North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 12
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: Trends
- On average, North Carolina has a record of 7-13 in its last 20 games.
- In seven of North Carolina’s most recent eight games, the total has been reported as UNDER.
- Overall, North Carolina has a record of 4-8 in its previous 12 games.
- In its last six games versus Wake Forest, North Carolina has a winning team record of 5-1.
- On the road, the total has been under in eight of the nine games that North Carolina has played in the past.
- When North Carolina has played Wake Forest away from home, the team has a record of 2-4 against the spread in its last six games.
- During the last five games that North Carolina has played against an opponent from the Atlantic Coast conference, the total has been UNDER in four of those games.
- Over the course of its most recent five games against teams from the Atlantic Division, North Carolina has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In its final twelve games played in week 12, North Carolina has a winning percentage of 9-3.
- The over/under record for Wake Forest’s previous six games is 5-1.
- In ten of Wake Forest’s most recent fifteen games, the total has been underdetermined.
- In its most recent five games, Wake Forest has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- In its last 11 games played at home, Wake Forest has a winning percentage of 3-8.
- When playing at home versus North Carolina, Wake Forest has a record of 4-2 against the spread in its last six games.
- In Wake Forest’s last five games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast conference, the team has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- With a total of 15 games played versus teams from the Coastal Division, Wake Forest has a record of 3-12 in terms of its overall record.
- In five of Wake Forest’s most recent five games played in November, the total has been under the specified amount.
- Nine of Wake Forest’s last twelve games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going UNDER.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction
Now we have the North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction for both teams.
The North Carolina Tar Heels and Wake Forest Demon Deacons renew their in-state rivalry in Week 12, and this matchup brings plenty of betting intrigue with it. Both teams enter this contest with vastly different identities, yet both have shown flashes of competitiveness throughout the season. North Carolina has been a team defined by inconsistency — winning some tough games but struggling to find rhythm on offense. Their defense, however, has kept them competitive, keeping totals low in recent weeks. On the other side, Wake Forest has been far more stable from a betting perspective, covering in four of their last five games while finding ways to win as underdogs. Recent trends also suggest this could be another low-scoring battle: the UNDER has hit in seven of North Carolina’s last eight games, and nine of Wake Forest’s last twelve played on Saturdays. History favors the Tar Heels, who have won five of the last six meetings overall, but Wake Forest has been strong against the spread when playing at home in this series. That balance of recent form versus long-term dominance makes this a fascinating Week 12 showdown for bettors.
North Carolina’s offensive struggles have been the story of their season, ranking near the bottom nationally in most major categories. Averaging just 19.4 points per game, the Tar Heels have struggled to establish balance — ranking 113th in passing and 117th in rushing offense. Their inability to sustain drives (ranking 135th in plays per game) has left their defense on the field far too long, which often leads to fatigue late in games. Despite these offensive woes, North Carolina’s defense has quietly been solid, ranking 37th nationally by allowing just 21.3 points per game. They’ve been particularly stingy against the run, holding opponents to just over 100 yards per contest, and their red-zone efficiency has kept them in games they might otherwise lose. North Carolina’s ability to control the tempo and limit big plays from Wake Forest will be critical, especially since the UNDER has been consistent in games involving the Tar Heels. If they can force Wake Forest into a slower-paced, defensive battle, it plays perfectly into their current style and strengths.
For Wake Forest, this matchup presents an opportunity to continue their late-season surge. The Demon Deacons have quietly been one of the more reliable underdog teams in the ACC, covering in four of their last five games and showing grit in tight, low-scoring contests. Their offense has been modest, averaging just 23.3 points per game, but they’ve been efficient enough when it matters. Defensively, Wake Forest ranks 31st in scoring defense, allowing only 20.3 points per game, which matches up well against a struggling North Carolina offense. Their defensive front has been excellent against the run, limiting opponents to 137 yards per game, while their secondary has been opportunistic in forcing key stops. Wake Forest also tends to play better at home against North Carolina, owning a 4-2 ATS record in their last six meetings at home. If they can control field position and capitalize on North Carolina’s offensive inefficiency, Wake Forest could easily grind out another upset win. Expect a hard-fought, defense-first contest where every possession matters.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: WAKE FOREST
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/16/24
|
@NC
|
UNC 31-24
|
NC-9.5
|
U62.5
|
NC-345
|
|
11/12/22
|
@WF
|
UNC 36-34
|
WF-4.0
|
U76.5
|
WF-180
|
|
11/06/21
|
@NC
|
UNC 58-55
|
NC-2.5
|
O75.5
|
NC-142
|
|
11/14/20
|
@NC
|
UNC 59-53
|
NC-12.5
|
O70.5
|
NC-455
|
|
9/13/19
|
@WF
|
WAKE 24-18
|
WF-3.5
|
U65
|
WF-145
|
|
10/17/15
|
@NC
|
UNC 50-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: North Carolina Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
STA
|
W 20-15
|
L-8.5
|
U44.5
|
W-320
|
|
10/31/25
|
@SYR
|
W 27-10
|
WEVEN
|
U48.5
|
W-118
|
|
10/25/25
|
UVA
|
L 17-16
|
W+10.0
|
U51.5
|
L+340
|
|
10/17/25
|
@CAL
|
L 21-18
|
W+10.5
|
U48.5
|
L+330
|
|
10/04/25
|
CLE
|
L 38-10
|
L+12.5
|
U48.5
|
L+400
|
|
9/20/25
|
@UCF
|
L 34-9
|
L+2.5
|
U52.5
|
L+118
|
|
9/13/25
|
RCH
|
W 41-6
|
W-22.0
|
O46.5
|
W-2500
|
|
9/06/25
|
@CHA
|
W 20-3
|
L-21.5
|
U46.5
|
W-1205
|
|
9/01/25
|
TCU
|
L 48-14
|
L+3.5
|
O57.5
|
L+105
|
|
12/28/24
|
UCONN
|
L 27-14
|
L-4.5
|
U55.5
|
L-192
|
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: Wake Forest Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
@UVA
|
W 16-9
|
W+8.5
|
U48.5
|
W+245
|
|
11/01/25
|
@FSU
|
L 42-7
|
L+10.5
|
U52.5
|
L+300
|
|
10/25/25
|
SMU
|
W 13-12
|
W+6.5
|
U54.5
|
W+190
|
|
10/11/25
|
@ORS
|
W 39-14
|
W-6.5
|
O52.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/04/25
|
@VT
|
W 30-23
|
W+3.5
|
O50.5
|
W+130
|
|
9/27/25
|
GT
|
L 30-29
|
W+17.5
|
O53.5
|
L+580
|
|
9/11/25
|
NCST
|
L 34-24
|
L+6.5
|
O56.5
|
L+158
|
|
9/06/25
|
WC
|
W 42-10
|
W-21.5
|
U61.5
|
W-2100
|
|
8/29/25
|
KENN
|
W 10-9
|
L-18.5
|
U52.5
|
W-1200
|
|
11/30/24
|
DUK
|
W 23-17
|
L+2.5
|
U51.5
|
L+106
|
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: North Carolina Offense
Overall
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.44 | 122 | Points Scored | 31 | 20.33 |
| 178.56 | 113 | Passing Yards | 29 | 188.22 |
| 115.00 | 117 | Rushing Yards | 49 | 137.11 |
| 28:52 | 100 | Time on Field | 86 | 30:39 |
| 58.67 | 135 | Number of Plays | 119 | 71.56 |
| 5.00 | 115 | Yards Per Play | 11 | 4.55 |
Scoring
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.44 | 122 | Points Scored | 31 | 20.33 |
| 4.78 | 100 | First Quarter | 37 | 3.67 |
| 4.00 | 130 | Second Quarter | 11 | 4.00 |
| 4.56 | 102 | Third Quarter | 98 | 6.22 |
| 5.44 | 96 | Fourth Quarter | 51 | 5.67 |
Passing
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.56 | 113 | Passing Yards | 29 | 188.22 |
| 28.33 | 96 | Pass Attempts | 122 | 34.56 |
| 18.11 | 90 | Pass Completions | 84 | 19.67 |
| 1.44 | 40 | Sacks | 63 | 2.11 |
| 8.22 | 105 | Sack Yards | 67 | 13.33 |
| 9.86 | 130 | Yards Per Pass | 4 | 9.57 |
Rushing
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115.00 | 117 | Rushing Yards | 49 | 137.11 |
| 30.33 | 123 | Rush Attempts | 88 | 37.00 |
| 3.79 | 107 | Yards Per Rush | 40 | 3.71 |
Turn Overs
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 55 | Interceptions | 119 | 0.44 |
| 1.44 | 115 | Fumbles | 28 | 1.44 |
| 0.89 | 130 | Fumbles Lost | 7 | 1.00 |
| 1.56 | 107 | Total Turnovers | 51 | 1.44 |
| 5.78 | 51 | Penalties | 66 | 6.11 |
| 52.67 | 60 | Penalty Yards | 64 | 54.11 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UNC Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WAKE Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:52 | 100 | Time on Field | 86 | 30:39 |
| 58.67 | 135 | Number of Plays | 119 | 71.56 |
| 5.00 | 115 | Yards Per Play | 11 | 4.55 |
| 5.11 | 114 | Punts | 13 | 5.56 |
| 41.88 | 91 | Punt Average | 98 | 43.46 |
| 58.00 | 67 | Return Yards | 48 | 40.67 |
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction: Wake Forest Offense
Overall
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.33 | 37 | Points Scored | 101 | 23.33 |
| 218.67 | 67 | Passing Yards | 86 | 215.56 |
| 102.00 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 86 | 141.11 |
| 30:47 | 92 | Time on Field | 86 | 29:20 |
| 67.33 | 87 | Number of Plays | 79 | 65.89 |
| 4.76 | 20 | Yards Per Play | 90 | 5.41 |
Scoring
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.33 | 37 | Points Scored | 101 | 23.33 |
| 7.67 | 115 | First Quarter | 50 | 7.00 |
| 5.44 | 28 | Second Quarter | 77 | 8.33 |
| 3.89 | 32 | Third Quarter | 105 | 4.44 |
| 3.56 | 11 | Fourth Quarter | 134 | 2.89 |
Passing
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.67 | 67 | Passing Yards | 86 | 215.56 |
| 33.00 | 106 | Pass Attempts | 62 | 31.00 |
| 21.00 | 112 | Pass Completions | 103 | 17.11 |
| 2.89 | 12 | Sacks | 34 | 1.33 |
| 21.67 | 125 | Sack Yards | 97 | 9.33 |
| 10.41 | 20 | Yards Per Pass | 34 | 12.60 |
Rushing
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102.00 | 14 | Rushing Yards | 86 | 141.11 |
| 34.33 | 57 | Rush Attempts | 78 | 34.89 |
| 2.97 | 11 | Yards Per Rush | 85 | 4.04 |
Turn Overs
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 82 | Interceptions | 86 | 0.78 |
| 1.89 | 7 | Fumbles | 133 | 1.78 |
| 0.56 | 59 | Fumbles Lost | 109 | 0.67 |
| 1.22 | 71 | Total Turnovers | 97 | 1.44 |
| 5.67 | 89 | Penalties | 131 | 8.00 |
| 53.67 | 69 | Penalty Yards | 134 | 72.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| UNC Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WAKE Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:47 | 92 | Time on Field | 86 | 29:20 |
| 67.33 | 87 | Number of Plays | 79 | 65.89 |
| 4.76 | 20 | Yards Per Play | 90 | 5.41 |
| 4.89 | 41 | Punts | 132 | 5.78 |
| 41.48 | 32 | Punt Average | 134 | 37.67 |
| 40.67 | 47 | Return Yards | 75 | 54.33 |
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