Arkansas vs LSU Prediction and Pick, Week 12
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: Trends
- In its last seven games, Arkansas has a record of 2-5 against the spread.
- Seven out of Arkansas’ last eight games have resulted in the total going over.
- In its last seven games, Arkansas has a record of 0-7 against the spread.
- In its last 18 games versus Louisiana State, Arkansas has a record of 12-5-1 against the spread.
- After nine games versus Louisiana State, Arkansas has a record of 1-8 against the state.
- In its previous 12 games played away from home, Arkansas has a record of 3-9 against the spread.
- In the last 15 games that Arkansas has played on the road versus Louisiana State, the team has a win-loss record of 3-12.
- In four of Arkansas’ most recent five games against opponents from the Southeastern conference, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- Arkansas’ most recent five games against opponents from the West Division division have all resulted in the total going over in five of those games.
- Last eight games played in November, Arkansas has a record of 1-7 against the spread.
- In its last six games, Louisiana State has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
- Thirteen of Louisiana State’s most recent 19 games have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- The SU record for Louisiana State in its previous five games is 1-4.
- Four of the previous five games that Louisiana State has played versus Arkansas have resulted in the total going UNDER.
- In its last 20 games played at home, Louisiana State has a winning run of 18-2.
- The last 15 games that Louisiana State has played at home against Arkansas have resulted in a 12-3 record for the Tigers.
- In its last five games against its opponents from the Southeastern conference, Louisiana State has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- When Louisiana State has played an opponent from the West Division, the team has a record of 0-5 against the spread in its last five games.
- Out of the five games that Louisiana State has played in November, the total has been under in four of those games.
- Out of the five games that Louisiana State has played in week 12, the total has been under in four of those games.
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction
Now we have the Arkansas vs LSU Prediction for both teams.
The Week 12 matchup between Arkansas and LSU brings together two SEC West teams desperate to finish the season strong after inconsistent stretches on both sides. Historically, this rivalry has been intense, and though LSU has dominated the head-to-head record at home — winning 12 of the last 15 in Baton Rouge — Arkansas has often managed to keep things close against the spread. Both teams have seen their betting trends skew heavily toward the total this season, with Arkansas games hitting the over in seven of their last eight, while LSU contests have leaned under in recent weeks. The Razorbacks’ explosive offensive style has kept them competitive, but their inability to close games has led to multiple heartbreaking losses. LSU, meanwhile, has struggled to cover the spread, going just 1-5 ATS in its last six games. Still, the Tigers remain formidable in Death Valley, where they’ve gone 18-2 straight up in their last 20 home games. With both teams battling fatigue, defensive issues, and pressure to salvage momentum, this matchup feels like a potential shootout that may ultimately be decided in the trenches.
For Arkansas, the story this season has been about offensive production paired with defensive breakdowns. The Razorbacks have one of the more efficient attacks in the SEC, ranking top 25 nationally in both passing and rushing yards per game. Quarterback play has been steady enough to produce 35.4 points per contest, and Arkansas ranks top-5 nationally in yards per play (7.30). Their rushing unit, averaging nearly 209 yards per game and 5.98 yards per carry, is among the nation’s elite, which could challenge LSU’s front seven. However, turnovers and poor defensive play have cost them dearly. The Hogs’ defense allows over 33 points and nearly 430 total yards per game, ranking in the bottom tier nationally. Their inability to stop the run or limit explosive passing plays has been a consistent issue, especially against physical SEC opponents. On the road, Arkansas is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 away games and tends to fade in the second half. To pull off an upset, the Razorbacks will need a clean performance offensively and a few takeaways to disrupt LSU’s rhythm.
LSU, on the other hand, remains a dangerous but inconsistent team, especially on the offensive side. The Tigers have lost four of their last five overall, but they’ve been tough at home, boasting one of the best home-field advantages in the country. Offensively, LSU averages 23.7 points per game, driven by a balanced passing attack led by a quarterback capable of spreading the ball to multiple targets. However, the run game has been nearly non-existent, producing just 101 yards per contest. Their defense has been the more reliable unit, giving up only 19 points per game and ranking 37th nationally in rushing defense. That front seven will be tested by Arkansas’ ground game, but LSU’s ability to limit big plays could be the deciding factor. If they can force Arkansas into passing situations and protect their quarterback from pressure, LSU has the upper hand. Given their historical dominance at home and Arkansas’ road struggles, LSU should control this matchup physically and mentally, even if the score stays relatively close for a while.
✅ Our CFB Week 12 Pick: LSU
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/19/24
|
@ARK
|
LSU 34-10
|
ARK+9.0
|
U58.5
|
ARK+185
|
|
9/23/23
|
@LSU
|
LSU 34-31
|
LSU-13.5
|
O55.5
|
LSU-1000
|
|
11/12/22
|
@ARK
|
LSU 13-10
|
ARK-2.0
|
U62
|
ARK+125
|
|
11/13/21
|
@LSU
|
ARK 16-13
|
LSU+2.5
|
U58.5
|
LSU+115
|
|
11/21/20
|
@ARK
|
LSU 27-24
|
ARK-2.0
|
U62.5
|
ARKEVEN
|
|
11/23/19
|
@LSU
|
LSU 56-20
|
LSU-42.0
|
O69
|
NL
|
|
11/10/18
|
@ARK
|
LSU 24-17
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/11/17
|
@LSU
|
LSU 33-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/12/16
|
@ARK
|
LSU 38-10
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/14/15
|
@LSU
|
ARK 31-14
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: Arkansas Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
=MSST
|
L 38-35
|
L-4.5
|
O64.5
|
L-188
|
|
10/25/25
|
AUB
|
L 33-24
|
L-1.5
|
O54.5
|
L-102
|
|
10/18/2
|
TXAM |
L 45-42
|
W+7.5
|
O58.5
|
L+220
|
|
10/11/25
|
@TEN
|
L 34-31
|
W+12.5
|
U66.5
|
L+360
|
|
9/27/25
|
ND
|
L 56-13
|
L+12.5
|
O58.5
|
L+184
|
|
9/20/25
|
@MEM
|
L 32-31
|
L-6.5
|
O57.5
|
L-225
|
|
9/13/25
|
@MIS
|
L 41-35
|
W+12.5
|
O58.5
|
L+255
|
|
9/06/25
|
|
W 56-14
|
W-22.5
|
O63.5
|
W-1800
|
|
8/30/25
|
|
W 52-7
|
W-42.5
|
U61
|
W-15
|
|
12/27/24
|
TT
|
W 39-26
|
W-2.5
|
O59.5
|
W-130
|
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: LSU Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/08/25
|
@BAMA
|
L 20-9
|
L+6.5
|
U54.5
|
L+176
|
|
10/25/25
|
TXAM
|
L 49-25
|
L-4.5
|
O52.5
|
L-192
|
|
10/18/25
|
@VAN
|
L 31-24
|
L+1.5
|
O47.5
|
L+104
|
|
10/11/25
|
SC
|
W 20-10
|
W-9.5
|
U41.5
|
W-335
|
|
9/27/25
|
@MIS
|
L 24-19
|
L+1.0
|
U56.5
|
L-102
|
|
9/20/25
|
|
W 56-10
|
W-39.5
|
O51.5
|
NL
|
|
9/13/25
|
FLA
|
W 20-10
|
W-7.5
|
U54.5
|
W-235
|
|
9/06/25
|
LT
|
W 23-7
|
L-36.5
|
U53.5
|
W-20000
|
|
8/30/25
|
@CLE
|
W 17-10
|
W+2.5
|
U56.5
|
W+116
|
|
12/31/24
|
BAY
|
W 44-31
|
W-3.0
|
O60.5
|
W-135
|
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: Arkansas Offense
Overall
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.44 | 21 | Points Scored | 19 | 19.00 |
| 275.67 | 25 | Passing Yards | 43 | 201.89 |
| 208.78 | 17 | Rushing Yards | 37 | 126.00 |
| 29:10 | 91 | Time on Field | 64 | 29:46 |
| 66.33 | 69 | Number of Plays | 39 | 64.44 |
| 7.30 | 4 | Yards Per Play | 37 | 5.09 |
Scoring
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.44 | 21 | Points Scored | 19 | 19.00 |
| 7.56 | 35 | First Quarter | 48 | 4.44 |
| 15.33 | 1 | Second Quarter | 34 | 5.78 |
| 6.22 | 63 | Third Quarter | 57 | 5.00 |
| 6.33 | 78 | Fourth Quarter | 14 | 3.78 |
Passing
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.67 | 25 | Passing Yards | 43 | 201.89 |
| 31.44 | 56 | Pass Attempts | 77 | 31.00 |
| 19.67 | 64 | Pass Completions | 54 | 18.22 |
| 2.22 | 93 | Sacks | 71 | 2.00 |
| 18.44 | 21 | Sack Yards | 83 | 15.22 |
| 14.02 | 12 | Yards Per Pass | 56 | 11.08 |
Rushing
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208.78 | 17 | Rushing Yards | 37 | 126.00 |
| 34.89 | 74 | Rush Attempts | 46 | 33.44 |
| 5.98 | 4 | Yards Per Rush | 44 | 3.77 |
Turn Overs
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 90 | Interceptions | 24 | 1.11 |
| 1.22 | 87 | Fumbles | 118 | 0.67 |
| 0.78 | 115 | Fumbles Lost | 101 | 0.33 |
| 1.67 | 110 | Total Turnovers | 45 | 1.44 |
| 6.89 | 94 | Penalties | 13 | 7.67 |
| 62.56 | 104 | Penalty Yards | 15 | 66.44 |
Drives & Special Teams
| ARK Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | LSU Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:10 | 91 | Time on Field | 64 | 29:46 |
| 66.33 | 69 | Number of Plays | 39 | 64.44 |
| 7.30 | 4 | Yards Per Play | 37 | 5.09 |
| 2.67 | 16 | Punts | 76 | 4.33 |
| 44.58 | 38 | Punt Average | 22 | 40.94 |
| 47.89 | 93 | Return Yards | 94 | 60.00 |
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: LSU Offense
Overall
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.33 | 125 | Points Scored | 99 | 23.67 |
| 246.44 | 110 | Passing Yards | 58 | 240.56 |
| 184.11 | 117 | Rushing Yards | 127 | 101.00 |
| 30:49 | 93 | Time on Field | 63 | 30:13 |
| 68.89 | 99 | Number of Plays | 116 | 63.00 |
| 6.25 | 123 | Yards Per Play | 89 | 5.42 |
Scoring
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.33 | 125 | Points Scored | 99 | 23.67 |
| 8.11 | 120 | First Quarter | 119 | 3.78 |
| 10.33 | 117 | Second Quarter | 72 | 8.67 |
| 7.78 | 120 | Third Quarter | 72 | 5.78 |
| 7.11 | 87 | Fourth Quarter | 95 | 5.44 |
Passing
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246.44 | 110 | Passing Yards | 58 | 240.56 |
| 29.78 | 54 | Pass Attempts | 29 | 35.11 |
| 18.67 | 60 | Pass Completions | 19 | 23.67 |
| 1.78 | 89 | Sacks | 88 | 2.11 |
| 13.44 | 68 | Sack Yards | 26 | 18.11 |
| 13.20 | 125 | Yards Per Pass | 122 | 10.16 |
Rushing
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.11 | 117 | Rushing Yards | 127 | 101.00 |
| 39.11 | 110 | Rush Attempts | 133 | 27.89 |
| 4.71 | 112 | Yards Per Rush | 116 | 3.62 |
Turn Overs
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 74 | Interceptions | 31 | 0.56 |
| 1.00 | 70 | Fumbles | 72 | 1.11 |
| 0.22 | 115 | Fumbles Lost | 81 | 0.56 |
| 0.89 | 110 | Total Turnovers | 50 | 1.11 |
| 6.00 | 70 | Penalties | 95 | 6.89 |
| 48.11 | 90 | Penalty Yards | 84 | 58.33 |
Drives & Special Teams
| ARK Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | LSU Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:49 | 93 | Time on Field | 63 | 30:13 |
| 68.89 | 99 | Number of Plays | 116 | 63.00 |
| 6.25 | 123 | Yards Per Play | 89 | 5.42 |
| 3.22 | 123 | Punts | 77 | 4.22 |
| 45.84 | 132 | Punt Average | 15 | 46.46 |
| 43.33 | 58 | Return Yards | 36 | 67.56 |
All NFL Week 12 Predictions
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Arkansas vs LSU Prediction and Pick, Week 12, by YouWager.lv.