Liberty vs Florida International Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Trends

  • The over/under record for Liberty’s previous 11 games is 3-8.
  • In eight of Liberty’s most recent eleven games, the total has registered a UNDER.
  • Every single one of Liberty’s most recent five away games has resulted in the total going UNDER.
  • In its last twenty games versus opposing teams from the Conference USA conference, Liberty has a winning record of 15-5 overall.
  • In its last ten games against teams from the East Division, Liberty has a perfect record of 10-0 in terms of its single-score.
  • After six games played in week 12, Liberty has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • In four of Liberty’s most recent five games that have been played on a Saturday, the total has been under.
  • Over the past six games, Florida International has a record of 2-4 against the spread.
  • Overall, Florida International has a record of 2-4 in its previous six games.
  • In its previous eight games played at home, Florida International has a home record of 6-2 against the spread.
  • In the last twenty games that Florida International has played against a team from the league USA league, the team has a record of 6-14 all-time.
  • Six of the previous six games that Florida International has played in the month of November have resulted in the total going over.
  • During the 12th week of the season, Florida International has a losing record of 0-5 on the road.
  • Nine out of the previous twelve games that Florida International has played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
  • When playing as the underdog, Florida International has a record of 7-3 against the spread in its last ten games.

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction

Now we have the Liberty vs Florida International Prediction for both teams.

The Liberty Flames head into Week 12 looking to get back on track and finish strong after an up-and-down stretch of games. Liberty’s offense has been inconsistent this season, ranking 100th nationally with just 23.3 points per game, and they’ve struggled to find their rhythm through the air. The passing attack averages only 197 yards per game, while the rushing game, at 175 yards per outing, has been more reliable. Liberty’s identity has leaned on ball control, ranking 44th in time of possession, but they’ve had trouble turning long drives into points. The most glaring trend is how often Liberty games have gone under the total—eight of their last eleven contests have hit the under, including all five of their most recent road matchups. This defense-first style has helped them remain competitive even when the offense lags, but it’s also led to some frustrating results against the spread. The Flames are just 1-5 ATS in Week 12 contests over the years, but they’ve dominated Conference USA play, going 15-5 against the league in their last 20 matchups. Their goal will be to lean on the run game and suffocating defense to avoid a potential trap game against a pesky Florida International squad that’s covered well as an underdog.

For Liberty, the focus remains on establishing balance offensively and limiting mistakes. The Flames’ passing attack hasn’t been explosive, averaging only 12.96 yards per completion and ranking just 117th in completions per game. However, the run game is a bright spot, averaging 175 yards on 40 attempts per contest—both ranking in the top half nationally. Defensively, Liberty has been solid, allowing 22.4 points per game and keeping opponents under 200 passing yards on average. Their bend-but-don’t-break defense has carried them through close games, but they’ve struggled late in contests, giving up over eight points per fourth quarter on average. The Flames will need better execution in red-zone situations and must avoid turnovers after averaging 1.5 giveaways per game. When Liberty is clicking, their combination of time-of-possession control and defensive discipline can smother weaker opponents. Facing an FIU team that has been inconsistent offensively, Liberty’s defense will aim to contain the ground game early and force the Panthers into passing situations where their efficiency drops off significantly. This matchup presents a chance for Liberty to regain confidence heading into the final stretch.

Florida International enters this Week 12 matchup trying to maintain the momentum from a few strong performances, including a big 56-30 win over Middle Tennessee. The Panthers have been one of the more unpredictable teams in Conference USA, alternating between explosive offensive outings and frustratingly quiet performances. FIU averages 26 points per game and has been particularly effective on the ground, ranking 46th nationally with 177 rushing yards per game. That rushing attack has been their lifeline, helping them control time of possession (32 minutes per game) and keeping pressure off the passing game. Defensively, however, FIU has struggled, surrendering nearly 30 points per game and allowing over 264 passing yards, which ranks near the bottom nationally. Still, bettors have noticed that the Panthers perform well as underdogs—they’re 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in that role and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. FIU’s resilience and ability to cover make them a dangerous opponent, especially if they can establish the run early and force Liberty into a slower-paced battle. However, their defensive lapses against stronger rushing teams could spell trouble against a Liberty squad that can wear defenses down in the second half.

✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: LIBERTY

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Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Head to Head

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
10/08/24
LIB 31-24
LIB-20.5
O51.5
LIB-1800
9/23/23
LIB 38-6
FIU+13.0
U54
FIU+340
9/26/20
LIB 36-34
LIB-8.0
O58.5
LIB-303

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Liberty Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
L 21-17
L-6.5
U51.5
L-320
11/01/25
W 59-30
W-2.5
O52.5
W-138
10/14/25
W 30-27
L-7.5
O48.5
W-285
10/08/25
W 19-8
W-1.5
U47.5
W-132
9/27/25
L 21-7
L+10.0
U50.5
L+395
9/20/25
L 31-13
L+10.5
U49.5
L+168
9/13/25
L 23-13
L-5.5
U51.5
L-194
9/06/25
L 34-24
L-7.5
O50.5
L-215
8/30/25
W 28-7
L-26.5
U52.5
W-4500
1/04/25
L 26-7
L-3.5
U51.5
L-166

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Florida International Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
W 56-30
W-1.5
O52.5
W-125
10/29/25
L 28-21
L+6.5
U54.5
L+198
10/21/25
L 45-26
L-1.5
O49.5
L-113
10/14/25
W 25-6
W+7.5
U55.5
W+240
10/04/25
L 51-10
L+10.5
O55.5
L+260
9/20/25
L 38-16
L-3.0
U54.5
L-178
9/13/25
W 38-28
W-2.5
O57.5
W-154
9/06/25
L 34-0
W+42.5
U56.5
L+3000
8/29/25
W 42-9
W-30.5
U54.5
W-8000
11/30/24
W 35-24
W-7.0
O52.5
W-310

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Liberty Offense

Overall

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
23.33 100 Points Scored 105 29.89
197.22 100 Passing Yards 122 264.67
175.56 48 Rushing Yards 70 145.33
30:43 44 Time on Field 19 27:49
67.33 60 Number of Plays 93 68.00
5.54 81 Yards Per Play 111 6.03

Scoring

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
23.33 100 Points Scored 105 29.89
3.78 118 First Quarter 108 7.22
7.11 92 Second Quarter 105 9.33
4.89 93 Third Quarter 95 6.11
7.56 51 Fourth Quarter 91 7.22

Passing

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
197.22 100 Passing Yards 122 264.67
26.78 109 Pass Attempts 131 36.78
15.22 117 Pass Completions 131 23.33
2.00 83 Sacks 80 1.89
13.00 55 Sack Yards 79 14.44
12.96 26 Yards Per Pass 74 11.34

Rushing

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
175.56 48 Rushing Yards 70 145.33
40.56 22 Rush Attempts 13 31.22
4.33 69 Yards Per Rush 107 4.65

Turn Overs

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
0.78 74 Interceptions 51 0.89
1.11 71 Fumbles 44 1.22
0.78 121 Fumbles Lost 57 0.56
1.56 105 Total Turnovers 43 1.44
5.56 39 Penalties 87 5.67
49.22 43 Penalty Yards 74 52.22

Drives & Special Teams

LIB Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank FIU Defense
30:43 44 Time on Field 19 27:49
67.33 60 Number of Plays 93 68.00
5.54 81 Yards Per Play 111 6.03
4.11 72 Punts 86 4.11
40.59 112 Punt Average 53 42.01
57.56 69 Return Yards 126 88.89

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction: Florida International Offense

Overall

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
22.44 55 Points Scored 80 26.00
199.67 42 Passing Yards 87 214.56
161.00 90 Rushing Yards 46 177.00
29:01 41 Time on Field 19 32:10
65.56 53 Number of Plays 30 70.11
5.50 71 Yards Per Play 73 5.58

Scoring

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
22.44 55 Points Scored 80 26.00
1.78 4 First Quarter 103 4.56
6.33 44 Second Quarter 61 9.11
5.89 83 Third Quarter 70 5.89
8.44 115 Fourth Quarter 75 6.44

Passing

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
199.67 42 Passing Yards 87 214.56
30.22 62 Pass Attempts 49 32.78
16.89 31 Pass Completions 51 20.33
1.67 99 Sacks 75 1.89
9.33 23 Sack Yards 57 12.78
11.82 89 Yards Per Pass 106 10.55

Rushing

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
161.00 90 Rushing Yards 46 177.00
35.33 70 Rush Attempts 52 37.33
4.56 98 Yards Per Rush 41 4.74

Turn Overs

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
0.67 79 Interceptions 93 0.89
0.89 95 Fumbles 114 1.44
0.78 17 Fumbles Lost 119 0.78
1.44 44 Total Turnovers 111 1.67
5.00 107 Penalties 93 6.78
43.56 107 Penalty Yards 85 58.44

Drives & Special Teams

LIB Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank FIU Offense
29:01 41 Time on Field 19 32:10
65.56 53 Number of Plays 30 70.11
5.50 71 Yards Per Play 73 5.58
4.33 75 Punts 97 4.78
42.71 76 Punt Average 117 40.21
41.11 49 Return Yards 46 64.22

 

 

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