Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: Trends
- The over/under record for Memphis’s previous ten games is 8-2.
- Five out of Memphis’ previous seven games have resulted in the total going over.
- Memphis’s overall record in its last 14 games is 12-2.
- After 20 games versus East Carolina, Memphis has a record of 4-16 against the spread.
- In its last 11 games versus East Carolina, Memphis has a winning percentage of 2-9.
- In its previous six games played away from home, Memphis has a record of 5-1 against the spread.
- Memphis has a losing record of 1-5 against the spread in its last six games while playing East Carolina away from home.
- Over the course of its most recent nine games versus teams from the American Conference, Memphis has a winning percentage of 7-2.
- Memphis’ last eight games against opponents from the East Division division have all resulted in the total going over in seven of those contests.
- In eight of Memphis’ most recent nine games played in the month of November, the total has been over.
- Out of East Carolina’s last 12 games, the total has been under in eight of those games.
- In its last five games, East Carolina has a winning record of 4-1 against the spread.
- East Carolina has a home record of 7-2 straight up in its previous nine games.
- When playing at home against Memphis, East Carolina has a winning underdog record of 5-1 in its last six games.
- Every eight of East Carolina’s last twelve games against an opponent from the American league league have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- Over the course of its previous 15 games against opponents from the West Division, East Carolina has a record of 3-11-1 against the spread.
- Out of the seven games that East Carolina has played in November, the total has been over in five of those contests.
- On the road, East Carolina has a record of 1-4 in its past five games played in week 12.
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction
Now we have the Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between the Memphis Tigers and the East Carolina Pirates is shaping up to be one of the more intriguing contests in the American Athletic Conference this weekend. Memphis has been one of the more consistent offensive teams in the AAC, but they’re facing an East Carolina squad that’s playing its best football of the season, coming off a stretch of dominant wins. Historically, this series has belonged to the Pirates—ECU has won 16 of the last 20 meetings straight up, including the last two in thrilling fashion (47–45 in 2022 and 30–29 in 2021). Both teams have trended heavily in opposite directions on totals: Memphis games have gone over in eight of their last ten, while East Carolina’s have been under in eight of their last twelve. Something has to give here, and given Memphis’s recent form on the road (5–1 ATS in their last six away games), this matchup could turn into another high-scoring, back-and-forth shootout that tests both defenses and momentum swings.
For Memphis, the key to this game is establishing their balance on offense early. The Tigers are averaging over 37 points per game this season, ranking top-15 nationally in scoring, and their ability to mix the pass and the run makes them dangerous. Quarterback play has been steady, with Memphis averaging 242 passing yards per game, complemented by a strong ground attack that produces over 187 rushing yards per contest. They also control the tempo effectively, holding the ball for nearly 32 minutes per game, and thrive late in games—ranking sixth nationally in fourth-quarter scoring. Despite a few letdowns in conference play, Memphis remains a well-rounded unit capable of moving the chains efficiently (6.4 yards per play) and finishing drives. Defensively, their biggest concern is containing explosive plays, as East Carolina loves to push tempo and test coverage. If the Tigers can limit big plays and avoid turnovers—they average under one per game—they’ll be in good position to pull off a tough road win.
East Carolina, meanwhile, enters this matchup riding high after several dominant performances. The Pirates have averaged nearly 34 points per game while holding opponents to just 17.3 points, one of the more impressive two-way balances in the conference. ECU’s offense is led by a dynamic passing attack that racks up 281 yards per game, and they’ve done a fantastic job of spreading the ball around and staying ahead of the sticks. Their defense has been stout against the run, giving up just 106 rushing yards per game, which could force Memphis into a more one-dimensional game plan. At home, the Pirates have been extremely tough to beat, going 7–2 straight up in their last nine games in Greenville and covering in four of their last five overall. Their crowd energy and momentum often translate into fast starts, which could be crucial against a Memphis team that tends to come alive late. If ECU’s defense can get early stops and capitalize on short fields, the Pirates have a legitimate chance to extend their winning streak over the Tigers and make a late-season statement.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: EAST CAROLINA
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/15/22
|
@ECU
|
ECU 47-45
|
ECU-3.0
|
O59.5
|
ECU-170
|
|
11/13/21
|
@MEM
|
ECU 30-29
|
MEM-5.5
|
U61.5
|
MEM-220
|
|
11/03/18
|
@ECU
|
MEM 59-41
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/25/17
|
@MEM
|
MEM 70-13
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: Memphis Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/07/25
|
TUL
|
L 38-32
|
L-4.5
|
O58.5
|
L-210
|
|
10/31/25
|
@RICE
|
W 38-14
|
W-17.5
|
U56.5
|
W-465
|
|
10/25/25
|
USF
|
W 34-31
|
L-3.5
|
U69.5
|
W-152
|
|
10/18/25
|
@UAB
|
L 31-24
|
L-21.5
|
U64.5
|
L-1700
|
|
10/04/25
|
TSA
|
W 45-7
|
W+14.0
|
U61.5
|
W-1400
|
|
9/27/25
|
@FAU
|
W 55-26
|
W-15.5
|
O61.5
|
W-690
|
|
9/20/25
|
ARK
|
W 32-31
|
W+6.5
|
O57.5
|
W+180
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TRY
|
W 28-7
|
W-6.5
|
U51.5
|
W-245
|
|
9/06/25
|
@GST
|
W 38-16
|
W-13.5
|
O53.5
|
W-610
|
|
8/30/25
|
CHT
|
W 45-10
|
W-23.5
|
U55.5
|
W-2300
|
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
CHA
|
W 48-22
|
L-26.5
|
O53.5
|
W-4500
|
|
11/01/25
|
@TEM
|
W 45-14
|
W-4.5
|
O58.5
|
W-182
|
|
10/16/25
|
TSA
|
W 41-27
|
L-17.0
|
O53.5
|
W-950
|
|
10/09/25
|
@TUL
|
L 26-19
|
P+7.0
|
U53.5
|
L+250
|
|
9/25/25
|
ARM
|
W 28-6
|
W-3.5
|
U53.5
|
W-160
|
|
9/20/25
|
BYU
|
L 34-13
|
L+9.5
|
U49.5
|
L+230
|
|
9/13/25
|
@CC
|
W 38-0
|
W-5.5
|
U55.5
|
W-260
|
|
9/06/25
|
CAM
|
W 56-3
|
W-29.5
|
O52.5
|
W-10000
|
|
8/28/25
|
@NCST
|
L 24-17
|
W+14.0
|
U57.5
|
L+320
|
|
12/28/24
|
@NCST
|
W 26-21
|
W+5.0
|
U59.5
|
W+170
|
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: Memphis Offense
Overall
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.10 | 15 | Points Scored | 15 | 17.33 |
| 242.60 | 57 | Passing Yards | 69 | 220.00 |
| 187.20 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 19 | 106.00 |
| 31:50 | 27 | Time on Field | 68 | 30:06 |
| 67.20 | 63 | Number of Plays | 48 | 65.22 |
| 6.40 | 28 | Yards Per Play | 30 | 5.00 |
Scoring
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.10 | 15 | Points Scored | 15 | 17.33 |
| 9.00 | 14 | First Quarter | 13 | 2.56 |
| 11.40 | 21 | Second Quarter | 69 | 7.11 |
| 6.30 | 61 | Third Quarter | 24 | 3.44 |
| 10.40 | 6 | Fourth Quarter | 21 | 4.22 |
Passing
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242.60 | 57 | Passing Yards | 69 | 220.00 |
| 29.80 | 75 | Pass Attempts | 89 | 31.78 |
| 20.60 | 45 | Pass Completions | 80 | 19.44 |
| 2.40 | 105 | Sacks | 48 | 2.22 |
| 19.10 | 16 | Sack Yards | 77 | 14.11 |
| 11.78 | 70 | Yards Per Pass | 73 | 11.31 |
Rushing
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.20 | 30 | Rushing Yards | 19 | 106.00 |
| 37.40 | 51 | Rush Attempts | 45 | 33.44 |
| 5.01 | 25 | Yards Per Rush | 18 | 3.17 |
Turn Overs
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.70 | 66 | Interceptions | 95 | 0.56 |
| 0.90 | 45 | Fumbles | 14 | 1.56 |
| 0.20 | 12 | Fumbles Lost | 9 | 0.89 |
| 0.90 | 26 | Total Turnovers | 42 | 1.44 |
| 5.50 | 38 | Penalties | 81 | 5.78 |
| 45.60 | 29 | Penalty Yards | 86 | 50.67 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MEM Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ECAR Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:50 | 27 | Time on Field | 68 | 30:06 |
| 67.20 | 63 | Number of Plays | 48 | 65.22 |
| 6.40 | 28 | Yards Per Play | 30 | 5.00 |
| 3.30 | 38 | Punts | 37 | 4.89 |
| 43.03 | 64 | Punt Average | 97 | 43.39 |
| 36.90 | 117 | Return Yards | 104 | 67.33 |
Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina Offense
Overall
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10 | 35 | Points Scored | 25 | 33.89 |
| 230.00 | 88 | Passing Yards | 21 | 281.67 |
| 127.90 | 42 | Rushing Yards | 33 | 186.00 |
| 28:09 | 27 | Time on Field | 68 | 29:53 |
| 65.20 | 47 | Number of Plays | 1 | 79.67 |
| 5.49 | 69 | Yards Per Play | 57 | 5.87 |
Scoring
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10 | 35 | Points Scored | 25 | 33.89 |
| 5.80 | 83 | First Quarter | 8 | 10.33 |
| 10.20 | 114 | Second Quarter | 80 | 7.78 |
| 2.30 | 10 | Third Quarter | 29 | 7.89 |
| 2.80 | 4 | Fourth Quarter | 46 | 7.89 |
Passing
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230.00 | 88 | Passing Yards | 21 | 281.67 |
| 32.30 | 96 | Pass Attempts | 21 | 36.22 |
| 19.60 | 82 | Pass Completions | 18 | 23.89 |
| 1.50 | 111 | Sacks | 26 | 1.22 |
| 12.10 | 54 | Sack Yards | 103 | 8.22 |
| 11.73 | 87 | Yards Per Pass | 69 | 11.79 |
Rushing
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127.90 | 42 | Rushing Yards | 33 | 186.00 |
| 32.90 | 36 | Rush Attempts | 12 | 43.44 |
| 3.89 | 51 | Yards Per Rush | 73 | 4.28 |
Turn Overs
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | 19 | Interceptions | 24 | 0.56 |
| 1.30 | 39 | Fumbles | 25 | 0.78 |
| 0.50 | 73 | Fumbles Lost | 24 | 0.33 |
| 1.70 | 29 | Total Turnovers | 16 | 0.89 |
| 6.30 | 57 | Penalties | 75 | 6.44 |
| 49.00 | 89 | Penalty Yards | 63 | 53.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MEM Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ECAR Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:09 | 27 | Time on Field | 68 | 29:53 |
| 65.20 | 47 | Number of Plays | 1 | 79.67 |
| 5.49 | 69 | Yards Per Play | 57 | 5.87 |
| 4.80 | 43 | Punts | 33 | 3.22 |
| 45.32 | 128 | Punt Average | 128 | 38.98 |
| 38.90 | 39 | Return Yards | 101 | 44.56 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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