Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Trends
- Over the past 20 games, Georgia has a record of 6-14 against the spread.
- In its last eight games, Georgia has a winning record of 7-1 against the spread.
- In their last five games versus Mississippi State, Georgia has a perfect state record of 5-0.
- Georgia has a winning record of 18-2 on the road in its last 20 games.
- Over the course of its last thirteen games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference, Georgia has a winning record of 11-2.
- Over the course of its last eight games against opponents from the West Division, Georgia has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
- In its last seven games played in November, Georgia has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- 6 of Georgia’s last 8 games that have been played on a Saturday while they were away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Over the past ten games, Mississippi State has a 9-1 overall record against the spread.
- Mississippi State has a losing record of 1-4 in its previous five games.
- Mississippi State has a perfect record against the spread in its previous five games played at home.
- In its previous 17 games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference, Mississippi State has a record of 1-16 against the Southeastern Conference.
- In its last ten games versus teams from the East Division, Mississippi State has a losing record of 0-10 in terms of its overall record.
- After five games played in November, Mississippi State has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Eight out of Mississippi State’s eleven most recent games played in week 11 have resulted in the total going over.
- All eleven of Mississippi State’s most recent thirteen games that have been played on a Saturday at home have resulted in the total going over.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction
Now we have the Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction for both teams.
The matchup between Georgia and Mississippi State in Week 11 brings together two teams with drastically different profiles and long-term trends, setting the tone for what could be one of those SEC games that turns on discipline, physicality, and in-game adjustments. Georgia enters with a strong recent track record, especially straight up, but their performance against the spread has been streaky, a trend that has frustrated bettors for over a season and a half. However, when it comes to actual winning results, the Bulldogs from Athens have continued to find ways to impose their identity, especially over long possession drives and methodical offensive pacing. Mississippi State, on the other hand, is a team that can play well in situational bursts, particularly at home, where their ATS record has been nearly automatic over their last several appearances. Yet, the issue for Mississippi State has been consistency against SEC opponents, especially those from the East, where they’ve dropped ten straight. Historically, Georgia has controlled this matchup, winning the last five straight and often doing so by simply wearing Mississippi State down over four quarters. Home-field advantage, pace, and turnover margin will all be factors here, but so will the ability to finish drives in key scoring windows, especially the middle quarters where Georgia typically separates.
For Georgia, the key to this game lies in their ability to maintain their slow-burning, clock-controlling style while remaining efficient in the red zone. Georgia ranks among the best in the nation in time of possession, and that’s a direct result of steady run production complemented by rhythm passing and low turnover rates. Their offense doesn’t rely on explosive, high-variance plays; instead, they stretch drives, lean on strong interior line play, and wear down opposing fronts with depth and persistence. Defensively, Georgia remains one of the more reliable units in the SEC in preventing big plays, especially in the run game, where they rank top-15 nationally. The third quarter continues to be a particularly strong frame for them, and if this game stays within a score at halftime, Georgia’s experience in making second-half adjustments should give them the upper hand. The main concern is whether Georgia will cover the number, as their November ATS track record is notoriously poor, but straight up, they are built to control and dictate this matchup.
Mississippi State will look to rely on tempo, passing efficiency, and home-field momentum to keep this game close. Their offense has shown the ability to generate points in bunches, and their quarterback play has been consistently productive in terms of yardage, especially when allowed to push the ball downfield. However, Mississippi State’s biggest challenge will be running the football effectively enough to prevent Georgia’s defense from teeing off on obvious passing downs. Against strong defensive fronts, Mississippi State has often been forced into one-dimensional playcalling, and that’s where drives have stalled or turnovers have surfaced. Defensively, Mississippi State has struggled against balanced offenses, ranking in the lower half nationally in both rushing and passing yards allowed, which is not the profile you want facing a team that grinds the clock and controls possessions. The Bulldogs from Starkville can make this interesting early, and if they can generate a turnover or two, it might tighten up late—but the consistency needed across four quarters favors the visitors.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/12/24
|
@UGA
|
UGA 41-31
|
UGA-1.0
|
O55
|
UGA-115
|
|
11/12/22
|
@MSST
|
UGA 45-19
|
MSST+11.0
|
O53.5
|
MSST+600
|
|
11/21/20
|
@UGA
|
UGA 31-24
|
UGA-25.0
|
O44.5
|
UGA-3333
|
|
9/23/17
|
@UGA
|
UGA 31-3
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Georgia Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@FLA
|
W 24-20
|
L-9.5
|
U51.5
|
W-315
|
|
10/18/25
|
MIS
|
W 43-35
|
L-9.5
|
O53.5
|
W-315
|
|
10/11/25
|
@AUB
|
W 20-10
|
W-7.5
|
U50.5
|
W-250
|
|
10/04/25
|
KEN
|
W 35-14
|
W-20.5
|
U50.5
|
W-2500
|
|
9/27/25
|
BAMA
|
L 24-21
|
L-4.0
|
U52.5
|
L-166
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TEN
|
W 44-41
|
L-5.5
|
O50.5
|
W-250
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
W 28-6
|
L-48.5
|
U55.5
|
W-20000
|
|
8/30/25
|
MSH
|
W 45-7
|
L-38.5
|
U54.5
|
W-10000
|
|
1/02/25
|
ND
|
L 23-10
|
L-1.0
|
U44.5
|
L-118
|
|
12/07/24
|
@TEX
|
W 22-19
|
W+1.5
|
U49.5
|
WEVEN
|
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Mississippi State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@ARK
|
W 38-35
|
W+4.5
|
O64.5
|
W+155
|
|
10/25/25
|
TEX
|
L 45-38
|
W+8.5
|
O46.5
|
L+230
|
|
10/18/25
|
@FLA
|
L 23-21
|
W+11.5
|
U51.5
|
L+320
|
|
10/04/25
|
@TXAM
|
L 31-9
|
L+12.0
|
U56.5
|
L+450
|
|
9/27/25
|
TEN
|
L 41-34
|
W+9.5
|
O61.5
|
L+255
|
|
9/20/25
|
NIL
|
W 38-10
|
W-21.5
|
U49.5
|
W-2800
|
|
9/13/25
|
|
W 63-0
|
W-21.5
|
O50.5
|
W-2100
|
|
9/06/25
|
ASU
|
W 24-20
|
W+10.0
|
U58.5
|
W+188
|
|
8/30/25
|
@USM
|
W 34-17
|
W-15.5
|
U61.5
|
W-490
|
|
11/29/24
|
@MIS
|
L 26-14
|
W+18.5
|
U61.5
|
L+810
|
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Georgia Offense
Overall
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.50 | 42 | Points Scored | 72 | 24.67 |
| 236.00 | 63 | Passing Yards | 54 | 206.11 |
| 184.00 | 42 | Rushing Yards | 94 | 162.11 |
| 34:33 | 4 | Time on Field | 129 | 33:13 |
| 72.50 | 19 | Number of Plays | 100 | 69.00 |
| 5.79 | 61 | Yards Per Play | 59 | 5.34 |
Scoring
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.50 | 42 | Points Scored | 72 | 24.67 |
| 6.50 | 64 | First Quarter | 20 | 2.89 |
| 8.88 | 65 | Second Quarter | 64 | 6.78 |
| 9.38 | 12 | Third Quarter | 29 | 3.56 |
| 7.00 | 65 | Fourth Quarter | 131 | 9.89 |
Passing
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236.00 | 63 | Passing Yards | 54 | 206.11 |
| 30.63 | 68 | Pass Attempts | 85 | 31.44 |
| 21.25 | 39 | Pass Completions | 66 | 18.89 |
| 1.13 | 21 | Sacks | 69 | 2.00 |
| 4.00 | 129 | Sack Yards | 64 | 12.89 |
| 11.11 | 88 | Yards Per Pass | 49 | 10.91 |
Rushing
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.00 | 42 | Rushing Yards | 94 | 162.11 |
| 41.88 | 17 | Rush Attempts | 92 | 37.56 |
| 4.39 | 63 | Yards Per Rush | 84 | 4.32 |
Turn Overs
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 21 | Interceptions | 21 | 1.22 |
| 0.88 | 33 | Fumbles | 93 | 0.89 |
| 0.50 | 65 | Fumbles Lost | 102 | 0.33 |
| 1.00 | 30 | Total Turnovers | 37 | 1.56 |
| 4.88 | 23 | Penalties | 2 | 8.78 |
| 45.75 | 32 | Penalty Yards | 4 | 74.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | MISST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34:33 | 4 | Time on Field | 129 | 33:13 |
| 72.50 | 19 | Number of Plays | 100 | 69.00 |
| 5.79 | 61 | Yards Per Play | 59 | 5.34 |
| 3.38 | 41 | Punts | 30 | 5.11 |
| 46.64 | 18 | Punt Average | 32 | 41.48 |
| 24.25 | 130 | Return Yards | 38 | 38.44 |
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction: Mississippi State Offense
Overall
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.63 | 26 | Points Scored | 38 | 33.22 |
| 215.25 | 65 | Passing Yards | 47 | 250.89 |
| 94.13 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 66 | 157.33 |
| 27:17 | 14 | Time on Field | 129 | 26:46 |
| 62.13 | 24 | Number of Plays | 28 | 71.00 |
| 4.98 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 65 | 5.75 |
Scoring
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.63 | 26 | Points Scored | 38 | 33.22 |
| 6.50 | 98 | First Quarter | 10 | 9.56 |
| 5.50 | 32 | Second Quarter | 101 | 6.44 |
| 3.88 | 34 | Third Quarter | 41 | 7.33 |
| 3.38 | 10 | Fourth Quarter | 17 | 9.89 |
Passing
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215.25 | 65 | Passing Yards | 47 | 250.89 |
| 31.50 | 86 | Pass Attempts | 76 | 29.89 |
| 19.25 | 77 | Pass Completions | 76 | 19.22 |
| 0.88 | 133 | Sacks | 125 | 3.11 |
| 5.38 | 6 | Sack Yards | 6 | 24.33 |
| 11.18 | 65 | Yards Per Pass | 23 | 13.05 |
Rushing
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.13 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 66 | 157.33 |
| 30.63 | 10 | Rush Attempts | 22 | 41.11 |
| 3.07 | 16 | Yards Per Rush | 103 | 3.83 |
Turn Overs
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 101 | Interceptions | 58 | 0.67 |
| 0.75 | 112 | Fumbles | 57 | 1.00 |
| 0.25 | 110 | Fumbles Lost | 53 | 0.44 |
| 0.75 | 123 | Total Turnovers | 50 | 1.11 |
| 6.13 | 66 | Penalties | 124 | 7.67 |
| 48.00 | 95 | Penalty Yards | 118 | 66.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
| GA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | MISST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:17 | 14 | Time on Field | 129 | 26:46 |
| 62.13 | 24 | Number of Plays | 28 | 71.00 |
| 4.98 | 30 | Yards Per Play | 65 | 5.75 |
| 4.88 | 42 | Punts | 87 | 4.44 |
| 43.13 | 89 | Punt Average | 32 | 45.05 |
| 32.13 | 20 | Return Yards | 115 | 35.56 |
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: GEORGIA
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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