Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Trends
- Over the past 12 games, Middle Tennessee has a record of 4-8 against the spread.
- Overall, Middle Tennessee has a record of 0-6 in its previous six games.
- In its last five games against Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In its last six games versus Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee has a losing record of 0-6 on the road.
- Overall, Middle Tennessee has a record of 2-14 on the road in its last 16 games.
- The last five games that Middle Tennessee has played on the road versus Western Kentucky have each resulted in a loss for the team.
- Over the course of its previous six games against opponents from the East Division, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- After seven games played in November, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- Middle Tennessee’s last eight games played in week 12 have all resulted in the total going over in six of those games.
- The over/under record for Western Kentucky’s previous six games is 5-1.
- There have been five of Western Kentucky’s last six games in which the total has been UNDER.
- Overall, Western Kentucky has a record of 5-1 in its previous six games.
- Nine of the last thirteen games that Western Kentucky has played versus Middle Tennessee have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous 12 games played at home, Western Kentucky has a winning record of 10-2 against the spread.
- Over the course of its previous five home games versus Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
- With a total of seven games played against opponents from the Conference USA conference, Western Kentucky has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- Over the course of its previous 12 games against opponents from the East Division, Western Kentucky has a record of 10-2 against the spread.
- Western Kentucky’s last 11 games played in week 12 have all resulted in the total going over in nine of those games.
- When Western Kentucky has been the favorite in their previous five games, the total has crossed the UNDER line in four of those games.
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction
Now we have the Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction for both teams.
Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky renew their rivalry in Week 12, and while both teams know each other extremely well, the recent history of this matchup has been overwhelmingly one-sided. Western Kentucky has dominated the Blue Raiders in nearly every category over the past several seasons, winning six straight meetings and covering the spread in five of those contests. The Hilltoppers’ offensive consistency, paired with Middle Tennessee’s road struggles, creates a clear contrast in reliability. The Blue Raiders are just 2-14 in their last 16 road games and 0-6 in their past six overall. Meanwhile, Western Kentucky has built a reputation for being almost unbeatable at home against the spread, boasting a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 home games and a perfect 5-0 mark versus MTSU in Bowling Green. The trends point strongly toward the home team maintaining their dominance in this series. Even though both defenses have been inconsistent at times, Western Kentucky’s offensive balance and ability to strike quickly through the air should keep them in control from start to finish.
For Middle Tennessee, it’s been a long and frustrating season marked by inconsistency and missed opportunities. The Blue Raiders’ offense ranks near the bottom nationally, averaging just over 20 points per game and a dismal 79 rushing yards per contest. Their passing attack has shown some life, averaging 251 yards per game, but efficiency and protection continue to be major issues. The offensive line has allowed nearly three sacks per game, while the running game provides little balance. On defense, Middle Tennessee’s struggles are even more evident — they’re giving up 32 points per game and allowing opponents to move the ball with ease both through the air and on the ground. Despite some competitive losses this season, MTSU hasn’t shown the ability to close games out, and their road woes continue to haunt them. They’ve failed to win in six straight away contests against Western Kentucky and have covered just once in the last five matchups overall. If they want any chance to pull an upset here, the Blue Raiders will need to force turnovers and somehow keep pace with one of Conference USA’s most efficient passing teams — a tall order given their defensive ranking and offensive limitations.
Western Kentucky enters this matchup in strong form, having won five of its last six and covering in nearly every game against conference and East Division opponents. The Hilltoppers’ offense, led by one of the top passing units in the league, is putting up over 30 points per game and nearly 288 yards through the air. While they’ve had some hiccups on the road, this is a team that thrives at home and knows how to control tempo. Quarterback play has been sharp, and the Hilltoppers’ defense — though not elite — has done just enough to keep opponents under control, holding teams to under 23 points per game on average. Western Kentucky’s balance on both sides of the ball, paired with their ability to exploit weak secondaries, makes them an easy favorite here. Given Middle Tennessee’s offensive inefficiency and inability to stop explosive plays, Western Kentucky should dictate the pace early and keep the Blue Raiders chasing all game long. This matchup has historically favored the Hilltoppers, and that trend doesn’t look likely to change in 2025.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: WESTERN KENTUCKY
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9/14/24
|
@MTS
|
WKY 49-21
|
MTS+6.5
|
O53.5
|
MTS+250
|
|
9/28/23
|
@WKY
|
WKY 31-10
|
WKY-7.5
|
U61.5
|
WKY-295
|
|
10/15/22
|
@MTS
|
WKY 35-17
|
MTS+5.5
|
U67
|
MTS+220
|
|
11/06/21
|
@WKY
|
WKY 48-21
|
WKY-14.5
|
U70.5
|
WKY-590
|
|
10/03/20
|
@MTS
|
WKY 20-17
|
MTS+7.0
|
U52.5
|
MTS+235
|
|
11/30/19
|
@WKY
|
WKY 31-26
|
WKY-9.0
|
O46.5
|
WKY-330
|
|
11/02/18
|
@MTS
|
MTS 29-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/17/17
|
@WKY
|
WKY 41-38
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/15/16
|
@MTS
|
WKY 44-43
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/10/15
|
@WKY
|
WKY 58-28
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Middle Tennessee Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
FIU
|
L 56-30
|
L+1.5
|
O52.5
|
L+105
|
|
10/29/25
|
JVS
|
L 24-21
|
W+6.5
|
U52.5
|
L+190
|
|
10/22/25
|
@DEL
|
L 31-28
|
W+10.5
|
O53.5
|
L+280
|
|
10/08/25
|
MIZST
|
L 22-20
|
W+2.5
|
U52.5
|
L+116
|
|
9/27/25
|
@KENN
|
L 24-16
|
L+7.0
|
U53.5
|
L+188
|
|
9/20/25
|
MSH
|
L 42-28
|
L+4.5
|
O47.5
|
L+128
|
|
9/13/25
|
@NEV
|
W 14-13
|
W+7.0
|
U49.5
|
W+230
|
|
9/06/25
|
@WIS
|
L 42-10
|
L+27.5
|
O46.5
|
L+2500
|
|
8/30/25
|
|
L 34-14
|
L-10.5
|
U53.5
|
L-365
|
|
11/30/24
|
@FIU
|
L 35-24
|
L+7.0
|
O52.5
|
L+245
|
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Western Kentucky Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
NMS
|
W 35-16
|
W-9.5
|
U55.5
|
W-400
|
|
10/21/25
|
@LT
|
W 28-27
|
W+3.5
|
O52.5
|
W+140
|
|
10/14/25
|
FIU
|
L 25-6
|
L-7.5
|
U55.5
|
L-300
|
|
10/03/25
|
@DEL
|
W 27-24
|
W-1.5
|
U59.5
|
W-120
|
|
9/27/25
|
@MIZST
|
W 27-22
|
L-7.0
|
U59
|
W-215
|
|
9/20/25
|
NEV
|
W 31-16
|
W-12.5
|
U54.5
|
W-375
|
|
9/06/25
|
@TOL
|
L 45-21
|
L+4.5
|
O61.5
|
L+162
|
|
8/30/25
|
UNA
|
W 55-6
|
W-27.5
|
O60.5
|
W-4500
|
|
8/23/25
|
|
W 41-24
|
W-9.5
|
O60.5
|
W-310
|
|
12/18/24
|
@JM
|
L 27-17
|
L+3.0
|
U53
|
L+124
|
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Middle Tennessee Offense
Overall
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.11 | 118 | Points Scored | 56 | 22.78 |
| 251.33 | 46 | Passing Yards | 53 | 205.33 |
| 79.67 | 133 | Rushing Yards | 113 | 177.67 |
| 28:46 | 104 | Time on Field | 85 | 30:38 |
| 67.33 | 62 | Number of Plays | 112 | 70.78 |
| 4.92 | 122 | Yards Per Play | 61 | 5.41 |
Scoring
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.11 | 118 | Points Scored | 56 | 22.78 |
| 5.56 | 77 | First Quarter | 94 | 6.22 |
| 5.22 | 117 | Second Quarter | 52 | 6.56 |
| 4.11 | 110 | Third Quarter | 89 | 6.00 |
| 5.22 | 102 | Fourth Quarter | 9 | 3.22 |
Passing
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251.33 | 46 | Passing Yards | 53 | 205.33 |
| 42.33 | 5 | Pass Attempts | 127 | 35.33 |
| 25.33 | 7 | Pass Completions | 68 | 18.89 |
| 2.78 | 119 | Sacks | 131 | 1.00 |
| 19.56 | 14 | Sack Yards | 15 | 6.78 |
| 9.92 | 129 | Yards Per Pass | 39 | 10.87 |
Rushing
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.67 | 133 | Rushing Yards | 113 | 177.67 |
| 25.00 | 136 | Rush Attempts | 74 | 35.44 |
| 3.19 | 128 | Yards Per Rush | 127 | 5.01 |
Turn Overs
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 78 | Interceptions | 67 | 0.78 |
| 1.22 | 94 | Fumbles | 123 | 0.67 |
| 0.56 | 84 | Fumbles Lost | 110 | 0.33 |
| 1.33 | 81 | Total Turnovers | 92 | 1.11 |
| 6.67 | 90 | Penalties | 30 | 7.11 |
| 61.44 | 101 | Penalty Yards | 29 | 62.89 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MTSU Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | WKU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:46 | 104 | Time on Field | 85 | 30:38 |
| 67.33 | 62 | Number of Plays | 112 | 70.78 |
| 4.92 | 122 | Yards Per Play | 61 | 5.41 |
| 5.89 | 133 | Punts | 48 | 4.78 |
| 43.69 | 52 | Punt Average | 29 | 41.40 |
| 43.44 | 103 | Return Yards | 100 | 65.22 |
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Western Kentucky Offense
Overall
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.00 | 120 | Points Scored | 56 | 30.11 |
| 234.56 | 95 | Passing Yards | 17 | 287.78 |
| 143.00 | 64 | Rushing Yards | 110 | 121.89 |
| 31:16 | 106 | Time on Field | 85 | 29:21 |
| 66.22 | 69 | Number of Plays | 33 | 70.11 |
| 5.70 | 86 | Yards Per Play | 59 | 5.84 |
Scoring
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.00 | 120 | Points Scored | 56 | 30.11 |
| 7.00 | 106 | First Quarter | 98 | 4.89 |
| 10.56 | 121 | Second Quarter | 50 | 9.78 |
| 4.44 | 45 | Third Quarter | 34 | 7.67 |
| 10.00 | 133 | Fourth Quarter | 64 | 6.89 |
Passing
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234.56 | 95 | Passing Yards | 17 | 287.78 |
| 27.22 | 22 | Pass Attempts | 10 | 38.67 |
| 17.56 | 41 | Pass Completions | 4 | 26.22 |
| 1.89 | 84 | Sacks | 45 | 1.44 |
| 13.22 | 65 | Sack Yards | 80 | 10.78 |
| 13.36 | 128 | Yards Per Pass | 92 | 10.97 |
Rushing
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143.00 | 64 | Rushing Yards | 110 | 121.89 |
| 39.00 | 109 | Rush Attempts | 116 | 31.44 |
| 3.67 | 38 | Yards Per Rush | 101 | 3.88 |
Turn Overs
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 80 | Interceptions | 87 | 0.78 |
| 1.56 | 16 | Fumbles | 44 | 0.89 |
| 0.44 | 84 | Fumbles Lost | 110 | 0.67 |
| 1.11 | 86 | Total Turnovers | 98 | 1.44 |
| 4.56 | 125 | Penalties | 81 | 6.44 |
| 44.11 | 104 | Penalty Yards | 122 | 66.89 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MTSU Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | WKU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:16 | 106 | Time on Field | 85 | 29:21 |
| 66.22 | 69 | Number of Plays | 33 | 70.11 |
| 5.70 | 86 | Yards Per Play | 59 | 5.84 |
| 4.67 | 57 | Punts | 78 | 4.22 |
| 42.79 | 80 | Punt Average | 1 | 48.77 |
| 41.89 | 53 | Return Yards | 100 | 45.33 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.