Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 14, NFL Betting Picks
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 14, NFL Betting Picks. Place a bet on this game with the best odds.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Now we have the Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction for both teams.
Prior to Joe Burrow’s comeback, the Buffalo Bills were projected to have a -7 advantage in the game. The line dropped to -6.5 after the Cincinnati Bengals achieved a stunning victory over the Baltimore Ravens on the previous Thursday.
A bit of a dead zone that allows bookies to react to action, injuries, and weather without sticking their necks out is the official opening, which was the Bills -5.5. The game was played on Sunday night. I believe that we will see buyback on the visitor if we get to the Bengals +6.5 point spread.
It is true that Buffalo is suffering from a number of significant injuries that are anchoring this spread, particularly on the offensive line. This Bengals offense has the potential to put Buffalo’s defense to the test, despite the fact that the Bills were able to defeat the Pittsburgh Steelers and Aaron Rodgers against a one-handed quarterback on Sunday.
Even after Burrow was injured in Week 2, Cincinnati continued to rack up points in a consistent manner. With the return of the star quarterback and the optimism that wide out Tee Higgins will recover from the concussion that sidelined him for Week 13, the Bengals have one of the most explosive offenses in the National Football League.
This Over/Under wager started out at a high of 53.5 points, but it swiftly dropped to a lower amount, crossing the critical number of 53 and currently lying just over the next key stop, which is 51 points.
As a result of the fact that there is no scarcity of offensive talent on the field in Week 14, the elevated total is justified. The extended prediction for Highmark Stadium, on the other hand, forecasts for extremely cold temperatures, with the possibility of snowfall and higher wind gusts.
Even if there is no winter weather, betting on the Under could be a good opportunity to make money. The Buffalo Bills have a strong preference for running the ball, which results in shorter gains and longer drives that consume a lot of time. The run stop in Cincinnati is terrible in general, and it ranks around the bottom of the majority of advanced metrics in the year 2025.
Having said that, the Bengals defense has been playing better over the past few weeks, which is not at all surprising when one considers how terrible they were in the past. Through the eleventh week of the season, Cincinnati has moved up to the middle of the pack in terms of the average points allowed per play.
In the event that the outlook for Orchard Park continues to deteriorate over the week, it is possible that this total will drop to 51 points or even higher.
✅ Our Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Pick: BENGALS
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Trends
- In its last ten games, Cincinnati has a record of 2-8 against the spread.
- After six games against Buffalo, Cincinnati has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- Cincinnati has a winning record of 6-2 against Buffalo in its last eight games.
- In its previous five games played away from home, Cincinnati has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- On the road versus Buffalo, Cincinnati has a record of 3-7 in terms of its overall performance in the last ten games.
- There have been six out of the nine games that Cincinnati has played against an opponent in the American Football Conference that have ended with the total finishing UNDER.
- Over the course of the last eight games that Cincinnati has played against teams that are members of the American Football Conference East division, the total has been UNDER seven times.
- The last five games that Cincinnati has played in December have resulted in a 4-1 overs.
- Over the past six games, Buffalo has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
- There have been four of Buffalo’s most recent five games in which the total has been UNDER.
- Buffalo has a winning record of 13-6 in its previous 19 games.
- In five of Buffalo’s most recent five games versus Cincinnati, the total has been under for the under.
- In its last 16 games played at home, Buffalo has a winning record of 15-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home against Cincinnati, Buffalo has a winning record of 7-3 since the beginning of the season.
- Over the past five games that Buffalo has played against an opponent from the American Football Conference, the total has been under the line in five of those games.
- As a result of playing opponents from the American Football Conference North division, Buffalo has a record of 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
- Five out of Buffalo’s seven most recent games played in December have resulted in the total going over.
- In their last seven games played in week 14, Buffalo has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Team | Opp | Close | Result | ATS/OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Bengals | Bills | -1.5 / 50.5 | Won 24-18 | Won / Under |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Bengals | @Bills | +5.5 / 48.5 | Won 27-10 | Won / Under |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Bengals | @Bills | +5.5 / 43.5 | Lost 17-21 | Won / Under |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Bengals | @Bills | +1.5 / 41.5 | Won 26-13 | Won / Under |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Bengals | Bills | -3 / 39 | Won 20-16 | Won / Under |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Bengals | @Bills | +2.5 / 48 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Bengals | Bills | +3 / 42.5 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 13, 2013 | Bengals | Bills | +6 / 41 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Bengals | @Bills | -3 / 41.5 | Lost 0-0 | Lost / Under |
| Nov 21, 2010 | Bengals | @Bills | +4 / 41 | Lost 0-0 | Won / Under |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Cincinnati Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RB | Tahj Brooks (Concussion) | Out |
| WR | Tee Higgins (Concussion) | Out |
| QB | Joe Burrow (Toe) | Questionable |
| QB | Joe Burrow (Toe) | Out |
| TE | Mike Gesicki (Pectoral) | Questionable |
| QB | Joe Burrow (Toe) | Questionable |
| RB | Samaje Perine (Ankle) | Out |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Buffalo Injury List
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| WR | Joshua Palmer (Ankle) | Out |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Hamstring) | Out |
| WR | Joshua Palmer (Ankle) | Questionable |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Hamstring) | Questionable |
| WR | Curtis Samuel (Elbow) | Out |
| WR | Mecole Hardman (Calf) | Out |
| WR | Joshua Palmer (Ankle) | Questionable |
| TE | Dalton Kincaid (Hamstring) | Out |
| WR | Joshua Palmer (Ankle) | Out |
| WR | Joshua Palmer (Ankle) | Questionable |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Cincinnati Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/27/25
|
@BAL
|
W 32-14
|
W+5.5
|
U49.5
|
W+185
|
|
11/23/25
|
NE
|
L 26-20
|
L-4.5
|
U47.5
|
L-205
|
|
11/16/25
|
@PIT
|
L 34-12
|
L-1.5
|
U46.5
|
L-120
|
|
11/02/25
|
CHI
|
L 47-42
|
L-3.0
|
O48.5
|
L-162
|
|
10/26/25
|
NYJ
|
L 39-38
|
L-7.5
|
O45.5
|
L-340
|
|
10/16/25
|
PIT
|
W 33-31
|
L-4.5
|
O46.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/12/25
|
@GB
|
L 27-18
|
L+2.5
|
U48.5
|
L+120
|
|
10/05/25
|
DET
|
L 37-24
|
L+8.5
|
O50.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/29/25
|
@DEN
|
L 28-3
|
L+1.5
|
U44.5
|
L+110
|
|
9/21/25
|
@MIN
|
L 48-10
|
L+1.5
|
O47.5
|
L+102
|
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Buffalo Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/30/25
|
@PIT
|
W 26-7
|
W-4.5
|
U47
|
W-205
|
|
11/20/25
|
@HOU
|
L 23-19
|
L-3.5
|
U46.5
|
L-175
|
|
11/16/25
|
TB
|
W 44-32
|
W-5.5
|
O49.5
|
W-230
|
|
11/09/25
|
@MIA
|
L 30-13
|
L-5.5
|
U48.5
|
L-225
|
|
11/02/25
|
KC
|
W 28-21
|
W-2.5
|
O48.5
|
W-135
|
|
10/26/25
|
@CAR
|
W 40-9
|
W-7.0
|
O47.5
|
W-310
|
|
10/13/25
|
@ATL
|
L 24-14
|
L-5.5
|
U48.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/05/25
|
NE
|
L 23-20
|
L-8.5
|
U46.5
|
L-380
|
|
9/28/25
|
NO
|
W 31-19
|
L-12.5
|
O46.5
|
W-650
|
|
9/18/25
|
MIA
|
W 31-21
|
W-8.5
|
O48.5
|
W-380
|
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Cincinnati Offense
Overall
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.33 | 16 | Points Scored | 13 | 21.58 |
| 224.83 | 11 | Passing Yards | 1 | 163.17 |
| 88.50 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 141.33 |
| 28:04 | 29 | Time on Field | 1 | 26:49 |
| 60.75 | 20 | Number of Plays | 3 | 56.58 |
| 5.16 | 20 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.38 |
Scoring
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.33 | 16 | Points Scored | 13 | 21.58 |
| 4.08 | 18 | First Quarter | 10 | 3.92 |
| 6.33 | 21 | Second Quarter | 27 | 8.83 |
| 4.83 | 15 | Third Quarter | 2 | 3.00 |
| 8.08 | 8 | Fourth Quarter | 12 | 5.83 |
Passing
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224.83 | 11 | Passing Yards | 1 | 163.17 |
| 38.08 | 2 | Pass Attempts | 1 | 27.17 |
| 23.33 | 6 | Pass Completions | 1 | 16.17 |
| 2.08 | 11 | Sacks | 17 | 2.25 |
| 13.25 | 20 | Sack Yards | 14 | 14.17 |
| 9.64 | 22 | Yards Per Pass | 16 | 10.09 |
Rushing
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.50 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 141.33 |
| 20.58 | 31 | Rush Attempts | 19 | 27.17 |
| 4.30 | 18 | Yards Per Rush | 31 | 5.20 |
Turn Overs
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 28 | Interceptions | 16 | 0.67 |
| 0.83 | 7 | Fumbles | 8 | 1.25 |
| 0.50 | 17 | Fumbles Lost | 9 | 0.58 |
| 1.50 | 28 | Total Turnovers | 12 | 1.25 |
| 5.58 | 6 | Penalties | 32 | 5.00 |
| 40.42 | 3 | Penalty Yards | 28 | 44.08 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CIN Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:04 | 29 | Time on Field | 1 | 26:49 |
| 60.75 | 20 | Number of Plays | 3 | 56.58 |
| 5.16 | 20 | Yards Per Play | 20 | 5.38 |
| 4.00 | 22 | Punts | 7 | 4.08 |
| 52.29 | 1 | Punt Average | 16 | 47.43 |
| 146.08 | 5 | Return Yards | 23 | 139.33 |
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: Buffalo Offense
Overall
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.17 | 32 | Points Scored | 5 | 28.08 |
| 256.75 | 32 | Passing Yards | 10 | 225.33 |
| 153.25 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 155.67 |
| 31:55 | 29 | Time on Field | 1 | 33:10 |
| 65.33 | 30 | Number of Plays | 12 | 63.33 |
| 6.28 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 5 | 6.02 |
Scoring
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.17 | 32 | Points Scored | 5 | 28.08 |
| 5.25 | 25 | First Quarter | 7 | 5.67 |
| 9.75 | 30 | Second Quarter | 15 | 6.92 |
| 7.08 | 31 | Third Quarter | 2 | 7.33 |
| 9.08 | 30 | Fourth Quarter | 7 | 8.17 |
Passing
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.75 | 32 | Passing Yards | 10 | 225.33 |
| 33.75 | 20 | Pass Attempts | 27 | 29.67 |
| 22.17 | 22 | Pass Completions | 16 | 20.50 |
| 1.50 | 30 | Sacks | 19 | 2.33 |
| 9.17 | 3 | Sack Yards | 14 | 15.17 |
| 11.58 | 31 | Yards Per Pass | 7 | 10.99 |
Rushing
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153.25 | 31 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 155.67 |
| 30.08 | 29 | Rush Attempts | 1 | 31.33 |
| 5.09 | 29 | Yards Per Rush | 4 | 4.97 |
Turn Overs
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 10 | Interceptions | 22 | 0.83 |
| 0.58 | 30 | Fumbles | 26 | 1.25 |
| 0.42 | 17 | Fumbles Lost | 22 | 0.58 |
| 1.25 | 13 | Total Turnovers | 25 | 1.42 |
| 6.92 | 10 | Penalties | 17 | 6.75 |
| 57.42 | 8 | Penalty Yards | 19 | 55.17 |
Drives & Special Teams
| CIN Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:55 | 29 | Time on Field | 1 | 33:10 |
| 65.33 | 30 | Number of Plays | 12 | 63.33 |
| 6.28 | 32 | Yards Per Play | 5 | 6.02 |
| 2.83 | 32 | Punts | 5 | 3.00 |
| 46.71 | 11 | Punt Average | 26 | 44.89 |
| 159.00 | 32 | Return Yards | 16 | 127.42 |
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