TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

The Week 7 clash between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Kansas State Wildcats is shaping up to be a pivotal Big 12 showdown with significant betting implications.

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TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction

Now we have the TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction for both teams.

When it comes to betting trends and situational stats, the edge leans clearly toward TCU. The Horned Frogs’ ability to perform in pressure spots, particularly on the road, makes them the more reliable pick in this matchup. Their balanced offensive scheme and impressive passing efficiency should allow them to dictate tempo, while Kansas State’s defense has yet to prove it can consistently contain top-tier aerial attacks. The Wildcats will likely keep things competitive early with their strong home-field advantage, but TCU’s offensive firepower and superior second-half execution give them the upper hand. Expect the Horned Frogs to pull away late and cover the spread, with the potential for the total to lean slightly OVER depending on Kansas State’s ability to trade scores.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: TCU

TCU enters this matchup riding a strong wave of momentum, having gone 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games and boasting one of the more balanced offensive attacks in the conference. Their passing game, ranked 12th nationally at 311.6 yards per game, has been the engine of their success, led by efficient quarterback play and a deep receiving corps capable of stretching defenses vertically. Meanwhile, Kansas State has struggled to maintain consistency, particularly on the defensive end, ranking 94th in points allowed (26.83) and 109th in rushing defense, which could open the door for TCU’s offense to exploit multiple levels of the field. Historically, TCU has found success in October (9-3 in their last 12), and given their 16-3 road record in Week 7 games, bettors have good reason to back the Horned Frogs to continue their trend of covering spreads away from home.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: TCU Trends

  • The over/under record for Texas Christian’s previous nine games is 7-2.
  • This is the fifth time in Texas Christian’s last seven games that the total has been under.
  • In its most recent nine games, Texas Christian has a winning record of 8-1 against the spread.
  • After seven games versus Kansas State, Texas Christian has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • In its last six games against Kansas State, Texas Christian has a record of 1-5 against the team.
  • Seven out of Texas Christian’s previous ten games played away from home have resulted in the total going over.
  • Four of Texas Christian’s most recent five games versus Kansas State have resulted in the total going UNDER. These games were played away from home.
  • In its previous five games against opposing teams from the Big 12 conference, Texas Christian has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • After playing 12 games in the month of October, Texas Christian has a winning record of 9-3.
  • During the seventh week of the season, Texas Christian has a record of 16-3 on the road.

TCU Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/04/25
W 35-21
W-13.5
O53.5
W-450
9/26/25
L 27-24
L+1.5
U55.5
L-102
9/20/25
W 35-24
W-4.0
U62.5
W-166
9/13/25
W 42-21
L-36.5
O56.5
NL
9/01/25
W 48-14
W-2.5
O57.5
W-126
12/28/24
W 34-3
W-9.5
U60.5
W-355
11/30/24
W 20-13
W-1.5
U60.5
W-125
11/23/24
W 49-28
W-9.5
O57.5
W-300
11/09/24
W 38-13
W-7.5
U64.5
W-285
11/02/24
L 37-34
L+2.5
O62.5
L+118

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: TCU Offense

Overall

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
36.80 28 Points Scored 94 26.83
311.60 12 Passing Yards 61 208.33
125.60 106 Rushing Yards 109 167.67
27:46 116 Time on Field 114 32:05
67.00 62 Number of Plays 121 71.67
6.53 33 Yards Per Play 54 5.25

Scoring

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
36.80 28 Points Scored 94 26.83
7.00 56 First Quarter 50 4.00
11.60 32 Second Quarter 99 8.67
8.40 35 Third Quarter 62 4.50
9.80 25 Fourth Quarter 127 9.67

Passing

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
311.60 12 Passing Yards 61 208.33
35.00 35 Pass Attempts 57 29.67
23.60 25 Pass Completions 39 16.67
2.00 91 Sacks 67 2.17
15.80 34 Sack Yards 97 17.33
13.20 22 Yards Per Pass 106 12.50

Rushing

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
125.60 106 Rushing Yards 109 167.67
32.00 110 Rush Attempts 128 42.00
3.93 94 Yards Per Rush 70 3.99

Turn Overs

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
1.00 113 Interceptions 70 0.67
0.80 43 Fumbles 38 1.33
0.20 36 Fumbles Lost 9 1.00
1.20 77 Total Turnovers 33 1.67
6.60 82 Penalties 123 4.50
65.20 107 Penalty Yards 119 36.67

Drives & Special Teams

TCU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank KANST Defense
27:46 116 Time on Field 114 32:05
67.00 62 Number of Plays 121 71.67
6.53 33 Yards Per Play 54 5.25
3.00 39 Punts 106 3.67
40.48 110 Punt Average 65 42.74
66.40 49 Return Yards 86 54.83

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TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: Kansas State

Kansas State, on the other hand, will look to protect their home turf, where they have been formidable with a 14-3 record over their last 17 home games. The Wildcats’ offense has shown flashes, averaging 27.5 points per game, but inconsistency at quarterback and a lack of rhythm in the running game have held them back against tougher defenses. Their passing efficiency has been modest, producing 226.3 yards per game, but the lack of explosive plays (ranking just 100th in yards per pass at 10.95) could be problematic against a TCU defense that thrives on bending without breaking. Moreover, Kansas State’s recent ATS struggles — just 2-4 in their last six games and 2-5 in Week 7 matchups — make it difficult to trust them in a tight contest. While their defense has typically been stout at home, facing an up-tempo TCU squad that averages 6.53 yards per play and thrives in second-half scoring situations could expose the Wildcats’ depth and stamina issues late in the game.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: Kansas State Trends

  • The over/under record for Kansas State’s previous 12 games is 3-9.
  • In its previous six games, Kansas State has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • The total has been under in eight of the nine games that Kansas State has played versus Texas Christian in the past.
  • In its last 17 games played at home, Kansas State has a winning record of 14-3.
  • Over the course of the last five games that Kansas State has played at home against Texas Christian, the total has been under in four of those games.
  • One of Kansas State’s last five games against a team from the Big 12 conference has resulted in a loss for the Wildcats.
  • 4 of the previous 5 games that Kansas State has played in the month of October have resulted in the total going over.
  • After seven games played in week 7, Kansas State has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
  • In its previous 18 games played on a Saturday, Kansas State has a record of 5-13 against the spread.

Kansas State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/04/25
L 35-34
W+6.5
O58.5
L+180
9/27/25
W 34-20
W-5.5
O50.5
W-196
9/12/25
L 23-17
L-2.5
U55.5
L-110
9/06/25
L 24-21
L-16.5
U49.5
L-750
8/30/25
W 38-35
L-30.5
O56.5
W-10000
8/23/25
L 24-21
L-3.5
U49.5
L-152
12/26/24
W 44-41
L-7.0
O50.5
W-298
11/30/24
L 29-21
L+1.0
U52.5
L+115
11/23/24
W 41-15
W-8.5
O52.5
W-275
11/16/24
L 24-14
L-7.0
U53.5
L-220

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Prediction: Kansas State Offense

Overall

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
21.40 57 Points Scored 78 27.50
249.20 109 Passing Yards 73 226.33
130.80 55 Rushing Yards 90 143.33
32:09 117 Time on Field 113 27:54
67.40 80 Number of Plays 115 62.83
5.64 83 Yards Per Play 64 5.88

Scoring

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
21.40 57 Points Scored 78 27.50
2.00 19 First Quarter 117 3.83
7.00 70 Second Quarter 77 8.50
5.20 81 Third Quarter 6 10.67
7.20 87 Fourth Quarter 109 4.50

Passing

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
249.20 109 Passing Yards 73 226.33
31.40 79 Pass Attempts 45 33.17
20.80 99 Pass Completions 51 20.67
2.80 26 Sacks 13 0.67
17.00 94 Sack Yards 118 5.17
11.98 94 Yards Per Pass 100 10.95

Rushing

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
130.80 55 Rushing Yards 90 143.33
36.00 85 Rush Attempts 122 29.67
3.63 47 Yards Per Rush 46 4.83

Turn Overs

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
1.20 27 Interceptions 40 0.50
1.60 19 Fumbles 105 1.33
0.80 28 Fumbles Lost 100 0.67
2.00 15 Total Turnovers 63 1.17
5.20 100 Penalties 2 3.00
45.80 94 Penalty Yards 10 32.33

Drives & Special Teams

TCU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank KANST Offense
32:09 117 Time on Field 113 27:54
67.40 80 Number of Plays 115 62.83
5.64 83 Yards Per Play 64 5.88
3.60 113 Punts 66 3.83
37.44 6 Punt Average 54 44.33
61.40 96 Return Yards 11 90.67

 

Our CFB Week 7 Pick: TCU Horned Frogs

 

All CFB  Week 7 Predictions

 

 

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