Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this NFL football game with the best odds.
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction
Now we have the Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction for both teams.
The Week 11 matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills brings together two teams that have been trending in different directions but both remain in the playoff hunt.
The New York Jets, the Houston Texans, and the Atlanta Falcons were all defeated by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers through the first three games of the season. The Buccaneers were able to win all three of their games. Furthermore, they have not suffered a single loss in any of their first three matches. After suffering a loss to the Eagles in the subsequent game, Tampa Bay went on to win the subsequent four games, including victories over the New Orleans Saints, the San Francisco 49ers, and the Seattle Seahawks, with the exception of a loss to the Lions in the fourth or fifth game. While the Buccaneers were victorious over the Saints, they were able to restrict New Orleans to only three points by averaging 3.9 yards per play, rushing for 48 yards, and committing four interceptions. Tampa’s offensive only gained 212 yards, while the offense of the opposing club gained 3.8 yards per play. Tampa’s offense was unable to gain any ground.
A defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots by a score of 28-23 was the most recent game that the Buccaneers played, which took place on Sunday. Additionally, the Buccaneers permitted points to be scored in each quarter of the game, despite the fact that they scored points in each quarter of the game themselves. During the game, quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 28 of 43 passes for a total of 273 yards and three touchdowns. Sean Tucker, who had nine carries for 53 yards, was the most productive rusher for the team throughout the season. In contrast, Emeka Egbuka grabbed six receptions for 115 yards and scored a touchdown. He also had a touchdown reception. Tez Johnson, who had four receptions for 42 yards, was the one who scored the two touchdowns that ended up being scored later.
The Buffalo Bills were able to get off to a strong start in this season, as they were able to defeat the Baltimore Ravens, New York Jets, Miami Dolphins, and New Orleans Saints in their first four games. After that, Buffalo would suffer successive defeats at the hands of the Patriots and the Falcons, before achieving victory over the Carolina Panthers once more. Buffalo then went on to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs at home by a score of seven points on November 2, following up on their previous victory. A total of 404 yards were accumulated by the Bills in the game, with 23 first downs and a success rate of 7 out of 12 on third down play. As a result of the defense’s efforts, the Chiefs were only able to complete three of thirteen third downs during the victory.
Over the past weekend, Buffalo had a difficult game when they were matched up against the Miami Dolphins. Despite being trailing 16-0 going into the final period, Buffalo was unable to make up the ground and ultimately ended up losing the game on the road by a score of 30-13. Josh Allen, the quarterback, completed 28 of 40 passes for 306 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception this season. James Cook, the running back, racked up 53 yards on 13 rushes. In the game that they lost, Khalil Shakir ended up with seven receptions for 58 yards, while Keon Coleman had three receptions for 46 yards and a touchdown.
✅ Our Buccaneers vs Bills Pick: BILLS
Buccaneers vs Bills Odds
Now, we have the Buccaneers vs Bills odds:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +5.5 | +220 | 48.5 O |
| Bills | -5.5 | -260 | 48.5 U |
Buccaneers Futures Odds, and Bills Futures Odds
Buccaneers Division Odds, and Bills Division Odds
Now, we have the Buccaneers Division Odds, and Bills Division Odds:
| TEAM | DIVISION ODDS |
|---|---|
| Buccaneers Division Odds | -1000 |
| Bills Division Odds | +185 |
Buccaneers NFC Championship Odds, and Bills AFC Championship Odds
Now, we have the Buccaneers NFC Championship Odds, and Bills AFC Championship Odds:
| TEAM | CONFERENCE ODDS |
|---|---|
| Buccaneers NFC Championship Odds | +1200 |
| Bills AFC Championship Odds | +425 |
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Trends
- Over the past eight home games that have followed a Division game, the Bills have won every single one of them.
- As underdogs, the Buccaneers have been defeated in 12 of their subsequent 13 games played in November.
- Over the course of their most recent nine games played at Highmark Stadium, the Bills have covered the spread in eight of those games against teams that have a winning record.
- Three out of the last four games that the Buccaneers have played against teams from the AFC East have resulted in them failing to cover the spread.
- In both of their most recent Sunday games, the Bills have been victorious in the first quarter of both of their games against teams that had a winning record.
- The Buccaneers have been underdogs in each of their last four Week 11 games, and they have lost the first half of each of those games.
- Despite being underdogs on the road, the Buccaneers have been victorious in each of their previous three Sunday games.
- Three of the last four games that the Bills have played on the East Coast as favorites have resulted in losses for the team.
- Over the past seven games, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in every single one of those games that followed a loss.
- In five of their last six games played on the East Coast as favorites, the Bills have failed to cover the spread. This happens in five of those games.
- The Bills have lost their last two games, and the underdogs have won the first quarter of both of those games.
- In each of the Buccaneers’ most recent four games, where they have played as road underdogs after suffering a defeat, the total number of points has been OVER.
- Out of the last six games played by the Bills in Week 11, five of them have gone above the total points line.
- While the Bills have been the home favorite in seven of their previous eight games, James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in each of those games.
- During the six most recent games that the Bills have played as favorites after suffering a defeat, Dawson Knox has recorded more than twelve receiving yards in each of those games.
- After a loss, James Cook has made nine of his previous ten appearances and has recorded more than 99 yards rushing and receiving in each of those games.
- Joshua Allen has thrown for more than 253 yards in each of the Bills’ last six games against National Football Conference opponents in the month of November.
- Over the course of the Bills’ most recent four games against NFC opponents, James Cook has rushed for more than 87 yards in each of those games.
- In three of the last four games that the Bills have played as favorites against teams who have a winning record, James Cook has scored two touchdowns at the position of quarterback.
- Josh Allen has completed at least 23 passes in each of the Bills’ last six games against National Football Conference opponents in the month of November.
- After playing in his first five games of his career, Maxwell Hairston has already racked up two interceptions, which is the most by any player since Tariq Woolen (2022).
- The Buccaneers have been playing on the road as modest underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points), and Cade Otton has recorded more than 44 receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games.
- The last seven of Bucky Irving’s eight outings during the regular season have resulted in him accumulating more than 84 yards rushing and receiving.
- During the Buccaneers’ most recent five Sunday games, Baker Mayfield has thrown for more than 256 yards in four of those games.
- 14 of the previous 16 Sunday games that Bucky Irving has played in have resulted in him rushing for more than 44 yards.
- Every every one of the Buccaneers’ most recent four games in which they were the underdogs after suffering a defeat, Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown.
- In five of the Buccaneers’ last six games after suffering a loss at home, Baker Mayfield has completed more than 23 passes during those games.
- With eight field goals from 50 yards or more that he has made this season, Chase McLaughlin is now ranked first in the National Football League.
- With three victories at home by a margin of ten points or less, the Bills have tied for the equal-most home victories by a margin of ten points or less this season.
- Beginning with Week 11, the Bills are ranked first in the National Football League (NFL) in terms of the average point differential in third quarters (+4.2). On the other hand, the Buccaneers are ranked second in the NFL in terms of turnover differential (+8) during the current season.
- Currently, the Buccaneers are ranked second in the National Football League in terms of third-quarter points scored per game (7.6).
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8/23/25
|
@TB
|
BUF 23-19
|
TB-2.5
|
O37.5
|
TB-130
|
|
10/26/23
|
@BUF
|
BUF 24-18
|
BUF-10.0
|
U43.5
|
BUF-460
|
|
12/12/21
|
@TB
|
TB 33-27
|
TB-4.0
|
O53.5
|
TB-162
|
|
10/22/17
|
@BUF
|
BUF 30-27
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
12/08/13
|
@TB
|
TB 27-6
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/20/09
|
@BUF
|
BUF 33-20
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
9/18/05
|
@TB
|
TB 19-3
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Tampa Bay Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/26/25
|
@NO
|
W 23-3
|
W-5.5
|
U45.5
|
W-225
|
|
10/20/25
|
@DET
|
L 24-9
|
L+4.5
|
U49.5
|
L+150
|
|
10/12/25
|
SF
|
W 30-19
|
W-1.5
|
O47.5
|
W-122
|
|
10/05/25
|
@SEA
|
W 38-35
|
W-1.5
|
O47.5
|
W-122
|
|
9/28/25
|
PHI
|
L 31-25
|
L+1.5
|
O48.5
|
LEVEN
|
|
9/21/25
|
NYJ
|
W 29-27
|
L-7.5
|
O45.5
|
W-325
|
|
9/15/25
|
@HOU
|
W 20-19
|
W+1.5
|
U46.5
|
W+102
|
|
9/07/25
|
@ATL
|
W 23-20
|
W-1.5
|
U48.5
|
W-126
|
|
1/12/25
|
WAS
|
L 23-20
|
L-3.0
|
U50.5
|
L-175
|
|
1/05/25
|
NO
|
W 27-19
|
W-2.5
|
O43
|
W-135
|
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Buffalo Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/02/25
|
KC
|
W 28-21
|
W-2.5
|
O48.5
|
W-135
|
|
10/26/25
|
@CAR
|
W 40-9
|
W-7.0
|
O47.5
|
W-310
|
|
10/13/25
|
@ATL
|
L 24-14
|
L-5.5
|
U48.5
|
L-225
|
|
10/05/25
|
NE
|
L 23-20
|
L-8.5
|
U46.5
|
L-380
|
|
9/28/25
|
NO
|
W 31-19
|
L-12.5
|
O46.5
|
W-650
|
|
9/18/25
|
MIA
|
W 31-21
|
W-8.5
|
O48.5
|
W-380
|
|
9/14/25
|
@NYJ
|
W 30-10
|
W-8.5
|
U44.5
|
W-380
|
|
9/07/25
|
BAL
|
W 41-40
|
L-1.5
|
O51.5
|
W-122
|
|
1/26/25
|
@KC
|
L 32-29
|
L+1.5
|
O48.5
|
L+102
|
|
1/19/25
|
BAL
|
W 27-25
|
W-1.0
|
O51.5
|
W-117
|
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Tampa Bay Offense
Overall
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.63 | 14 | Points Scored | 9 | 20.86 |
| 224.88 | 11 | Passing Yards | 2 | 161.86 |
| 98.13 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 150.29 |
| 30:59 | 13 | Time on Field | 1 | 26:45 |
| 61.25 | 17 | Number of Plays | 8 | 57.43 |
| 5.27 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 19 | 5.44 |
Scoring
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.63 | 14 | Points Scored | 9 | 20.86 |
| 2.88 | 28 | First Quarter | 19 | 4.86 |
| 8.75 | 4 | Second Quarter | 17 | 6.14 |
| 7.75 | 3 | Third Quarter | 8 | 3.86 |
| 5.25 | 24 | Fourth Quarter | 12 | 6.00 |
Passing
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224.88 | 11 | Passing Yards | 2 | 161.86 |
| 33.63 | 14 | Pass Attempts | 3 | 27.00 |
| 21.50 | 17 | Pass Completions | 2 | 17.43 |
| 2.13 | 14 | Sacks | 5 | 3.14 |
| 15.00 | 14 | Sack Yards | 23 | 18.43 |
| 10.46 | 13 | Yards Per Pass | 6 | 9.29 |
Rushing
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.13 | 23 | Rushing Yards | 31 | 150.29 |
| 25.50 | 21 | Rush Attempts | 22 | 27.29 |
| 3.85 | 28 | Yards Per Rush | 31 | 5.51 |
Turn Overs
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 2 | Interceptions | 25 | 0.43 |
| 1.13 | 21 | Fumbles | 1 | 1.71 |
| 0.38 | 18 | Fumbles Lost | 4 | 0.71 |
| 0.63 | 5 | Total Turnovers | 13 | 1.14 |
| 6.25 | 10 | Penalties | 27 | 5.71 |
| 49.63 | 9 | Penalty Yards | 27 | 47.43 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TB Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | BUF Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30:59 | 13 | Time on Field | 1 | 26:45 |
| 61.25 | 17 | Number of Plays | 8 | 57.43 |
| 5.27 | 19 | Yards Per Play | 19 | 5.44 |
| 4.00 | 25 | Punts | 6 | 4.14 |
| 43.78 | 30 | Punt Average | 23 | 48.85 |
| 137.63 | 10 | Return Yards | 28 | 148.00 |
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction: Buffalo Offense
Overall
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.25 | 16 | Points Scored | 4 | 29.57 |
| 228.75 | 21 | Passing Yards | 15 | 218.43 |
| 92.63 | 7 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 164.43 |
| 29:00 | 11 | Time on Field | 1 | 33:14 |
| 61.88 | 19 | Number of Plays | 13 | 62.57 |
| 5.19 | 9 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 6.12 |
Scoring
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.25 | 16 | Points Scored | 4 | 29.57 |
| 5.50 | 25 | First Quarter | 3 | 6.86 |
| 5.75 | 12 | Second Quarter | 21 | 6.00 |
| 4.25 | 13 | Third Quarter | 2 | 8.29 |
| 6.75 | 19 | Fourth Quarter | 5 | 8.43 |
Passing
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228.75 | 21 | Passing Yards | 15 | 218.43 |
| 34.88 | 23 | Pass Attempts | 28 | 29.00 |
| 23.50 | 25 | Pass Completions | 25 | 19.57 |
| 3.13 | 7 | Sacks | 12 | 2.00 |
| 24.38 | 30 | Sack Yards | 20 | 12.14 |
| 9.73 | 9 | Yards Per Pass | 7 | 11.16 |
Rushing
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.63 | 7 | Rushing Yards | 1 | 164.43 |
| 23.88 | 10 | Rush Attempts | 1 | 31.57 |
| 3.88 | 6 | Yards Per Rush | 2 | 5.21 |
Turn Overs
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 10 | Interceptions | 12 | 0.57 |
| 1.13 | 13 | Fumbles | 22 | 1.14 |
| 0.63 | 9 | Fumbles Lost | 9 | 0.29 |
| 1.50 | 6 | Total Turnovers | 7 | 0.86 |
| 7.38 | 14 | Penalties | 20 | 7.29 |
| 59.38 | 10 | Penalty Yards | 21 | 58.71 |
Drives & Special Teams
| TB Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | BUF Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29:00 | 11 | Time on Field | 1 | 33:14 |
| 61.88 | 19 | Number of Plays | 13 | 62.57 |
| 5.19 | 9 | Yards Per Play | 2 | 6.12 |
| 3.38 | 20 | Punts | 8 | 3.14 |
| 48.43 | 21 | Punt Average | 31 | 43.41 |
| 152.75 | 29 | Return Yards | 22 | 120.71 |
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Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.