Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Pick, Week 11

The Week 11 matchup between the New York Jets and New England Patriots renews one of the AFC East’s oldest rivalries, with both teams coming in at dramatically different points in their season trajectories. For New York, it’s been a frustrating campaign filled with close losses and offensive inconsistency, while New England has quietly found its stride over the last month. The Patriots have won six of their last seven, including impressive victories over Cleveland, Tennessee, and Buffalo. Their defense continues to set the tone, holding opponents to just 18.8 points per game — one of the best marks in the league — while the offense has made significant strides behind improved quarterback play and a rejuvenated ground attack. The Jets, on the other hand, have been plagued by inconsistency and a lack of offensive rhythm. They’ve dropped six of their last seven, and even though they can run the ball effectively, their passing game remains a glaring weakness. Historically, New England has dominated this rivalry, winning nine of the last ten meetings, including a 25-22 win earlier this season. The Jets did snap the Patriots’ streak with a home win in 2024, but recent trends and form clearly favor New England heading into Week 11.

For the Jets, the story has been one of missed opportunities. Despite having one of the NFL’s top rushing offenses, averaging 143.6 yards per game (3rd overall), New York simply hasn’t been able to complement that success through the air. Ranked dead last in passing yards at just 156.5 per game, the Jets’ lack of balance has limited their ability to sustain drives and capitalize on red-zone chances. Their offensive line has struggled in pass protection, allowing nearly four sacks per game, and the inconsistency under center has made it difficult for receivers to get into rhythm. What keeps the Jets competitive, however, is their resilience — they’ve covered spreads as heavy underdogs multiple times this year, and their defense still has pieces capable of creating turnovers. Running the ball effectively and controlling time of possession will be the key to keeping this one close. The Patriots have the league’s best rush defense, allowing only 75.4 yards per game, so the Jets’ ground game will face its toughest test of the season. If New York can’t establish that early, they may struggle to put points on the board again.

New England enters this game on a serious hot streak, having rattled off five straight wins thanks to a perfectly balanced offensive approach and elite defensive play. Their offense has been humming, ranking 7th in the league with 26.3 points per game, fueled by an efficient passing game that averages 238.3 yards per outing. The offensive line has given their quarterback time to operate, and the Patriots have been particularly effective on the road, where their defense has traveled well. On the other side of the ball, Bill Belichick’s defense remains one of the most disciplined in the NFL, ranking top-10 in both total and scoring defense while allowing only 5.4 yards per play. The Pats’ front seven should have a clear advantage against the Jets’ offensive line, forcing New York into long third downs and uncomfortable passing situations. Considering their recent form, defensive consistency, and dominance in this rivalry, New England has all the momentum going into Week 11.

✅ Our Jets vs Patriots Pick: PATRIOTS

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: Head to Head

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
10/27/24	@NE	NE 25-22	NE+3.5	O42	NE+145
9/19/24	@NYJ	NYJ 24-3	NYJ-7.5	U42	NYJ-345
1/07/24	@NE	NYJ 17-3	NE+1.0	U38	NE-105
9/24/23	@NYJ	NE 15-10	NYJ-3.5	U40	NYJ-175
11/20/22	@NE	NE 10-3	NE-6.5	U39.5	NE-255
10/30/22	@NYJ	NE 22-17	NYJ+2.0	U40	NYJ+105
10/24/21	@NE	NE 54-13	NE-6.5	O44.5	NE-295
9/19/21	@NYJ	NE 25-6	NYJ+5.5	U43	NYJ+200
1/03/21	@NE	NE 28-14	NE-3.0	O40.5	NE-154
11/09/20	@NYJ	NE 30-27	NYJ+9.5	O41.5	NYJ+340

Date	Opponent	Score	Spread	Total	Moneyline
11/02/25	ATL	W 24-23	L-3.0	O44.5	W-162
10/26/25	CLE	W 32-13	W-5.5	O42.5	W-218
10/19/25	@TEN	W 31-13	W-1.5	U44.5	W-122
10/12/25	@NO	W 25-19	W-3.0	O43.5	W-162
10/05/25	@BUF	W 23-20	W+8.5	U46.5	W+300
9/28/25	CAR	W 42-13	W-3.5	O45.5	W-175
9/21/25	PIT	L 21-14	L-1.5	U43.5	L-122
9/14/25	@MIA	W 33-27	W+2.5	O45.5	W+120
9/07/25	LV	L 20-13	L-1.5	U43.5	L-120
1/05/25	BUF	W 23-16	W+5.5	U44.5	W+150

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: NY Offense

Jets vs Patriots Prediction: New England Offense

Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.