San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 12
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: Trends
- In its last 18 games, San Jose State has a record of 6-12 against the spread.
- Five of San Jose State’s most recent seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- Overall, San Jose State has a record of 3-7 in their previous 10 games.
- Overall, San Jose State has a record of 5-15 versus Nevada in its last 20 games.
- In its previous eight games played away from home, San Jose State has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
- In the last ten games that San Jose State has played away from home versus Nevada, the school has a losing record SU of 0-10.
- Over the course of its previous 11 games against teams from the Mountain West conference, San Jose State has a record of 2-9 against the spread.
- Over the course of its previous 12 games against opponents from the West Division, San Jose State has a record of 4-8 against the spread.
- Nine of San Jose State’s previous thirteen games played in week 12 have resulted in the total being calculated as UNDER.
- In nine out of Nevada’s past twelve games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
- In its last seven games, Nevada has a record of 0-7 against the spread.
- In Nevada’s last seven games played at home, the team has a record of 1-6 for the season.
- When playing at home versus San Jose State, Nevada has maintained a perfect record of 10-0 in its last ten games.
- Over the course of Nevada’s last eight games against opponents from the Mountain West conference, the total has been under in six of those games.
- After six games played in November, Nevada has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Eight out of Nevada’s nine most recent games played in week 12 have resulted in the total going over.
- After seven games played on Saturdays, Nevada has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction
Now we have the San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between San Jose State and Nevada brings together two programs trending in opposite directions but both desperate for a win to close out the season strong. San Jose State has struggled to find consistency this year, but they enter this game with a far more competent offense and better recent performances than the Wolf Pack. The Spartans are 3-7 in their last 10 games but have been competitive in several of those losses, including narrow defeats against Stanford and UTSA. Their offense has been the difference-maker, particularly through the air, ranking first nationally in passing yards per game at 333.8. However, their inability to maintain defensive stops and close out games on the road continues to plague them. Against a Nevada team that has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games, San Jose State looks primed to capitalize. Historically, this has been a one-sided rivalry with Nevada owning a 10-0 record at home over the Spartans, but with the way the Wolf Pack have played lately, history alone might not be enough to save them this time around.
For San Jose State, the key to this matchup lies in their passing attack and their ability to protect the quarterback. The Spartans rank among the top ten nationally in both passing completions and attempts per game, and quarterback play has been the one area where they’ve found rhythm. Their 6.63 yards per play ranks 22nd in the country, showcasing an offense that can move the ball efficiently even if they struggle to sustain drives. Their passing game will face a Nevada defense allowing over 230 yards through the air per game, and that mismatch could be where the Spartans pull away. The biggest concern remains turnovers and red-zone efficiency, as San Jose State is near the bottom nationally in total turnovers per game (1.67). Still, their ability to stretch the field and exploit a weak Nevada secondary could create the separation needed to break their winless road streak in Reno. If the Spartans can complement their aerial attack with even a modest ground game — which has been hit or miss — they should be in position to score consistently and control tempo.
Nevada, on the other hand, is enduring one of the roughest stretches of football in recent memory. The Wolf Pack have lost seven straight games against the spread and have not found an offensive identity all season. They’re averaging just 14.0 points per game, ranking 133rd in the country, and have been held under 20 points in seven of their last eight contests. Their passing offense is almost nonexistent, sitting 127th nationally, and their rushing game has been average at best. The defense hasn’t provided much relief either, surrendering over 30 points per game and struggling to stop big plays through the air — a bad sign when facing a top-tier passing unit like San Jose State’s. Nevada’s only advantage could come from the fact that they’ve historically dominated this series at home, but this current version of the Wolf Pack is severely overmatched in nearly every statistical category. Unless Nevada can control time of possession and force turnovers early, it’s hard to envision a scenario where they keep pace with San Jose State’s offense.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: SAN JOSE STATE
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/05/24
|
|
SJS 35-31
|
SJS-9.5
|
O47.5
|
SJS-325
|
|
10/29/22
|
|
SJS 35-28
|
SJS-24.5
|
O44.5
|
SJS-2800
|
|
11/06/21
|
@NEV
|
NEV 27-24
|
NEV-10.0
|
U55
|
NEV-480
|
|
12/11/20
|
|
SJS 30-20
|
SJS+2.5
|
U60.5
|
SJS+115
|
|
10/12/19
|
@NEV
|
NEV 41-38
|
NEV-2.5
|
O59.5
|
NEV-137
|
|
11/17/18
|
|
NEV 21-12
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/11/17
|
@NEV
|
NEV 59-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/15/16
|
|
SJS 14-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/14/15
|
@NEV
|
NEV 37-34
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: San Jose State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
|
L 26-16
|
L-2.5
|
U65.5
|
L-155
|
|
11/01/25
|
HAW
|
W 45-38
|
W-2.5
|
O54.5
|
W-132
|
|
10/17/25
|
@UTS
|
L 30-25
|
L+3.5
|
U63.5
|
L+142
|
|
10/11/25
|
@WYO
|
L 35-28
|
L+1.5
|
O51.5
|
L-110
|
|
10/03/25
|
NM
|
W 35-28
|
W-3.5
|
O55.5
|
W-138
|
|
9/27/25
|
@STA
|
L 30-29
|
W+1.5
|
O49.5
|
L+102
|
|
9/20/25
|
IDA
|
W 31-28
|
L-14.5
|
O50.5
|
W-315
|
|
9/06/25
|
@TEX
|
L 38-7
|
W+37.5
|
U51.5
|
L+2615
|
|
8/29/25
|
CMC
|
L 16-14
|
L-11.5
|
U51.5
|
L-430
|
|
12/24/24
|
USF
|
L 41-39
|
L-2.5
|
O62.5
|
L-134
|
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: Nevada Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
@UTS
|
L 51-14
|
L+11.0
|
O52.5
|
L+285
|
|
10/24/25
|
BOISE
|
L 24-3
|
W+21.5
|
U54.5
|
L+1060
|
|
10/18/25
|
@NM
|
L 24-22
|
W+10.5
|
U49.5
|
L+290
|
|
10/11/25
|
SDSU
|
L 44-10
|
L+5.5
|
O42.5
|
L+176
|
|
10/04/25
|
@FRE
|
L 20-17
|
W+15.5
|
U47.5
|
L+500
|
|
9/20/25
|
@WKY
|
L 31-16
|
L+12.5
|
U54.5
|
L+290
|
|
9/13/25
|
MTS
|
L 14-13
|
L-7.0
|
U49.5
|
L-285
|
|
9/06/25
|
CSUS
|
W 20-17
|
L-6.5
|
U54.5
|
W-230
|
|
8/30/25
|
@PSU
|
L 46-11
|
W+43.5
|
U59.5
|
L+8000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@UNLV
|
L 38-14
|
L+16.5
|
U56.5
|
L+540
|
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: San Jose State Offense
Overall
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.56 | 83 | Points Scored | 109 | 30.11 |
| 333.78 | 1 | Passing Yards | 89 | 230.56 |
| 118.33 | 114 | Rushing Yards | 81 | 153.11 |
| 28:32 | 110 | Time on Field | 91 | 30:45 |
| 68.22 | 46 | Number of Plays | 89 | 67.44 |
| 6.63 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 84 | 5.69 |
Scoring
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.56 | 83 | Points Scored | 109 | 30.11 |
| 4.89 | 97 | First Quarter | 123 | 8.33 |
| 10.67 | 34 | Second Quarter | 116 | 10.22 |
| 5.33 | 84 | Third Quarter | 81 | 5.78 |
| 4.67 | 118 | Fourth Quarter | 53 | 5.78 |
Passing
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333.78 | 1 | Passing Yards | 89 | 230.56 |
| 42.89 | 4 | Pass Attempts | 45 | 29.11 |
| 25.11 | 9 | Pass Completions | 83 | 19.67 |
| 0.56 | 6 | Sacks | 72 | 2.00 |
| 5.56 | 124 | Sack Yards | 63 | 13.11 |
| 13.29 | 20 | Yards Per Pass | 86 | 11.72 |
Rushing
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118.33 | 114 | Rushing Yards | 81 | 153.11 |
| 25.33 | 135 | Rush Attempts | 101 | 38.33 |
| 4.67 | 44 | Yards Per Rush | 63 | 3.99 |
Turn Overs
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 57 | Interceptions | 99 | 0.56 |
| 1.33 | 106 | Fumbles | 109 | 0.78 |
| 1.00 | 133 | Fumbles Lost | 106 | 0.33 |
| 1.67 | 113 | Total Turnovers | 115 | 0.89 |
| 6.33 | 72 | Penalties | 50 | 6.44 |
| 56.00 | 75 | Penalty Yards | 59 | 55.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SJST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NEV Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:32 | 110 | Time on Field | 91 | 30:45 |
| 68.22 | 46 | Number of Plays | 89 | 67.44 |
| 6.63 | 22 | Yards Per Play | 84 | 5.69 |
| 3.22 | 37 | Punts | 108 | 3.67 |
| 47.20 | 10 | Punt Average | 95 | 43.35 |
| 48.33 | 91 | Return Yards | 78 | 50.56 |
San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction: Nevada Offense
Overall
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.89 | 106 | Points Scored | 133 | 14.00 |
| 281.00 | 132 | Passing Yards | 127 | 151.67 |
| 139.00 | 52 | Rushing Yards | 91 | 137.56 |
| 31:23 | 111 | Time on Field | 128 | 27:16 |
| 68.89 | 100 | Number of Plays | 132 | 59.78 |
| 6.10 | 114 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 4.84 |
Scoring
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.89 | 106 | Points Scored | 133 | 14.00 |
| 6.56 | 98 | First Quarter | 130 | 2.78 |
| 9.00 | 100 | Second Quarter | 132 | 3.56 |
| 5.00 | 59 | Third Quarter | 131 | 2.67 |
| 9.33 | 126 | Fourth Quarter | 108 | 5.00 |
Passing
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281.00 | 132 | Passing Yards | 127 | 151.67 |
| 32.22 | 95 | Pass Attempts | 116 | 26.33 |
| 20.78 | 107 | Pass Completions | 120 | 14.67 |
| 1.78 | 95 | Sacks | 62 | 1.67 |
| 9.00 | 22 | Sack Yards | 85 | 10.22 |
| 13.52 | 131 | Yards Per Pass | 116 | 10.34 |
Rushing
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139.00 | 52 | Rushing Yards | 91 | 137.56 |
| 36.67 | 81 | Rush Attempts | 99 | 33.44 |
| 3.79 | 45 | Yards Per Rush | 83 | 4.11 |
Turn Overs
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 88 | Interceptions | 136 | 1.89 |
| 0.89 | 100 | Fumbles | 95 | 1.22 |
| 0.56 | 62 | Fumbles Lost | 123 | 0.78 |
| 1.22 | 74 | Total Turnovers | 136 | 2.67 |
| 8.22 | 7 | Penalties | 37 | 5.33 |
| 68.22 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 34 | 46.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| SJST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NEV Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:23 | 111 | Time on Field | 128 | 27:16 |
| 68.89 | 100 | Number of Plays | 132 | 59.78 |
| 6.10 | 114 | Yards Per Play | 123 | 4.84 |
| 4.11 | 90 | Punts | 82 | 4.33 |
| 43.56 | 100 | Punt Average | 48 | 43.88 |
| 66.11 | 101 | Return Yards | 88 | 48.78 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.