Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction and Pick, Week 7. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction
Now we have the Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction for both teams.
When you put it all together, this game shapes up as another chapter in a rivalry that’s been heavily tilted in Toledo’s favor. The Rockets’ efficiency on both sides of the ball, their dominance in the trenches, and their ability to control time of possession make them the clear favorite. Bowling Green might keep things competitive early, but Toledo’s depth, offensive balance, and elite defense should take over by the second half. Expect the Rockets to dictate the pace, limit mistakes, and extend their series lead with another convincing performance.
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Toledo
The Toledo Rockets enter Week 7 riding another strong stretch of performances, proving once again why they’re one of the most dominant programs in the Mid-American Conference. With an offense averaging nearly 36 points per game and one of the most balanced attacks in the league, Toledo has shown they can beat opponents through the air or on the ground. Quarterback play has been efficient, complemented by a punishing rushing game that ranks among the top 25 nationally with 213.8 yards per contest. The Rockets’ offensive line continues to set the tone, allowing minimal sacks and opening lanes for explosive plays, while their defense remains an anchor—holding opponents to just 12.4 points per game, a top-10 national mark. Toledo has dominated this rivalry historically, winning 12 of the last 15 matchups and going 6-1 straight up in their last seven trips to Bowling Green. When you add in their 5-1 record against the spread over the last six games and a trend of unders in conference play, it’s clear this is a disciplined, battle-tested group capable of taking control early and never looking back.
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Toledo Trends
- Over the past six games, Toledo has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- In six of Toledo’s most recent nine games, the total has been under six.
- In its last six games, Toledo has a winning record of 4-2 against the spread.
- Last seven games versus Bowling Green, Toledo has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- In its last 15 games versus Bowling Green, Toledo has a winning series record of 12-3.
- 4 of Toledo’s previous 5 games played away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- When playing Bowling Green away from home, Toledo has a winning record of 6-1 straight up in its last seven games.
- There have been five of Toledo’s most recent five games against opponents from the Mid-American conference in which the total has been reported as UNDER.
- Over the course of its previous five games against opponents from the East Division, Toledo has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In the last 14 games that Toledo has played in the month of October, the team has a winning record of 11-3.
Toledo Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/27/25
|
AKR
|
W 45-3
|
W-21.0
|
U48.5
|
W-2000
|
9/20/25
|
@WMC
|
L 14-13
|
L-13.5
|
U51.5
|
L-430
|
9/13/25
|
MGN
|
W 60-0
|
W-35.5
|
O50.5
|
W-30000
|
9/06/25
|
WKY
|
W 45-21
|
W-4.5
|
O61.5
|
W-196
|
8/30/25
|
@KEN
|
L 24-16
|
W+11.5
|
U48.5
|
L+315
|
12/26/24
|
PIT
|
W 48-46
|
W+9.5
|
O51.5
|
W+260
|
11/26/24
|
@AKR
|
L 21-14
|
L-10.5
|
U48.5
|
L-400
|
11/20/24
|
OHI
|
L 24-7
|
L-2.5
|
U50.5
|
L-130
|
11/12/24
|
CMC
|
W 37-10
|
W-10.5
|
U48.5
|
W-410
|
11/02/24
|
@EMC
|
W 29-28
|
L-6.0
|
O52.5
|
W-275
|
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Toledo Offense
Overall
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
35.80 | 37 | Points Scored | 83 | 25.80 |
230.00 | 68 | Passing Yards | 87 | 233.20 |
213.80 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 58 | 132.00 |
31:18 | 48 | Time on Field | 42 | 28:32 |
69.80 | 34 | Number of Plays | 19 | 60.00 |
6.36 | 40 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 6.09 |
Scoring
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
35.80 | 37 | Points Scored | 83 | 25.80 |
7.60 | 49 | First Quarter | 83 | 5.60 |
15.80 | 3 | Second Quarter | 68 | 7.00 |
6.80 | 56 | Third Quarter | 120 | 8.00 |
5.60 | 93 | Fourth Quarter | 47 | 5.20 |
Passing
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
230.00 | 68 | Passing Yards | 87 | 233.20 |
30.40 | 72 | Pass Attempts | 28 | 27.00 |
19.40 | 71 | Pass Completions | 43 | 17.20 |
1.40 | 55 | Sacks | 39 | 2.40 |
10.20 | 83 | Sack Yards | 68 | 14.00 |
11.86 | 64 | Yards Per Pass | 128 | 13.56 |
Rushing
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
213.80 | 22 | Rushing Yards | 58 | 132.00 |
39.40 | 36 | Rush Attempts | 46 | 33.00 |
5.43 | 20 | Yards Per Rush | 71 | 4.00 |
Turn Overs
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.80 | 92 | Interceptions | 76 | 0.60 |
0.80 | 45 | Fumbles | 4 | 1.80 |
0.20 | 38 | Fumbles Lost | 3 | 1.20 |
1.00 | 60 | Total Turnovers | 19 | 1.80 |
7.80 | 121 | Penalties | 104 | 5.00 |
73.20 | 120 | Penalty Yards | 98 | 45.00 |
Drives & Special Teams
TOL Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BOWL Defense |
---|---|---|---|---|
31:18 | 48 | Time on Field | 42 | 28:32 |
69.80 | 34 | Number of Plays | 19 | 60.00 |
6.36 | 40 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 6.09 |
4.80 | 102 | Punts | 109 | 3.60 |
40.45 | 112 | Punt Average | 92 | 43.53 |
76.20 | 30 | Return Yards | 127 | 90.40 |
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Bowling Green
Meanwhile, the Bowling Green Falcons will look to defend home turf and pull off a statement win against their in-state rival. The Falcons have been inconsistent but not without potential — they’ve covered in five of their last six Saturday games and tend to play tighter contests when their defense settles in. Bowling Green’s offense averages just over 21 points per game, relying heavily on the run to open up limited passing opportunities. Their ground game, averaging 156.4 yards per outing, will be tested by a Toledo defense that’s been dominant against the run. While Bowling Green’s defense has been scrappy at times, allowing 25.8 points per game, they’ve struggled against more physical opponents like Toledo, who can sustain long drives and wear them down over four quarters. Trends show that when these two meet, the total often goes over, but Bowling Green’s home performance history — just 1-6 straight up against Toledo in their last seven meetings — makes this a difficult matchup for the Falcons to overcome, even with home-field advantage.
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Bowling Green Trends
- Five of Bowling Green’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last seven games, Bowling Green has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- In each of Bowling Green’s last five games versus Toledo, the total has been over in four of those contests.
- Six of Bowling Green’s most recent six games played at home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- When Bowling Green has played Toledo at home, the team has a record of 1-6 for the season when playing at home.
- In the last 15 games that Bowling Green has played against a team from the Mid-American conference, the team has a winning record of 11-4.
- Over the course of the last six games that Bowling Green has played against teams from the West Division, the total has been under in five of those games.
- In its last 16 games played in week 7, Bowling Green has a record of 14-2 against the line.
- After six games played on Saturdays, Bowling Green has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
Bowling Green Last 10 Games
Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9/27/25
|
@OHI
|
L 35-20
|
L+12.5
|
O52.5
|
L+350
|
9/20/25
|
@LOU
|
L 40-17
|
W+25.5
|
O51.5
|
L+1600
|
9/13/25
|
LIB
|
W 23-13
|
W+5.5
|
U51.5
|
W+160
|
9/06/25
|
@CIN
|
L 34-20
|
W+17.5
|
O50.5
|
L+760
|
8/28/25
|
LAF
|
W 26-7
|
W-16.5
|
U52.5
|
W-720
|
12/26/24
|
|
L 38-31
|
L-11.5
|
O46.5
|
L-480
|
11/29/24
|
MOH
|
L 28-12
|
L-4.5
|
U44.5
|
L-172
|
11/23/24
|
@BALL
|
W 38-13
|
W-10.5
|
U59.5
|
W-375
|
11/12/24
|
WMC
|
W 31-13
|
W-7.5
|
U57.5
|
W-275
|
11/05/24
|
@CMC
|
W 23-13
|
L-10.5
|
U53.5
|
W-400
|
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction: Bowling Green Offense
Overall
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
12.40 | 9 | Points Scored | 108 | 21.20 |
131.80 | 6 | Passing Yards | 121 | 166.00 |
94.20 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 68 | 156.40 |
28:41 | 47 | Time on Field | 45 | 31:25 |
62.20 | 35 | Number of Plays | 114 | 63.20 |
3.63 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 5.10 |
Scoring
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
12.40 | 9 | Points Scored | 108 | 21.20 |
2.80 | 33 | First Quarter | 101 | 4.60 |
1.20 | 3 | Second Quarter | 119 | 4.60 |
1.20 | 7 | Third Quarter | 122 | 3.20 |
7.20 | 88 | Fourth Quarter | 41 | 8.80 |
Passing
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
131.80 | 6 | Passing Yards | 121 | 166.00 |
27.20 | 35 | Pass Attempts | 94 | 27.40 |
14.60 | 15 | Pass Completions | 95 | 17.40 |
2.20 | 61 | Sacks | 102 | 2.40 |
17.20 | 96 | Sack Yards | 31 | 16.40 |
9.03 | 6 | Yards Per Pass | 126 | 9.54 |
Rushing
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
94.20 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 68 | 156.40 |
35.00 | 72 | Rush Attempts | 67 | 35.80 |
2.69 | 13 | Yards Per Rush | 73 | 4.37 |
Turn Overs
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.60 | 98 | Interceptions | 102 | 1.00 |
1.80 | 13 | Fumbles | 4 | 0.40 |
1.20 | 6 | Fumbles Lost | 15 | 0.20 |
1.80 | 31 | Total Turnovers | 69 | 1.20 |
3.40 | 134 | Penalties | 75 | 6.40 |
26.00 | 135 | Penalty Yards | 64 | 52.60 |
Drives & Special Teams
TOL Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BOWL Offense |
---|---|---|---|---|
28:41 | 47 | Time on Field | 45 | 31:25 |
62.20 | 35 | Number of Plays | 114 | 63.20 |
3.63 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 112 | 5.10 |
7.20 | 5 | Punts | 97 | 4.80 |
42.34 | 57 | Punt Average | 116 | 40.23 |
30.00 | 26 | Return Yards | 26 | 78.80 |
✅ Our CFB Week 7 Pick: Toledo Rockets
All CFB Week 7 Predictions
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