becomes glaring when facing rush-first or balanced power offenses like Memphis. Tulane’s strength remains field position control, time of possession, and forcing opponents into long, methodical drives. However, penalties and turnover timing have hurt them in key moments, and their track record in Memphis is difficult to ignore: Tulane has lost eight of their last nine road matchups to the Tigers. While the Green Wave have been excellent on the road overall (17-3 in their last 20), their specific struggles in Memphis raise real concerns about whether their controlled style will hold up against a fast-starting, physical offense.

Memphis has been one of the most reliable ATS teams in the country over the last year, covering 12 of their last 13 games overall and thriving in high-leverage environments, especially at home. Offensively, they are explosive and balanced, averaging 37.6 points per game with over 200 rushing yards and nearly 230 passing yards per contest. Their ability to attack both phases keeps defenses guessing, and with Tulane allowing nearly 4.1 yards per rush and giving up chunk pass play efficiency, Memphis is positioned to dictate tempo early. The Tigers also finish games extremely well, averaging nearly 10 points in the fourth quarter—one of the best late-game scoring outputs in the conference. Even though Memphis has had some totals go under recently when favored, history says this matchup tends to open up, and Memphis has shown repeatedly they can score on Tulane’s defensive structure. At home, with confidence and momentum, Memphis has the clearer path to control the game script, especially if they win the line-of-scrimmage battle as expected.

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Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/28/24
MEM 34-24
TUL-14.5
O54.5
TUL-630
10/13/23
TUL 31-21
MEM+3.0
U60.5
MEM+114
10/22/22
TUL 38-28
TUL-6.0
O56
TUL-225
11/27/21
MEM 33-28
MEM-6.5
O57.5
MEM-250
12/05/20
TUL 35-21
TUL-3.0
U63.5
TUL-154
10/19/19
MEM 47-17
MEM-3.5
O59
MEM-165
9/28/18
TUL 40-24
NL
NL
NL
10/27/17
MEM 56-26
NL
NL
NL
10/14/16
MEM 24-14
NL
NL
NL
10/31/15
MEM 41-13
NL
NL
NL

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Tulane Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/30/25
L 48-26
L-5.5
O52.5
L-200
10/18/25
W 24-17
L-12.5
U48.5
W-430
10/09/25
W 26-19
P-7.0
U53.5
W-315
9/27/25
W 31-14
W-15.5
U55
W-450
9/20/25
L 45-10
L+14.5
O54.5
L+440
9/13/25
W 34-27
W-1.5
O52.5
W-178
9/06/25
W 33-31
L-7.5
O50.5
W-375
8/30/25
W 23-3
W-6.5
U46.5
W-210
12/20/24
L 33-8
L+11.5
U50.5
L+350
12/06/24
L 35-14
L-3.5
O48.5
L-170

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Memphis Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/31/25
W 38-14
W-17.5
U56.5
W-465
10/25/25
W 34-31
L-3.5
U69.5
W-152
10/18/25
L 31-24
L-21.5
U64.5
L-1700
10/04/25
W 45-7
W+14.0
U61.5
W-1400
9/27/25
W 55-26
W-15.5
O61.5
W-690
9/20/25
W 32-31
W+6.5
O57.5
W+180
9/13/25
W 28-7
W-6.5
U51.5
W-245
9/06/25
W 38-16
W-13.5
O53.5
W-610
8/30/25
W 45-10
W-23.5
U55.5
W-2300
12/17/24
W 42-37
W+4.5
O58.5
W+146

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Tulane Offense

Overall

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
25.88 82 Points Scored 24 19.22
233.13 67 Passing Yards 68 218.67
175.13 50 Rushing Yards 42 128.22
30:15 63 Time on Field 29 28:26
66.63 63 Number of Plays 65 66.22
6.13 40 Yards Per Play 49 5.24

Scoring

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
25.88 82 Points Scored 24 19.22
6.38 68 First Quarter 59 4.89
8.88 66 Second Quarter 100 9.00
4.25 108 Third Quarter 10 2.22
6.38 77 Fourth Quarter 8 3.11

Passing

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
233.13 67 Passing Yards 68 218.67
30.88 66 Pass Attempts 107 33.22
18.63 81 Pass Completions 93 20.00
0.88 13 Sacks 109 1.56
5.88 123 Sack Yards 56 12.33
12.52 41 Yards Per Pass 50 10.93

Rushing

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
175.13 50 Rushing Yards 42 128.22
35.75 65 Rush Attempts 33 33.00
4.90 31 Yards Per Rush 53 3.89

Turn Overs

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
0.63 53 Interceptions 12 1.33
1.00 61 Fumbles 25 1.44
0.63 97 Fumbles Lost 60 0.56
1.25 77 Total Turnovers 16 1.89
7.63 123 Penalties 74 5.89
67.88 123 Penalty Yards 100 46.22

Drives & Special Teams

TUL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MEM Defense
30:15 63 Time on Field 29 28:26
66.63 63 Number of Plays 65 66.22
6.13 40 Yards Per Play 49 5.24
3.50 48 Punts 45 4.78
47.08 13 Punt Average 122 44.98
57.88 68 Return Yards 51 41.67

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction: Memphis Offense

Overall

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
25.50 79 Points Scored 12 37.67
244.13 102 Passing Yards 71 228.67
157.88 88 Rushing Yards 22 200.56
29:44 65 Time on Field 27 31:33
70.13 110 Number of Plays 61 67.00
5.73 87 Yards Per Play 30 6.41

Scoring

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
25.50 79 Points Scored 12 37.67
5.50 75 First Quarter 13 9.22
6.63 58 Second Quarter 23 11.56
4.63 48 Third Quarter 45 7.00
8.75 120 Fourth Quarter 16 9.89

Passing

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
244.13 102 Passing Yards 71 228.67
31.00 77 Pass Attempts 90 28.67
19.88 90 Pass Completions 75 19.22
1.88 84 Sacks 85 2.00
12.00 53 Sack Yards 41 15.11
12.28 104 Yards Per Pass 64 11.90

Rushing

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
157.88 88 Rushing Yards 22 200.56
39.13 114 Rush Attempts 40 38.33
4.04 62 Yards Per Rush 21 5.23

Turn Overs

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
0.75 68 Interceptions 56 0.67
1.50 22 Fumbles 54 1.00
0.63 51 Fumbles Lost 16 0.22
1.38 60 Total Turnovers 25 0.89
5.50 96 Penalties 37 5.33
51.13 76 Penalty Yards 29 45.00

Drives & Special Teams

TUL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MEM Offense
29:44 65 Time on Field 27 31:33
70.13 110 Number of Plays 61 67.00
5.73 87 Yards Per Play 30 6.41
3.38 122 Punts 34 3.22
41.52 33 Punt Average 73 42.99
23.75 5 Return Yards 107 40.22

Our CFB Week 11 Pick: MEMPHIS

 

All NFL Week 11 Predictions

 

 

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Tulane vs Memphis Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.

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