Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Trends
- Over the past five games, Miami-Ohio has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
- Out of Miami-Ohio’s last seven games, the total has been over in five of them.
- In its last five games, Miami-Ohio has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
- Overall, Miami-Ohio has a record of 5-14 against Ohio in its last 19 games.
- In its previous five games played away from home, Miami-Ohio has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Over the course of its previous eight games against Ohio, Miami-Ohio has a record of 1-7 on the road versus Ohio.
- Over the course of its previous twelve games versus teams from the Mid-American conference, Miami-Ohio has a winning record of 11-1.
- Over the past ten games, Miami-Ohio has a record of 8-2 against the spread when playing against teams from the East Division.
- Out of the eight games that Miami-Ohio has played in November, the total has been UNDER in six of those contests.
- Over the past 15 games, Ohio has a record of 10-4-1 against the spread.
- In its last 15 games, Ohio has a winning record of 12-3 against the spread.
- Out of Ohio’s last five games versus Miami-Ohio, the total has been over in four of those games.
- At home, Ohio has a perfect record of 11-0 in its last 11 games.
- When playing at home versus Miami-Ohio, Ohio has a 7-1 home-field advantage in its last eight games.
- In Ohio’s last ten games against teams from the Mid-American conference, the Buckeyes have a record of 8-2 against the spread.
- Over the course of its last six games versus opponents from the East Division, Ohio has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- Out of the five games that Ohio has played in November, the total has been under in four of those games.
- Twelve of Ohio’s most recent twelve games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going UNDER.
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction
Now we have the Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction for both teams.
This matchup between Miami Ohio and Ohio is one of the most consistently compelling rivalries in the Mid-American Conference, and once again, it comes with high stakes. Both teams enter this game with strong ATS trends and momentum within the conference, but they approach the contest with very different play styles, statistical profiles, and situational strengths. Miami Ohio has been one of the most reliable teams for bettors over the past few weeks, going a perfect 5-0 against the spread in its last five outings and 11-1 in its last 12 MAC matchups. However, history in this rivalry leans heavily toward Ohio, especially when the game is played in Athens, where Ohio has won seven of the last eight meetings at home and currently boasts an 11-game home winning streak overall. The total trends are also particularly interesting, with Miami Ohio tending to hit the UNDER in November, while recent head-to-head matchups between these teams have leaned toward the OVER. Given the defensive consistency Miami Ohio has shown and the explosive scoring potential Ohio has exhibited at home, this matchup becomes a fascinating clash of rhythm, tempo, and situational strengths where both sides will be looking to dictate control early.
For Miami Ohio, the key to competing in this game will be leaning on a balanced offensive approach and staying disciplined in time-of-possession management. The RedHawks have shown strong efficiency with nearly 167 rushing yards per game and a top-55 rushing offense that puts them in position to control the clock and keep Ohio’s playmakers off the field. Even though the passing totals don’t jump off the page, Miami Ohio averages nearly 14.5 yards per pass attempt, which signals a high-efficiency vertical approach—when they pass, they pass with intent. Defensively, Miami Ohio has been strong in limiting yardage and third-quarter production, ranking top-40 in scoring defense while keeping opponents under 125 rushing yards per game. The RedHawks have also traveled well, going 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. That said, the glaring concern is their history in Athens and recent head-to-head outcomes. Miami Ohio has struggled to flip momentum in this stadium, often falling behind early. If they cannot control early field position and win the turnover battle, they run the risk of letting Ohio set the tempo, which is exactly what has burned them in past road meetings.
Ohio enters this game with perhaps the strongest situational advantages of any MAC team in Week 11. The Bobcats have been dominant at home, owning an 11-game home winning streak and a 7-1 advantage against Miami Ohio in their last eight meetings in Athens. Offensively, Ohio brings a balanced attack fueled by a top-20 rushing output at over 200 yards per game, paired with efficient downfield passing. Their yards-per-play metrics are significantly stronger than Miami Ohio’s, and they are excellent at wearing defenses down through sustained drives—averaging over 32 minutes of possession time per game. Ohio has also proven to be a strong late-game closer, especially at home where their crowd environment helps sustain momentum. The defense does give up some chunk plays, but their ability to generate sacks and force mistakes at key moments has consistently swung second-half situations in their favor. Looking at the full picture—home dominance, stronger recent head-to-head performances, and more explosive offensive upside—Ohio enters this matchup with the clearer path to controlling tempo and game flow.
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12/07/24
|
@MOH
|
OHI 38-3
|
MOH-1.5
|
U45.5
|
MOH-125
|
|
10/19/24
|
@MOH
|
MOH 30-20
|
MOH-4.0
|
O43
|
MOH-184
|
|
10/28/23
|
@OHI
|
MOH 30-16
|
OHI-4.5
|
O40
|
OHI-225
|
|
11/08/22
|
@MOH
|
OHI 37-21
|
MOH+1.0
|
O50.5
|
MOHEVEN
|
|
11/02/21
|
@OHI
|
OHI 35-33
|
OHI+7.0
|
O52.5
|
OHI+220
|
|
11/06/19
|
@OHI
|
MOH 24-21
|
OHI-7.0
|
U56.5
|
OHI-360
|
|
11/07/18
|
@MOH
|
MOH 30-28
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/31/17
|
@OHI
|
OHI 45-28
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/01/16
|
@MOH
|
OHI 17-7
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/10/15
|
@OHI
|
OHI 34-3
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
WMC
|
W 26-17
|
W-3.5
|
U43.5
|
W-162
|
|
10/18/25
|
EMC
|
W 44-30
|
W-11.5
|
O47.5
|
W-525
|
|
10/11/25
|
@AKR
|
W 20-7
|
W-9.5
|
U45.5
|
W-420
|
|
10/04/25
|
@NIL
|
W 25-14
|
W-1.5
|
U39.5
|
W-156
|
|
9/27/25
|
|
W 38-0
|
W-20.5
|
U49.5
|
W-1400
|
|
9/20/25
|
UNLV
|
L 41-38
|
W+4.5
|
O51.5
|
L+152
|
|
9/06/25
|
@RUT
|
L 45-17
|
L+15.5
|
O48.5
|
L+400
|
|
8/28/25
|
@WIS
|
L 17-0
|
L+16.5
|
U41.5
|
L+680
|
|
12/28/24
|
@CSU
|
W 43-17
|
W-3.5
|
O42.5
|
W-166
|
|
12/07/24
|
OHI
|
L 38-3
|
L-1.5
|
U45.5
|
L-125
|
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Ohio Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/25/25
|
@EMC
|
W 28-21
|
L-10.0
|
U57.5
|
W-360
|
|
10/18/25
|
NIL
|
W 48-21
|
W-12.5
|
O43.5
|
W-625
|
|
10/04/25
|
@BALL
|
L 20-14
|
L-13.5
|
U54.5
|
L-950
|
|
9/27/25
|
BGN
|
W 35-20
|
W-12.5
|
O52.5
|
W-465
|
|
9/20/25
|
GWB
|
W 52-35
|
L-22.5
|
O51.5
|
W-2100
|
|
9/13/25
|
@OSU
|
L 37-9
|
W+32.0
|
U54.5
|
L+5500
|
|
9/06/25
|
WVU
|
W 17-10
|
W+3.0
|
U58.5
|
W+122
|
|
8/28/25
|
@RUT
|
L 34-31
|
W+10.5
|
O48.5
|
L+315
|
|
12/20/24
|
@JVS
|
W 30-27
|
W-2.5
|
O52
|
W-130
|
|
12/07/24
|
@MOH
|
W 38-3
|
W+1.5
|
U45.5
|
W+104
|
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Miami Ohio Offense
Overall
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.00 | 81 | Points Scored | 73 | 24.75 |
| 199.88 | 96 | Passing Yards | 85 | 230.13 |
| 166.63 | 55 | Rushing Yards | 80 | 153.88 |
| 30:52 | 45 | Time on Field | 17 | 27:38 |
| 61.38 | 127 | Number of Plays | 19 | 61.25 |
| 5.97 | 53 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 6.27 |
Scoring
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.00 | 81 | Points Scored | 73 | 24.75 |
| 4.75 | 102 | First Quarter | 103 | 6.88 |
| 7.00 | 95 | Second Quarter | 55 | 6.50 |
| 6.75 | 58 | Third Quarter | 30 | 3.63 |
| 7.50 | 57 | Fourth Quarter | 106 | 7.75 |
Passing
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.88 | 96 | Passing Yards | 85 | 230.13 |
| 24.75 | 124 | Pass Attempts | 49 | 29.38 |
| 13.75 | 125 | Pass Completions | 79 | 19.38 |
| 1.00 | 17 | Sacks | 106 | 1.63 |
| 6.00 | 121 | Sack Yards | 36 | 10.63 |
| 14.54 | 9 | Yards Per Pass | 94 | 11.88 |
Rushing
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166.63 | 55 | Rushing Yards | 80 | 153.88 |
| 36.63 | 56 | Rush Attempts | 18 | 31.88 |
| 4.55 | 52 | Yards Per Rush | 115 | 4.83 |
Turn Overs
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 74 | Interceptions | 55 | 0.88 |
| 0.50 | 5 | Fumbles | 126 | 0.63 |
| 0.25 | 20 | Fumbles Lost | 93 | 0.38 |
| 1.00 | 41 | Total Turnovers | 69 | 1.25 |
| 6.13 | 64 | Penalties | 117 | 4.88 |
| 56.63 | 77 | Penalty Yards | 111 | 42.50 |
Drives & Special Teams
| M-OH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | OHIO Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:52 | 45 | Time on Field | 17 | 27:38 |
| 61.38 | 127 | Number of Plays | 19 | 61.25 |
| 5.97 | 53 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 6.27 |
| 4.25 | 77 | Punts | 64 | 4.50 |
| 41.89 | 95 | Punt Average | 45 | 41.93 |
| 62.75 | 57 | Return Yards | 118 | 79.25 |
Miami Ohio vs Ohio Prediction: Ohio Offense
Overall
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.38 | 38 | Points Scored | 65 | 29.25 |
| 203.13 | 45 | Passing Yards | 76 | 225.63 |
| 123.25 | 37 | Rushing Yards | 17 | 209.13 |
| 27:11 | 13 | Time on Field | 16 | 32:21 |
| 66.75 | 77 | Number of Plays | 38 | 68.75 |
| 4.89 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.32 |
Scoring
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.38 | 38 | Points Scored | 65 | 29.25 |
| 3.00 | 22 | First Quarter | 56 | 6.88 |
| 6.88 | 65 | Second Quarter | 54 | 9.50 |
| 2.13 | 9 | Third Quarter | 59 | 6.75 |
| 9.38 | 127 | Fourth Quarter | 81 | 6.13 |
Passing
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.13 | 45 | Passing Yards | 76 | 225.63 |
| 33.63 | 109 | Pass Attempts | 107 | 27.00 |
| 19.00 | 70 | Pass Completions | 94 | 18.00 |
| 3.13 | 9 | Sacks | 99 | 2.25 |
| 19.75 | 120 | Sack Yards | 73 | 11.75 |
| 10.69 | 33 | Yards Per Pass | 40 | 12.53 |
Rushing
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123.25 | 37 | Rushing Yards | 17 | 209.13 |
| 33.13 | 37 | Rush Attempts | 18 | 41.75 |
| 3.72 | 44 | Yards Per Rush | 27 | 5.01 |
Turn Overs
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 26 | Interceptions | 94 | 0.88 |
| 0.75 | 115 | Fumbles | 78 | 1.13 |
| 0.25 | 117 | Fumbles Lost | 22 | 0.25 |
| 1.38 | 55 | Total Turnovers | 60 | 1.13 |
| 4.63 | 122 | Penalties | 106 | 7.13 |
| 30.63 | 132 | Penalty Yards | 54 | 52.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| M-OH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | OHIO Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:11 | 13 | Time on Field | 16 | 32:21 |
| 66.75 | 77 | Number of Plays | 38 | 68.75 |
| 4.89 | 25 | Yards Per Play | 32 | 6.32 |
| 4.75 | 50 | Punts | 46 | 3.50 |
| 39.86 | 12 | Punt Average | 96 | 41.83 |
| 76.38 | 113 | Return Yards | 63 | 59.63 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: OHIO
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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