New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 12

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 12

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 12

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: Trends

  • Four out of New Mexico State’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In its last seven games, New Mexico State has a record of 1-6.
  • The New Mexico State Wildcats have a record of 1-10 on the road in their previous 11 games.
  • During its most recent twenty games versus a team from the Southeastern Conference, New Mexico State had a record of 1-19 against the opponent.
  • After 11 games played in November, New Mexico State has a 9-2 overall record against the spread.
  • There have been 12 of New Mexico State’s previous 18 games played in week 12 that have resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • After seven games played on Saturdays, New Mexico State has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
  • Over the past six games, Tennessee has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • Eleven out of Tennessee’s last thirteen games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last 17 games, Tennessee has a winning record of 12-5 against the spread.
  • In its last twenty games played at home, Tennessee has a winning record of 17-3 against the spread.
  • Over the course of its last twenty games versus opponents from the Conference USA conference, Tennessee has a perfect undefeated record.
  • Six out of Tennessee’s seven most recent games played in November have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last seven games played in week 12, Tennessee has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
  • Eight out of Tennessee’s last ten games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
  • When playing as the favorite, Tennessee has a record of 1-4 against the spread in its last five games.

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction

Now we have the New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction for both teams.

This Week 12 matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and the Tennessee Volunteers offers one of the most lopsided statistical showdowns of the weekend. Tennessee enters this game as a heavy favorite, boasting one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, while New Mexico State continues to struggle on both sides of the ball. The Aggies are just 1-6 in their last seven games and have won only once in their previous 11 road contests. Their offensive output—averaging barely 21 points per game—will be severely tested by a Tennessee defense that, while inconsistent, thrives at home. The Volunteers, on the other hand, have been dominant in Neyland Stadium, posting a 17-3 record against the spread in their last 20 home games. With Tennessee’s fast-paced offense and their tendency to hit the OVER in most contests (11 of their last 13 games), this game could quickly get out of hand for the visiting Aggies. While New Mexico State has shown grit against the spread in November, they’ll be outmatched by an SEC powerhouse looking to rebound from recent conference losses and finish the season strong.

For New Mexico State, this game represents more of a test of resilience than a realistic chance at an upset. The Aggies’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging only 4.61 yards per play, one of the lowest marks in the FBS, and ranking 136th in rushing yards per game. Quarterback play has been hit or miss—while they’re completing over 20 passes per game, they’re not getting enough chunk plays or protection in the pocket, allowing 3 sacks per outing. Their offense relies heavily on the passing game since their ground attack averages a mere 2.39 yards per rush, making them one-dimensional against aggressive defenses. Defensively, New Mexico State has been slightly better, allowing 25.2 points per game, but that number could balloon against Tennessee’s aerial assault. The Aggies will likely struggle to contain Tennessee’s tempo and could find themselves trailing early. Historically, they’ve struggled badly against Power 5 competition—going 1-19 in their last 20 games against SEC teams—and given their recent form, the best-case scenario might be covering the spread late if Tennessee rotates in backups during the second half.

Tennessee, meanwhile, will look to use this matchup as a tune-up game and a chance to regain confidence offensively after tough recent losses to Oklahoma and Alabama. The Volunteers’ offense has been dynamic all season, ranking third nationally in points per game (43.6) and second in passing yards (329.3). Their uptempo style and aggressive downfield passing attack have punished weaker defenses, and New Mexico State’s secondary—ranked 108th against the pass—is exactly the kind of opponent Tennessee can exploit. Expect quarterback play to shine here, with the Volunteers spreading the field and using both their air attack and balanced ground game (174.7 rushing yards per game) to wear down the Aggies. While Tennessee has been shaky against the spread lately (1-5 ATS in their last six), they are historically dominant at home, and their high-scoring offense should easily outpace an Aggies team struggling to move the ball. With Tennessee’s depth, home-field advantage, and offensive firepower, this matchup looks like a blowout waiting to happen.

✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: TENNESSEE

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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: Head to Head

N/A

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: New Mexico State Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
L 24-21
W+7.0
U52.5
L+185
11/01/25
L 35-16
L+9.5
U55.5
L+310
10/22/25
L 24-17
L+2.5
U53.5
L+108
10/14/25
L 30-27
W+7.5
O48.5
L+230
10/02/25
W 37-10
W+1.5
U51.5
WEVEN
9/27/25
L 38-20
L+10.0
O55
L+380
9/13/25
L 49-14
L+9.5
O42.5
L+280
9/06/25
W 21-14
W+1.5
U53.5
W+114
8/30/25
W 19-3
L-19.5
U52.5
W-1100
11/30/24
L 42-35
L-2.5
O51.5
L-126

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: Tennessee Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/01/25
L 33-27
L-2.5
O53.5
L-114
10/25/25
W 56-34
W-9.5
O54.5
W-330
10/18/25
L 37-20
L+8.5
O52.5
L+315
10/11/25
W 34-31
L-12.5
U66.5
W-480
9/27/25
W 41-34
L-9.5
O61.5
W-320
9/20/25
W 56-24
L-43.5
O63.5
W-15000
9/13/25
L 44-41
W+5.5
O50.5
L+215
9/06/25
W 72-17
W-42.5
O57.5
W-20000
8/30/25
W 45-26
W-12.5
O55.5
W-465
12/21/24
L 42-17
L+7.0
O46.5
L+195

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: New Mexico State Offense

Overall

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
21.33 111 Points Scored 114 31.11
233.78 64 Passing Yards 117 254.89
69.22 136 Rushing Yards 56 141.00
28:49 103 Time on Field 134 34:16
65.67 82 Number of Plays 131 73.44
4.61 130 Yards Per Play 60 5.39

Scoring

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
21.33 111 Points Scored 114 31.11
2.11 134 First Quarter 60 5.00
6.67 100 Second Quarter 119 10.44
3.00 128 Third Quarter 97 6.22
9.56 20 Fourth Quarter 121 8.78

Passing

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
233.78 64 Passing Yards 117 254.89
36.67 17 Pass Attempts 120 34.33
20.22 56 Pass Completions 128 23.00
3.00 124 Sacks 9 3.11
21.78 9 Sack Yards 120 19.78
11.56 74 Yards Per Pass 58 11.08

Rushing

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
69.22 136 Rushing Yards 56 141.00
29.00 131 Rush Attempts 111 39.11
2.39 135 Yards Per Rush 33 3.61

Turn Overs

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
1.22 129 Interceptions 89 0.67
1.11 77 Fumbles 10 1.89
0.67 103 Fumbles Lost 4 1.11
1.89 129 Total Turnovers 26 1.78
6.56 86 Penalties 34 7.00
58.67 88 Penalty Yards 36 60.44

Drives & Special Teams

NMSU Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TENN Defense
28:49 103 Time on Field 134 34:16
65.67 82 Number of Plays 131 73.44
4.61 130 Yards Per Play 60 5.39
5.22 118 Punts 63 4.56
42.34 81 Punt Average 118 44.57
52.56 80 Return Yards 32 38.11

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction: Tennessee Offense

Overall

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
25.22 77 Points Scored 3 43.56
245.22 108 Passing Yards 2 329.33
149.44 77 Rushing Yards 49 174.78
31:09 103 Time on Field 127 27:19
72.56 128 Number of Plays 10 73.78
5.44 65 Yards Per Play 15 6.83

Scoring

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
25.22 77 Points Scored 3 43.56
5.22 63 First Quarter 1 14.56
7.22 72 Second Quarter 30 10.78
5.33 72 Third Quarter 15 9.11
6.67 74 Fourth Quarter 44 8.00

Passing

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
245.22 108 Passing Yards 2 329.33
34.11 115 Pass Attempts 22 36.22
22.22 122 Pass Completions 20 23.67
1.67 102 Sacks 44 1.44
10.22 34 Sack Yards 79 10.78
11.04 51 Yards Per Pass 13 13.92

Rushing

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
149.44 77 Rushing Yards 49 174.78
38.44 104 Rush Attempts 48 37.56
3.89 50 Yards Per Rush 47 4.65

Turn Overs

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
1.33 12 Interceptions 99 0.89
1.33 34 Fumbles 98 1.22
0.78 19 Fumbles Lost 90 0.56
2.11 7 Total Turnovers 94 1.44
8.56 4 Penalties 102 7.00
76.67 3 Penalty Yards 87 58.56

Drives & Special Teams

NMSU Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TENN Offense
31:09 103 Time on Field 127 27:19
72.56 128 Number of Plays 10 73.78
5.44 65 Yards Per Play 15 6.83
4.44 66 Punts 28 3.00
41.79 43 Punt Average 45 44.33
48.22 69 Return Yards 89 48.67

 

All NFL Week 12 Predictions

 

 

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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.

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