USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Can USC Cover Against Rutgers?

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Get the latest odds, best bet, matchup analysis, total pick, trends, and projected score.

The USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction favors USC to win and cover when the Trojans travel to Piscataway on Saturday, September 19, 2026. USC enters the matchup undefeated at 3-0 after defeating San Jose State, Fresno State and Louisiana. Rutgers is 0-2 after losses to UMass and Boston College.

The current betting market has USC around a 25.5-point favorite, with the game total sitting around 55.5 points. USC is also an overwhelming favorite on the moneyline.

USC’s offense has been the biggest reason for its perfect start. Quarterback Jayden Maiava has thrown for 635 yards and 10 touchdowns through three games, including five touchdown passes in the 49-30 victory over Louisiana.

Rutgers has shown some offensive ability, but turnovers have been a major problem. The Scarlet Knights committed four turnovers in their 28-21 loss to Boston College, including four interceptions by quarterback AJ Surace.

Best Bet: USC -25.5

Secondary Bet: Over 55.5

Projected Score: USC 45, Rutgers 17

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction and Game Overview

USC travels across the country for its first Big Ten game of the 2026 season.

The Trojans have opened the year 3-0 and now face a Rutgers team that is searching for its first victory.

The game is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey. Rutgers lists kickoff for 3:30 p.m. ET, while USC’s game information lists the matchup for 12:30 p.m. PT.

Regardless of the kickoff-time listing, the matchup represents a major opportunity for USC.

The Trojans have already demonstrated explosive offensive ability.

They opened the season with a win over San Jose State, followed that with a victory over Fresno State and then defeated Louisiana 49-30.

USC’s latest performance was particularly impressive because Louisiana was able to make the game competitive early.

The Trojans eventually pulled away by scoring 21 consecutive points after Louisiana’s early threat.

Rutgers has experienced the opposite start.

The Scarlet Knights lost 37-21 to UMass in Week 1 and then fell 28-21 to Boston College in Week 2.

Rutgers rallied against Boston College after falling behind by 17 points, but turnovers and inconsistent quarterback play prevented the comeback.

That creates a difficult setup.

USC has confidence, offensive momentum and an experienced quarterback.

Rutgers has home-field advantage but must fix its turnover problems against one of the Big Ten’s most explosive offenses.

The Current Betting Line

The current market has USC around -25.5, with the total at approximately 55.5 points. The opening spread was around USC -24.5 before moving toward the Trojans.

That movement makes sense.

USC has won all three games.

Rutgers has lost its first two.

The Trojans also have a major quarterback advantage entering this matchup.

Still, laying more than three touchdowns on the road always carries some risk.

The primary concern is USC’s ability to maintain its intensity after building a large lead.

Rutgers has already demonstrated that it can score late.

Against Boston College, the Scarlet Knights erased much of a 17-point deficit and repeatedly brought the game within one score.

That means USC cannot afford to become careless.

At -25.5, however, the Trojans remain the preferred side.

Why USC Is the Favorite

There are several reasons USC deserves to be favored by more than three touchdowns.

The first is quarterback play.

The second is offensive explosiveness.

The third is experience.

The fourth is the difference in early-season results.

The fifth is USC’s ability to create points in multiple ways.

Jayden Maiava has already thrown 10 touchdown passes through three games and only one interception. Against Louisiana, he completed 19 of 29 passes for 261 yards and five touchdowns.

That level of efficiency creates a major problem for Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights cannot simply stack the box and expect USC to struggle.

Maiava can attack the secondary.

If Rutgers drops additional defenders into coverage, USC can use its rushing attack.

That creates a difficult defensive equation.

USC Offense vs. Rutgers Defense

The biggest mismatch in this game could be USC’s passing offense against the Rutgers secondary.

USC has demonstrated an ability to generate explosive plays.

The Trojans scored 49 points against Louisiana despite allowing 30.

That offensive performance included five touchdown passes from Maiava.

USC also produced touchdowns through multiple players.

Mark Bowman caught two touchdown passes in the first half against Louisiana.

Kayden Dixon-Wyatt added another touchdown reception.

Trent Mosley scored on an 86-yard punt return and later caught a 21-yard touchdown.

Zacharyus Williams added a 44-yard touchdown reception.

King Miller then finished the scoring with a 12-yard rushing touchdown.

That variety is important.

Rutgers cannot focus on one player.

The Scarlet Knights have to defend the entire offense.

Jayden Maiava Is the Biggest Advantage

The USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction starts with the quarterback matchup.

Maiava has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the country during the opening three games.

He has 635 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes through three games, according to the current matchup statistics.

His performance against Louisiana was particularly strong.

Maiava completed 19 of 29 passes for 261 yards and five touchdowns.

He also helped USC overcome an early challenge from the Ragin’ Cajuns.

The key for USC is that Maiava has experience.

He was USC’s starting quarterback in 2025 and returned for 2026, giving the Trojans stability at the most important position.

A Rutgers defense that has already struggled to consistently stop opponents now has to deal with a quarterback playing with confidence.

That is a difficult matchup.

USC’s Receiving Corps

USC also has considerable depth at wide receiver.

The Trojans do not need one receiver to dominate every week.

Against Louisiana, Bowman, Dixon-Wyatt, Mosley and Williams all made significant contributions.

That is exactly the type of balance that can create problems for Rutgers.

If the Scarlet Knights use additional coverage against the outside receivers, USC can attack underneath.

If Rutgers plays more aggressively, USC can look for explosive plays.

If the defense stays conservative, USC can patiently move the football.

That versatility should keep USC in control.

USC’s Rushing Attack

The Trojans have also shown they can produce on the ground.

King Miller rushed for 128 yards against Louisiana and finished the game with a touchdown.

That performance matters for this matchup because USC should not need to throw on every possession.

If the Trojans establish the run, they can control the clock while continuing to move the chains.

That becomes especially important if USC builds a large lead.

A balanced offense also reduces the pressure on Maiava.

USC can use the running game to force Rutgers defenders toward the line of scrimmage before attacking through the air.

Rutgers Offense vs. USC Defense

Rutgers has enough offensive talent to make this game competitive for stretches.

The Scarlet Knights have two particularly important weapons in running back Antwan Raymond and wide receiver KJ Duff.

Both entered the season with strong preseason expectations.

Rutgers’ official preseason notes identified Raymond as the Big Ten’s leading returning rusher and Duff as the conference’s second-leading returning receiver in terms of returning yardage.

That gives Rutgers a legitimate offensive foundation.

However, the quarterback position has become a concern.

AJ Surace struggled badly against Boston College.

He completed 18 of 27 passes for 197 yards and three touchdowns, but he also threw four interceptions.

Against USC, those mistakes could be extremely costly.

AJ Surace Must Protect the Football

The biggest key for Rutgers is simple:

Do not give USC short fields.

USC has too much offensive firepower to repeatedly receive possessions near midfield.

Turnovers are especially dangerous against a team capable of scoring quickly.

Rutgers committed four turnovers against Boston College.

The Scarlet Knights cannot repeat that performance against USC.

If Surace throws multiple interceptions, the game could get out of hand before halftime.

Rutgers needs him to make smart decisions, take what the defense gives him and avoid forcing throws into coverage.

KJ Duff Gives Rutgers a Chance

KJ Duff is one of Rutgers’ most important offensive weapons.

Against Boston College, Duff caught eight passes for 137 yards and two touchdowns.

That was an excellent performance despite the loss.

His ability to create explosive plays gives Rutgers a way to attack USC.

The Trojans will need to account for him on every passing down.

If Rutgers can get Duff involved early, it could force USC to adjust its coverage.

That could open opportunities for other receivers and the running game.

However, Rutgers cannot rely on Duff alone.

USC has enough defensive speed to make one-dimensional offenses uncomfortable.

Antwan Raymond and the Rutgers Rushing Attack

Raymond gives Rutgers another important offensive weapon.

The Scarlet Knights entered the season expecting him to play a major role in the rushing attack, and he improved to 134 rushing yards against Boston College.

That performance is encouraging.

Rutgers should use Raymond aggressively against USC.

A productive running game would accomplish several things.

It would take pressure off Surace.

It would keep USC’s offense on the sideline.

It would help Rutgers control the clock.

Most importantly, it would reduce the number of obvious passing situations.

If Rutgers constantly faces third-and-long, USC’s pass rush can attack.

That is a scenario the Scarlet Knights need to avoid.

Can Rutgers Slow Down USC?

That is the central question for bettors.

Rutgers does not necessarily need to shut down USC.

It simply needs to limit explosive plays.

That means avoiding busted coverages and forcing USC to execute long drives.

If Rutgers can force USC to string together 10 or 12 plays for a touchdown, the Scarlet Knights have a better chance of staying within the spread.

The problem is that USC has already shown it can score without needing long drives.

The Trojans returned a punt 86 yards for a touchdown against Louisiana.

They also scored touchdowns on passes of 44 and 21 yards.

Those explosive plays can destroy an underdog’s game plan.

USC’s Defense Has Room to Improve

USC’s offense has received most of the attention, but the defense remains an important part of this matchup.

The Trojans have allowed some points during their first three games.

Louisiana scored 30 points against USC.

That is enough to create some concern about the total.

However, the defensive performance improved as the Louisiana game progressed.

USC scored 21 consecutive points to take control after Louisiana threatened early.

The Trojans do not necessarily need a dominant defensive performance.

They simply need enough stops to allow their offense to build a lead.

Rutgers’ Offensive Turnovers Could Decide the Game

Turnovers are one of the strongest reasons to favor USC against the spread.

Rutgers has already demonstrated how costly mistakes can be.

The Scarlet Knights committed four turnovers against Boston College, and Surace accounted for all four interceptions.

USC has an explosive offense.

Giving that offense additional possessions is dangerous.

A single interception could result in seven points.

Two or three turnovers could completely change the game.

For Rutgers to cover, protecting the football has to be a priority from the opening snap.

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Best Bet

The best bet is USC -25.5.

There is some risk because the Trojans are playing on the road.

There is also the possibility that USC builds a large lead and becomes conservative in the fourth quarter.

But the matchup strongly favors USC.

The Trojans have a major quarterback advantage.

They have a deeper group of offensive weapons.

They have more experience at the highest level.

And they enter the game with a 3-0 record.

Rutgers, meanwhile, is 0-2 and has already struggled with turnovers.

The Scarlet Knights have shown enough offensive ability to score 17 or 21 points.

But that may not be enough to stay within four touchdowns.

Why USC Can Cover the Spread

The most likely path to a USC cover is an early offensive explosion.

Suppose USC scores two touchdowns in the first quarter.

Rutgers would then need to become more aggressive.

That creates opportunities for USC’s defense.

If Rutgers turns the ball over, USC could turn a 14-point advantage into a 21- or 28-point lead quickly.

The Trojans’ depth also matters.

Even if USC rotates players in the second half, the talent gap should remain significant.

That makes USC -25.5 playable.

The number becomes less appealing if it climbs substantially higher.

At -25.5, however, the Trojans are the preferred side.

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Total Analysis

The current total is approximately 55.5 points.

Our secondary selection is Over 55.5.

The main reason is USC’s scoring ability.

The Trojans have scored 49 points in their most recent game and have already demonstrated that they can generate explosive plays.

Rutgers also has enough offensive talent to contribute.

The Scarlet Knights scored 21 points against Boston College and 21 against UMass.

If USC reaches the low-to-mid 40s, Rutgers needs only 10 to 15 points for the game to approach the total.

That is realistic.

Why the Over Is Appealing

There are several paths to an over.

USC Scores 40-Plus

This is the simplest path.

USC has already scored 49 points in a Big Ten-caliber matchup against Louisiana.

Rutgers Contributes

Rutgers has scored at least 21 points in each of its first two games.

Turnovers Create Short Fields

A Rutgers interception could give USC a short field.

Explosive Plays

Both teams have offensive players capable of producing long gains.

Fourth-Quarter Scoring

If Rutgers trails by multiple scores, the Scarlet Knights will have to remain aggressive.

That can produce late points.

The biggest risk to the over is an early USC blowout followed by a conservative second half.

Still, 55.5 is a manageable number given the offensive talent on the field.

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Game Script

The expected game script has USC controlling the game early.

Rutgers should attempt to establish Raymond and keep the offense balanced.

USC will likely attack through the passing game while mixing in Miller.

The first quarter could remain competitive.

But USC’s offensive explosiveness should eventually create separation.

First Half Projection

USC 24, Rutgers 10

That would put Rutgers in a difficult position.

The Scarlet Knights would need to score consistently while also preventing USC from creating explosive plays.

Third Quarter Projection

USC should continue applying pressure.

A Rutgers turnover could lead to another USC touchdown.

The Trojans could enter the fourth quarter with a three- or four-score advantage.

Fourth Quarter Projection

Rutgers should continue competing and could find a late touchdown.

However, USC’s depth should allow the Trojans to maintain control.

Final Projection

USC 45, Rutgers 17

That gives USC a 28-point victory and puts the Trojans on the right side of the current 25.5-point spread.

Keys to the Game

1. Rutgers Must Protect the Football

Turnovers are the biggest threat to the Scarlet Knights.

2. USC Needs to Start Fast

An early lead would force Rutgers away from its preferred offensive approach.

3. Rutgers Must Establish the Run

Raymond needs to keep USC’s defense honest.

4. Jayden Maiava Needs to Stay Efficient

USC should not need to take unnecessary risks.

5. KJ Duff Must Make Plays

Duff is Rutgers’ biggest receiving threat and needs to create explosive plays.

6. USC Must Limit Explosive Runs

Rutgers’ rushing attack can keep the game competitive if it consistently generates chunk plays.

7. USC Must Finish Drives

Touchdowns instead of field goals will be critical for covering a large spread.

Home-Field Advantage for Rutgers

Rutgers has the benefit of playing at SHI Stadium.

That matters because USC is making a long trip from Los Angeles to New Jersey.

Travel is one of the biggest potential disadvantages for the Trojans.

Rutgers will also have its home crowd behind it.

However, the Scarlet Knights have not yet won a game this season.

USC enters with significant momentum.

The Trojans also have extensive experience traveling for Big Ten games.

Therefore, home field is helpful for Rutgers but not enough to erase the talent gap.

Head-to-Head History

USC has the advantage in the recent series.

USC’s official game center lists the Trojans with a 1-0 record against Rutgers in the recent matchup history, with USC winning the 2024 meeting 42-20.

The 2024 result is not directly predictive of the 2026 matchup because both rosters have changed.

Still, it illustrates the type of offensive ceiling USC can have against Rutgers.

The Trojans will now attempt to repeat that success on the road.

What Rutgers Needs to Do to Pull an Upset

Rutgers’ upset path is narrow but not impossible.

The Scarlet Knights need to play almost mistake-free football.

First, they need to establish Raymond.

Second, Surace needs to avoid turnovers.

Third, Duff needs to win matchups against USC’s secondary.

Fourth, Rutgers needs to generate pressure on Maiava.

Fifth, the Scarlet Knights need to win the special-teams battle.

A few breaks could make the game interesting.

If Rutgers scores first, the home crowd becomes a factor.

If USC scores first and quickly builds a two-score lead, however, the matchup becomes much more difficult.

What USC Needs to Do to Cover

USC does not need to do anything complicated.

The Trojans need to play their normal game.

Establish the run.

Protect Maiava.

Attack Rutgers vertically.

Force turnovers.

Convert red-zone opportunities.

If USC does those things, the Trojans should have enough points to cover.

The biggest mistake would be becoming too conservative too early.

USC needs to maintain offensive aggression until the game is firmly under control.

Southern California’s Big Ten Opportunity

This game represents the beginning of USC’s conference schedule.

The Trojans entered the 2026 season with legitimate expectations after finishing 2025 at 9-4 and 7-2 in Big Ten play.

USC’s experience is one of its biggest strengths.

The Trojans return Maiava and several important contributors from last season.

That continuity has helped the offense start quickly.

A strong performance against Rutgers would give USC momentum before the schedule becomes more difficult.

Rutgers’ Biggest Concern: Slow Starts

Rutgers fell behind early against Boston College.

The Scarlet Knights were down 17 points before scoring and entered halftime trailing 20-7.

That cannot happen against USC.

The Trojans have too much offensive firepower.

If Rutgers falls behind by three touchdowns, its entire game plan changes.

Surace would have to throw more frequently.

That increases the possibility of turnovers.

The best strategy for Rutgers is therefore to keep the game close early.

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Projected Score

Our projected score is:

USC 45, Rutgers 17

The projection reflects USC’s offensive advantage and Rutgers’ recent turnover issues.

USC should be able to score consistently.

Rutgers should have opportunities to score as well, particularly if the Scarlet Knights can establish Raymond and get Duff involved.

However, the Trojans should create enough separation to win by approximately four touchdowns.

The 45-17 projection produces 62 total points, which is above the current 55.5-point total.

It also gives USC a 28-point victory, slightly above the current 25.5-point spread.

Why We Like USC -25.5

1. USC Is 3-0

The Trojans have won all three games to start the season.

2. Maiava Has Been Excellent

He has 10 touchdown passes and only one interception through three games.

3. USC Can Score in Multiple Ways

The Trojans have produced passing touchdowns, rushing touchdowns and a punt-return touchdown.

4. Rutgers Is 0-2

The Scarlet Knights have lost to UMass and Boston College.

5. Turnovers Are a Major Concern

Rutgers committed four turnovers against Boston College.

6. USC Has More Offensive Depth

The Trojans can attack through several different playmakers.

7. The Matchup Favors USC’s Passing Game

Rutgers will have difficulty defending USC’s combination of quarterback play and receiving depth.

Final USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction

The USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction points toward USC controlling the game and covering the spread.

Rutgers deserves respect because the Scarlet Knights have legitimate offensive weapons.

Antwan Raymond is a talented runner.

KJ Duff is capable of producing explosive receiving numbers.

The home crowd should also provide Rutgers with an advantage.

But USC has the more complete team.

The Trojans enter the game 3-0, while Rutgers is 0-2.

USC has also demonstrated much greater offensive consistency.

Jayden Maiava has thrown 10 touchdown passes through three games and has only one interception.

Rutgers, meanwhile, is coming off a game in which Surace threw four interceptions.

That difference is significant.

USC should establish the run, create favorable passing situations and attack Rutgers’ secondary.

The Scarlet Knights may score enough to keep the game interesting for a while.

However, USC should eventually pull away.

The biggest risk to the spread is a late-game slowdown if the Trojans build a huge advantage.

Still, USC -25.5 is the strongest betting angle.

The over also has value because USC has the offensive ability to reach the 40s and Rutgers should have opportunities to contribute.

Final Picks

Best Bet: USC -25.5

Secondary Bet: Over 55.5

Moneyline: USC

Projected Score: USC 45, Rutgers 17

Direct Answer
USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction and Game Overview
The Current Betting Line
Why USC Is the Favorite
USC Offense vs. Rutgers Defense
Jayden Maiava
USC Receiving Corps
USC Rushing Attack
Rutgers Offense vs. USC Defense
AJ Surace
KJ Duff
Antwan Raymond
Can Rutgers Slow Down USC?
USC Defense
Turnovers
Best Bet
Total Analysis
Game Script
Keys to the Game
Home-Field Advantage
Head-to-Head History
Rutgers’ Upset Path
What USC Needs to Cover
Projected Score
Final Betting Prediction
Follow-Up Questions
FAQ

Follow-Up Questions

What is the best USC at Rutgers betting pick?

USC -25.5 is the preferred betting pick. The Trojans have the stronger offense, better quarterback situation and greater overall depth.

Can Rutgers cover against USC?

Rutgers can cover if it protects the football and keeps USC from producing explosive plays. However, USC -25.5 is the preferred side.

What is the projected score for USC vs. Rutgers?

The projected score is USC 45, Rutgers 17.

Should you bet the over or under?

The preferred secondary play is Over 55.5. USC has enough offensive firepower to score in the 40s, while Rutgers should have opportunities to reach the high teens or low 20s.

FAQ

1. Who is favored in USC vs. Rutgers?

USC is the heavy favorite. The current spread is approximately USC -25.5.

2. What is the USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction?

The prediction is for USC to defeat Rutgers by approximately four touchdowns, with a projected final score of 45-17.

3. What is USC’s record in 2026?

USC enters the matchup with a 3-0 record after victories over San Jose State, Fresno State and Louisiana.

4. What is Rutgers’ record in 2026?

Rutgers is 0-2 after losses to UMass and Boston College.

5. Where is USC vs. Rutgers being played?

The game will be played at SHI Stadium in Piscataway, New Jersey.

6. What time does USC vs. Rutgers start?

The matchup is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026, with Rutgers listing a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff.

7. Who is USC’s quarterback?

Jayden Maiava is USC’s starting quarterback. He has thrown for 635 yards and 10 touchdowns through three games.

8. How many touchdown passes does Jayden Maiava have?

Maiava has thrown 10 touchdown passes through USC’s first three games of the 2026 season.

9. Who are Rutgers’ key offensive players?

Running back Antwan Raymond and wide receiver KJ Duff are two of Rutgers’ most important offensive weapons. Duff caught eight passes for 137 yards and two touchdowns against Boston College, while Raymond rushed for 134 yards.

10. What is the final USC at Rutgers prediction?

USC is projected to beat Rutgers 45-17. The best bet is USC -25.5, while the secondary selection is Over 55.5.

Today’s College Betting Picks, September 2026

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USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Can USC Cover Against Rutgers?

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Can USC Cover Against Rutgers?

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction and Game Overview

The Current Betting Line

Why USC Is the Favorite

USC Offense vs. Rutgers Defense

Jayden Maiava Is the Biggest Advantage

USC’s Receiving Corps

USC’s Rushing Attack

Rutgers Offense vs. USC Defense

AJ Surace Must Protect the Football

KJ Duff Gives Rutgers a Chance

Antwan Raymond and the Rutgers Rushing Attack

Can Rutgers Slow Down USC?

USC’s Defense Has Room to Improve

Rutgers’ Offensive Turnovers Could Decide the Game

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Best Bet

Why USC Can Cover the Spread

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Total Analysis

Why the Over Is Appealing

USC Scores 40-Plus

Rutgers Contributes

Turnovers Create Short Fields

Explosive Plays

Fourth-Quarter Scoring

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Game Script

First Half Projection

Third Quarter Projection

Fourth Quarter Projection

Final Projection

Keys to the Game

1. Rutgers Must Protect the Football

2. USC Needs to Start Fast

3. Rutgers Must Establish the Run

4. Jayden Maiava Needs to Stay Efficient

5. KJ Duff Must Make Plays

6. USC Must Limit Explosive Runs

7. USC Must Finish Drives

Home-Field Advantage for Rutgers

Head-to-Head History

What Rutgers Needs to Do to Pull an Upset

What USC Needs to Do to Cover

Southern California’s Big Ten Opportunity

Rutgers’ Biggest Concern: Slow Starts

USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction: Projected Score

USC 45, Rutgers 17

Why We Like USC -25.5

1. USC Is 3-0

2. Maiava Has Been Excellent

3. USC Can Score in Multiple Ways

4. Rutgers Is 0-2

5. Turnovers Are a Major Concern

6. USC Has More Offensive Depth

7. The Matchup Favors USC’s Passing Game

Final USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction

Final Picks

Table of Contents

Follow-Up Questions

What is the best USC at Rutgers betting pick?

Can Rutgers cover against USC?

What is the projected score for USC vs. Rutgers?

Should you bet the over or under?

FAQ

1. Who is favored in USC vs. Rutgers?

2. What is the USC at Rutgers Betting Prediction?

3. What is USC’s record in 2026?

4. What is Rutgers’ record in 2026?

5. Where is USC vs. Rutgers being played?

6. What time does USC vs. Rutgers start?

7. Who is USC’s quarterback?

8. How many touchdown passes does Jayden Maiava have?

9. Who are Rutgers’ key offensive players?

10. What is the final USC at Rutgers prediction?

Today’s College Betting Picks, September 2026

All Sports Predictions

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