Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Trends

  • Over the past eight games, Florida has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • Ten of Florida’s most recent thirteen games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In its last eight games, Florida has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
  • In its last five meetings versus Mississippi, Florida has a winning straight-up record of 4-1.
  • In its previous seven games played away from home, Florida has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • During the last twenty games that Florida has played against teams from the Southeastern conference, the total has been over in fourteen of those games.
  • There have been four of Florida’s most recent five games against opponents from the West Division division in which the total has appeared UNDER.
  • After five games played in November, Florida has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • As of the last 20 games played in week 12, Florida has a winning percentage of 15-5.
  • In five of Mississippi’s most recent seven games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
  • Mississippi has won 11 of its past 12 games by a score of 11-1.
  • There have been five of Mississippi’s last seven games against Florida in which the total has been UNDER.
  • In five of Mississippi’s most recent five games played at home, the total has been underrated.
  • The Mississippi Rebels have a winning record of 6-1 in their previous seven games versus teams from the Southeastern Conference.
  • In its last sixteen games versus teams from the East Division, Mississippi has a winning record of 12-4 by the Southeastern Conference.
  • At least five of Mississippi’s most recent five games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • After seven games played in week 12, Mississippi has a record of 0-6-1 against the spread.
  • When playing as the favorite, Mississippi has a record of 6-3 against the spread in its last nine games.

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction

Now we have the Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction for both teams.

The Week 12 matchup between the Florida Gators and Ole Miss Rebels has the makings of a classic SEC showdown, with both teams entering this game with something to prove down the stretch. Florida has struggled to find consistency this season, especially against the spread, while Ole Miss has looked like one of the more complete teams in the conference behind their explosive offense and improving defense. Recent betting trends point toward a low-scoring affair, with the total going under in a majority of recent contests for both teams. However, Ole Miss has been lights out at home, winning 11 of its last 12 games and covering well when favored. Florida, meanwhile, has faltered on the road, posting a 1–6 record against the spread in its last seven away games. Both teams have a history of the total staying under when they meet, and given the defensive matchups here, that could continue. The Gators lead the all-time series 4–1 over their last five meetings, but this year’s Ole Miss squad appears far more balanced and potent than any of those previous editions.

For Florida, this season has been a rollercoaster defined by offensive inconsistency and tough SEC competition. The Gators are averaging just 20.4 points per game—ranking near the bottom nationally—and they’ve been unable to sustain drives despite solid time-of-possession numbers. Quarterback play has been erratic, with the passing offense ranking 84th nationally at 217 yards per game, while the rushing attack has struggled to find any rhythm, sitting at 105th with only 124 yards per contest. Against an Ole Miss defense that allows fewer than 20 points per game, Florida will need near-perfect execution to stay competitive. Defensively, the Gators are decent, giving up 22.4 points per game, and they’ve been respectable against both the pass and the run. However, the challenge of containing Ole Miss’s high-octane attack is steep. Florida’s defense has held opponents under 23 points in several games this season, but when facing efficient, high-tempo offenses—like Texas A&M and Kentucky—they’ve been overwhelmed. To pull off the upset, the Gators will have to control the clock and limit turnovers, something they’ve struggled with, ranking near the bottom in total giveaways.

Ole Miss, on the other hand, has been one of the most dynamic offensive teams in the nation, averaging 37.5 points per game—good for 13th nationally. The Rebels have thrived both through the air and on the ground, ranking seventh in passing yards (305.5 per game) and 39th in rushing (183.9). Their offensive balance makes them nearly impossible to defend, especially at home. Quarterback play has been a major strength, with the Rebels producing explosive plays through the air and maintaining efficiency in the red zone. The defense has also quietly developed into a top-25 unit, holding opponents to just under 20 points per game and ranking in the top 20 nationally in passing yards allowed. Head coach Lane Kiffin’s team has covered the spread in six of its last nine games as a favorite and has won 12 of its last 16 SEC East matchups. With Florida’s offensive issues and Ole Miss’s ability to dictate tempo, this looks like a clear advantage for the Rebels. They’ve been dominant at home, and given Florida’s poor road track record, it’s tough to envision the Gators hanging around for long.

✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: OLE MISS

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Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/23/24
FLA 24-17
FLA+6.5
U60.5
FLA+260
9/26/20
FLA 51-35
MIS+14.0
O59
MIS+400
10/03/15
FLA 38-10
NL
NL
NL

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Florida Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
L 38-7
L-4.5
O43.5
L-196
11/01/25
L 24-20
W+9.5
U51.5
L+250
10/18/25
W 23-21
L-11.5
U51.5
W-420
10/11/25
L 34-17
L+9.5
O44.5
L+255
10/04/25
W 29-21
W+7.5
U53.5
W+184
9/20/25
L 26-7
L+5.5
U55.5
L+132
9/13/25
L 20-10
L+7.5
U54.5
L+190
9/06/25
L 18-16
L-18.5
U52.5
L-1050
8/30/25
W 55-0
W-44.5
O54.5
W-20000
12/20/24
W 33-8
W-11.5
U50.5
W-455

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
W 49-0
L-53.5
U63.5
WNL
11/01/25
W 30-14
W-12.5
U52.5
W-430
10/25/25
W 34-26
W+2.5
O50.5
W+126
10/18/25
L 43-35
W+9.5
O53.5
L+250
10/11/25
W 24-21
L-34.5
U56.5
W-20000
9/27/25
W 24-19
W+1.5
U56.5
W-118
9/20/25
W 45-10
W-14.5
O54.5
W-610
9/13/25
W 41-35
L-12.5
O58.5
W-320
9/06/25
W 30-23
L-9.5
U54.5
W-430
8/30/25
W 63-7
W-37.5
O61.5
W-10000

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Florida Offense

Overall

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
20.44 117 Points Scored 25 19.80
217.00 84 Passing Yards 18 179.50
124.00 105 Rushing Yards 66 143.60
30:42 45 Time on Field 107 31:17
65.00 92 Number of Plays 32 63.70
5.25 99 Yards Per Play 34 5.07

Scoring

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
20.44 117 Points Scored 25 19.80
7.11 46 First Quarter 44 4.10
6.22 104 Second Quarter 39 6.10
4.11 108 Third Quarter 54 4.90
3.00 131 Fourth Quarter 30 4.70

Passing

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
217.00 84 Passing Yards 18 179.50
33.44 41 Pass Attempts 38 28.80
21.33 35 Pass Completions 26 16.70
1.67 60 Sacks 65 2.10
9.44 94 Sack Yards 72 13.80
10.17 121 Yards Per Pass 31 10.75

Rushing

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
124.00 105 Rushing Yards 66 143.60
31.56 114 Rush Attempts 63 34.90
3.93 94 Yards Per Rush 69 4.11

Turn Overs

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
1.33 132 Interceptions 106 0.50
1.22 90 Fumbles 86 0.90
0.44 44 Fumbles Lost 112 0.30
1.78 118 Total Turnovers 119 0.80
5.33 36 Penalties 74 6.00
46.00 31 Penalty Yards 77 51.70

Drives & Special Teams

FLA Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank MISS Defense
30:42 45 Time on Field 107 31:17
65.00 92 Number of Plays 32 63.70
5.25 99 Yards Per Play 34 5.07
4.44 88 Punts 50 4.70
43.31 60 Punt Average 123 44.91
40.78 110 Return Yards 17 30.30

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss Offense

Overall

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
22.44 54 Points Scored 13 37.50
214.44 61 Passing Yards 7 305.50
132.78 46 Rushing Yards 39 183.90
29:18 50 Time on Field 106 28:42
64.11 37 Number of Plays 9 74.00
5.42 62 Yards Per Play 23 6.61

Scoring

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
22.44 54 Points Scored 13 37.50
4.22 46 First Quarter 37 7.50
7.00 66 Second Quarter 2 14.30
4.44 44 Third Quarter 50 6.80
6.78 76 Fourth Quarter 26 8.90

Passing

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
214.44 61 Passing Yards 7 305.50
27.78 30 Pass Attempts 40 33.50
17.11 34 Pass Completions 39 21.10
1.67 98 Sacks 18 1.00
9.56 28 Sack Yards 129 4.20
12.53 112 Yards Per Pass 8 14.48

Rushing

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
132.78 46 Rushing Yards 39 183.90
36.33 79 Rush Attempts 24 40.50
3.65 35 Yards Per Rush 52 4.54

Turn Overs

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
0.89 50 Interceptions 67 0.70
0.89 92 Fumbles 63 1.10
0.67 32 Fumbles Lost 35 0.40
1.56 35 Total Turnovers 44 1.10
6.89 37 Penalties 82 6.50
56.44 50 Penalty Yards 102 61.70

Drives & Special Teams

FLA Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank MISS Offense
29:18 50 Time on Field 106 28:42
64.11 37 Number of Plays 9 74.00
5.42 62 Yards Per Play 23 6.61
5.11 24 Punts 25 2.80
44.94 124 Punt Average 22 45.69
41.33 51 Return Yards 129 27.60

 

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