Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Trends
- Over the past five games, Michigan has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In four of Michigan’s most recent five games, the total has been under the wager.
- In its last seven games, Michigan has a winning record of 6-1 against the spread.
- After six games against Northwestern, Michigan has a record of 4-2 against the spread.
- Overall, Michigan has a perfect record of 8-0 against Northwestern in its last 8 games.
- Overall, Michigan has a record of 14-5 on the road in its last 19 games.
- Over the course of its last seven games versus Northwestern, Michigan has a perfect record of seven wins and zero losses.
- Michigan’s last seven games against opponents from the Big Ten conference have all resulted in the total going UNDER in five of those games.
- Over the course of its last 18 games versus opponents from the West Division, Michigan has a record of 12-6 against the spread.
- After 17 games played in November, Michigan has a record of 12-5 against the spread.
- In its last six games, Northwestern has a winning record of 4-2 against the spread.
- There have been eight of Northwestern’s last twelve games against Michigan in which the total has been UNDER.
- In its previous five games played at home, Northwestern has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home against Michigan, Northwestern has a record of 0-7 on the season when they have been playing.
- Over the course of its last 15 games versus teams from the Big Ten league, Northwestern has a winning percentage of 5-10.
- All five of Northwestern’s most recent seven games against teams from the East Division division have resulted in the total going over the point spread.
- In the last six games that Northwestern has played in November, the total has been over in five of those games.
- After five games played in week 12, Northwestern has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction
Now we have the Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction for both teams.
Michigan enters this Week 12 Big Ten clash against Northwestern with the clear upper hand historically and statistically, having won eight straight meetings against the Wildcats. The Wolverines continue to display a balanced attack centered around their elite rushing game, which ranks 12th nationally at 223.8 yards per game. Despite some struggles against the spread recently (1-4 in their last five), Michigan has proven dominant on the road and in conference play, covering 12 of their last 18 matchups against Big Ten West opponents. Defensively, the Wolverines remain one of the stingiest units in the nation, holding opponents to just 17.2 points per game and fewer than 205 passing yards. They’ve been particularly strong at limiting explosive plays, allowing only 4.6 yards per snap, which ranks 14th nationally. The under has also been a consistent theme in Michigan’s games, hitting in four of their last five, due to their methodical offensive pace and suffocating defense. With the Wolverines’ superior line play, turnover discipline, and consistent November form (12-5 ATS in their last 17 games this month), it’s hard not to see them controlling this matchup once again from start to finish.
For Michigan, the path to victory lies squarely behind its powerful rushing duo and the ability to dictate tempo. Averaging nearly six yards per carry, the Wolverines are among the most efficient ground teams in the country, consistently wearing down defenses in the second half. Their offensive balance might not be flashy—ranking just 106th in passing yards—but it’s ruthlessly effective when paired with a defense that rarely gives opponents a short field. The Wolverines’ offensive line has been a steady anchor, opening up lanes for big gains while keeping penalties to a minimum (just 4.3 per game, 10th nationally). Even with their recent ATS dip, Michigan’s overall talent advantage has allowed them to grind out close games, as seen in road wins over Nebraska and Michigan State. They’re unlikely to stray from their identity here—run the football, win the line of scrimmage, and force Northwestern into obvious passing situations where their defensive front can take over. With Michigan’s dominance in this series—outscoring the Wildcats 141-30 over the last three meetings—the blueprint is well-established for another decisive performance.
Northwestern, meanwhile, has quietly been one of the more resilient betting teams in the Big Ten this season, covering in four of their last six contests and showing signs of life in conference play. The Wildcats’ 4-1 ATS record in Week 12 games and strong home covering trend (4-1 ATS in their last five at home) show they’re capable of hanging tough, even against superior opponents. Their defense, particularly against the pass, has been formidable, allowing just 181 yards per game—ranking 21st nationally. However, their run defense will face its biggest test yet against Michigan’s offensive front. Offensively, Northwestern has leaned on its ground attack as well, averaging 181 rushing yards per game, though that production often comes against weaker defensive lines. Against a Michigan front that’s holding opponents to just over 100 rushing yards per game, that efficiency could vanish quickly. The Wildcats’ biggest challenge will be sustaining drives—something they’ve struggled with when forced into passing situations, ranking near the bottom of FBS in passing yardage. While Northwestern’s grit and defensive discipline could keep it competitive early, Michigan’s depth and physicality should wear them down late, much like past matchups.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: MICHIGAN
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/23/24
|
@MICH
|
MICH 50-6
|
MICH-12.5
|
O35.5
|
MICH-600
|
|
10/23/21
|
@MICH
|
MICH 33-7
|
MICH-21.0
|
U49
|
MICH-2000
|
|
9/29/18
|
@NW
|
MICH 20-17
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/10/15
|
@MICH
|
MICH 38-0
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Michigan Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
PUR
|
W 21-16
|
L-21.0
|
U49.5
|
W-1200
|
|
10/25/25
|
@MSU
|
W 31-20
|
W-8.5
|
O46.5
|
W-310
|
|
10/18/25
|
WAS
|
W 24-7
|
W-10.0
|
U47.5
|
W-360
|
|
10/11/25
|
@USC
|
L 31-13
|
L-1.5
|
U50.5
|
L+102
|
|
10/04/25
|
WIS
|
W 24-10
|
L-16.5
|
U41.5
|
W-880
|
|
9/20/25
|
@NEB
|
W 30-27
|
L-3.5
|
O41.5
|
W-164
|
|
9/13/25
|
CMC
|
W 63-3
|
W-29.5
|
O41.5
|
W-10000
|
|
9/06/25
|
@OKL
|
L 24-13
|
L+1.5
|
U53.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
8/30/25
|
NM
|
W 34-17
|
L-34.5
|
U51.5
|
W-10000
|
|
12/31/24
|
BAMA
|
W 19-13
|
W+11.5
|
U43.5
|
W+330
|
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Northwestern Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/07/25
|
@USC
|
L 38-17
|
L+16.5
|
O51.5
|
L+460
|
|
10/25/25
|
@NEB
|
L 28-21
|
W+7.5
|
O42.5
|
L+260
|
|
10/18/25
|
PUR
|
W 19-0
|
W-5.5
|
U48.5
|
W-205
|
|
10/11/25
|
@PSU
|
W 22-21
|
W+20.5
|
U48.5
|
W+890
|
|
10/04/25
|
|
W 42-7
|
W-13.5
|
O40.5
|
W-600
|
|
9/27/25
|
UCLA
|
W 17-14
|
L-6.5
|
U46.5
|
W-245
|
|
9/13/25
|
ORE
|
L 34-14
|
W+30.5
|
U52.5
|
L+2500
|
|
9/05/25
|
WIL
|
W 42-7
|
W-28.5
|
U51.5
|
W-10000
|
|
8/30/25
|
@TUL
|
L 23-3
|
L+6.5
|
U46.5
|
L+179
|
|
11/30/24
|
ILL
|
L 38-28
|
L+9.0
|
O46.5
|
L+245
|
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Michigan Offense
Overall
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.11 | 69 | Points Scored | 22 | 19.11 |
| 185.67 | 106 | Passing Yards | 21 | 181.11 |
| 223.78 | 12 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 142.89 |
| 29:29 | 80 | Time on Field | 14 | 27:17 |
| 63.22 | 112 | Number of Plays | 5 | 58.00 |
| 6.48 | 26 | Yards Per Play | 78 | 5.59 |
Scoring
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.11 | 69 | Points Scored | 22 | 19.11 |
| 7.67 | 33 | First Quarter | 41 | 3.89 |
| 6.11 | 106 | Second Quarter | 36 | 6.00 |
| 7.56 | 35 | Third Quarter | 48 | 4.56 |
| 6.78 | 67 | Fourth Quarter | 29 | 4.67 |
Passing
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.67 | 106 | Passing Yards | 21 | 181.11 |
| 24.89 | 123 | Pass Attempts | 17 | 26.89 |
| 14.89 | 119 | Pass Completions | 25 | 16.67 |
| 1.33 | 30 | Sacks | 116 | 1.44 |
| 6.67 | 117 | Sack Yards | 38 | 10.78 |
| 12.47 | 43 | Yards Per Pass | 37 | 10.87 |
Rushing
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223.78 | 12 | Rushing Yards | 63 | 142.89 |
| 38.33 | 41 | Rush Attempts | 12 | 31.11 |
| 5.84 | 7 | Yards Per Rush | 101 | 4.59 |
Turn Overs
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 17 | Interceptions | 84 | 0.67 |
| 1.00 | 54 | Fumbles | 129 | 0.56 |
| 0.44 | 50 | Fumbles Lost | 87 | 0.44 |
| 0.89 | 19 | Total Turnovers | 89 | 1.11 |
| 4.33 | 10 | Penalties | 126 | 4.56 |
| 39.56 | 16 | Penalty Yards | 91 | 48.11 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MICH Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | NWEST Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:29 | 80 | Time on Field | 14 | 27:17 |
| 63.22 | 112 | Number of Plays | 5 | 58.00 |
| 6.48 | 26 | Yards Per Play | 78 | 5.59 |
| 3.78 | 58 | Punts | 100 | 3.89 |
| 43.34 | 59 | Punt Average | 69 | 42.43 |
| 24.11 | 132 | Return Yards | 86 | 56.44 |
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction: Northwestern Offense
Overall
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.22 | 14 | Points Scored | 108 | 21.89 |
| 203.78 | 48 | Passing Yards | 119 | 169.89 |
| 100.22 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 42 | 181.44 |
| 30:30 | 81 | Time on Field | 12 | 32:43 |
| 65.78 | 60 | Number of Plays | 99 | 64.56 |
| 4.62 | 14 | Yards Per Play | 87 | 5.44 |
Scoring
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.22 | 14 | Points Scored | 108 | 21.89 |
| 2.33 | 12 | First Quarter | 95 | 4.89 |
| 7.22 | 71 | Second Quarter | 96 | 6.89 |
| 2.67 | 13 | Third Quarter | 98 | 4.78 |
| 5.00 | 38 | Fourth Quarter | 100 | 5.33 |
Passing
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.78 | 48 | Passing Yards | 119 | 169.89 |
| 32.89 | 105 | Pass Attempts | 104 | 27.67 |
| 21.78 | 119 | Pass Completions | 111 | 16.33 |
| 2.78 | 14 | Sacks | 31 | 1.33 |
| 22.44 | 130 | Sack Yards | 96 | 9.33 |
| 9.36 | 3 | Yards Per Pass | 113 | 10.40 |
Rushing
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.22 | 13 | Rushing Yards | 42 | 181.44 |
| 32.89 | 34 | Rush Attempts | 55 | 36.89 |
| 3.05 | 14 | Yards Per Rush | 31 | 4.92 |
Turn Overs
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 15 | Interceptions | 114 | 1.00 |
| 0.89 | 96 | Fumbles | 105 | 1.33 |
| 0.56 | 58 | Fumbles Lost | 105 | 0.67 |
| 1.78 | 23 | Total Turnovers | 112 | 1.67 |
| 4.22 | 131 | Penalties | 5 | 3.56 |
| 32.44 | 130 | Penalty Yards | 3 | 28.22 |
Drives & Special Teams
| MICH Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | NWEST Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:30 | 81 | Time on Field | 12 | 32:43 |
| 65.78 | 60 | Number of Plays | 99 | 64.56 |
| 4.62 | 14 | Yards Per Play | 87 | 5.44 |
| 4.78 | 45 | Punts | 21 | 2.67 |
| 44.03 | 111 | Punt Average | 50 | 43.85 |
| 35.67 | 26 | Return Yards | 128 | 27.78 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
Learn how to bet on college football. Visit the Betting School and learn how to wager on the moneyline, spread, and total; on your favorite team or an undervalued underdog. Sign up with YouWager.lv now and get in the game with the best welcome bonus, click below:
Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.