North Texas vs UAB Prediction and Pick, Week 12
North Texas vs UAB Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: Trends
- Over the past seven games, North Texas has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- Six of North Texas’ most recent eight games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last nine games, North Texas has a winning record of 8-1 against the spread.
- After seven games versus Alabama-Birmingham, North Texas has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- In its last five games versus Alabama-Birmingham, North Texas has a record of 1-4 on the road.
- In eight of North Texas’ most recent nine games played away from home, the total has been “over.”
- In the last six games that North Texas has played against an opponent from the American Conference, the team has a winning record of 5-1.
- Over the course of the last six games that North Texas has played against opponents from the West Division, the total has been above in five of those games.
- After six games played in November, North Texas has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
- Over the course of week 12, North Texas has a winning regular season record of 6-1.
- In its previous five games, Alabama-Birmingham has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- Out of Alabama-Birmingham’s most recent five games, the total has been under in four of them.
- Overall, Alabama-Birmingham has a record of 1-5 in its previous six games.
- In its previous five games played at home, Alabama-Birmingham has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- One of Alabama-Birmingham’s most recent five matchups against a team from the American Conference conference has resulted in a loss for the Crimson Tide.
- Over the course of the last eight games that Alabama-Birmingham has played against teams from the West Division, the total has been over in six of those games.
- In its past six games played in November, Alabama-Birmingham has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- There have been five of Alabama-Birmingham’s last six games played in week 12 that have resulted in the total going over.
- After seven games played on Saturdays, Alabama-Birmingham has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
North Texas vs UAB Prediction
Now we have the North Texas vs UAB Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between North Texas and UAB shapes up as one of those underrated conference games that has real potential for fireworks. These two programs know each other well, and recent history suggests fans could be in for another high-scoring shootout. The Mean Green have been one of the most consistent offensive teams in the country, ranking second nationally in points scored and sixth in passing yards, while UAB’s defense has struggled mightily against high-powered attacks, ranking outside the top 120 in several key categories. North Texas has been a betting machine lately, covering the spread in eight of its last nine games, and the total has gone over in six of its last eight. UAB, on the other hand, enters Week 12 searching for stability. The Blazers have dropped five of their last six and covered just once in their past five outings. When you combine UAB’s defensive woes with North Texas’ offensive efficiency and explosive tempo, it’s easy to see why oddsmakers will likely lean toward another high-total game. Historically, these matchups have featured points in bunches — four of the last six meetings have gone over the total, and neither side has been shy about pushing the pace offensively.
For North Texas, this is a chance to continue their late-season surge and strengthen their postseason resume. The Mean Green have been on a tear offensively, putting up video game-like numbers over the last several weeks. They’re averaging 44.4 points per game, with a balanced attack that ranks top-10 nationally in both scoring and passing. Quarterback play has been elite, with North Texas averaging over 307 yards through the air and more than 6.7 yards per play. The run game has complemented the passing attack beautifully, adding another 178 yards per contest on the ground. Defensively, North Texas has shown real improvement against the pass — ranked 8th nationally in passing yards allowed — though they remain vulnerable against the run, giving up over 200 yards per game on the ground. Still, when their offense is clicking, the Mean Green can outscore almost anyone in the American Conference. North Texas has also been money for bettors, covering in six of their last seven games and performing especially well as a road underdog. With their offensive efficiency, big-play potential, and ability to close out games, North Texas has every reason to feel confident entering this matchup.
Meanwhile, UAB continues to ride the roller coaster of inconsistency that has defined much of its 2025 season. The Blazers have shown flashes of potential — like their upset win over Memphis earlier this year — but their lack of defensive discipline and second-half adjustments have been costly. Offensively, UAB remains capable of moving the ball, averaging over 275 passing yards per game, but their running game has been inconsistent and ranks near the bottom of the FBS. Defensively, things have been rough — allowing over 37 points per game, with opponents averaging over 6 yards per play. UAB has also struggled against the spread, covering just once in their last five games, and while they tend to perform better at home (4-1 ATS in their last five at Protective Stadium), their defense has simply given up too many big plays to hang with elite scoring teams like North Texas. If the Blazers are going to pull off the upset, they’ll need a near-perfect offensive performance and a major turnaround from a defense that’s allowed over 30 points in seven of its last eight contests.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: NORTH TEXAS
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/25/23
|
@NTX
|
NTX 45-42
|
NTX-3.0
|
O73
|
NTX-150
|
|
11/12/22
|
@UAB
|
UAB 41-21
|
UAB-4.5
|
O57.5
|
UAB-210
|
|
9/18/21
|
@NTX
|
UAB 40-6
|
NTX+13.0
|
U57.5
|
NTX+375
|
|
11/30/19
|
@NTX
|
UAB 26-21
|
NTX+3.0
|
U49
|
NTX+130
|
|
10/20/18
|
@UAB
|
UAB 29-21
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/23/17
|
@NTX
|
NTX 46-43
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: North Texas Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
NAV
|
W 31-17
|
W-4.5
|
U55.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/24/25
|
@CHA
|
W 54-20
|
W-27.5
|
O56.5
|
W-3500
|
|
10/18/25
|
UTSA
|
W 55-17
|
W-3.5
|
O59.5
|
W-162
|
|
10/10/25
|
USF
|
L 63-36
|
L-2.5
|
O61.5
|
L-102
|
|
9/27/25
|
SAB
|
W 36-22
|
W-12.5
|
U60.5
|
W-430
|
|
9/20/25
|
@ARM
|
W 45-38
|
W+2.5
|
O54.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/13/25
|
WST
|
W 59-10
|
W-3.5
|
O56.5
|
W-200
|
|
9/06/25
|
@WMC
|
W 33-30
|
L-7.0
|
O59.5
|
W-365
|
|
8/30/25
|
LAM
|
W 51-0
|
W-23.5
|
U63.5
|
W-2800
|
|
1/03/25
|
@TXST
|
L 30-28
|
W+7.5
|
U67.5
|
L+260
|
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: UAB Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
@RICE
|
L 24-17
|
L+4.5
|
U53.5
|
L+130
|
|
11/01/25
|
@UCONN
|
L 38-19
|
L+10.5
|
U64.5
|
L+320
|
|
10/18/25
|
MEM
|
W 31-24
|
W+21.5
|
U64.5
|
W+890
|
|
10/11/25
|
@FAU
|
L 53-33
|
L+4.5
|
O69.5
|
L+164
|
|
10/04/25
|
ARM
|
L 31-13
|
L+9.5
|
U58.5
|
L+220
|
|
9/20/25
|
@TEN
|
L 56-24
|
W+43.5
|
O63.5
|
L+520
|
|
9/13/25
|
AKR
|
W 31-28
|
L-9.0
|
O52
|
W-360
|
|
9/06/25
|
@NAV
|
L 38-24
|
W+20.5
|
O58.5
|
L+720
|
|
8/28/25
|
|
W 52-42
|
L-17.5
|
O53.5
|
W-1000
|
|
11/30/24
|
@CHA
|
L 29-27
|
W+4.5
|
U57.5
|
L+128
|
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: North Texas Offense
Overall
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.44 | 2 | Points Scored | 132 | 37.11 |
| 307.22 | 6 | Passing Yards | 70 | 220.11 |
| 178.33 | 45 | Rushing Yards | 121 | 189.11 |
| 29:19 | 87 | Time on Field | 71 | 30:13 |
| 72.22 | 21 | Number of Plays | 73 | 66.44 |
| 6.72 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 118 | 6.16 |
Scoring
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.44 | 2 | Points Scored | 132 | 37.11 |
| 11.89 | 3 | First Quarter | 136 | 11.22 |
| 11.89 | 14 | Second Quarter | 128 | 11.44 |
| 10.67 | 5 | Third Quarter | 126 | 8.56 |
| 8.56 | 35 | Fourth Quarter | 55 | 5.89 |
Passing
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307.22 | 6 | Passing Yards | 70 | 220.11 |
| 35.78 | 26 | Pass Attempts | 1 | 23.67 |
| 24.44 | 15 | Pass Completions | 12 | 15.56 |
| 1.44 | 41 | Sacks | 107 | 1.56 |
| 10.56 | 82 | Sack Yards | 18 | 7.78 |
| 12.57 | 37 | Yards Per Pass | 134 | 14.15 |
Rushing
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.33 | 45 | Rushing Yards | 121 | 189.11 |
| 36.44 | 59 | Rush Attempts | 135 | 42.78 |
| 4.89 | 32 | Yards Per Rush | 89 | 4.42 |
Turn Overs
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 19 | Interceptions | 123 | 0.33 |
| 1.00 | 57 | Fumbles | 104 | 0.78 |
| 0.67 | 104 | Fumbles Lost | 97 | 0.33 |
| 1.11 | 52 | Total Turnovers | 126 | 0.67 |
| 5.67 | 44 | Penalties | 78 | 5.89 |
| 46.33 | 36 | Penalty Yards | 73 | 52.44 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UNT Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | UAB Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:19 | 87 | Time on Field | 71 | 30:13 |
| 72.22 | 21 | Number of Plays | 73 | 66.44 |
| 6.72 | 17 | Yards Per Play | 118 | 6.16 |
| 2.67 | 20 | Punts | 131 | 2.67 |
| 40.38 | 115 | Punt Average | 116 | 44.26 |
| 62.78 | 50 | Return Yards | 119 | 78.78 |
North Texas vs UAB Prediction: UAB Offense
Overall
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.11 | 66 | Points Scored | 73 | 27.11 |
| 160.33 | 8 | Passing Yards | 24 | 275.78 |
| 204.11 | 130 | Rushing Yards | 106 | 123.89 |
| 30:40 | 87 | Time on Field | 74 | 29:41 |
| 68.22 | 97 | Number of Plays | 73 | 66.11 |
| 5.34 | 58 | Yards Per Play | 43 | 6.05 |
Scoring
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.11 | 66 | Points Scored | 73 | 27.11 |
| 4.56 | 51 | First Quarter | 90 | 5.00 |
| 6.89 | 62 | Second Quarter | 48 | 9.89 |
| 6.89 | 106 | Third Quarter | 54 | 6.67 |
| 5.44 | 47 | Fourth Quarter | 91 | 5.56 |
Passing
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.33 | 8 | Passing Yards | 24 | 275.78 |
| 25.44 | 4 | Pass Attempts | 16 | 37.00 |
| 14.78 | 7 | Pass Completions | 10 | 25.00 |
| 2.22 | 51 | Sacks | 110 | 2.56 |
| 12.89 | 61 | Sack Yards | 18 | 18.67 |
| 10.85 | 36 | Yards Per Pass | 88 | 11.03 |
Rushing
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.11 | 130 | Rushing Yards | 106 | 123.89 |
| 42.78 | 136 | Rush Attempts | 129 | 29.11 |
| 4.77 | 118 | Yards Per Rush | 74 | 4.26 |
Turn Overs
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | 37 | Interceptions | 103 | 1.00 |
| 1.89 | 8 | Fumbles | 37 | 0.89 |
| 1.22 | 1 | Fumbles Lost | 39 | 0.44 |
| 2.22 | 4 | Total Turnovers | 87 | 1.44 |
| 7.56 | 16 | Penalties | 132 | 8.11 |
| 66.11 | 16 | Penalty Yards | 120 | 66.78 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UNT Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | UAB Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:40 | 87 | Time on Field | 74 | 29:41 |
| 68.22 | 97 | Number of Plays | 73 | 66.11 |
| 5.34 | 58 | Yards Per Play | 43 | 6.05 |
| 4.44 | 67 | Punts | 23 | 2.78 |
| 39.74 | 10 | Punt Average | 116 | 40.25 |
| 76.78 | 116 | Return Yards | 25 | 73.11 |
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