Utah State vs UNLV Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: Trends

• Utah State has a 7-2 overall record in their previous nine games.
• There have been 14 of Utah State’s last 19 games in which the total has been over.
• Utah State has a winning record of 6-2 against Nevada-Las Vegas in its last eight games.
• Utah State has a losing record of 0-6 on the road in their last six games.
• The Utah State Wildcats have a winning record of 4-1 versus Nevada-Las Vegas in their previous five games played away from home.
• Ten out of Utah State’s previous thirteen games against opponents from the Mountain West conference have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
• Over the course of its previous eight games against opponents from the West Division, Utah State has a record of 7-1 against the spread.
• In each of Utah State’s last six games played in November, the total has been over in six of those games.
• The over/under record for Nevada-Las Vegas is 8-4 in its previous 12 games.
• Four of Nevada-Las Vegas’ most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
• Nevada-Las Vegas has a winning record of 12-2 over the past 14 games.
• There have been four out of Nevada-Las Vegas’ last six games against Utah State in which the total has been above.
• In its previous six games played at home, Nevada-Las Vegas has a winning record of 5-1 against the spread.
• In the last five games that Nevada-Las Vegas has played at home versus Utah State, the team has a record of 1-4 on the road.
• When Nevada-Las Vegas has played an opponent from the Mountain West conference, the total has gone over in ten of the last fifteen games that they have played.
• Over the course of its previous eight games versus teams from the Mountain Division, Nevada-Las Vegas has a record of 2-6 against the spread.
• Seven of Nevada-Las Vegas’ most recent ten games played in week 12 have resulted in the total scoring going over.
• During its most recent ten games, Nevada-Las Vegas has a 7-3 overall record when playing as the favorite game.

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction

Now we have the Utah State vs UNLV Prediction for both teams.

The Week 12 matchup between the Utah State Aggies and the UNLV Rebels has all the makings of a high-scoring Mountain West showdown. Both teams have shown a consistent tendency to hit the over this season, and the stats back that up—Utah State has gone over the total in 14 of their last 19 games, while UNLV has done the same in four of their last six. The Rebels enter this game with an impressive 12-2 record over their last 14 contests, establishing themselves as one of the most consistent programs in the conference. Meanwhile, Utah State has been streaky, showing flashes of explosive offense but struggling with road performances, going winless in their last six away games. Both offenses rank in the top third nationally in scoring, with Utah State averaging 33.7 points per game and UNLV putting up 37.4, and both defenses have had trouble keeping opponents out of the end zone. This combination makes the over an enticing angle again this week. Expect fireworks in Las Vegas, as these two teams have gone over the total in four of their last six meetings, and neither side appears built to slow the other down.

For Utah State, the formula for success has been built around offensive explosiveness and balance. The Aggies are averaging 425 yards of total offense per game, splitting it effectively between 266.7 through the air and 158.6 on the ground. Quarterback play has been sharp, with Utah State ranking 29th nationally in passing yards and 16th in yards per attempt, at a hefty 13.5. Their ability to stretch defenses vertically has been a major weapon, and their turnover discipline has been excellent—they rank in the top 15 nationally in fewest turnovers per game. The problem, however, is on the other side of the ball. Utah State’s defense has been gashed for 243 passing yards and 178 rushing yards per contest, ranking outside the top 100 in both categories. Their inability to win on the road has also been glaring, with defensive lapses magnified in hostile environments. Still, the Aggies’ offensive line has protected well and created lanes for their rushing attack, and if their passing game gets rolling early, they could force UNLV to play catch-up. History is on their side too—Utah State has won six of the last eight meetings between these teams, including some convincing offensive performances.

UNLV, meanwhile, has built a reputation this season as a disciplined, aggressive offensive unit that can light up the scoreboard. The Rebels average over 37 points per game and have one of the most balanced attacks in the Mountain West, ranking 18th in rushing offense (207.1 YPG) and 40th in passing (256 YPG). Their efficiency on the ground has been key, gaining 5.7 yards per carry behind a strong offensive line and a running back group that can wear defenses down late. At home, UNLV has been nearly unbeatable against the spread, covering in five of their last six at Allegiant Stadium. However, their defense continues to be their biggest liability, allowing 31.6 points per game and giving up big plays both through the air and on the ground. If the Rebels want to stay in the conference race, they’ll need to find ways to pressure Utah State’s quarterback and create turnovers early. That said, this team thrives in shootouts, and with the Aggies’ porous defense, UNLV should be able to put up points in bunches once again. With their offensive firepower and home-field advantage, the Rebels are positioned to outlast Utah State in another high-scoring thriller.

✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: UNLV

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: Head to Head

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: Utah State Last 10 Games

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: UNLV Last 10 Games

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: Utah State Offense

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction: UNLV Offense

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