Utah vs Baylor Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Utah vs Baylor Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Utah vs Baylor Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Utah vs Baylor Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Trends

  • It is 9-2 against the spread in Utah’s previous 11 games.
  • In four of Utah’s most recent five games, the total has included an over.
  • Over the past ten games, Utah has a record of 8-2 against the spread.
  • In its previous five games played away from home, Utah has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • In its previous five games against opponents from the Big 12 conference, Utah has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Out of the ten games that Utah has played in November, the total has been over in eight of those games.
  • During the 12th week of the season, Utah had a record of 1-4 on the road.
  • In the last five games that Utah has played on a Saturday, the team has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Over the past seven games, Baylor has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • Thirteen of Baylor’s most recent 19 games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In their last 16 games, Baylor has a state record of 11-5.
  • In its previous five games played at home, Baylor has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
  • In their last six games against opponents from the Big 12 conference, Baylor has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • In its last five games played in November, Baylor has a perfect 5-0 SEC record.
  • Seven of Baylor’s most recent seven games played in week 12 have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In its last 14 games played on a Saturday, Baylor has a winning track record of 11-3.
  • During the last eight games that Baylor has played as the underdog, the total has gone over in six of those games.

Utah vs Baylor Prediction

Now we have the Utah vs Baylor Prediction for both teams.

The Week 12 matchup between the Utah Utes and the Baylor Bears presents one of the more intriguing cross-conference battles on the slate. Utah enters this contest as one of the most balanced and efficient teams in college football, while Baylor continues to search for consistency on both sides of the ball. Historically, Utah has fared well against the spread in these kinds of late-season games, going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 overall and 8-2 in their last 10. Their strong performance against Big 12 opponents (4-1 ATS in the last five) and their tendency to hit the over in November (8 of their last 10) make them a reliable bet for both production and defensive control. Baylor, meanwhile, has struggled mightily in recent weeks, covering the spread just once in their last seven games and posting a poor 1-5 ATS record against conference competition. While the Bears have found some offensive rhythm, their defense remains inconsistent and vulnerable to explosive plays—something Utah thrives on. With Utah’s dominant rushing attack meeting a Baylor defense that ranks outside the top 100 in several key metrics, the matchup looks to favor the Utes on paper.

Utah’s offense has been rolling behind one of the most powerful ground games in college football. Ranked third nationally in rushing yards at 267.1 per game, the Utes’ offensive line has been clearing the way for a stable of backs who are averaging nearly 6 yards per carry. Even when their passing game hasn’t been explosive, Utah’s ability to control the clock (ranking 15th in time of possession) and execute long, methodical drives has worn opponents down week after week. They’ve also been incredibly efficient on the scoreboard, averaging nearly 40 points per game—good for a top-10 national ranking. Their consistency shows up in every quarter, scoring at least nine points on average in each frame. Against a Baylor defense that allows over 29 points per game and ranks 112th in rushing yards allowed, Utah’s offensive formula could be devastating. Defensively, Utah remains one of the toughest teams in the country to move the ball against. They rank eighth nationally in points allowed (14.2 per game), sixth in passing yards allowed, and hold opponents to just 4.7 yards per play. That combination of defensive toughness and run-first offense gives them the perfect formula to dominate teams like Baylor who depend on rhythm and space.

For Baylor, this game represents both a challenge and an opportunity to prove their offensive ceiling can hang with elite defenses. The Bears have been an up-and-down squad all year—capable of big scoring outputs, but equally prone to breakdowns in key moments. Baylor’s offense is statistically impressive through the air, averaging over 312 passing yards per game (ranked fifth nationally). When the passing attack is clicking, it can stretch defenses and open up lanes for a modest ground game that adds around 141 yards per outing. However, turnovers and inconsistency in the trenches have been a major issue. Baylor is near the bottom nationally in turnovers per game and has allowed opponents to dictate tempo far too often. Facing a Utah defense that thrives on disrupting passing rhythm and forcing teams into long third downs will be a tough task. The Bears will need near-perfection from their quarterback play and better balance on early downs to stay competitive. Despite some strong recent home wins, their defense still struggles against physical teams, and Utah’s bruising run game could prove too much over four quarters.

✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: UTAH

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Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
9/07/24
UTH 23-12
UTH-14.5
U53.5
UTH-670
9/09/23
UTH 20-13
BAY-1.5
U55.5
BAY+240

Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Utah Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 45-14
W-5.5
O57.5
W-280
10/25/25
W 53-7
W-9.0
O55.5
W-310
10/18/25
L 24-21
L-1.5
U46.5
L-120
10/11/25
W 42-10
W-8.5
U52.5
W-137
9/27/25
W 48-14
W-12.5
O49.5
W-450
9/20/25
L 34-10
L-3.5
U60.5
L-182
9/13/25
W 31-6
W-24.0
U48
W-2800
9/06/25
W 63-9
W-42.5
O51.5
W-20000
8/30/25
W 43-10
W-3.5
O50.5
W-145
11/29/24
W 28-14
W+6.5
U48.5
W+225

Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Baylor Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
W 30-3
W-5.5
U56.5
W-196
10/25/25
L 41-20
L+3.5
U66.5
L+155
10/18/25
L 42-36
L+2.5
O63.5
L+112
10/04/25
W 35-34
L-6.5
O58.5
W-220
9/27/25
W 45-27
W-17.5
O56.5
W-1000
9/20/25
L 27-24
L-2.5
U59.5
L-182
9/13/25
W 42-7
L-46.5
U58.5
W-100000
9/06/25
W 48-45
W+6.5
O60.5
W+188
8/29/25
L 38-24
L+1.5
O56.5
L+102
12/31/24
L 44-31
L+3.0
O60.5
L+114

Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Utah Offense

Overall

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
39.56 8 Points Scored 100 29.33
210.11 90 Passing Yards 52 205.22
267.11 3 Rushing Yards 112 177.56
32:32 15 Time on Field 96 30:55
74.78 6 Number of Plays 106 69.89
6.38 29 Yards Per Play 68 5.48

Scoring

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
39.56 8 Points Scored 100 29.33
9.11 13 First Quarter 90 6.11
11.67 16 Second Quarter 111 9.78
9.22 14 Third Quarter 69 5.33
9.56 22 Fourth Quarter 95 7.33

Passing

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
210.11 90 Passing Yards 52 205.22
29.67 76 Pass Attempts 64 30.33
19.33 74 Pass Completions 70 19.00
0.78 8 Sacks 133 0.89
4.56 128 Sack Yards 10 6.00
10.87 97 Yards Per Pass 33 10.80

Rushing

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
267.11 3 Rushing Yards 112 177.56
45.11 8 Rush Attempts 116 39.56
5.92 5 Yards Per Rush 93 4.49

Turn Overs

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
0.56 39 Interceptions 61 0.78
1.44 118 Fumbles 89 0.89
0.56 92 Fumbles Lost 116 0.22
1.11 58 Total Turnovers 99 1.00
6.22 68 Penalties 42 6.78
51.67 55 Penalty Yards 13 67.11

Drives & Special Teams

UTAH Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank BAY Defense
32:32 15 Time on Field 96 30:55
74.78 6 Number of Plays 106 69.89
6.38 29 Yards Per Play 68 5.48
2.67 22 Punts 72 4.33
42.45 76 Punt Average 12 39.83
56.89 71 Return Yards 88 57.78

Utah vs Baylor Prediction: Baylor Offense

Overall

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
14.22 8 Points Scored 26 33.78
156.78 6 Passing Yards 5 312.67
142.78 62 Rushing Yards 84 141.33
27:27 17 Time on Field 95 29:04
63.67 31 Number of Plays 4 75.44
4.71 19 Yards Per Play 47 6.02

Scoring

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
14.22 8 Points Scored 26 33.78
2.22 9 First Quarter 74 5.67
2.56 4 Second Quarter 15 11.78
2.67 16 Third Quarter 121 3.78
6.78 79 Fourth Quarter 3 11.44

Passing

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
156.78 6 Passing Yards 5 312.67
27.56 29 Pass Attempts 7 41.44
13.78 3 Pass Completions 5 26.11
2.78 18 Sacks 68 1.78
22.89 131 Sack Yards 70 11.89
11.38 77 Yards Per Pass 61 11.97

Rushing

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
142.78 62 Rushing Yards 84 141.33
36.11 78 Rush Attempts 91 34.00
3.95 60 Yards Per Rush 80 4.16

Turn Overs

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
0.89 55 Interceptions 70 0.78
0.78 110 Fumbles 88 1.22
0.33 108 Fumbles Lost 134 1.11
1.22 76 Total Turnovers 125 1.89
6.00 76 Penalties 48 5.78
51.22 81 Penalty Yards 96 60.33

Drives & Special Teams

UTAH Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank BAY Offense
27:27 17 Time on Field 95 29:04
63.67 31 Number of Plays 4 75.44
4.71 19 Yards Per Play 47 6.02
5.44 14 Punts 8 2.22
42.02 54 Punt Average 7 47.35
20.56 3 Return Yards 12 80.56

 

 

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