Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: Trends
- Over the past six games, Colorado State has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Six of Colorado State’s most recent eight games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its last seven games, Colorado State has a record of 1-6 against the spread.
- In its last five games versus New Mexico, Colorado State has a perfect 5-0 overall record.
- In the last ten games that Colorado State has played versus New Mexico, the team has a perfect record of 10-0.
- In its previous 12 games played away from home, Colorado State has a record of 2-10 against the spread.
- On the road versus New Mexico, Colorado State has a perfect record of 6-0 in its last six games, including a perfect score.
- In Colorado State’s last five games against opponents from the Mountain West conference, the team has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- During the last seven games that Colorado State has played against teams that are members of the Mountain Division, the total has been UNDER in six of those games.
- All nine of Colorado State’s most recent thirteen games played in November have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- Four of New Mexico’s most recent six games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last eight games, New Mexico has a winning percentage of 6-2.
- In six of New Mexico’s most recent six games versus Colorado State, the total has been under the prevailing line.
- In its last five games played at home, New Mexico has a perfect 5-0 record against the spread.
- In the last six games that New Mexico has played at home against Colorado State, the team has a record of 0-6 on the road.
During its most recent nine games versus teams from the Mountain West conference, New Mexico has a record of 3-6 against the spread. - During the last seven games that New Mexico has played against teams that are members of the Mountain Division, the total has been over in five of those games.
- At least five of New Mexico’s most recent six games played in November have resulted in the total going over.
- In its previous ten games played in week 12, New Mexico has a head-to-head record of 2-8.
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction
Now we have the Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 Mountain West showdown between the Colorado State Rams and the New Mexico Lobos brings together two teams trending in opposite directions. Colorado State enters this matchup struggling to find consistency, while New Mexico has shown life down the stretch with several strong performances in recent weeks. The Rams’ offense has been a major concern, ranking among the bottom 10 nationally in both scoring and total production. Their inability to move the ball efficiently through the air or on the ground has made it tough to sustain drives, often leaving their defense on the field far too long. On the other hand, New Mexico has quietly been one of the more improved teams in the Mountain West, posting solid wins over UNLV, UTSA, and UCLA this season. The Lobos are also playing with confidence at home, where they’ve covered the spread in five straight contests. Historically, this series has been one-sided in favor of Colorado State, which has won ten straight meetings. However, with the way these teams are performing right now, this game could mark a turning point in the rivalry, especially considering New Mexico’s recent offensive surge and improved home-field advantage.
For Colorado State, the numbers tell a story of missed opportunities and offensive frustration. The Rams average just 18.1 points per game, ranking 125th nationally, and their offensive efficiency has been abysmal, producing only 5.07 yards per play. The passing attack, which was expected to be a strength, has sputtered to just 187.7 yards per game, while the running game hasn’t fared much better at 137.2 yards per contest. Turnovers have been another issue — Colorado State is averaging over two giveaways per game — and their inability to protect the quarterback has led to stalled drives and limited scoring chances. Defensively, they’ve shown occasional promise, especially in pass coverage, but the unit’s lack of stamina due to poor offensive support has caused them to wear down late in games. The Rams have lost six of their last seven and have been dreadful against the spread, going 1-6 ATS during that stretch. Even with a recent history of dominance over New Mexico, Colorado State’s road woes (2-10 ATS in their last 12 away games) and lack of offensive firepower make them a risky play this week.
Meanwhile, New Mexico looks like a team peaking at the right time. The Lobos have won six of their last eight and have developed into one of the more balanced mid-tier offenses in the conference. They’re averaging 30.2 points per game, with an efficient mix of running and passing that has kept defenses guessing. Quarterback play has been solid, and their ground attack has been reliable, churning out 154 rushing yards per game. New Mexico’s defense has also made noticeable strides, holding opponents to 25.9 points per game and showing marked improvement in rush defense, where they rank 31st nationally. At home, the Lobos have been excellent against the number, covering in each of their last five games in Albuquerque. While their historical record versus Colorado State is dismal, this New Mexico team looks far more complete than in previous years. If they can protect the football and control time of possession, they have every chance to finally end their decade-long drought against the Rams.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: NEW MEXICO
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/26/24
|
@CSU
|
CSU 17-6
|
CSU-7.0
|
U65.5
|
CSU-210
|
|
11/25/22
|
@CSU
|
CSU 17-0
|
CSU-7.0
|
U35
|
CSU-295
|
|
10/16/21
|
@NM
|
CSU 36-7
|
NM+8.5
|
U44.5
|
NM+300
|
|
10/11/19
|
@NM
|
CSU 35-21
|
NM+4.0
|
U66
|
NM+160
|
|
10/13/18
|
@CSU
|
CSU 20-18
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/20/17
|
@NM
|
CSU 27-24
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/19/16
|
@CSU
|
CSU 49-31
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/21/15
|
@NM
|
CSU 28-21
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: Colorado State Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
UNLV
|
L 42-10
|
L+6.5
|
U61.5
|
L+220
|
|
10/25/25
|
@WYO
|
L 28-0
|
L+3.5
|
U45.5
|
L+158
|
|
10/18/25
|
HAW
|
L 31-19
|
L+1.5
|
U54.5
|
L-110
|
|
10/10/25
|
FRE
|
W 49-21
|
W+6.5
|
O51.5
|
W+164
|
|
10/03/25
|
@SDSU
|
L 45-24
|
L+5.5
|
O41.5
|
L+188
|
|
9/27/25
|
WST
|
L 20-3
|
L-4.0
|
U50.5
|
L-192
|
|
9/20/25
|
UTSA
|
L 17-16
|
W+4.5
|
U59.5
|
L+146
|
|
9/06/25
|
NOCO
|
W 21-17
|
L-33.5
|
U52.5
|
W-20000
|
|
8/30/25
|
@WAS
|
L 38-21
|
W+18.5
|
O54.5
|
L+720
|
|
12/28/24
|
MOH
|
L 43-17
|
L+3.5
|
O42.5
|
L+138
|
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: New Mexico Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@UNLV
|
W 40-35
|
W+5.5
|
O64.5
|
W+164
|
|
10/25/25
|
UTS
|
W 33-14
|
W-1.5
|
U62.5
|
W-130
|
|
10/18/25
|
NEV
|
W 24-22
|
L-10.5
|
U49.5
|
W-375
|
|
10/11/25
|
@BOISE
|
L 41-25
|
W+16.5
|
O59.5
|
L+490
|
|
10/03/25
|
|
L 35-28
|
L+3.5
|
O55.5
|
L+115
|
|
9/27/25
|
NMS
|
W 38-20
|
W-10.0
|
O55
|
W-500
|
|
9/12/25
|
@UCLA
|
W 35-10
|
W+14.5
|
U55.5
|
W+430
|
|
9/06/25
|
IDS
|
W 32-22
|
L-13.5
|
U63.5
|
W-550
|
|
8/30/25
|
@MICH
|
L 34-17
|
W+34.5
|
U51.5
|
L+2500
|
|
11/30/24
|
@HAW
|
L 38-30
|
L-3.5
|
O60.5
|
L-146
|
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: Colorado State Offense
Overall
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.11 | 125 | Points Scored | 82 | 25.89 |
| 187.67 | 105 | Passing Yards | 120 | 260.00 |
| 137.22 | 94 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 116.00 |
| 27:28 | 122 | Time on Field | 61 | 29:36 |
| 64.11 | 105 | Number of Plays | 54 | 65.56 |
| 5.07 | 110 | Yards Per Play | 90 | 5.74 |
Scoring
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.11 | 125 | Points Scored | 82 | 25.89 |
| 4.22 | 105 | First Quarter | 50 | 4.56 |
| 4.89 | 122 | Second Quarter | 122 | 10.56 |
| 2.33 | 133 | Third Quarter | 51 | 4.78 |
| 6.67 | 70 | Fourth Quarter | 57 | 6.00 |
Passing
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187.67 | 105 | Passing Yards | 120 | 260.00 |
| 29.44 | 80 | Pass Attempts | 111 | 33.67 |
| 17.22 | 99 | Pass Completions | 132 | 23.56 |
| 2.78 | 118 | Sacks | 38 | 2.33 |
| 18.44 | 22 | Sack Yards | 70 | 13.67 |
| 10.90 | 94 | Yards Per Pass | 52 | 11.04 |
Rushing
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.22 | 94 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 116.00 |
| 34.67 | 79 | Rush Attempts | 18 | 31.89 |
| 3.96 | 91 | Yards Per Rush | 34 | 3.64 |
Turn Overs
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 50 | Interceptions | 115 | 0.44 |
| 1.44 | 112 | Fumbles | 23 | 1.44 |
| 0.67 | 99 | Fumbles Lost | 86 | 0.44 |
| 1.33 | 79 | Total Turnovers | 116 | 0.89 |
| 6.33 | 71 | Penalties | 9 | 8.00 |
| 60.44 | 98 | Penalty Yards | 7 | 69.89 |
Drives & Special Teams
| COLST Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NMEX Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27:28 | 122 | Time on Field | 61 | 29:36 |
| 64.11 | 105 | Number of Plays | 54 | 65.56 |
| 5.07 | 110 | Yards Per Play | 90 | 5.74 |
| 5.00 | 104 | Punts | 109 | 3.67 |
| 47.02 | 11 | Punt Average | 73 | 42.64 |
| 62.56 | 51 | Return Yards | 41 | 39.33 |
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction: New Mexico Offense
Overall
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.78 | 96 | Points Scored | 54 | 30.22 |
| 229.89 | 86 | Passing Yards | 63 | 235.11 |
| 193.56 | 126 | Rushing Yards | 73 | 154.00 |
| 32:31 | 123 | Time on Field | 57 | 30:23 |
| 66.00 | 62 | Number of Plays | 106 | 63.67 |
| 6.42 | 127 | Yards Per Play | 38 | 6.11 |
Scoring
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.78 | 96 | Points Scored | 54 | 30.22 |
| 5.00 | 59 | First Quarter | 102 | 4.67 |
| 11.89 | 134 | Second Quarter | 10 | 12.44 |
| 7.67 | 118 | Third Quarter | 117 | 4.00 |
| 4.22 | 20 | Fourth Quarter | 23 | 9.11 |
Passing
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229.89 | 86 | Passing Yards | 63 | 235.11 |
| 29.00 | 42 | Pass Attempts | 95 | 28.56 |
| 18.33 | 56 | Pass Completions | 70 | 19.44 |
| 1.00 | 128 | Sacks | 70 | 1.78 |
| 5.67 | 7 | Sack Yards | 71 | 11.89 |
| 12.54 | 113 | Yards Per Pass | 56 | 12.09 |
Rushing
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193.56 | 126 | Rushing Yards | 73 | 154.00 |
| 37.00 | 85 | Rush Attempts | 73 | 35.11 |
| 5.23 | 130 | Yards Per Rush | 63 | 4.39 |
Turn Overs
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 48 | Interceptions | 113 | 1.00 |
| 0.56 | 127 | Fumbles | 76 | 1.11 |
| 0.33 | 99 | Fumbles Lost | 129 | 0.89 |
| 1.22 | 68 | Total Turnovers | 128 | 1.89 |
| 7.22 | 28 | Penalties | 54 | 5.89 |
| 61.00 | 35 | Penalty Yards | 37 | 47.11 |
Drives & Special Teams
| COLST Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NMEX Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32:31 | 123 | Time on Field | 57 | 30:23 |
| 66.00 | 62 | Number of Plays | 106 | 63.67 |
| 6.42 | 127 | Yards Per Play | 38 | 6.11 |
| 4.11 | 85 | Punts | 19 | 2.67 |
| 44.22 | 114 | Punt Average | 18 | 46.18 |
| 38.67 | 38 | Return Yards | 70 | 57.56 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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