South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction and Pick, Week 12
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: Trends
- Over the past six games, South Alabama has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Six of South Alabama’s most recent nine games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last eight games, South Alabama has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
- In its last six games versus Louisiana-Monroe, South Alabama has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
- South Alabama has a winning record of 4-1 against Louisiana-Monroe in its last five games.
- Eight out of South Alabama’s previous ten games played away from home have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- When South Alabama has been playing on the road versus Louisiana-Monroe, the total has gone over in four of the last five games that they have played.
- Out of their last seven games against teams from the Sun Belt league, South Alabama has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- In its last five games against teams from the West Division, South Alabama has a record of 1-4 in terms of its overall performance.
- In its previous 11 games played in November, South Alabama has a record of 2-9 against the spread.
- In its last five games, Louisiana-Monroe has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
- Eleven out of Louisiana-Monroe’s previous sixteen games have resulted in the total going over.
- Louisiana-Monroe has a losing record of 0-5 in its previous five games.
- Four of the previous five games that Louisiana-Monroe has played versus South Alabama have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous six games played at home, Louisiana-Monroe has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Four of the previous five games that Louisiana-Monroe has played at home against South Alabama have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- In its last ten games versus a Sun Belt conference opponent, Louisiana-Monroe has a record of 1-9 in terms of its overall record.
- Over the course of its previous seven games against opponents from the West Division, Louisiana-Monroe has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- After playing 12 games in November, Louisiana-Monroe has a losing record of 0-12 on the road.
- In eleven of Louisiana-Monroe’s most recent fifteen games that have been played on a Saturday, the total has been above.
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction
Now we have the South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between South Alabama and Louisiana-Monroe features two Sun Belt programs trending in very different directions. South Alabama comes into this game looking to regain momentum after a frustrating stretch that’s seen them go just 1-5 against the spread over their last six contests. Despite their struggles, the Jaguars still possess a more complete roster and balanced offensive attack than their conference rival. Historically, this has been a favorable matchup for South Alabama — they’ve gone 4-1 against ULM in their last five meetings and 4-2 ATS across the last six head-to-heads. When these teams meet, points usually come in bunches, as four of the last five matchups at ULM have gone over the total. The Jaguars will look to impose their ground game early, control possession, and avoid the costly turnovers that have derailed them in recent weeks. Even though both teams have had issues covering spreads this season, South Alabama’s more consistent run production and better defensive efficiency in key spots could give them a much-needed edge in this Sun Belt battle.
For South Alabama, the offensive identity clearly revolves around balance, leaning on a strong rushing attack that ranks 28th nationally at 193.7 yards per game. The Jaguars are physical in the trenches, running the ball 43 times per game and maintaining over 31 minutes of possession per outing. That ability to win time-of-possession battles could be a major factor against a ULM defense that allows nearly 33 points per contest and struggles against both the run and the pass. However, South Alabama’s own passing offense has been inconsistent, ranking 107th in the nation with just 185 yards per game through the air. Their inefficiency on third downs and red zone execution has held them back from converting long drives into touchdowns. Still, their defense is capable of generating key stops — allowing under 190 passing yards per game — and their experience in close games should prove valuable. If they can limit turnovers and keep ULM’s offense off the field, the Jaguars are in position to cover and possibly pull away in the second half.
Louisiana-Monroe, meanwhile, is still searching for traction as their season continues to spiral. The Warhawks have lost five straight games, failing to cover the spread in any of them, and are averaging just 16 points per game on offense — one of the worst marks in the country. Their offensive line has been overmatched most weeks, contributing to an offense that ranks near the bottom nationally in passing and only moderately effective on the ground. Quarterback inconsistency and a lack of explosive playmakers have left ULM unable to sustain drives, and they’re giving up nearly 33 points per game defensively. While the Warhawks occasionally show flashes in the run game, their inability to protect the quarterback or stop the run has been their undoing. Against a South Alabama team that can grind the clock and wear down defenses, ULM will need to find creative ways to generate early points and force turnovers to stay competitive. Unfortunately, recent trends — including an 0-5 ATS home record and a 1-9 mark versus Sun Belt opponents — paint a grim picture for their chances to break through.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: SOUTH ALABAMA
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/26/24
|
@SAB
|
SAB 46-17
|
SAB-8.5
|
O48.5
|
SAB-285
|
|
10/07/23
|
|
SAB 55-7
|
ULM+12.0
|
O52
|
ULM+325
|
|
10/15/22
|
@SAB
|
SAB 41-34
|
SAB-18.0
|
O54
|
SAB-950
|
|
10/23/21
|
|
ULM 41-31
|
ULM+14.0
|
O51
|
ULM+470
|
|
10/24/20
|
@SAB
|
SAB 38-14
|
SAB-15.0
|
U54.5
|
SAB-670
|
|
9/28/19
|
|
ULM 30-17
|
ULM-15.0
|
U58.5
|
ULM-625
|
|
11/10/18
|
@SAB
|
ULM 38-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/21/17
|
@SAB
|
SAB 33-23
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/05/16
|
|
ULM 42-35
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: South Alabama Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
ULL
|
L 31-22
|
L-6.5
|
U53.5
|
L-255
|
|
10/23/25
|
@GST
|
W 38-31
|
W-6.5
|
O55.5
|
W-188
|
|
10/14/25
|
|
L 15-14
|
L-5.5
|
U57.5
|
L-210
|
|
10/04/25
|
@TRY
|
L 31-24
|
L+3.0
|
O47.5
|
L+126
|
|
9/27/25
|
@NTX
|
L 36-22
|
L+12.5
|
U60.5
|
L+330
|
|
9/20/25
|
CC
|
L 38-20
|
L-14.0
|
O51.5
|
L-630
|
|
9/13/25
|
@AUB
|
L 31-15
|
W+24.5
|
U53.5
|
L+1400
|
|
9/06/25
|
TUL
|
L 33-31
|
W+7.5
|
O50.5
|
L+290
|
|
8/30/25
|
MGN
|
W 38-21
|
L-28.5
|
O51.5
|
W-8000
|
|
12/14/24
|
@WMC
|
W 30-23
|
L-9.5
|
U60.5
|
W-320
|
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: Louisiana-Monroe Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
ODU
|
L 31-6
|
L+13.5
|
U51.5
|
L+420
|
|
10/25/25
|
@USM
|
L 49-21
|
L+12.5
|
O46.5
|
L+360
|
|
10/18/25
|
TRY
|
L 37-14
|
L+5.5
|
O46.5
|
L+180
|
|
10/11/25
|
@CC
|
L 23-8
|
L-2.5
|
U44.5
|
L-126
|
|
10/04/25
|
@NW
|
L 42-7
|
L+13.5
|
O40.5
|
L+430
|
|
9/27/25
|
|
W 28-16
|
W-2.5
|
U56.5
|
W-142
|
|
9/20/25
|
@TEP
|
W 31-25
|
W+1.5
|
O47.5
|
W+146
|
|
9/06/25
|
@BAMA
|
L 73-0
|
L+37.5
|
O51.5
|
L+3000
|
|
8/28/25
|
STF
|
W 29-0
|
W-21.5
|
U45.5
|
W-2500
|
|
11/30/24
|
ULL
|
L 37-23
|
L+10.5
|
O49.5
|
L+290
|
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: South Alabama Offense
Overall
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.89 | 87 | Points Scored | 122 | 32.89 |
| 185.44 | 107 | Passing Yards | 105 | 242.33 |
| 193.67 | 28 | Rushing Yards | 71 | 146.00 |
| 31:11 | 35 | Time on Field | 54 | 29:26 |
| 68.56 | 43 | Number of Plays | 52 | 65.44 |
| 5.53 | 83 | Yards Per Play | 104 | 5.93 |
Scoring
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.89 | 87 | Points Scored | 122 | 32.89 |
| 7.33 | 41 | First Quarter | 131 | 9.44 |
| 4.89 | 124 | Second Quarter | 80 | 7.78 |
| 5.22 | 87 | Third Quarter | 117 | 7.56 |
| 7.44 | 56 | Fourth Quarter | 112 | 8.11 |
Passing
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.44 | 107 | Passing Yards | 105 | 242.33 |
| 25.44 | 119 | Pass Attempts | 55 | 29.78 |
| 16.89 | 105 | Pass Completions | 58 | 18.33 |
| 1.89 | 78 | Sacks | 50 | 2.22 |
| 12.11 | 68 | Sack Yards | 84 | 15.33 |
| 10.98 | 91 | Yards Per Pass | 126 | 13.22 |
Rushing
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193.67 | 28 | Rushing Yards | 71 | 146.00 |
| 43.11 | 14 | Rush Attempts | 75 | 35.67 |
| 4.49 | 55 | Yards Per Rush | 68 | 4.09 |
Turn Overs
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 36 | Interceptions | 112 | 0.44 |
| 1.44 | 116 | Fumbles | 60 | 1.11 |
| 0.56 | 88 | Fumbles Lost | 102 | 0.33 |
| 1.11 | 56 | Total Turnovers | 123 | 0.78 |
| 7.11 | 105 | Penalties | 95 | 5.56 |
| 58.56 | 86 | Penalty Yards | 68 | 53.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SALA Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ULM Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:11 | 35 | Time on Field | 54 | 29:26 |
| 68.56 | 43 | Number of Plays | 52 | 65.44 |
| 5.53 | 83 | Yards Per Play | 104 | 5.93 |
| 3.67 | 53 | Punts | 119 | 3.44 |
| 39.84 | 123 | Punt Average | 34 | 41.60 |
| 23.11 | 134 | Return Yards | 108 | 67.78 |
South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction: Louisiana-Monroe Offense
Overall
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.67 | 102 | Points Scored | 131 | 16.00 |
| 188.56 | 30 | Passing Yards | 128 | 150.67 |
| 192.11 | 124 | Rushing Yards | 51 | 170.67 |
| 28:48 | 37 | Time on Field | 50 | 30:32 |
| 66.33 | 70 | Number of Plays | 127 | 61.44 |
| 5.74 | 91 | Yards Per Play | 100 | 5.23 |
Scoring
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.67 | 102 | Points Scored | 131 | 16.00 |
| 7.33 | 110 | First Quarter | 116 | 3.89 |
| 7.67 | 78 | Second Quarter | 126 | 4.67 |
| 6.44 | 100 | Third Quarter | 120 | 3.89 |
| 7.44 | 99 | Fourth Quarter | 128 | 3.56 |
Passing
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188.56 | 30 | Passing Yards | 128 | 150.67 |
| 27.00 | 19 | Pass Attempts | 122 | 24.89 |
| 16.22 | 18 | Pass Completions | 125 | 13.67 |
| 0.89 | 134 | Sacks | 53 | 1.56 |
| 3.78 | 1 | Sack Yards | 87 | 10.11 |
| 11.62 | 84 | Yards Per Pass | 90 | 11.02 |
Rushing
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192.11 | 124 | Rushing Yards | 51 | 170.67 |
| 39.33 | 112 | Rush Attempts | 57 | 36.56 |
| 4.88 | 122 | Yards Per Rush | 45 | 4.67 |
Turn Overs
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 116 | Interceptions | 123 | 1.11 |
| 1.00 | 79 | Fumbles | 73 | 1.11 |
| 0.78 | 20 | Fumbles Lost | 101 | 0.67 |
| 1.22 | 75 | Total Turnovers | 120 | 1.78 |
| 6.89 | 40 | Penalties | 119 | 7.56 |
| 52.00 | 76 | Penalty Yards | 114 | 64.11 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SALA Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ULM Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:48 | 37 | Time on Field | 50 | 30:32 |
| 66.33 | 70 | Number of Plays | 127 | 61.44 |
| 5.74 | 91 | Yards Per Play | 100 | 5.23 |
| 3.56 | 115 | Punts | 99 | 4.89 |
| 43.79 | 105 | Punt Average | 131 | 38.32 |
| 60.33 | 95 | Return Yards | 135 | 20.78 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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