Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
The Week 7 clash between the Air Force Falcons and the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels promises to be one of the more intriguing Mountain West matchups this season.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction
Now we have the Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction for both teams.
When it comes to betting value, this game presents a compelling contrast between Air Force’s physicality and UNLV’s momentum. The Falcons’ recent struggles can’t be ignored, especially with their defense surrendering over 37 points per game across their last few matchups. However, their historical edge against UNLV — going 5-1 in their last six meetings — adds a wrinkle for bettors seeking value on the underdog side. Still, UNLV’s current form, combined with their offensive balance and strong home-field advantage, makes them a more trustworthy pick in Week 7. Expect the Rebels to find offensive rhythm early, keep Air Force’s triple-option attack off the field, and ultimately grind out another solid win in front of their home crowd.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: Air Force
Air Force enters this contest looking to bounce back from a tough stretch that’s seen them drop four straight games after opening the year strong. Despite the recent losses, the Falcons remain a dangerous opponent, particularly because of their unique offensive style and ability to control time of possession. Their run-heavy attack continues to frustrate defenses — ranking 8th nationally in rushing yards at 245.6 per game — and their efficiency per play (7.07 yards, 16th overall) shows that when the Falcons get rolling, they can strike quickly and effectively. The key for Air Force will be to limit turnovers and sustain long drives that wear down the Rebels’ defensive front, which has shown some vulnerability against the run this season.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: Air Force Trends
- Over the past ten games, Air Force has a record of 7-3 against the spread.
- Six of Air Force’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last five games, Air Force has a single-game record of 1-4.
- In their last six meetings versus Nevada-Las Vegas, Air Force has a winning state record of 5-1.
- In its previous five games played away from home, Air Force has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- Out of the last six games that Air Force has played on the road versus Nevada-Las Vegas, the team has a winning record of 5-1.
- During the last six games that Air Force has played against opponents from the Mountain West conference, the total has gone over in five of those games.
- Over the course of its last 14 games against opponents from the West Division, Air Force has a record of 10-4 against the spread.
- During the month of October, Air Force has a record of 2-4 in single-score games.
Air Force Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/04/25
|
@NAV
|
L 34-31
|
W+11.5
|
O57.5
|
L+320
|
|
9/27/25
|
HAW
|
L 44-35
|
L-5.5
|
O53.5
|
L-200
|
|
9/20/25
|
BOISE
|
L 49-37
|
L+7.5
|
O51.5
|
L+240
|
|
9/13/25
|
@UTS
|
L 49-30
|
L-3.5
|
O51.5
|
L-188
|
|
8/30/25
|
BUC
|
W 49-13
|
W-30.5
|
O54.5
|
W-7000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@SDSU
|
W 31-20
|
W-2.5
|
O43.5
|
W-140
|
|
11/23/24
|
@NEV
|
W 22-19
|
W+3.5
|
U45.5
|
W+130
|
|
11/16/24
|
ORS
|
W 28-0
|
W+6.5
|
U45.5
|
W+155
|
|
11/09/24
|
FRE
|
W 36-28
|
W+8.5
|
O40.5
|
W+255
|
|
11/02/24
|
@ARM
|
L 20-3
|
W+23.0
|
U40.5
|
L+1600
|
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: Air Force Offense
Overall
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.40 | 30 | Points Scored | 85 | 26.00 |
| 222.20 | 77 | Passing Yards | 126 | 271.20 |
| 245.60 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 67 | 142.20 |
| 32:14 | 26 | Time on Field | 41 | 28:30 |
| 66.20 | 73 | Number of Plays | 96 | 68.80 |
| 7.07 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 108 | 6.01 |
Scoring
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.40 | 30 | Points Scored | 85 | 26.00 |
| 7.00 | 53 | First Quarter | 104 | 6.80 |
| 6.80 | 97 | Second Quarter | 17 | 4.00 |
| 8.80 | 29 | Third Quarter | 76 | 4.80 |
| 13.80 | 3 | Fourth Quarter | 131 | 10.40 |
Passing
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222.20 | 77 | Passing Yards | 126 | 271.20 |
| 17.00 | 133 | Pass Attempts | 134 | 41.20 |
| 10.40 | 134 | Pass Completions | 129 | 23.80 |
| 1.60 | 59 | Sacks | 114 | 1.40 |
| 8.60 | 97 | Sack Yards | 15 | 7.40 |
| 21.37 | 1 | Yards Per Pass | 78 | 11.39 |
Rushing
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245.60 | 8 | Rushing Yards | 67 | 142.20 |
| 49.20 | 5 | Rush Attempts | 6 | 27.60 |
| 4.99 | 37 | Yards Per Rush | 125 | 5.15 |
Turn Overs
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.80 | 73 | Interceptions | 3 | 1.80 |
| 0.60 | 17 | Fumbles | 29 | 1.40 |
| 0.40 | 51 | Fumbles Lost | 22 | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | 68 | Total Turnovers | 2 | 2.60 |
| 4.60 | 22 | Penalties | 8 | 8.40 |
| 40.60 | 25 | Penalty Yards | 6 | 76.40 |
Drives & Special Teams
| AIRFO Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UNLV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:14 | 26 | Time on Field | 41 | 28:30 |
| 66.20 | 73 | Number of Plays | 96 | 68.80 |
| 7.07 | 16 | Yards Per Play | 108 | 6.01 |
| 1.80 | 6 | Punts | 131 | 2.80 |
| 47.57 | 9 | Punt Average | 1 | 33.87 |
| 21.20 | 134 | Return Yards | 132 | 99.40 |
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: UNLV
On the other side, UNLV comes in red-hot, riding a surge of confidence with seven wins in their last eight games and an impressive 4-1 record against the spread at home. The Runnin’ Rebels have found a winning formula under their balanced offensive approach, led by a ground game that averages nearly 200 yards per contest and an aerial attack capable of exploiting Air Force’s porous pass defense — one that currently ranks near the bottom nationally, allowing 312.4 passing yards per game. UNLV’s defense has also stepped up in key moments, particularly in the red zone, and their ability to close out games in the fourth quarter has been a major reason for their success. With the total going UNDER in six of their last eight outings, the Rebels have been disciplined and methodical, preferring to control tempo rather than engage in shootouts. Playing at home, where they’ve shown consistent dominance, UNLV will look to capitalize on Air Force’s defensive lapses through balanced play-calling and clock management.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: UNLV Trends
- Over the past eight games, Nevada-Las Vegas has a 7-1 overall record.
- In six of Nevada-Las Vegas’ most recent eight games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
- Over the past ten games, Nevada-Las Vegas has never lost a single game.
- Over the past 14 games that Nevada-Las Vegas has played versus Air Force, the total has been over in 11 of those games.
- In its previous five games played at home, Nevada-Las Vegas has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- In the last six games that Nevada-Las Vegas has played at home against Air Force, the team has a winning percentage of 1-5.
- When Nevada-Las Vegas has played an opponent from the Mountain West conference, the total has been UNDER in four of the last six games that they have played.
- Out of the seven games that Nevada-Las Vegas has played in October, the total has been UNDER in five of those games.
- When it comes to games played on Saturdays, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- When playing as the favorite, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games.
UNLV Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/04/25
|
@WYO
|
W 31-17
|
W-5.5
|
U52.5
|
W-210
|
|
9/20/25
|
@MOH
|
W 41-38
|
L-4.5
|
O51.5
|
W-184
|
|
9/06/25
|
UCLA
|
W 30-23
|
W+1.5
|
U55.5
|
W+105
|
|
8/29/25
|
|
W 38-21
|
W-12.5
|
O57.5
|
W-450
|
|
8/23/25
|
IDS
|
W 38-31
|
L-29.5
|
O67.5
|
W-3195
|
|
12/18/24
|
CAL
|
W 24-13
|
W+1.5
|
U51.5
|
WEVEN
|
|
12/06/24
|
@BOISE
|
L 21-7
|
L+4.0
|
U59.5
|
L+165
|
|
11/30/24
|
NEV
|
W 38-14
|
W-16.5
|
U56.5
|
W-800
|
|
11/22/24
|
|
W 27-16
|
W-7.0
|
U62.5
|
W-265
|
|
11/16/24
|
SDSU
|
W 41-20
|
W-20.5
|
O52.5
|
W-1700
|
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction: UNLV Offense
Overall
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.80 | 132 | Points Scored | 38 | 35.60 |
| 312.40 | 134 | Passing Yards | 80 | 215.80 |
| 164.20 | 101 | Rushing Yards | 37 | 195.20 |
| 27:45 | 27 | Time on Field | 101 | 28:25 |
| 61.80 | 31 | Number of Plays | 95 | 64.60 |
| 7.71 | 136 | Yards Per Play | 39 | 6.36 |
Scoring
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.80 | 132 | Points Scored | 38 | 35.60 |
| 7.60 | 112 | First Quarter | 38 | 8.20 |
| 7.60 | 85 | Second Quarter | 41 | 10.80 |
| 10.40 | 131 | Third Quarter | 119 | 3.40 |
| 12.20 | 134 | Fourth Quarter | 4 | 13.20 |
Passing
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312.40 | 134 | Passing Yards | 80 | 215.80 |
| 29.20 | 52 | Pass Attempts | 107 | 26.40 |
| 20.80 | 97 | Pass Completions | 84 | 18.40 |
| 1.80 | 85 | Sacks | 106 | 2.40 |
| 9.20 | 28 | Sack Yards | 24 | 17.80 |
| 15.02 | 135 | Yards Per Pass | 69 | 11.73 |
Rushing
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.20 | 101 | Rushing Yards | 37 | 195.20 |
| 32.60 | 44 | Rush Attempts | 40 | 38.20 |
| 5.04 | 122 | Yards Per Rush | 34 | 5.11 |
Turn Overs
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.40 | 105 | Interceptions | 58 | 0.60 |
| 0.80 | 85 | Fumbles | 68 | 1.00 |
| 0.40 | 64 | Fumbles Lost | 64 | 0.40 |
| 0.80 | 105 | Total Turnovers | 55 | 1.00 |
| 7.00 | 37 | Penalties | 128 | 8.40 |
| 50.20 | 71 | Penalty Yards | 135 | 82.80 |
Drives & Special Teams
| AIRFO Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UNLV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:45 | 27 | Time on Field | 101 | 28:25 |
| 61.80 | 31 | Number of Plays | 95 | 64.60 |
| 7.71 | 136 | Yards Per Play | 39 | 6.36 |
| 2.60 | 132 | Punts | 46 | 3.20 |
| 40.62 | 28 | Punt Average | 73 | 43.21 |
| 47.60 | 74 | Return Yards | 19 | 84.20 |
✅ Our CFB Week 7 Pick: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels
All CFB Week 7 Predictions
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Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7, by YouWager.lv.