Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 12

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction and Pick, Week 12. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.

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Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Trends

  • Seven of Air Force’s most recent ten games have resulted in the total going over.
  • Over the course of its last eight games, Air Force has a record of 2-6 on the road.
  • In its previous seven games played away from home, Air Force has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • During the past ten games that Air Force has played against an opponent from the Independents (FBS) conference, the total has been UNDER in ten of those games.
  • After seven games played in November, Air Force has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • In its final six games played in week 12, Air Force has a winning record of 5-1.
  • In its last 20 games played on a Saturday, Air Force has a record of 7-13 all-time.
  • Over the past five games, Connecticut has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
  • Four of Connecticut’s most recent five games have resulted in the total going over.
  • In its last seven games, Connecticut has a winning record of 6-1 against the spread.
  • In its last seven games played at home, Connecticut has a perfect record of seven wins and zero losses.
  • In its last seven games versus teams from the Mountain West conference, Connecticut has a record of 1-6 and a losing record overall.
  • After eight games played in November, Connecticut has a record of 6-1-1 against the spread.
  • After six games played in week 12, Connecticut has a record of 1-5 against the spread.
  • Six of Connecticut’s last eight games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going over.
  • When Connecticut has been the favorite in a game, the total has gone over in seven of the last nine games that they have played.

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction

Now we have the Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction for both teams.

The Week 12 matchup between Air Force and Connecticut brings together two teams with contrasting styles and momentum. Air Force continues to rely on its dominant ground game and ball-control approach, while Connecticut has thrived behind a balanced offensive attack that’s been especially potent through the air. The Falcons enter this contest with a strong reputation for efficiency, ranking among the nation’s best in rushing yards per game and time of possession. However, their recent stretch of games has exposed some defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against teams that can stretch the field. On the other hand, UConn has quietly become one of the best against-the-spread (ATS) performers in college football, covering in six of its last seven and building an impressive record at home. This game sets up as a fascinating clash of pace — Air Force will want to slow things down and grind out long drives, while Connecticut will look to push tempo and exploit a leaky Falcon secondary that’s surrendered nearly 290 passing yards per game.

For Air Force, the formula hasn’t changed much: run the ball, control the clock, and limit mistakes. The Falcons are second in the nation in rushing offense with 269 yards per game, powered by an elite offensive line and a deep rotation of backs who can wear down defenses. Their average of over 33 minutes in time of possession underscores how effective their option attack can be when it’s clicking. The problem, however, has been the defense. Air Force has allowed over 33 points per game during this recent stretch, ranking 123rd nationally, and their inability to slow down opposing passing attacks has cost them multiple winnable games. On the road, they’ve struggled as well, going just 2-6 away from home in their last eight, though they’ve covered in six of their last seven as a road team. That tells the story of a team that remains competitive but not always able to finish. If Air Force can dictate tempo and keep Connecticut’s offense on the sideline, they can stay within reach — but their secondary will need to hold up better than it has all year.

Connecticut, meanwhile, enters this matchup playing some of its best football of the season. The Huskies have gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five and are a perfect 7-0 ATS at home in their last seven games. Offensively, they’ve found their rhythm behind a passing attack that ranks 13th nationally with over 300 yards per game, and quarterback play has been a strength, averaging 36.9 points per contest. The Huskies have also been explosive in key moments, scoring nearly 12 points on average in the second quarter alone — an indication of how quickly they can turn games around. Defensively, there are some concerns, particularly in stopping the run, as they’ve allowed over 174 rushing yards per game. Still, their balance on offense and strong recent form make them a dangerous opponent for any team that struggles defensively. UConn’s home dominance and offensive efficiency suggest they’ll be ready to attack Air Force through the air and take advantage of a defense that ranks near the bottom nationally in passing yards allowed and yards per play.

Our CFB Week 12 Pick: CONNECTICUT

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Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Head to Head

N/A

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Air Force Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
W 26-16
W+2.5
U65.5
W+130
11/01/25
L 20-17
L+1.5
U49.5
L+122
10/18/25
W 24-21
L-5.5
U57.5
W-194
10/11/25
L 51-48
W+5.5
O61.5
L+168
10/04/25
L 34-31
W+11.5
O57.5
L+320
9/27/25
L 44-35
L-5.5
O53.5
L-200
9/20/25
L 49-37
L+7.5
O51.5
L+240
9/13/25
L 49-30
L-3.5
O51.5
L-188
8/30/25
W 49-13
W-30.5
O54.5
W-7000
11/30/24
W 31-20
W-2.5
O43.5
W-140

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Connecticut Last 10 Games

Date Opponent Score Spread Total Moneyline
11/08/25
W 37-34
W+13.5
O61
W+400
11/01/25
W 38-19
W-10.5
U64.5
W-410
10/25/25
L 37-34
L-9.5
O48.5
L-330
10/18/25
W 38-23
W+2.5
O56.5
W+112
10/04/25
W 51-10
W-10.5
O55.5
W-330
9/27/25
W 20-17
W-1.5
U52
W-135
9/20/25
W 31-25
L-18.5
O52.5
W-1400
9/13/25
L 44-41
L-9.5
O50.5
L-360
9/06/25
L 27-20
W+10.5
U56.5
L+280
8/30/25
W 59-13
W-25.5
O51.5
W-4000

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Air Force Offense

Overall

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
33.00 32 Points Scored 74 24.90
169.00 120 Passing Yards 65 217.30
269.00 2 Rushing Yards 108 174.20
33:26 5 Time on Field 83 30:35
68.78 40 Number of Plays 122 71.90
6.37 30 Yards Per Play 66 5.45

Scoring

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
33.00 32 Points Scored 74 24.90
5.33 81 First Quarter 38 3.70
7.44 88 Second Quarter 74 7.50
7.33 36 Third Quarter 26 3.60
12.89 1 Fourth Quarter 102 7.50

Passing

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
169.00 120 Passing Yards 65 217.30
15.33 134 Pass Attempts 88 31.70
9.22 134 Pass Completions 91 20.10
1.22 25 Sacks 5 3.30
7.11 113 Sack Yards 126 21.80
18.33 1 Yards Per Pass 34 10.81

Rushing

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
269.00 2 Rushing Yards 108 174.20
53.44 2 Rush Attempts 122 40.20
5.03 23 Yards Per Rush 85 4.33

Turn Overs

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
0.67 47 Interceptions 33 1.00
0.78 23 Fumbles 102 0.80
0.44 38 Fumbles Lost 93 0.40
1.11 46 Total Turnovers 55 1.40
4.44 13 Penalties 119 4.80
39.89 18 Penalty Yards 112 42.50

Drives & Special Teams

AIRFO Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank UCONN Defense
33:26 5 Time on Field 83 30:35
68.78 40 Number of Plays 122 71.90
6.37 30 Yards Per Play 66 5.45
2.11 4 Punts 29 5.00
45.86 21 Punt Average 81 42.83
23.44 133 Return Yards 73 49.00

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction: Connecticut Offense

Overall

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
33.00 123 Points Scored 16 36.90
288.11 134 Passing Yards 13 300.50
169.56 102 Rushing Yards 68 156.00
26:29 6 Time on Field 83 29:24
61.00 18 Number of Plays 48 68.00
7.50 135 Yards Per Play 18 6.71

Scoring

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
33.00 123 Points Scored 16 36.90
6.89 104 First Quarter 28 7.90
5.22 20 Second Quarter 13 12.00
8.67 127 Third Quarter 17 8.80
12.22 136 Fourth Quarter 61 6.90

Passing

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
288.11 134 Passing Yards 13 300.50
29.00 41 Pass Attempts 18 36.60
20.11 92 Pass Completions 13 24.80
1.11 124 Sacks 28 1.30
5.67 6 Sack Yards 116 6.80
14.33 135 Yards Per Pass 55 12.12

Rushing

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
169.56 102 Rushing Yards 68 156.00
32.00 20 Rush Attempts 117 31.40
5.30 131 Yards Per Rush 27 4.97

Turn Overs

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
0.67 72 Interceptions 1 0.00
0.56 126 Fumbles 2 0.30
0.33 96 Fumbles Lost 2 0.10
1.00 97 Total Turnovers 1 0.10
6.22 58 Penalties 17 4.60
51.67 78 Penalty Yards 32 46.20

Drives & Special Teams

AIRFO Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank UCONN Offense
26:29 6 Time on Field 83 29:24
61.00 18 Number of Plays 48 68.00
7.50 135 Yards Per Play 18 6.71
2.56 134 Punts 74 4.20
42.52 71 Punt Average 62 43.19
39.00 40 Return Yards 47 64.20

 

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